Market Overview - The A-share market is experiencing a significant style shift, with strong performance in dividend sectors such as coal, oil and gas, and banking, while previous hot topics like AI applications are retreating [2][9] - The market's inclination towards dividend sectors is driven by a decrease in risk appetite and a preference for low-valuation, stable-profit sectors as investors seek safety ahead of the upcoming Spring Festival [2][9] - The upcoming two sessions after the Spring Festival are expected to boost market risk appetite, favoring small-cap stocks [3][9] Sector Analysis Coal Sector - The coal sector has seen a substantial rise, evolving from a purely cyclical asset to a composite investment target with high dividend defensive attributes and growth potential due to long-term supply constraints [6] Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector is experiencing an upward trend, supported by government policies aimed at stabilizing the market, including relaxed lending and purchasing restrictions [6] - The sector is expected to benefit from ongoing policy support and improving supply-demand dynamics, with a focus on companies with strong land reserves and those returning to stable growth [6] New Energy Sector - The new energy sector, particularly solar equipment and batteries, remains active, driven by global carbon neutrality goals and ongoing demand for lithium batteries, solar energy, wind energy, and energy storage [7] - The government is implementing reforms to prevent unhealthy competition in the solar sector, with significant investment expected in new energy projects [7] Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to balance stability and flexibility in their strategies, focusing on dividend sectors for valuation recovery before the Spring Festival while preparing for potential growth opportunities in small-cap stocks post-festival [3][10]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a significant drop on Monday, but rebounded strongly on Tuesday, with all three major indices showing a V-shaped recovery [1][8] - Key sectors that performed well included shipbuilding, aerospace, and various new energy applications, while banking stocks lagged behind [3][4] - Despite the strong rebound, trading volume did not increase correspondingly, indicating potential volatility in the market's recovery process [1][8] Industry Insights Military Industry - The military sector, particularly shipbuilding and aerospace, has shown strong performance, with significant past gains: 25.27% in H2 2020, 16.30% in H1 2023, and 25.46% in H1 2025 [5] - The Chinese defense budget has seen steady growth, with increases projected at 6.6% to 7.2% from 2020 to 2025, suggesting continued support for the military sector [5] - Geopolitical tensions are expected to drive demand in the military sector, with a focus on domestic production and technological self-sufficiency [5] - Key areas for investment include aerospace, missile technology, defense information systems, and shipbuilding, with an emphasis on companies with strong performance fundamentals [5] New Energy Sector - The new energy sector, particularly solar equipment and batteries, has shown significant activity, driven by ongoing global efforts to achieve carbon neutrality [6][7] - The Chinese government is implementing policies to reduce competition in the solar and battery sectors, which may enhance profitability for leading companies [6][7] - The goal for new energy storage capacity is set at 180 GW by 2027, with an expected investment of approximately 250 billion yuan [7] - Investors are encouraged to focus on leading companies with core technological advantages in the new energy sector [6][7] Strategic Recommendations - For investors heavily invested since 2024, a strategy of holding onto positions for potential gains or gradually selling off overvalued stocks is recommended [1][8] - Investors should seek opportunities in high-quality stocks with reasonable valuations and strong earnings prospects during market pullbacks [1][8] - New investors are advised to manage risk carefully and avoid chasing high prices, focusing instead on