Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View On July 10, the liquidity tightened marginally, with major repo rates rising slightly. Under the influence of multiple negative factors, the bond market weakened significantly. The convertible bond market followed the equity market and rose, with most individual convertible bonds increasing. Yields of U.S. Treasuries across various tenors generally increased, and yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies also mostly rose [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News - **Domestic News**: The Shanghai Stock Exchange held a policy briefing on the "1 + 6" reform of the Science and Technology Innovation Board. The National Development and Reform Commission plans to increase investment in key areas of new - type urbanization using "two important and two new" funds [3]. - **International News**: On July 10, Fed Governor Waller suggested considering a rate cut in July, stating that the current federal funds rate is overly restrictive [4]. - **Commodities**: On July 10, international crude oil futures prices declined (WTI August crude futures fell 2.19% to $66.88/barrel, Brent September crude futures fell 2.2% to $68.64/barrel), while international natural gas prices rose (NYMEX natural gas prices rose 4.96% to $3.365/ounce), and COMEX gold futures rose 0.38% to $3333.67/ounce [6]. 3.2 Liquidity - **Open - Market Operations**: On July 10, the central bank conducted 90 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed - rate and quantity - tender method, with an operating rate of 1.40%. With 57.2 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, the net capital injection was 32.8 billion yuan [8]. - **Funding Rates**: On July 10, the liquidity tightened marginally, with DR001 rising 0.56bp to 1.323% and DR007 rising 1.78bp to 1.495% [9]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - **Interest - Rate Bonds** - **Spot Bond Yield Trends**: On July 10, affected by factors such as the continuous improvement of the stock market, marginal tightening of liquidity, and rumors that Hebei Province guided rural commercial banks to reduce the proportion of bond investments, the bond market weakened significantly. By 20:00, the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond active bond 250011 rose 1.45bp to 1.6595%, and the yield of the 10 - year CDB bond active bond 250210 rose 1.40bp to 1.7380% [11]. - **Bond Tendering**: Details of bond issuances including various bonds such as 25贴现国开清发02, 25国开清发02(增发19), etc., are provided, including their tenors, issuance scales, winning yields, over - subscription ratios, and marginal ratios [13]. - **Credit Bonds** - **Secondary - Market Transaction Anomalies**: On July 10, 2 industrial bonds ("H1碧地02" down over 34% and "23亦庄06" up over 11%) and 1 urban investment bond ("20泗阳佳鼎债" down over 18%) had transaction price deviations exceeding 10% [14][15]. - **Credit Bond Events**: Events include bond restructuring of Longfor Group, regulatory warnings for Lan创建设, debt - related issues of Xi'an Quwen Investment, Jiangsu Nantong Sanjian, etc., as well as bond repayment and interest - rate adjustment plans of some companies [16]. 3.4 Convertible Bonds - **Equity and Convertible Bond Indexes**: On July 10, the three major A - share indexes rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index up 0.48%, 0.47%, and 0.22% respectively, and the full - day trading volume reaching 1.52 trillion yuan. The main convertible bond indexes also rose, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index, Shanghai Convertible Bond Index, and Shenzhen Convertible Bond Index up 0.40%, 0.40%, and 0.45% respectively. The trading volume of the convertible bond market was 68.377 billion yuan, a decrease of 994 million yuan from the previous trading day. Among 469 convertible bonds, 338 rose, 123 fell, and 8 remained flat [17]. - **Convertible Bond Tracking**: On July 10, Zhite Convertible Bond announced an early redemption, and Hongcheng Convertible Bond announced that it was about to meet the early redemption conditions [19]. 3.5 Overseas Bond Markets - **U.S. Bond Market**: On July 10, the yield of the 2 - year U.S. Treasury remained unchanged at 3.86%, while yields of other tenors generally increased. The yield of the 10 - year U.S. Treasury rose 1bp to 4.35%. The 2/10 - year U.S. Treasury yield spread widened by 1bp to 49bp, and the 5/30 - year U.S. Treasury yield spread narrowed by 2bp to 93bp. The break - even inflation rate of the 10 - year U.S. Treasury Inflation - Protected Securities (TIPS) rose 1bp to 2.34% [20][21][22]. - **European Bond Market**: On July 10, the yield of the 10 - year UK government bond remained unchanged, while yields of 10 - year government bonds in other major European economies generally increased. The yield of the 10 - year German government bond rose 3bp to 2.66%, and yields of 10 - year government bonds in France, Italy, and Spain rose 4bp, 4bp, and 1bp respectively [23]. - **Chinese - Issued Dollar Bonds**: Price changes of Chinese - issued dollar bonds as of the close on July 10 are provided, including daily and monthly changes of bonds issued by companies such as Oceanwide, Country Garden, NIO, etc. [25].