公 司 研 究 / 纺 织 服 饰 / 证 券 研 究 报 新澳股份（603889）深度研究 宽带战略助力品类及海外扩张，毛价上 升周期或迎新机遇 2026 年 01 月 27 日 【投资要点】 挖掘价值 投资成长 增持（维持） 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：赵树理 证书编号：S1160524090003 联系人：金叶羽 相对指数表现 《25H1 业绩相对稳定，新产能陆续释放》 2025.08.31 《24 年羊绒表现亮眼，整体盈利能力稳 定》 2025.04.28 告 毛纺纱线龙头，羊毛及羊绒业务双驱动。公司深耕毛纺行业 30 余年， 前期以毛纺产品为主，2019 年后再切入羊绒纱线领域，目前主要产品 包括羊毛纱线、羊绒纱线及羊毛毛条，同时配套有改性、染整等完整 产业链。2019 年至今，公司借助可持续宽带战略与全球化布局，支撑 新成长，近年多个新产能项目陆续投产，后续仍有新产能待释放。2024 年公司营收/归母净利润分别 48.4/4.3 亿元，同比+9.1%/+6.0%， 2021-2024 年公司营收/归母净利润 CAGR 分别达+12.0%/+12.8%。 2025Q1-Q3 公司营收/归母净利润 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 21.21 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 37%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 3.16 billion yuan, up 54% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.96 billion yuan, reflecting a 58% increase [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing expansion and renovation of the U.S. power grid, with a tight supply-demand situation for high-voltage equipment. The delivery cycles for transformers in the U.S. have reached 143 weeks and 128 weeks for booster and power transformers, respectively [1] - Domestic investment in the power grid is increasing, with the State Grid Corporation expected to invest 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase from the previous plan. The company has shown strong bidding performance in domestic projects, indicating potential for significant growth in its domestic business [2] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025 and 2026 have been revised upwards to 21.21 billion yuan and 26.83 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 set at 35 billion yuan. The expected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 37.2%, 26.5%, and 30.5% [3] - The net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 3.16 billion yuan and 4.24 billion yuan, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 6.02 billion yuan. The expected net profit growth rates for 2025-2027 are 54.3%, 34.2%, and 41.8% [3] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 4.05 yuan for 2025, 5.43 yuan for 2026, and 7.71 yuan for 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 47X, 35X, and 25X based on the closing price of 189.26 yuan on January 27, 2026 [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 17.28 yuan based on a 32x PE ratio for 2026 [3][10][6]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing a recovery in visitor traffic, supported by shareholder return policies that are boosting off-season performance. Improvements in transportation capacity are expected to enhance long-term visitor numbers [2][9]. - The revenue forecast for 2025 has been adjusted downwards due to anticipated weak performance, with EPS estimates revised to 0.45, 0.54, and 0.61 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][10]. - The company has completed a board restructuring and is advancing its tea tourism strategy, which is expected to provide additional revenue streams [9]. Financial Summary - The company's projected financials are as follows: - Revenue (million yuan): 1,045 in 2023, 1,013 in 2024, 973 in 2025, 1,034 in 2026, and 1,090 in 2027, with a year-on-year growth of 142.3% in 2023, but a decline of 4.0% in 2025 [5][14]. - Operating profit (million yuan): 135 in 2023, increasing to 334 in 2027, with a significant growth of 168.4% in 2023 [5][14]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company (million yuan): 228 in 2023, projected to reach 323 in 2027, reflecting a growth of 256.2% in 2023 [5][14]. - EPS: 0.43 in 2023, expected to stabilize at 0.45 in 2025 and grow to 0.61 in 2027 [5][14]. - Gross margin: 49.7% in 2023, expected to improve to 51.6% by 2027 [5][14]. - Net margin: 21.8% in 2023, projected to increase to 29.6% in 2027 [5][14].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit for 2025, with projections of RMB 120-130 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 61.0%-75.0%. The adjusted net profit is forecasted to be RMB 100-110 million, with a growth of 89.2%-107.4% [7]. - The automotive market is recovering, with total sales in China reaching 34.4 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.4%, which is expected to drive growth in the company's chassis and lightweight business segments [9]. - The company is actively developing its planetary roller screw product line, with small-scale deliveries already made and positive customer feedback received. New production bases are being established in Shanghai, Jiangsu, and Thailand to enhance capacity and meet global customer demands [9]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts net profits of RMB 1.2 billion, RMB 1.7 billion, and RMB 2.7 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 71%, 42%, and 57% [9]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be RMB 0.4, RMB 0.5, and RMB 0.8 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 140, 99, and 63 [9]. - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from RMB 2.4 billion in 2025 to RMB 3.8 billion in 2027, reflecting a strong upward trend in sales [11].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][7]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic magnetic component manufacturer, enhancing its overseas presence and actively entering the solid-state transformer market [4][5]. - The magnetic components market is expected to grow significantly, driven by the increasing demand in sectors such as new energy vehicles, energy storage, and AI servers [4][34]. - The company plans to establish subsidiaries in Mexico and Vietnam to strengthen its international market position and enhance local delivery capabilities [3][15]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Established in 1995, the company has a long history in the magnetic components sector and has strengthened its position through acquisitions and international expansion [4][8]. - The company has established strong partnerships with major clients such as BYD, Bosch, and Huawei, which enhances its market credibility [4][8]. Market Potential - The global magnetic components market is projected