structural opportunities [1][8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1][61] Core Insights - The report highlights the recent policy changes by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration regarding the capacity pricing mechanism for power generation, which aims to enhance the profitability of coal and gas power sources and stimulate investment in new energy storage projects [10] - The report indicates a significant increase in installed power generation capacity, with a total of 389 million kilowatts by the end of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.1%, and emphasizes the shift towards renewable energy sources [11][12] - The average utilization hours of power generation equipment decreased to 3119 hours in 2025, down 312 hours from the previous year, indicating challenges in energy consumption efficiency amidst rapid capacity expansion [12][27] Industry Events - On January 30, 2026, a notification was issued to improve the capacity pricing mechanism for coal, gas, and pumped storage power generation, establishing a new pricing mechanism for grid-side energy storage [10] - The National Energy Administration released national electricity statistics for 2025, showing a substantial increase in solar and wind power generation capacity [11] Market Performance - During the period from January 26 to February 1, 2026, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index rose by 0.08%, while the power equipment index fell by 5.10%, underperforming the broader market [13][15] - Among the sub-sectors related to power energy, only the comprehensive energy service and hydropower sectors saw slight increases, while thermal power equipment and battery-related sectors experienced significant declines [19] Power Industry Operations - In December 2025, the total electricity consumption reached 908 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 2.77%, with a total annual consumption of 10368.2 billion kilowatt-hours, reflecting a 5.00% growth [20][22] - The newly added power generation capacity for 2025 was 54617.1558 megawatts, with notable growth in thermal and wind power, while hydropower and nuclear power saw declines [22][24] New Power System Developments - As of December 2025, the cumulative installed capacity of energy storage projects in China reached 213 GW, a year-on-year increase of 54%, with new energy storage capacity growing by 85% [44] - The report provides detailed pricing trends for various components in the photovoltaic industry, indicating stability in polysilicon prices and fluctuations in battery component prices [37][47][48] - The total number of charging infrastructure units in China reached 20.092 million by the end of December 2025, marking a 56.75% increase year-on-year [51]

英大证券研究所证券研究报告 2026 年 2 月 3 日 多重利空导致 A 股下跌，需耐心等待市场企稳 分析师：惠祥凤 执业证书编号：S0990513100001 电话：0755-83007028 邮箱：huixf@ydzq.sgcc.com.cn 观点： 对于市场的下跌，投资者无需过分悲观，也不能掉以轻心，需理性看待市场 波动，区分短期回调与长期趋势。趋势上，需耐心等待，待市场情绪企稳、资金 流动性改善、基本面出现明确利好后，再逐步加大布局力度。 请务必阅读最后一页的免责条款 1 金 点 策 略 晨 报 总量视角 【A 股大势研判】 周一晨报提醒，短期来看，成交量逐步萎缩，市场资金观望情绪浓厚。随着 春节临近，市场资金面可能出现季节性收紧，结构性博弈或是主基调。市场走势 如我们预期，周一沪深三大指数全线走低，贵金属、有色金属板块领跌，与之形 成对比的是，特高压、酿酒等板块表现活跃，成为少数亮点。 纵观周一市场下跌，其导火索可追溯至上周五外盘贵金属市场的大幅波动， 直接影响了大宗商品市场，进而传导至 A 股相关板块。从触发因素来看，沃什将 被任命为新美联储主席引发市场对全球流动性政策的重新预判，国内外期货交易 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that the A-share market is currently experiencing a significant rotation of themes, shifting from technology stocks to a focus on heavyweight stocks, with a notable reduction in the profitability effect [2][13] - The market is in a cooling cycle, with a decrease in trading volume and a prevailing cautious sentiment among investors as the Spring Festival approaches, leading to potential seasonal tightening of market liquidity [2][13] - The core logic supporting the market's medium-term positive outlook remains unchanged, driven by favorable domestic policies and capital [2][13] Group 2 - The report forecasts an increase in market volatility and a trend towards balanced styles in 2026, emphasizing the importance of following the "14th Five-Year Plan" and subsequent policy directions [3][13] - Investors are advised to focus