2025 年 05 月 19 日 公司研究 评级：增持(维持) 研究所： | | chenmz@g | | --- | --- | | 券分析师: 券分析师: | 陈梦竹 ટા 尹芮 S03 | 证券分析师： 陈梦竹 S0350521090003 chenmz@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 尹芮 S0350522110001 yinr@ghzq.com.cn ——网易-S（9999.HK）2025Q1 财报点评 最近一年走势 事件: 2025 年 5 月 15 日公司公告 2025Q1 财报，2025Q1 实现营收 288.29 亿 元（YoY+7.4%、QoQ+7.8%）；归母净利润为 103.01 亿元（YoY+34.9%、 QoQ+17.5%），non-GAAP 归母净利润为 112.37 亿元（YoY+32%、 QoQ+16.1%）。 国海证券研究所 请务必阅读正文后免责条款部分 [Table_Title] 游戏稳健，降本增效带动利润显著增长 1、主要财务指标分析：网易 2025Q1 实现营业收入 288.29 亿元 （ YoY+7.4% 、 QoQ+7.8% ） ； 归 母 净 利 润 为 ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年05月19日 美图公司（01357.HK） 不断深耕垂类功能，AI 持续提升产品力，付费用户发展顺利 优于大市 |  | 公司研究·海外公司快评 |  | 互联网·互联网Ⅱ |  投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 张伦可 | 0755-81982651 | zhanglunke@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980521120004 | | 证券分析师： | 陈淑媛 | 021-60375431 | chenshuyuan@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980524030003 | 事项： 事项：近期，美图视频创作平台 MOKI 营销视频功能全新上线。 国信互联网观点： 美图视频创作平台 MOKI 营销视频功能全新上线，海量热点模板库，降低操作门槛，生产效率提升 200%。 MOKI 提供海量创意视频模板，支持用户通过简单替换模板内的商品图，一键生成个性化营销视频，助力内 容传播效率大幅提升。适用场景包括：①电商广告：快速制作商品展示短片；②品牌 IP 打造：为 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [2][12]. Core Insights - The company reported impressive performance with a revenue of RMB 2.241 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 155.6%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was a loss of RMB 401 million, but this still marked a 94.59% improvement year-on-year [5][12]. - The company is focusing on building a "product ecosystem" and aims for global development over the next decade, with a strong emphasis on user needs and product innovation [10][12]. Company Overview - The latest closing price is HKD 145.00, with a total market capitalization of HKD 36.141 billion. The company has a total share capital of 249 million shares and an asset-liability ratio of 199.66% [4][5]. - The company has established partnerships with 50 globally recognized IPs and has a diverse product portfolio with over 600 SKUs [6][7]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 2.241 billion, with a significant focus on character-building toys, which generated RMB 2.201 billion, accounting for 98.2% of total revenue [7][9]. - The company’s four major IPs, including Ultraman and Transformers, contributed significantly to revenue, with Ultraman alone generating RMB 1.096 billion, representing 48.9% of total revenue [7][9]. Sales Channels and Market Expansion - The majority of revenue growth came from offline distributors, which accounted for RMB 2.063 billion in sales, a year-on-year increase of 181.54% [9][11]. - The company is experiencing rapid growth in overseas markets, with a revenue increase of 518.16% year-on-year, indicating substantial growth potential [9][11]. Future Growth Prospects - The company plans to expand its product offerings to cater to adult consumers and women, aiming to capture a broader market segment [11]. - The company is also focusing on deepening its market penetration in lower-tier cities and enhancing its overseas operations, with expectations of significant growth in international markets [11][12]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at RMB 4 billion, RMB 6 billion, and RMB 7.765 billion, with corresponding net profits of RMB 946 million, RMB 1.551 billion, and RMB 2.180 billion [12][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price not specified [5] Core Insights - The company is set to be included in the Hang Seng Index, effective June 9, 2025, which is expected to enhance liquidity and increase capital participation [1] - The BFC Creative Competition has expanded to nearly 120 cities across China, with around 8,000 events held, indicating strong community engagement and brand interaction [2] - The company plans to host approximately 20,000 BFC Creative Competitions in 2025, with a tiered approach to events in major and smaller cities [2] - The introduction of new products based on popular IPs such as Naruto and Ultraman is expected to drive consumer demand and enhance brand loyalty [3] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 3.8 billion RMB, 5.3 billion RMB, and 7 billion RMB respectively, with net profits of 960 million RMB, 1.48 billion RMB, and 2.08 billion RMB [4] Summary by Sections Company Inclusion in Index - The company will be added to the Hang Seng Index, which is anticipated to improve liquidity and trading sentiment in the toy sector [1] BFC Creative Competition - The BFC Creative Competition has gained significant traction, with a notable increase in participant