贵州茅台(600519):i茅台强化消费者触达,市场化改革加速
CMS· 2026-01-12 03:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Guizhou Moutai [2][7] Core Insights - Guizhou Moutai has enhanced consumer reach through the launch of its i Moutai platform, addressing consumer pain points and establishing a four-dimensional channel system that benefits government, company, shareholders, distributors, and consumers [1][6] - The company is experiencing strong demand as it approaches the Spring Festival, with low channel inventory levels, which supports the ongoing market reform and cash returns [1][6][7] Summary by Sections Investment Rating - The report reiterates a "Strong Buy" rating, indicating confidence in the company's growth potential and market performance [2][7] Company Strategy - The launch of 500ml Flying Moutai and premium products on the i Moutai platform aims to improve consumer access and address the mismatch between supply and demand [6] - The new sales model combines self-sale, distribution, agency, and consignment, creating a win-win situation for all stakeholders involved [6] Market Dynamics - The i Moutai platform is expected to strengthen pricing power and mitigate concerns over wholesale price fluctuations, as it provides a reliable price benchmark for consumers [6] - Current market conditions show robust consumer demand, particularly among younger demographics, with low inventory levels reported across various sales channels [6][7] Financial Projections - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 71.54, 73.49, and 76.96 yuan respectively, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 19x for 2026 [7][10] - Revenue and net profit are projected to grow steadily, with total revenue expected to reach 182.49 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5% [10][19]
古井贡酒(000596):更新报告:入局散酒初尝试,业态变革积极链接C端消费者
Changjiang Securities· 2026-01-12 01:47
[Table_Summary] 2025 年 12 月 12 日,古井集团直营的首家"古井打酒铺"在安徽省亳州市开业。我们认为在 目前的运营模式下,本次业态变革利大于弊,其一在大众消费趋于理性的环境下,公司作为安 徽白酒龙头,以攻为守,提供高质价比产品满足消费者多元需求;其二"打酒铺"的业态直达 社区,且灵活的产品规格进一步降低购酒门槛,同时公司提供特色低度酒产品,以上均有望为 公司挖掘更多潜在的年轻消费群体。 丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨古井贡酒(000596.SZ) [Table_Title] 古井贡酒更新报告:入局散酒初尝试,业态变革 积极链接 C 端消费者 报告要点 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 朱梦兰 董思远 SAC:S0490522050003 SAC:S0490517070016 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 SFC:BQK487 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_scodeMsg2] 古井贡酒(000596.SZ) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 古井贡酒更新报告:入局 ...
中科环保(301175):中科院旗下固废处理平台,业绩持续稳健增长
Guotou Securities· 2026-01-11 14:57
公司动态分析 2026 年 01 月 11 日 中科环保(301175.SZ) 中科院旗下固废处理平台,业绩持续稳 健增长 中科院旗下领先的固废处理平台,多年来业绩稳健增长。 公司成立于 2012 年,实控人为中国科学院,是中科院体系内以科技 创新为引领的环保双碳产业平台,当前公司主营业务为生活垃圾焚烧 发电,并积极拓展供热、污泥处置等协同业务。多年随着新项目不断 投产,营收净利实现稳定增长。2020-2024 年营业收入由 6.9 亿元增 长值 16.6 亿元,年复合增长率达 24.5%,归母净利润由 1.2 亿元增长 值 3.2 亿元,年复合增长率达 27.8%。2025 年前三季度,得益于公司 积极拓展垃圾量及供热市场,同时新项目投产与部分项目进入国家补 贴清单,公司实现营业收入 12.72 亿元,同比增长 6.06%,归母净利 润 2.98 亿元,同比增长 13.21%。 垃圾焚烧技术始于中科院,具备装备制造和项目运营效率优势。 公司垃圾焚烧技术始于 1995 年中国科学院工程热物理所开发的循环 流化床生活垃圾焚烧技术,自主研发的自动燃烧控制系统(ACC)被 认定为"国内领先"水平,部分关键设备达到" ...
亚普股份(603013):公司动态研究报告:油箱龙头海外布局成效显著,开拓航空航天与机器人新赛道
Huaxin Securities· 2026-01-11 14:48
2026 年 01 月 11 日 油箱龙头海外布局成效显著,开拓航空航天与机 器人新赛道 买入(首次) 投资要点 | 分析师:林子健 | S1050523090001 | | --- | --- | | linzj@cfsc.com.cn | | | 基本数据 | 2 0 2 6-0 1-0 9 | | 当前股价(元) | 25.85 | | 总市值(亿元) | 133 | | 总股本(百万股) | 513 | | 流通股本(百万股) | 513 | | 52 周价格范围(元) | 13.84-29 | | 日均成交额(百万元) | 135.0 | 市场表现 资料来源:Wind,华鑫证券研究 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 (%) 亚普股份 沪深300 相关研究 —亚普股份(603013.SH)公司动态研究报告 ▌燃油系统全球龙头产商,新能源转型正当时 燃油系统全球第三,向新能源赛道积极转型。亚普股份成立 于 1988 年,是一家专注于汽车储能系统产品和热管理系统产 品的全球化供应商。汽车油箱 是重要的安全件,亚普是我国 成立最早的汽车塑料油箱生产企业,生产了我国第一只汽车 塑料油箱,现为 ...
