证券研究报告·公司点评报告·IT 服务Ⅱ 宏景科技（301396） 2025 年一季报点评：算力租赁业绩亮眼，算 力新秀正当时 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 770.61 | 657.78 | 1,192.06 | 2,400.83 | 3,235.99 | | 同比（%） | 3.26 | (14.64) | 81.23 | 101.40 | 34.79 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 42.22 | (75.69) | 117.70 | 308.78 | 412.22 | | 同比（%） | (33.08) | (279.29) | 255.49 | 162.36 | 33.50 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.39 | (0.69) | 1.07 | 2.82 | 3.76 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 222.18 | (123.92) | 79.70 | 30.3 ...

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观点评 宏观点评 20250507 "稳市场稳预期"政策发布提振资本市场信 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 潘京 执业证书：S0600524120011 panj@dwzq.com.cn 心 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 事件 ◼ 5 月 7 日上午，中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国证券监督 管理委员会负责人介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况 并答记者问。 观点 2025 年 05 月 07 日 证券分析师 芦哲 相关研究 《货币政策变局：如何理解"降准降 息"的逻辑》 2025-05-06 《特朗普 2.0 百日新政复盘及后市展 望》 2025-05-06 东吴证券研究所 1 / 3 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 一季度数据显示经济整体呈现企稳回升态势，但内需压力仍存，在关税 影响下，外部环境不确定性增加，出口下行、企业利润实际受损的程度 仍然有待评估。为贯彻中央政治局会议精神，进一步实施好适度宽松的 货币政策，"一行一局一会"出台了全面、清晰、务实的一揽子金融支持 政策， ...

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观点评 宏观点评 20250507 "稳市场稳预期"政策发布提振资本市场信 心 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 事件 ◼ 5 月 7 日上午，中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国证券监督 管理委员会负责人介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况 并答记者问。 观点 2025 年 05 月 07 日 证券分析师 芦哲 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 潘京 执业证书：S0600524120011 panj@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 ◼ 一季度数据显示经济整体呈现企稳回升态势，但内需压力仍存，在关税 影响下，外部环境不确定性增加，出口下行、企业利润实际受损的程度 仍然有待评估。为贯彻中央政治局会议精神，进一步实施好适度宽松的 货币政策，"一行一局一会"出台了全面、清晰、务实的一揽子金融支持 政策，以"稳市场、稳预期"为目标，释放出强烈的宏观调控信号。本 次会议发声既体现了中央对当前经济形势的精准把控，也展现出中央坚 定不移执行高质量发展目标的战略定力。 ◼ 央行分别就数量型、价格型和结构型工具 ...

证券研究报告·金融工程·金工定期报告 金工定期报告 20250507 估值异常因子绩效月报 20250430 2025 年 05 月 07 日 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 报告要点 ◼ 估值偏离 EPD 因子多空对冲绩效（全市场）：2010 年 2 月至 2025 年 4 月，估值偏离 EPD 因子在全体 A 股（剔除北交所股票）中，5 分组多 空对冲的年化收益为 17.65%，年化波动为 10.02%，信息比率为 1.76， 月度胜率为 71.04%，月度最大回撤为 8.93%。 ◼ 缓慢偏离 EPDS 因子多空对冲绩效（全市场）：2010 年 2 月至 2025 年 4 月，缓慢偏离 EPDS 因子在全体 A 股（剔除北交所股票）中，5 分组 多空对冲的年化收益为 16.31%，年化波动为 5.73%，信息比率为 2.85， 月度胜率为 79.23%，月度最大回撤为 3.10%。 ◼ 估值异常 EPA 因子多空对冲绩效（全市场）：2010 年 2 月至 2025 年 4 月，估值异常 EPA 因子在全体 A 股（剔除北交所股票）中，5 分组多空 对冲的年化收益为 17.30%， ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·IT 服务Ⅱ 宏景科技（301396） 2025 年一季报点评：算力租赁业绩亮眼，算 力新秀正当时 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 770.61 | 657.78 | 1,192.06 | 2,400.83 | 3,235.99 | | 同比（%） | 3.26 | (14.64) | 81.23 | 101.40 | 34.79 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 42.22 | (75.69) | 117.70 | 308.78 | 412.22 | | 同比（%） | (33.08) | (279.29) | 255.49 | 162.36 | 33.50 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.39 | (0.69) | 1.07 | 2.82 | 3.76 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 222.18 | (123.92) | 79.70 | 30.3 ...