engagement and the number of events planned for the future [2] Product Development - Continuous introduction of new products leveraging popular IPs is expected to enhance market presence and consumer interaction [3] Financial Projections - The report maintains revenue and profit forecasts for the upcoming years, indicating a positive growth trajectory for the company [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy (Maintain)" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the company's revenue and profit exceeded expectations, with AI capabilities beginning to deliver results [3] - The company is well-positioned in the FPS gaming sector, with significant growth in both domestic and international gaming revenues [4] - Advertising revenue has shown a notable increase due to AI enhancements, improving user engagement and ad click-through rates [4] - The financial technology and enterprise services segment is experiencing growth driven by cloud computing and AI capabilities [4] - Capital expenditures and operating expenses have increased significantly due to investments in AI [4] - The report maintains a positive outlook on the company's high-margin businesses and projects revenue and profit growth for the coming years [4] Financial Data Summary - **Revenue Projections**: Expected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 749.1 billion, 823.9 billion, and 896.7 billion RMB respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.5%, 10.0%, and 8.8% [4][7] - **Net Profit Projections**: Non-IFRS net profit is projected to be 259.4 billion, 284.7 billion, and 321.1 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 16.5%, 9.8%, and 12.8% [4][7] - **Gross Margin**: Expected gross margins are 56.4%, 58.0%, and 59.5% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [4][6] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Non-IFRS EPS is projected to be 26.9, 29.6, and 33.4 RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4][6] Key Financial Ratios - **Profitability**: Non-IFRS net profit margin is expected to be 34.6% for 2025 and remain stable thereafter [6] - **Liquidity**: The current ratio is projected to improve from 3.14 in 2025 to 3.88 in 2027 [6] - **Debt Management**: The debt-to-asset ratio is expected to remain low at around 0.3% across the forecast period [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][9] Core Views - The company reported strong performance in Q1 2025, with revenue of 72.495 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.672 billion yuan, up 263.6% year-on-year [3][6] - The "One Geely" plan is progressing smoothly, with significant growth in the Galaxy brand's sales contributing to overall revenue growth [6] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: 179.846 billion yuan - 2024A: 240.194 billion yuan - 2025E: 318.690 billion yuan - 2026E: 383.448 billion yuan - 2027E: 430.228 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 21%, 34%, 33%, 20%, and 12% respectively [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted as: - 2023A: 5.166 billion yuan - 2024A: 16.632 billion yuan - 2025E: 13.385 billion yuan - 2026E: 16.763 billion yuan - 2027E: 19.556 billion yuan - Year-on-year growth rates are projected at 1%, 222%, -20%, 25%, and 17% respectively [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2023A: 0.51 yuan - 2024A: 1.65 yuan - 2025E: 1.33 yuan - 2026E: 1.66 yuan - 2027E: 1.94 yuan [2] Sales and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 15.78%, an increase of 0.15 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio decreased by 2.61 percentage points to approximately 11.55% [6] - The Galaxy brand's sales reached 260,000 units in Q1 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 574.1% [6] Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is actively pursuing the privatization of Zeekr to enhance operational efficiency and cost reduction [6] - Upcoming model launches, such as the Lynk 900 and Starry 8, are expected to contribute positively to sales in Q2 2025 [6] - The company maintains a positive outlook on revenue and profit growth, with projected revenues of 318.69 billion yuan, 383.45 billion yuan, and 430.23 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6]