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - On July 8, the liquidity remained loose; affected by the stock-bond seesaw effect, the bond market oscillated weakly; the main indices of the convertible bond market rose collectively, and most convertible bond issues increased; the yields of U.S. Treasuries across various maturities generally increased, and the yields of 10-year government bonds in major European economies generally increased [1] Summary by Directory 1. Bond Market News (1) Domestic News - The National Development and Reform Commission and other three departments will support eligible zero-carbon park projects through local government special bond funds, etc., and encourage policy banks to provide medium - and long - term credit support [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission newly allocated 10 billion yuan in central budgetary investment for the work - relief program, supporting 1,975 projects in 26 provinces (autonomous regions, municipalities) and the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, expected to pay 4.59 billion yuan in labor remuneration and help 310,000 key groups stabilize employment and increase income [3] - On July 8, the central bank and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced three opening - up optimization measures for Bond Connect, including improving the south - bound mechanism, optimizing the offshore repo business mechanism, and optimizing the Swap Connect operation mechanism [4] - The central bank is actively researching other measures to promote the opening - up of the bond market, such as deepening the connectivity between domestic and foreign financial markets, improving cross - border investment and financing facilitation, and enriching the offshore RMB financial product system [6] (2) International News - Trump said that equal - tariff measures would be implemented starting August 1, 2025, and warned that the EU would receive a tariff letter, with potential tariff rates of 60% - 70% and a 10% tariff increase on India [7] (3) Commodities - On July 8, WTI August crude oil futures rose 0.59% to $68.33 per barrel, Brent September crude oil futures rose 0.82% to $70.15 per barrel, COMEX gold futures fell 0.96% to $3,310.80 per ounce, and NYMEX natural gas prices fell 1.88% to $3.349 per ounce [8] 2. Liquidity (1) Open Market Operations - On July 8, the central bank conducted 69 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed interest rate, with an operating rate of 1.40%. With 131 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, the net withdrawal of funds was 62 billion yuan [10] (2) Funding Rates - On July 8, the liquidity remained loose. DR001 rose 0.01bp to 1.315%, and DR007 fell 0.25bp to 1.464%. Other funding rates also showed corresponding changes [11][12] 3. Bond Market Dynamics (1) Interest - rate Bonds - **Spot Bond Yield Trends**: On July 8, affected by the stock - bond seesaw effect, the bond market oscillated weakly. The yields of 10 - year Treasury bond active issue 250011 and 10 - year China Development Bank bond active issue 250210 rose 0.30bp and 0.55bp respectively [14][15] - **Bond Tendering Situation**: The tendering information of several bonds such as 25Guokai02 (Zeng4), 25Guokai08 (Zeng6) was provided, including maturity, issuance scale, winning yield, etc. [16] (2) Credit Bonds - **Secondary Market Transaction Anomalies**: On July 8, 7 urban investment bonds had transaction price deviations of over 10%, with some falling and some rising [17] - **Credit Bond Events**: Events such as overdue debts of Shimao Construction, overseas debt restructuring of Times China Holdings were reported [19] (3) Convertible Bonds - **Equity and Convertible Bond Indices**: On July 8, the three major A - share indices rose collectively, and the main indices of the convertible bond market also rose. The convertible bond market turnover was 76.882 billion yuan [19][20] - **Convertible Bond Tracking**: On July 9, Guanghe Convertible Bond started online subscription. On July 8, Lanfan Convertible Bond announced a downward revision of the conversion price, and several convertible bonds announced early redemption or were about to meet early redemption conditions [26] (4) Overseas Bond Markets - **U.S. Bond Market**: On July 8, the yield of 2 - year U.S. Treasuries remained unchanged at 3.90%, while the yields of other maturities generally increased. The 2/10 - year U.S. Treasury yield spread widened by 2bp, and the 5/30 - year spread narrowed by 1bp [23][25] - **European Bond Market**: On July 8, the yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies generally increased, with Germany, France, Italy, Spain, and the UK seeing corresponding increases [28] - **Daily Price Changes of Chinese - issued Dollar Bonds**: The daily price changes of Chinese - issued dollar bonds as of the close on July 8 were provided, including information on credit entities, bond codes, and price changes [30]