to reach USD 27.2 billion by 2031, with a CAGR of 5.1% from 2025 to 2031 [4][34]. - The demand for magnetic components is expanding due to the growth in applications across various sectors, including automotive electronics and renewable energy [4][34]. Product Development - The company is focusing on developing solid-state transformers, which are expected to become a key power supply solution in the AIDC era, with a projected market size of CNY 87 billion by 2030 [5][59]. - The company is also innovating in high-frequency transformers, which are critical components for solid-state transformers, leveraging its existing technology and customer base [5][62]. Financial Performance - The company expects significant growth in net profit, projecting CNY 3.35 billion, CNY 4.40 billion, and CNY 5.99 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 45.5%, 31.3%, and 36.3% respectively [5][63]. - The revenue from magnetic components is anticipated to reach CNY 48.66 billion by 2025, with a growth rate of 24.8% [75]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is implementing a stock incentive plan to align the interests of its core team with long-term performance goals, reflecting confidence in future growth [18]. - Continuous investment in R&D is a priority, with R&D expenses maintained at 3%-4% of revenue, supporting innovation and product development [70].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price adjusted to 248.20 RMB from the previous 250 RMB [2][5]. Core Insights - The company's performance is slightly below expectations, but the demand outlook remains positive. The company is expected to benefit from high growth in the CPO sector [2][11]. - The 2025 net profit forecast has been revised down to 2.08 billion RMB from 2.25 billion RMB, with an EPS of 2.68 RMB. The net profit for 2026 and 2027 remains unchanged at 3.33 billion RMB and 3.99 billion RMB, respectively [11]. - The company is recognized as a core supplier by Nvidia, and the CPO sector is anticipated to experience significant growth, with potential mass shipments expected to begin in the second half of 2026 [11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 1.94 billion RMB in 2023 to 10.86 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 62.0% to 19.7% [4]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 730 million RMB in 2023 to nearly 4 billion RMB in 2027, with growth rates of 81.1% to 20.2% [4]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to peak at 43.0% in 2026 before slightly declining to 38.2% in 2027 [4]. Market Data - The company's market capitalization is approximately 152.34 billion RMB, with a current share price of 195.95 RMB [6][11]. - The stock has experienced a 52-week price range of 62.23 to 240.15 RMB, indicating significant volatility [6]. - The company has a net asset value per share of 6.27 RMB, with a price-to-book ratio of 31.2 [7].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][7]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic semiconductor thin film deposition equipment manufacturer, demonstrating rapid revenue growth that confirms its industry-leading position. The company has established a dual-platform driven structure centered on thin film deposition equipment and advanced bonding and supporting measurement equipment. From 2020 to 2024, revenue is projected to grow from 440 million to 4.1 billion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 75% [6][7]. - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the trends of advanced processes and three-dimensional integration, with its thin film deposition business continuing to grow significantly. The global thin film deposition equipment market is expected to reach approximately $24.4 billion by 2025, with the domestic market estimated at around $10.2 billion, indicating substantial room for domestic substitution [6][7]. - The company is strategically expanding into advanced bonding and supporting measurement equipment, which is crucial for achieving high-density, high-performance, and low-power chips, particularly driven by AI applications. The advanced packaging market is projected to grow from $4.3 billion in 2023 to $28 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of about 37% [6][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has focused on high-end semiconductor equipment since its establishment in 2010, developing a comprehensive product matrix in thin film deposition and three-dimensional integration equipment [13][15]. - The company has a balanced shareholding structure without a controlling shareholder, with the largest shareholder holding 19.57% [18][21]. 2. Market Opportunities - Thin film deposition is a core process in integrated circuit manufacturing, essential for constructing multi-layer circuit structures and enhancing device performance. The company’s products cover a wide range of applications in logic and memory chip manufacturing [45][46]. - The company’s thin film deposition equipment has shown excellent stability in client production lines, with an average uptime exceeding 90%, matching international standards [6][7]. 3. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue has maintained a high growth trajectory, with a CAGR of 75.19% from 2020 to 2024. In the first three quarters of 2025, revenue reached 4.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 85.27% [23][27]. - The company’s net profit has been on a continuous rise since turning profitable in 2021, with a net profit of 557 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 105.14% [27][30]. 4. Future Growth Potential - The company has a robust order backlog, with approximately 9.4 billion yuan in orders as of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of about 46%. This strong demand underlines the company’s market position and customer recognition [27][41]. - The company is continuously optimizing its cost structure, enhancing operational and R&D efficiency, which is expected to improve profit margins as new products enter mass production [27][30].