证券研究报告·海外公司点评·食物饮品(HS) 珍酒李渡（06979.HK） 转变思路积极应对，厚积薄发砥砺前行 2025 年 05 月 19 日 买入（维持） | Table_EPS] [盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 7,060 | 7,067 | 7,146 | 7,796 | 8,929 | | 同比（%） | 20.56 | 0.10 | 1.12 | 9.09 | 14.54 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 2,327 | 1,324 | 1,431 | 1,713 | 2,106 | | 同比（%） | 125.96 | (43.12) | 8.09 | 19.72 | 22.98 | | Non-IFRS 净利润（百万元） | 1,623 | 1,676 | 1,618 | 1,801 | 2,144 | | 同比（%） | 35.52 | 3.31 | (3.47) | 11.29 | 19.05 | | EPS-最新摊 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings [1][46] Core Insights - Tencent's Q1 2025 financial results show strong revenue growth driven by gaming and advertising, with significant operational leverage from AI integration [3][11][46] - The company achieved a revenue of 180 billion RMB in Q1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 13% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 4% [12][17] - Non-IFRS net profit reached 61.3 billion RMB, up 22% year-over-year, indicating robust profitability [12][17] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 180 billion RMB, with operating profit at 57.6 billion RMB and net profit at 47.8 billion RMB [12][17] - The overall gross margin improved to 55.8%, up 3.24 percentage points year-over-year [17][22] - Non-IFRS operating profit grew by 18% year-over-year, reflecting effective cost management and revenue growth [12][17] Operational Data - WeChat's monthly active users (MAU) reached 1.402 billion, growing 3% year-over-year [8][13] - The number of registered accounts for value-added services increased to 268 million, a 3% year-over-year growth [8][13] Business Segments - Gaming revenue accelerated by 24% year-over-year, with domestic and international markets growing by 24% and 22% respectively [29][30] - Marketing services revenue grew by 20% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for advertising within the WeChat ecosystem [38][40] - Financial technology and enterprise services revenue increased by 5% year-over-year, with a notable recovery in cloud services [41][42] Future Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are set at 725.6 billion RMB, 791.3 billion RMB, and 863.1 billion RMB respectively [46] - Non-IFRS net profit projections for the same period are 254.7 billion RMB, 286.5 billion RMB, and 321.8 billion RMB [46] Capital Expenditure - Capital expenditure in Q1 2025 reached 27.5 billion RMB, a 91% increase year-over-year, reflecting investments in AI and core business operations [43][45]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Tencent Holdings [5] Core Views - Tencent's Q1 2025 revenue reached 180 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 13%, with a gross margin improvement from 53% to 56% driven by high-margin businesses such as WeChat Video Accounts and local games [1][3] - Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately 61.3 billion RMB, reflecting a 22% year-on-year growth [1][3] - The report projects Tencent's revenue for 2025-2027 to be 735.8 billion, 801.6 billion, and 862.9 billion RMB respectively, with non-GAAP net profits of approximately 256.6 billion, 286.8 billion, and 314.9 billion RMB [3][12] Revenue Breakdown - Value-added services revenue for the quarter was 92.1 billion RMB, up 17% year-on-year, with local game revenue at 42.9 billion RMB, a 24% increase [1][2] - Financial technology and enterprise services revenue was 54.9 billion RMB, a 5% increase year-on-year [1] - Advertising revenue reached 31.9 billion RMB, growing 20% year-on-year, primarily driven by strong demand for Video Accounts and Mini Programs [1][2] Business Growth Drivers - The gaming business showed strong growth, with both local and international game revenues exceeding 20% growth, driven by popular titles [2] - Advertising growth was supported by AI-driven technology upgrades, significantly improving ad click-through rates [2] - Tencent's commitment to AI development is evident with a capital expenditure of 27.5 billion RMB and a 21% increase in R&D expenses [3] Financial Projections - The report forecasts Tencent's total revenue to grow at a CAGR of approximately 10% from 2023 to 2027, with a projected gross margin improvement [12] - Non-GAAP EPS is expected to rise from 16.4 RMB in 2023 to 34.0 RMB by 2027 [4][12] - The report anticipates a decrease in the P/E ratio from 28.6 in 2023 to 13.8 in 2027, indicating potential valuation improvement [4][12]

证券研究报告·海外公司点评·食物饮品(HS) 珍酒李渡（06979.HK） 转变思路积极应对，厚积薄发砥砺前行 2025 年 05 月 19 日 买入（维持） | Table_EPS] [盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 7,060 | 7,067 | 7,146 | 7,796 | 8,929 | | 同比（%） | 20.56 | 0.10 | 1.12 | 9.09 | 14.54 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 2,327 | 1,324 | 1,431 | 1,713 | 2,106 | | 同比（%） | 125.96 | (43.12) | 8.09 | 19.72 | 22.98 | | Non-IFRS 净利润（百万元） | 1,623 | 1,676 | 1,618 | 1,801 | 2,144 | | 同比（%） | 35.52 | 3.31 | (3.47) | 11.29 | 19.05 | | EPS-最新摊 ...