Group 1: CPI Analysis - In June 2025, the CPI increased by 0.1% year-on-year, reversing from a decline of 0.1% in May, with a cumulative year-on-year decline of 0.1% for the first half of the year[1][2] - The main drivers for the CPI increase were a significant narrowing of the year-on-year decline in vegetable prices and a rise in domestic energy prices due to international crude oil price increases[2][3] - The core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, showed a cumulative year-on-year increase of 0.4%, indicating a weak overall price level[3][6] Group 2: PPI Analysis - In June 2025, the PPI decreased by 3.6% year-on-year, widening from a decline of 3.3% in May, with a cumulative year-on-year decline of 2.8% for the first half of the year[1][2][8] - The PPI decline was primarily influenced by weak domestic demand and oversupply, leading to accelerated price declines in coal, steel, and cement[2][9] - The PPI's month-on-month decline remained at 0.4%, consistent with the previous month, marking four consecutive months of such a decline[8][10] Group 3: Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the CPI may return to negative territory in July, likely around -0.2%, due to external economic pressures and high base effects from the previous year[7][12] - The PPI is expected to continue its month-on-month decline in July, but the rate of decline may slightly narrow, with a year-on-year decline projected to remain around -3.6%[12]

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core View On July 4, the liquidity was abundant and loose. The yields of the bond market showed a divergent trend, with the medium - and short - end yields continuing to decline and the long - end yields rising slightly. The convertible bond market also showed divergence following the equity market, and most convertible bond issues declined. The 10 - year government bond yields of major European economies also showed a divergent trend [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Bond Market News - **Domestic News**: Minister of Finance Lan Fuan attended the 2025 BRICS Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting, expressing China's willingness to deepen BRICS financial cooperation. The New Development Bank of BRICS approved Colombia and Uzbekistan as new members. The central bank solicited public opinions on the revised business rules of the RMB Cross - border Payment System. The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges revised the ETF risk management business guidelines, which will take effect on August 1, 2025 [3][4]. - **International News**: Elon Musk announced the establishment of the "American Party" on July 5, aiming to "avoid US bankruptcy" and indicating participation in the 2026 mid - term elections. This marked the breakdown of his political alliance with Trump [6]. - **Commodities**: On July 4, Brent crude oil futures for September delivery fell 0.72% to $68.30 per barrel, with a weekly increase of 2.24%. Spot gold rose 0.33% to $3337.15 per ounce, with a weekly increase of 1.92%. NYMEX natural gas prices fell 0.53% to $3.387 per ounce [7]. 3.2 Liquidity - **Open Market Operations**: On July 4, the central bank conducted 34 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed interest rate of 1.40%. With 525.9 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, the net withdrawal of funds was 491.9 billion yuan [9][10]. - **Funding Rates**: On July 4, the liquidity was abundant and loose, and major repurchase rates continued to decline. DR001 dropped 0.10bp to 1.314%, and DR007 dropped 4.52bp to 1.422%. Various inter - bank lending and repurchase rates also showed downward trends [11][12]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - **Interest - Rate Bonds**: - **Yield Trends**: On July 4, the trends of major inter - bank interest - rate bonds diverged. The medium - and short - end yields continued to decline due to loose liquidity, while the long - end yields rose slightly due to the stock - bond seesaw effect. For example, the yield of the 10 - year treasury bond active bond 250011 rose 0.15bp to 1.6410% [14]. - **Bond Tenders**: Information on the tendering of several bonds such as 25进出清发02, 25附息国债07(续2), and 25附息国债11(续2) was provided, including issuance scale, winning yields, and multiples [16]. - **Credit Bonds**: - **Secondary - Market Transaction Anomalies**: On July 4, the transaction prices of two industrial bonds deviated by more than 10%, with "H1碧地01" falling more than 66% and "H0中骏02" falling more than 19% [16]. - **Credit Bond Events**: Companies such as Sunac China, Fantasia Holdings, Vanke, and Yida