壹网壹创(300792):预计25年业绩稳健增长,AI垂类业务26年放量
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-01-11 13:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [6] Core Insights - The company, 壹网壹创, has a solid foundation in its agency business, covering various consumer goods categories, and has deep collaborations within the Alibaba ecosystem. With the support of AI technology, it is expected to break through performance ceilings [4] - The company has experienced a decline in revenue and net profit CAGR from 2020 to 2024 due to industry factors, but in Q1-Q3 of 2025, it achieved a 4% year-on-year growth in net profit, indicating significant performance improvement. It is anticipated that 2025 will mark a turning point for performance recovery [4] - The company is actively exploring AI applications in specific business scenarios, with expectations for its AI vertical business to enter a high-growth phase in 2026. The commercialization of tools like "Master Student Map" and "Cloud Meeting" is projected to grow sequentially in Q4 2025 [6] - The company is adapting to the trend of e-commerce search evolution from SEO to GEO, establishing a specialized team to seize growth opportunities in the GEO commercialization wave [6] - The company maintains its position as a leading e-commerce agency service provider, consistently recognized as a "Tmall Six-Star Service Provider," with partnerships across various sectors including beauty, personal care, and health products [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 1,236 million, with a year-on-year growth rate of -4.0%. For 2025, the revenue is expected to be 1,164 million, with a growth rate of -5.8%, followed by a recovery to 1,283 million in 2026 (10.2% growth) and 1,418 million in 2027 (10.5% growth) [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 111 million in 2025, with a significant increase to 146 million in 2026 (30.9% growth) and 181 million in 2027 (24.0% growth) [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.47 in 2025 to 0.61 in 2026 and 0.76 in 2027 [5] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 3.8% in 2025 to 4.7% in 2026 and 5.5% in 2027 [5]
中联重科(000157):推荐报告:工程机械、农机、矿机“三箭齐发”,业绩增速有望领跑行业
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2026-01-11 13:22
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd. is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - Zoomlion is positioned as a leading player in the Chinese engineering machinery sector, with growth potential driven by its diversified focus on engineering machinery, agricultural machinery, and mining machinery [1] - The company is benefiting from a recovery in domestic demand, particularly in non-excavator segments, and is advancing its globalization strategy through overseas direct sales and localized production [1][11] - The company is also focusing on low-valuation humanoid robots, which are expected to contribute to future growth [1][11] Industry and Company Analysis Engineering Machinery Sector - The global engineering machinery market is projected to reach USD 213.5 billion in 2024 and USD 296.1 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 6% from 2024 to 2030 [2] - Domestic recovery in excavators is expected to drive demand for non-excavator machinery, supported by infrastructure and municipal needs [2][3] - The company has a significant market share in various segments, including nearly 50% in the 1000-ton and above crawler crane market [12][24] Agricultural Machinery - The global agricultural machinery market is expected to reach approximately RMB 1.5 trillion in 2024, with China contributing around RMB 300 billion [5] - Emerging markets and green technology are identified as key growth drivers for agricultural machinery [5][25] Mining Machinery - The global mining machinery market is projected to grow from USD 133.1 billion in 2025 to USD 229.2 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 6% [6] - The company is focusing on green, large-scale, and intelligent mining machinery, with significant growth in sales and market penetration [13][26] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of RMB 49 billion, 64 billion, and 81 billion from 2025 to 2027, with respective growth rates of 40%, 30%, and 26% [20] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025-2027 are 15, 12, and 9 times, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [20] Globalization and Shareholder Returns - The company plans to issue up to RMB 6 billion in H-share convertible bonds to support its globalization strategy, with 50% of the funds allocated to overseas production and technology development [14][36] - The company has a high dividend payout ratio of 74% for 2024, reflecting its commitment to shareholder returns [36]
昊华科技(600378):主业高景气,新材料平台型龙头扬帆起航
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-11 13:00
证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2026 01 11 年 月 日 昊华科技(600378.SH) 主业高景气,新材料平台型龙头扬帆起航 传承 70 余载,昊华科技是共和国化工新材料"核心研发平台"。公司隶属 于中国中化,由 50-70 年代成立的十二家国家级化工材料研究院合并而 成,公司旗下十二家科研院所均应新中国早期特种领域需求诞生。七十年 来,公司在研发上的累计投入与国家给予补助的价值突出。公司在特种涂 料、弹性体、气体、氟材料等细分领域均具有显著的行业地位,下游包括 航空、航天、军工等环节,是我国化工行业由大产能驱动转向研发驱动、 科技驱动新时代的"核心资产"。 整合中化蓝天,制冷剂高景气业绩"持续兑现"。通过整合中化蓝天,公司 氟化工上游产业链完整度大幅提升,涵盖氟碳化学品、氟聚合物、氟精细 化学品、含氟锂电材料等产品。其中,氟碳化学品业务受三代制冷剂涨价 拉动,景气加速。单季度来看,2025Q3 公司实现归母净利润历史新高 5.9 亿元,同比增长 22%。根据公司经营报告,2025 年 1-3Q 公司氟碳化学 品均价达 4.44 万元,同比 2024 年大幅上升 49%。从细分 ...