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][7]. Core Insights - The company is a leading domestic semiconductor thin film deposition equipment manufacturer, demonstrating rapid revenue growth that confirms its industry-leading position. The revenue is projected to grow from 440 million yuan in 2020 to 4.1 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 75% [6][7]. - The company has established a dual-platform strategy focusing on thin film deposition equipment and advanced bonding and supporting measurement equipment, which enhances its technological capabilities and market position [6][7]. - The global thin film deposition equipment market is expected to reach approximately $24.4 billion by 2025, with the domestic market estimated at around $10.2 billion, indicating significant room for domestic substitution as the current localization rate is below 20% [6][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has been focusing on high-end semiconductor equipment since its establishment in 2010, developing a comprehensive product matrix that includes PECVD, ALD, SACVD, HDPCVD, and Flowable CVD technologies [13][15]. - The company has successfully launched its first wafer-to-wafer (W2W) hybrid bonding equipment, expanding its product offerings in the three-dimensional integration equipment sector [13][15]. 2. Market Opportunities - The thin film deposition process is critical in semiconductor manufacturing, responsible for constructing multi-layer circuit structures and enhancing device performance [45]. - The advanced packaging market is projected to grow from $4.3 billion in 2023 to $28 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of approximately 37%, highlighting the increasing demand for hybrid bonding equipment [6][7]. 3. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue is expected to reach 6.38 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 55.52%, and net profit is projected to be 1.04 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 51.32% [8][7]. - The company has a robust order backlog of approximately 9.4 billion yuan as of the end of 2024, indicating strong market demand and customer recognition [6][7]. 4. Product Development and R&D - The company has invested significantly in R&D, with a total of 1,783 patent applications filed, of which 581 have been granted, demonstrating its commitment to innovation [33][27]. - The company’s thin film deposition equipment has achieved a stable operational uptime of over 90%, matching international standards, which enhances its competitive edge [6][7]. 5. Management and Corporate Structure - The company has a balanced shareholding structure with no controlling shareholder, which promotes efficient and collaborative operations [18][21]. - The management team possesses extensive industry experience and a strong technical background, supporting the company’s ongoing innovation and business expansion [21][22].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside in the stock price [6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a significant increase in net profit for 2025, with projections of RMB 120-130 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 61.0%-75.0%. The adjusted net profit is forecasted to be RMB 100-110 million, with a growth of 89.2%-107.4% [7]. - The company is actively developing its planetary roller screw products, which are anticipated to become a new growth driver. Production facilities are being established in Shanghai, Jiangsu, and Thailand to support this initiative [9]. - The earnings forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 has been revised upwards, with expected net profits of RMB 120 million, RMB 170 million, and RMB 270 million respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 71%, 42%, and 57% [9]. Company Overview - The company operates in the automotive industry, with a current A-share price of RMB 50.68 and a market capitalization of RMB 17.15 billion [2]. - Major shareholders include Jing Kun, holding 31.57% of the shares [2]. - The company has shown a stock price increase of 16.3% over the past month and 8.1% over the past three months [2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a net profit of RMB 51 million in 2023, with projections of RMB 71 million in 2024 and RMB 122 million in 2025, indicating a strong growth trajectory [11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from RMB 0.14 in 2023 to RMB 0.36 in 2025, with a significant increase in the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 364.5 in 2023 to 140.4 in 2025 [11]. Market Position - The company has a strong market presence in the automotive sector, with its product mix heavily weighted towards automotive chassis (64.1%) and air conditioning compressors (27.5%) [3]. - The automotive market in China is recovering, with total sales expected to reach 34.4 million vehicles in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.4% [9].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Xueda Education (000526) is upgraded to "Buy" from "Hold" [3] Core Insights - The investment in Jiangyin Qixin Linghang is expected to enhance the company's position in the EDA industry, which is experiencing a domestic substitution boom. The investment amount is capped at 35 million yuan for a 6.48% stake [3] - Qixin Linghang's revenue for 2024 and the first three quarters of 2025 is projected at 29.1 million yuan and 51.71 million yuan respectively, with net losses of 1.291 million yuan and 3.603 million yuan [3] - The collaboration between Xueda Education and Qixin Linghang is anticipated to create synergies in vocational education within the EDA field, leveraging Xueda's extensive network and resources [3] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 2,213 million yuan in 2023 to 4,931 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.2% [4] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase significantly from 154 million yuan in 2023 to 345 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 1035.2% in 2024 [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 1.97 yuan, 2.37 yuan, and 2.83 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 20x, 17x, and 14x [4]