China announced matters related to share issuance, debt restructuring, guarantee balances, and loan defaults [17]. - **Convertible Bonds**: - **Equity and Convertible Bond Indices**: On July 4, the three major A - share indices showed different trends, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.32%, and the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index falling 0.25% and 0.36% respectively. The convertible bond market also showed divergence, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index and Shanghai Convertible Bond Index rising 0.15% and 0.24% respectively, and the Shenzhen Convertible Bond Index falling 0.01%. Most convertible bond issues declined [18]. - **Convertible Bond Tracking**: Some convertible bonds such as Jingao Convertible Bond proposed to lower the conversion price, and some such as Jingduan Convertible Bond announced early redemptions [24]. - **Overseas Bond Markets**: - **US Bond Market**: The US bond market was closed on July 4 due to the Independence Day holiday [21]. - **European Bond Market**: On July 4, the 10 - year government bond yields of major European economies showed a divergent trend. Germany's 10 - year government bond yield dropped 1bp to 2.57%, France's rose 1bp, and those of Italy and the UK remained unchanged, while Spain's dropped 1bp [22]. - **Price Changes of Chinese - Issued US - Dollar Bonds**: The daily price changes of some Chinese - issued US - dollar bonds as of July 4 were provided, including information on credit entities, bond codes, bond balances, and yields [25].

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The report does not provide an investment rating for the bond market. 2. Core Views - Last week, the bond market showed a warm and volatile trend, with the yield curve becoming steeper. Despite some negative factors, the market was supported by loose liquidity and reduced treasury bond issuance, leading to a slight decline in long - term bond yields. Short - term rates continued to fall due to "spread - chasing" trades, further steepening the yield curve [1]. - This week, the bond market is expected to continue its volatile trend. The upcoming June inflation data is likely to improve marginally but remain at a low level, with limited negative impact on the bond market. If liquidity remains loose, short - term bond rates may decline further. Long - term rates will likely continue to fluctuate, and the yield curve is expected to keep steepening [1]. 3. Summary by Sections 3.1 Last Week's Market Review 3.1.1 Secondary Market - The bond market was warm and volatile last week, with long - term bond yields falling slightly. The 10 - year treasury bond futures main contract rose 0.03% for the week. The 10 - year treasury bond yield decreased by 0.29bp, and the 1 - year yield dropped by 0.90bp compared to the previous Friday, widening the term spread [3]. - Daily trends: On June 30, the bond market weakened initially but recovered slightly at the end. From July 1 - 3, the market was generally positive due to loose liquidity and "spread - chasing" trades. On July 4, short - term bonds were strong, while long - term bonds weakened slightly due to the stock - bond seesaw effect [3]. 3.1.2 Primary Market - A total of 47 interest - rate bonds were issued last week, 130 fewer than the previous week. The issuance volume was 513.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 354.4 billion yuan, and the net financing was 376.6 billion yuan, a significant reduction of 404.1 billion yuan. Treasury and policy - bank bond issuance and net financing increased, while local government bond issuance and net financing decreased significantly [11]. - The subscription demand for interest - rate bonds was generally acceptable. The average subscription multiples for treasury bonds, policy - bank bonds, and local government bonds were 4.21 times, 3.38 times, and 21.15 times respectively [12]. 3.2 Last Week's Important Events - In June, China's macro - economic sentiment continued to recover. The manufacturing PMI rose 0.2 percentage points to 49.7%, and the non - manufacturing business activity index increased by 0.2 percentage points to 50.5%. The improvement was due to the effects of growth - stabilizing policies and eased trade tensions. The service PMI decreased by 0.1 percentage points to 50.1%, in line with seasonal patterns [13]. 3.3 Real - Economy Observation - On the production side, most high - frequency data declined last week, including blast furnace operating rates, semi - steel tire operating rates, and daily hot - metal production, while the asphalt plant operating rate increased slightly. - On the demand side, the BDI index and the CCFI index both decreased, and the sales area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities dropped significantly. - In terms of prices, pork prices rebounded slightly, and most commodity prices rose, including crude oil, copper, and rebar [14]. 