仙乐健康(300791):乘科技之风,迎重要时刻
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2026-01-11 13:00
乘科技之风,迎重要时刻 事件:近期公司与潜在购买方就其收购 BFPC 公司 100%股权事宜签署了 非约束性的《关于购买 Best Formulations PC LLC 股权的意向书》;且公司 公告于 2026 年 1 月 8 日审议通过拟发行 H 股股票并在香港联交所主板上 市的相关议案。 与潜在购买方签署 BFPC 出售意向书,利润弹性有望兑现。公司与潜在购 买方就出售 BFPC 签署意向书,BFPC 剥离有利于进一步优化公司的美国 业务结构,提升公司的整体盈利能力和市场竞争力。根据少数股东损益推 算,2025 年前三季度 BF 子公司亏损达 1.3 亿元,我们预计 BFPC 剥离后 亏损有望显著收窄,大幅提振公司利润表现。 拟 H 股上市,全球化加速。25H1 公司中国大陆/美洲/欧洲/其他区域营收 分别为 8.2/7.6/3.6/1.0 亿元,占比 40.1%/37.2%/17.6%/5.1%,海外业 务占据重要份额。公司拟发行 H 股并在港交所上市,利用国际资本市场优 势,打造多元化资本运作平台,有助于深化公司全球化战略布局,加速拓 展海外市场,打开公司增长天花板。未来美洲市场公司将继续加强团队建 ...
中国核电(601985):点评报告:产能扩张带动电量稳增,多重因素限制业绩增速
Changjiang Securities· 2026-01-11 10:44
丨证券研究报告丨 [Table_scodeMsg1] 公司研究丨点评报告丨中国核电(601985.SH) [Table_Title] 产能扩张带动电量稳增,多重因素限制业绩增速 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年公司控股核电机组发电量 2008.07 亿千瓦时,同比增长 9.66%,但今年以来部分省份 市场化交易电价下降以及部分核电子公司税费增加等因素一定程度或限制核电板块业绩增速。 新能源装机的持续扩张带动 2025 年公司新能源发电量同比增长 31.29%,但同时也使得折旧等 各项成本费用同比显著增加,且考虑新能源电价偏弱以及增资引战后公司对中核汇能的持股比 例降低等影响,新能源板块的业绩贡献预计延续承压。整体来看,虽然核电与新能源均实现良 好的电量表现,但由于受到电价以及税费等因素影响,公司全年业绩展望平稳。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC:S0490517080003 SAC:S0490520120001 SAC:S0490520110001 SAC:S0490523080003 SFC:BQT627 张韦华 司旗 宋尚骞 刘亚辉 张子淳 请阅读最后评级说明和 ...
海信视像(600060):商业航天影子龙头,控股乾照光电
Yin He Zheng Quan· 2026-01-11 10:29
公司点评 · 家用电器行业 商业航天影子龙头,控股乾照光电 2026 年 01 月 11 日 核心观点 | 主要财务指标预测 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入(百万元) | 58,530 | 61,641 | 69,213 | 75,926 | | 收入增长率% | 9.17 | 5.31 | 12.28 | 9.70 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 2,246 | 2,677 | 2,997 | 3,413 | | 利润增长率% | 7.17 | 19.20 | 11.93 | 13.88 | | 摊薄 EPS(元) | 1.72 | 2.05 | 2.30 | 2.62 | | PE | 14.12 | 11.84 | 10.58 | 9.29 | 资料来源:公司公告,中国银河证券研究院(注:收盘价为 2026 年 1 月 9 日) 海信视像(股票代码:600060) 推荐 维持评级 分析师 何伟 :hewei_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码: ...