on sectors with actual performance or future earnings support, including technology growth stocks, cyclical commodities, domestic consumption, dividend stocks, and sectors with improving economic conditions [3][13] - The semiconductor sector is highlighted as a key area for investment, with expectations of continued growth driven by digital transformation and geopolitical factors, while cautioning against purely speculative stocks lacking performance support [10][12] Group 3 - The agricultural and tourism sectors are noted for their active performance, supported by government policies aimed at stimulating consumption and shifting the macro policy focus towards consumer-driven growth [8][12] - The report identifies structural investment opportunities in the consumer sector, particularly in areas aligned with demographic trends and service consumption upgrades [8][12] - The report also discusses the performance of the precious metals sector, which has seen significant price increases due to various factors, including monetary policy shifts and geopolitical tensions, but advises against chasing prices after recent gains [11][12]

英大证券研究所证券研究报告 金 点 策 略 晨 报 2026 年 1 月 30 日 地产和白酒等板块上涨，踏准板块轮动节奏 观点： 总量视角 【A 股大势研判】 周三晨报提醒，依托上证 50、沪深 300 指数的反弹节奏布局优质标的。市场 走势如我们预期，周三沪指、上证 50、沪深 300 指数上涨，周四沪深 300、上涨 50 指数大涨。周四晨报提醒，可逢低关注稀土、化工、煤炭、有色金属、地产等 板块，顺周期板块后续表现或仍值得期待。市场走势如我们预期，周四 A 股三大 指数涨跌不一。盘面上看，板块轮动节奏加快，房地产、稀土等板块同步发力， 白酒、券商板块先后补涨，但近期持续活跃的半导体板块则陷入调整，市场热点 呈现新旧交替特征。 市场轮动至当前阶段，背后或蕴含着双重逻辑：一方面，涨幅落后、估值偏 低的板块具备天然的修复动力，资金从高位热门赛道逐步撤离，转向低估值领域， 推动板块轮动加大；另一方面，前期强势的热门板块经过持续上涨后，需要时间 消化获利盘，进入阶段性休整，这也为低位板块腾出了资金空间。 从市场表现来看，上证 50 等权重指数此前经历调整后逐步企稳，发挥着托 底市场的作用，使得大盘整体保持稳定， ...

英大证券研究所证券研究报告 2026 年 1 月 29 日 顺周期板块后续表现或仍值得期待 总量视角 【A 股大势研判】 当前大宗商品的轮动行情契合"避险资产、工业需求、能源传导、民生终端" 的路径。2025 年至今，贵金属率先开启牛市，成为周期行情的先行者；随后工业 金属接棒，铜价创下历史新高，碳酸锂上演 V 型反转，背后是新能源、AI 算力等 新兴产业的刚性需求与供给端约束的共振。如今有色板块的上涨，正是这一轮动 逻辑的中期演绎，而按照传导顺序，能源化工与煤炭或将承接行情扩散。 在全球流动性宽松预期下，随着反内卷政策持续推进，国内稳增长政策持续 发力，经济供需格局有望改善，复苏预期强化，直接利好对经济敏感的板块，后 续经济数据（如 PPI）若持续改善，将验证复苏逻辑，驱动顺周期板块上行。可 逢低关注稀土、化工、煤炭、有色金属、基建、地产等板块，周期板块后续表现 或仍值得期待。 分析师：惠祥凤 执业证书编号：S0990513100001 电话：0755-83007028 请务必阅读最后一页的免责条款 1 金 点 策 略 晨 报 邮箱：huixf@ydzq.sgcc.com.cn 周三晨报提醒，依托上证 50 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Insights - The report indicates a positive outlook for the power energy industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the CSI 300 index in the next six months [65] - The total electricity consumption in China reached a historic high of 10 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 5.0% [10] - The report highlights significant growth in the renewable energy sector, particularly in solar and wind power, with solar power installations increasing by 33.25% year-on-year [26] Industry Events - In January 2026, the national maximum electricity load exceeded 1.4 billion kilowatts for the first time, driven by increased demand due to extreme weather [11] - Tesla's CEO announced plans to expand solar manufacturing capacity significantly, which is expected to boost solar manufacturing expectations [11] Market Performance - During the period from January 19 to January 25, 2026, the CSI 300 index fell by 0.62%, while the power equipment index rose by 3.57%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 4.19 percentage points [5][13] - Among the sub-sectors of the power energy industry, photovoltaic processing equipment, photovoltaic auxiliary materials, and wind power components had the highest increases, with respective growth rates of 21.77%, 11.17%, and 7.41% [20] Power Industry Operations - In December 2025, the total electricity consumption was 908 billion kilowatt-hours, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.77% [23] - The cumulative installed capacity of new power generation from January to November 2025 was 44,557 megawatts, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.71% [25] New Power System Situation Photovoltaics - As of January 21, 2026, the average price of polysilicon was 54 yuan/kg, remaining stable compared to the previous week [42] Energy Storage - By the end of December 2025, the cumulative installed capacity of energy storage projects in China reached 213 GW, a