3.4 Last Week's Liquidity Observation - The central bank conducted a net withdrawal of 137.53 billion yuan from the open market last week. - R007 and DR007 both declined significantly, the inter - bank certificate of deposit issuance rate of joint - stock banks decreased, the 3 - month national - share direct - discount rate dropped, and the volume of pledged repurchase increased significantly. The inter - bank market leverage ratio fluctuated slightly and remained basically the same as the previous week [24].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - Last week, the bond market fluctuated narrowly, and the yield curve continued to steepen. The bond market first declined and then rose. Due to the stock - bond seesaw effect and other factors, long - term bond yields first increased and then decreased, with a slight overall increase, while short - term interest rates continued to decline [1]. - This week, the bond market is expected to continue the volatile trend. Although the fundamentals and capital situation are still favorable to the bond market, the removal of the direct mention of "timely reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts" in the second - quarter regular meeting announcement of the Monetary Policy Committee has postponed the market's interest rate cut expectations, and the bullish momentum of the bond market may be insufficient. In the context of crowded market trading, bond market volatility may increase [1]. Summary by Directory 1. Last Week's Market Review 1.1 Secondary Market - The bond market fluctuated narrowly last week, with long - term bond yields rising slightly. The main contract of the 10 - year Treasury bond futures fell 0.11% cumulatively, the 10 - year Treasury bond yield rose 0.66bp compared with the previous Friday, and the 1 - year Treasury bond yield fell 1.00bp, with the term spread continuing to widen [2]. - From June 23rd to June 25th, affected by factors such as the stock - bond seesaw effect and market expectations of policy announcements, the bond market was generally weak; on June 26th, the bond market warmed up slightly due to the lack of incremental policies at the press conference; on June 27th, the bond market continued to be strong in the morning and adjusted slightly in the late session [2]. 1.2 Primary Market - Last week, 177 interest - rate bonds were issued, an increase of 94 compared with the previous week. The issuance volume was 867.6 billion yuan, a slight increase of 13.1 billion yuan, and the net financing amount was 780.7 billion yuan, a significant increase of 457.7 billion yuan [9]. - In terms of bond types, the issuance volume of local bonds increased significantly, while the issuance volume of Treasury bonds and policy - financial bonds decreased. The net financing amount of policy - financial bonds and local bonds increased, while that of Treasury bonds decreased [9]. - The overall subscription demand for interest - rate bonds last week was acceptable. The average subscription multiples of Treasury bonds, policy - financial bonds, and local bonds were 4.12 times, 3.28 times, and 20.35 times respectively [12]. 2. Last Week's Important Events - On June 25th, the central bank conducted 300 billion yuan of Medium - term Lending Facility (MLF) operations through interest - rate tender. In June, the central bank continued to increase the volume of MLF renewals, with a net injection of 118 billion yuan. This was to maintain the liquidity of the banking system and strengthen counter - cyclical adjustment. In the second half of the year, the MLF is expected to continue to be renewed with an increased volume [13]. 3. Real - Economy Observation - Last week, high - frequency data on the production side showed mixed trends. The operating rates of petroleum asphalt plants and daily pig iron output increased, while the operating rate of semi - steel tires continued to decline, and the blast furnace operating rate remained the same as the previous week [14]. - From the demand side, the BDI index continued to decline significantly, the China Containerized Freight Index (CCFI) continued to rise, and the sales area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities continued to increase slightly [14]. - In terms of prices, pork prices fell slightly, and most commodity prices declined. Crude oil and rebar prices fell, while copper prices continued to rise [14]. 4. Last Week's Liquidity Observation - Last week, the central bank's open - market operations had a net capital injection of 126.72 billion yuan. The R007 and DR007 both increased significantly, the issuance interest rate of inter - bank certificates of deposit of joint - stock banks increased significantly, the interest rates of national and stock - backed direct discounts for various terms increased, and the trading volume of pledged repurchase continued to increase. The leverage ratio of the inter - bank market fluctuated slightly downward [26][27][33].