Macro Strategy - The focus of monetary policy adjustments, including "reserve requirement ratio cuts" and "interest rate cuts," is to stabilize economic growth and enhance domestic demand, expectations, and confidence [1] - The analysis of Trump's 2.0 policy indicates a combination of continuity from the 1.0 policy and a new political cycle, with tariffs and fiscal policies being the main sources of expectation differences [1] Overseas Market Overview - The overseas market data during the May Day holiday showed resilience in the US economy, with core GDP and non-farm payrolls exceeding expectations, leading to a delay in interest rate cut expectations to July [2] - The upcoming FOMC meeting is expected to maintain interest rates, with a CPI forecast of 2.4% providing conditions for potential rate cuts [2] Fixed Income Market - In the week of April 28 to May 2, seven green bonds were issued, totaling approximately 8.475 billion yuan, a decrease of 27.725 billion yuan from the previous week [4] - The secondary capital bonds issued during the same period totaled 50 billion yuan, with a trading volume of approximately 104.9 billion yuan, down 31.3 billion yuan from the previous week [5] Company Performance Insights - The company "老百姓" reported a revenue of 22.358 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 0.36% year-on-year, with a net profit of 519 million yuan, down 44.13% [8] - "同享科技" adjusted its profit forecast due to intense competition, expecting net profits of 33 million yuan, 52 million yuan, and 68 million yuan for 2025-2027, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 22% in 2025 [9] - "海南机场" is expected to benefit from the development of Hainan Free Trade Port, with revised net profit forecasts of 680 million yuan and 1.02 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively [9] - "益丰药房" achieved a revenue of 24.062 billion yuan in 2024, an increase of 6.53%, with a net profit of 1.529 billion yuan, up 8.26% [10] - "九安医疗" reported a revenue of 2.59 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 19.77%, but a net profit increase of 33.3% to 1.67 billion yuan [15] Industry Trends - The report on "科润智控" indicates a significant increase in transformer demand, with net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 adjusted to 84 million yuan, 123 million yuan, and 168 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 97% in 2025 [17] - "海吉亚医疗" is expected to stabilize after a low point in 2024, with revised net profit forecasts of 666 million yuan and 782 million yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively [18] - "中国电建" is projected to have net profits of 12.5 billion yuan and 13.2 billion yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively, benefiting from infrastructure investments [20] - "中国中铁" reported a revenue decline in traditional infrastructure but saw growth in overseas orders, with net profit forecasts adjusted to 28 billion yuan for 2025 [22] - "微软" continues to show strong performance in cloud business, with net profit forecasts of 99.1 billion dollars for FY2025 [23]

证券研究报告·公司深度研究·汽车零部件 飞龙股份（002536） 新能源热管理细分龙头，非车业务进入爆发 期 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,095 | 4,723 | 5,447 | 6,268 | 6,942 | | 同比（%） | 25.69 | 15.34 | 15.33 | 15.07 | 10.75 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 261.77 | 329.62 | 454.71 | 630.84 | 788.75 | | 同比（%） | 211.14 | 25.92 | 37.95 | 38.73 | 25.03 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.46 | 0.57 | 0.79 | 1.10 | 1.37 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 35.22 | 27.97 | 20.28 | 14.61 | 11.69 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Sum ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the real estate industry [1] Core Views - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery with both new and second-hand housing sales increasing in several regions due to policy relaxations [1][8] - The report highlights a significant increase in second-hand housing transactions, indicating a shift in buyer confidence towards existing properties [9] Summary by Sections 1. Market Overview - The real estate sector saw a decline of 2.9% last week, underperforming compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which fell by 0.4% [62] - New housing sales in 36 cities reached 2.154 million square meters, up 24.0% month-on-month and 20.7% year-on-year [13] - Second-hand housing sales in 15 cities totaled 1.334 million square meters, down 30.6% month-on-month but up 53.1% year-on-year [20] 2. Inventory and Absorption - The cumulative inventory of new homes in 13 cities stands at 78.039 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 11.6% [31] - The absorption period for new homes is 17.2 months, reflecting a slight increase from the previous month but a decrease of 5.1 months year-on-year [31] 3. Land Market - The land transaction volume in 100 cities was 6.309 million square meters, down 68.2% month-on-month and 18.8% year-on-year [48] - The average land price reached 3,246 RMB per square meter, showing a month-on-month increase of 60.5% and a year-on-year increase of 44.9% [48] 4. Investment Recommendations - For real estate development, companies such as China Resources Land, Poly Developments, and Binjiang Group are recommended [8] - In property management, the report suggests China Resources Vientiane Life, Greentown Service, and Poly Property [8] - For real estate brokerage, the report recommends Beike and suggests paying attention to Wo Ai Wo Jia [9]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 短期经济回落，地产链底部徘徊 2025 年 05 月 06 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 黄诗涛 执业证书：S0600521120004 huangshitao@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 房大磊 执业证书：S0600522100001 fangdl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 石峰源 执业证书：S0600521120001 shify@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -24% -20% -16% -12% -8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 2024/5/6 2024/9/2 2024/12/30 2025/4/28 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究 《以稳为主，科技加内需仍是主线》 2025-04-28 《期待 25 年 Q3 家装迎来明显加速》 2025-04-20 东吴证券研究所 1 / 21 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周（2025.4.28–2025.4.30，下同）：本周建筑材料板块（SW）涨跌幅- 2.14%，同期沪深 300、 ...

证券研究报告·金融工程·金工定期报告 金工定期报告 20250506 "重拾自信2.0"RCP因子绩效月报20250430 2025 年 05 月 06 日 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 报告要点 证券分析师 高子剑 执业证书：S0600518010001 021-60199793 gaozj@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 庞格致 执业证书：S0600524090003 panggz@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《重拾自信选股因子 2.0——从过度 自信到重拾自信》 2022-09-15 《"重拾自信 2.0"RCP 因子绩效月报 20250331》 2025-04-01 东吴证券研究所 1 / 6 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ "重拾自信 2.0"RCP 因子多空对冲绩效（全市场）：2014 年 2 月至 2025 年 4 月，"重拾自信 2.0"RCP 因子在全体 A 股（剔除北交所股票） 中，10 分组多空对冲的年化收益为 18.84%，年化波动为 7.71%，信息 比率为 2.44，月度胜率为 79.26%，月度最大回撤为 5.89%。 ◼ 4 月份"重拾 ...