year-on-year increase of 54% [47] Lithium Batteries - As of January 23, 2026, the price of lithium carbonate was 168,000 yuan/ton, reflecting an increase of 15,000 yuan/ton from the previous week [50] Charging Stations - By the end of December 2025, the total number of charging infrastructure units in China reached 20.092 million, a year-on-year increase of 56.75% [57]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1][65] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the power energy industry is expected to perform well, with the industry index projected to outperform the CSI 300 index in the next six months [65] - The total electricity consumption in China reached a historic high of 10 trillion kilowatt-hours in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 5.0% [10] - The report highlights significant growth in the renewable energy sector, particularly in solar and wind power, with substantial increases in installed capacity [11][12] Industry Events - In January 2026, the maximum electricity load in China broke records, reaching 1.417 billion kilowatts, driven by increased demand due to extreme weather [11] - Tesla's CEO announced plans to expand solar manufacturing capacity significantly, which is expected to boost the solar manufacturing outlook [11] Market Performance - During the period from January 19 to January 25, 2026, the CSI 300 index fell by 0.62%, while the power equipment index rose by 3.57%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 4.19 percentage points [5][13] - Among the 31 first-level industries, the power equipment sector ranked 11th in performance [16] Power Industry Operations - In December 2025, total electricity consumption was 908 billion kilowatt-hours, a year-on-year increase of 2.77% [23] - From January to November 2025, the newly added power generation capacity was 44.557 million kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 40.71% [25][26] - The average utilization hours of power generation equipment decreased by 289 hours year-on-year to 2858 hours [33] New Power System Situation Photovoltaics - As of January 21, 2026, the average price of polysilicon was 54 yuan/kg, remaining stable [42] Energy Storage - By the end of December 2025, the cumulative installed capacity of energy storage projects in China reached 213 GW, a year-on-year increase of 54% [47] Lithium Batteries - As of January 23, 2026, the price of lithium carbonate was 168,000 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase [50] Charging Infrastructure - By the end of December 2025, the total number of charging facilities in China reached 20.092 million, a year-on-year increase of 56.75% [57]

Core Insights - The report indicates a recent adjustment in the A-share market, with major indices showing signs of stabilization and potential for upward movement if trading volumes increase [2][7][9] - Focus on structural opportunities is emphasized, particularly in blue-chip stocks and high-growth sectors, while caution is advised regarding stocks with uncertain earnings [2][8] Market Overview - On Tuesday, the three major indices opened lower but rebounded, with sectors such as precious metals, semiconductors, and insurance showing gains [3][4] - The overall market sentiment is described as average, with a total trading volume of 28,950 billion yuan, and the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4,139.90 points, up 0.18% [4] Sector Analysis - The semiconductor sector has been highlighted for its strong performance, with a year-on-year increase of 10.10% in 2023, driven by digital transformation and geopolitical factors [5] - The precious metals sector continues to rise, supported by factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, increased geopolitical tensions, and strong demand from central banks [6] Future Market Outlook - The report suggests that if trading volumes continue to increase, there is a significant chance for the market to break through previous resistance levels [7][9] - It is recommended to focus on structural opportunities, particularly in blue-chip stocks and high-growth sectors, while avoiding stocks with high uncertainty in earnings [8]