Revenue Performance - In May 2025, the national general public budget revenue grew by only 0.1% year-on-year, a decrease of 1.8 percentage points from April's 1.9%[1] - The broad fiscal revenue in May saw a year-on-year decline of 1.2%, slowing down by 3.9 percentage points compared to the previous month[2] - Tax revenue increased by 0.6% year-on-year in May, down from 1.9% in April, while non-tax revenue fell by 2.2% compared to a growth of 1.7% in April[3] Expenditure Trends - In May, the national general public budget expenditure grew by 2.6% year-on-year, a slowdown of 3.2 percentage points from April's 5.8%[4] - Cumulative general public budget expenditure from January to May reached 38.0% of the annual budget, exceeding the average of 37.4% over the past five years[5] - Infrastructure-related expenditures in May decreased by 7.7% year-on-year, a decline of 9.9 percentage points from the previous month[6] Government Fund Insights - Government fund revenue in May fell by 8.1% year-on-year, a significant drop of 16.2 percentage points from the previous month, primarily due to a decline in land transfer income[7] - The land transfer income in May decreased by 14.6% year-on-year, a sharp decline from April's growth of 4.3%[8] - Government fund expenditure in May grew by 8.8% year-on-year, but this was a significant decrease from April's 44.7% growth rate[9]

Economic Indicators - In June 2025, China's manufacturing PMI was 49.7%, up 0.2 percentage points from May[1] - The non-manufacturing business activity index in June was 50.5%, also up 0.2 percentage points from May[1] - The comprehensive PMI output index rose to 50.7%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points from May[1] Policy Impact - The rebound in manufacturing PMI is attributed to the ongoing effects of growth-stabilizing policies, including a series of financial measures announced on May 7, which led to a sustained increase in social financing[2] - The new orders index increased by 0.4 percentage points, returning to the expansion zone, indicating strong market demand[2] Trade Environment - The easing of trade tensions, particularly following the May 12 de-escalation of the "tariff war," contributed to a slight recovery in the new export orders index, which rose to 47.7%, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month[2] Sector Performance - The construction PMI in June was 52.8%, up 1.8 percentage points, indicating robust activity despite a slight decline in civil engineering indices[6] - The high-tech manufacturing PMI remained stable at 50.9%, reflecting strong demand and policy support[4] Challenges Ahead - Despite the positive indicators, the overall export slowdown may continue due to high tariffs exceeding 40% on Chinese goods[3] - The real estate market shows signs of intensified adjustment, which may limit the PMI's rebound potential[3] Future Outlook - GDP growth for the first half of the year is projected at around 5.2%, with no major new policy measures expected in the short term[7] - The manufacturing PMI is anticipated to remain around 49.7% in July, but with significant downward risks due to external pressures[8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report On June 26, the central bank increased its reverse repurchase operations in the open - market to maintain stability, resulting in a balanced and slightly loose capital market. Market sentiment improved, and the bond market showed a generally warm and volatile trend. The main indices of the convertible bond market declined in tandem, with most individual convertible bonds falling. Yields of U.S. Treasury bonds across various maturities generally decreased, while the yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies showed divergent trends [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Bond Market News 3.1.1 Domestic News - Financial regulators and the central bank jointly issued a plan to basically establish a high - quality comprehensive inclusive financial system in the next five years, aiming to promote common prosperity through inclusive finance [3]. - The State Council's General Office deployed the improvement of the credit repair system, proposing ten key tasks to address difficulties and pain points in credit repair [4]. - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that new funds for consumer goods trade - in programs will be allocated in July, and the "two new" policies have been intensified and expanded. The support from ultra - long - term special treasury bonds for equipment renewal is 200 billion yuan, with the first batch of about 173 billion yuan already allocated [5][6]. - The Shanghai Stock Exchange will release a series of convertible and exchangeable bond indices based on refined credit ratings [6]. 3.1.2 International News - The final value of the U.S. GDP in the first quarter was revised down to - 0.5%, and personal consumption had its weakest performance since the COVID - 19 pandemic. However, the order for durable goods in May had a significant increase, with a month - on - month initial value of 16.4% [7][8]. - International crude oil futures prices continued to rise, while the decline of international natural gas prices widened [9]. 3.2 Capital Market 3.2.1 Open - Market Operations On June 26, the central bank conducted 509.3 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, resulting in a net capital injection of 305.8 billion yuan after deducting the maturing reverse repurchases [11]. 3.2.2 Capital Interest Rates On June 26, the central bank's open - market reverse repurchase operations maintained stability, leading to a balanced and slightly loose capital market. DR001 and DR007 decreased by 0.19bp and 0.86bp respectively [12]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics 3.3.1 Spot Bond Yield Trends On June 26, due to the stock market decline and the lack of incremental policies in the NDRC press conference, market sentiment improved, and the bond market showed a generally warm and volatile trend. Yields of 10 - year treasury bonds and 10 - year CDB bonds decreased [14]. 3.3.2 Bond Tendering No treasury bonds or CDB bonds were issued on June 26 [16]. 3.3.3 Credit Bonds - In the secondary market, the trading price of "24 Oceanwide Holdings PPN001 (Reorganization)" increased by more than 10% [17]. - Guangzhou Metro Group cancelled the issuance of "25 Guangzhou Metro MTN002", and Zhongzheng Pengyuan downgraded the credit rating of Suzhou Keda and its "Keda Convertible Bonds" [18]. 3.3.4 Convertible Bonds - On June 26, the three major A - share indices closed down, and the main indices of the convertible bond market also declined. The trading volume of the convertible bond market increased compared to the previous trading day, with most individual convertible bonds falling [19]. - Credit ratings of Diou Home and Beijing Keland Software and their convertible bonds were downgraded. The deadline for the overseas debt restructuring support agreement of Fantasia Holdings was extended, and the coupon rate of "20 Longfor 06" was to be raised [21]. 3.3.5 Overseas Bond Markets - On June 26, yields of U.S. Treasury bonds across various maturities generally decreased, and the yield spreads between 2 - year and 10 - year, and 5 - year and 30 - year U.S. Treasury bonds widened. The break - even inflation rate of 10 - year U.S. inflation - protected Treasury bonds remained unchanged [22][23][24]. - Yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies showed divergent trends [25]. - There were price changes in Chinese - funded U.S. dollar bonds, with some bonds rising and others falling [27].

Group 1: LPR Pricing Stability - The LPR rates for June remain unchanged at 3.0% for the 1-year term and 3.5% for the 5-year term, consistent with market expectations[1] - The stability in LPR pricing is attributed to the lack of significant changes in factors affecting LPR adjustments following the May policy rate cut[2] - A policy observation period is anticipated in the short term, with LPR rates likely to remain stable[2] Group 2: Future Outlook and Economic Impact - There is potential for LPR rate cuts in the second half of the year due to uncertainties in the external environment and efforts to boost domestic demand[2] - The central bank is expected to continue lowering interest rates, which will lead to further reductions in LPR rates, thereby decreasing financing costs for the real economy[2] - The recent reduction of 0.25 percentage points in public housing loan rates opens up space for further cuts in commercial mortgage rates[3] - Regulatory measures may be implemented to guide the 5-year LPR rates downward, significantly impacting residential mortgage rates and stimulating housing demand[3]