春节假期将至，A股也将迎来长达10天的休市期。到底是清仓持币，落袋为安过节？还是持股期待节后行情呢？这是一个问题。 昨晚，海外突然全线暴跌，今天是A股的最后一个交易日，市场连日来震荡调整，持股还是持币过节，今天（2月13日）就是作出决定的最后一天。从近日 券商、公募、私募等机构的调查和建议来看，"持股过节"似乎成为主流选择。 不过，机构提醒这一建议是基于过往大数据的梳理，持股还是持币的决定性因素在于投资者的持仓结构。需要注意的是，虽然港股只在2月17日至19日休市3 天，但春节期间港股通渠道是关闭的。如果投资者是通过港股通购买的港股，那么其将和A股一起"放假"。 其实，不必纠结，我们可以结合历史的规律、当前的市场环境及自己的风险偏好，来做出最适合自己的投资决策。 马年春节到，慧博调研贴心准备了一份春节假期全球投资交易日历，并附上了假期期间全球财经大事，一起来码住这份全球投指南！ 提醒一下大家，算上周末，A股春节前最后一个交易日是2月13日，其后直到2月23日，A股与港股通均进入长假模式，春节后第一个交易日是2月24日星期 二。 港股市场2月16日除夕当天上午交易，下午休市。2月17日到2月19日，即新年初一到 ...

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed down 1.72% at 26,567.12 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 0.9% to 5,360.42 points, and the China Enterprises Index decreased by 1.55% to 9,032.71 points [1] - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow exceeding 20 billion HKD, with the Hong Kong Stock Connect (Shanghai) contributing over 11.476 billion HKD and the Hong Kong Stock Connect (Shenzhen) adding over 8.743 billion HKD [1] Stock Movements - Notable gainers included Haizhi Technology Group, which surged 242.2%, followed by Zhipu with a 20.65% increase, and Junyu Foundation rising 18.63% [1] - Major decliners included Mongol Mining, which dropped 17.66%, and Woan Robotics, down 13.69% [1] Large Tech Stocks - Alibaba-W decreased by 2.02%, Tencent Holdings fell 0.65%, and JD.com-SW dropped 1.85% [1] - Xiaomi Group-W saw a slight increase of 0.88%, while Meituan-W fell by 3.18% [1] Industry Insights - Industrial insights from Xinyi Securities suggest that the non-ferrous metals sector is entering a phase of commodity price fluctuations, with expectations of a rebound in mid-year due to macroeconomic support [2] - Dongwu Securities indicates that market demand remains strong, with anticipated improvements in liability costs for insurance companies due to lower interest rates and a shift towards dividend insurance [3] - China Galaxy Securities forecasts a volatile upward trend for the Hong Kong market post-Spring Festival, highlighting attractive valuations and potential growth in consumer and technology sectors [4]

东吴证券研报指出，君亭酒店作为中高端精选服务酒店龙头，实现中高端和高端商务、度假品牌全覆 盖，直营为基、轻资产实现全国化扩张。预测君亭酒店2025-2027年归母净利润分别为0.2/0.7/1.1亿元， 对应PE估值为317/88/57倍。君亭酒店作为弹性标的，定位高端市场，直营门店爬坡有望释放业绩，湖 北文旅成为控股股东后打开成长空间，资源整合增厚利润，首次覆盖给予"增持"评级。 ...

保险资金运用余额继续快速增长 1）2025年末保险行业资金运用余额达38.5万亿元，较年初+15.7%，较Q3末+2.7%，全年增速为2021年 以来最高水平，该行认为主要受负债端保费规模持续较快增长带动。2）人身险公司投资规模为34.7万 亿元，占行业的90.1%。投资规模较年初+15.7%，较Q3末+2.8%。财产险公司投资规模为2.4万亿元，占 行业的6.3%。投资规模较年初+8.8%，较Q3末+1.2%。 2025全年"股票+基金"增加1.6万亿，Q4单季增加1101亿 1）2025年末产、寿险公司"股票+基金"合计余额5.7万亿元，其中股票3.73万亿元，基金1.97万亿元。 2025年股票+基金规模较年初大幅增加1.6万亿元，其中股票增加1.31万亿元，基金增加2899亿元，该行 认为除新增资金外，股价上涨和基金净值提升也有较大影响。2）Q4单季"股票+基金"规模增加1101亿 元，其中股票增加1135亿元，基金减少34亿元。3）从占总投资规模比重看，2025年末股票+基金合计 占比15.4%，较年初提升2.6pct，但较Q3末下降0.1pct。其中，股票占比10.1%，较年初/Q3分别提升 2. ...

Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities report highlights that Zhongtung High-tech is a global leader in tungsten products, with its drilling needle business poised to benefit from new opportunities in AI computing power construction [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zhongtung High-tech is the only core platform for tungsten industry under China Minmetals Corporation, establishing an integrated closed loop of "resources - smelting - deep processing - tool application" through continuous capital operations [1] - The company has a dominant position in the global tungsten market and is expected to benefit from rising tungsten prices due to its rich mineral resource reserves [1] Group 2: Business Prospects - The company holds a leading technological advantage in the high aspect ratio PCB drilling needle sector, which is anticipated to gradually translate into performance growth [1] - Projected net profits attributable to the parent company for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated to be 1.34 billion, 1.90 billion, and 2.35 billion yuan respectively [1] Group 3: Valuation - The current stock price corresponds to dynamic price-to-earnings ratios of 94, 66, and 54 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] - The report initiates coverage with a "buy" rating for the company [1]

东吴证券研报指出，陕西旅游以《长恨歌》实景演艺与华山旅游索道为核心资产，形成业务闭环与品牌 壁垒，是A股市场稀缺的文旅融合标的。2024年实现营收12.63亿元，归母净利润5.12亿元，主营业务增 长稳健。服务消费政策频出，支持文旅产业发展。陕西旅游依托华清宫和华山核心资源运营演艺和索道 业务，背靠陕西省国资享受政策红利。维持公司盈利预期，预计2025-2027年归母净利润为3.9/5.1/5.9亿 元，对应PE为30/23/20倍，维持"买入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market demand remains strong, with a reduction in the booking rate and a transformation towards dividend insurance expected to continuously optimize liability costs, alleviating pressure from interest margin losses [1] Group 1: Insurance Fund Utilization - By the end of 2025, the insurance industry's fund utilization balance reached 38.5 trillion yuan, an increase of 15.7% from the beginning of the year and 2.7% from the end of Q3, marking the highest annual growth rate since 2021 [2] - The investment scale of life insurance companies was 34.7 trillion yuan, accounting for 90.1% of the industry, with a year-to-date increase of 15.7% and a Q3 increase of 2.8% [2] - The investment scale of property insurance companies was 2.4 trillion yuan, representing 6.3% of the industry, with a year-to-date increase of 8.8% and a Q3 increase of 1.2% [2] Group 2: Stock and Fund Growth - By the end of 2025, the combined balance of "stocks + funds" for life and property insurance companies reached 5.7 trillion yuan, with stocks at 3.73 trillion yuan and funds at 1.97 trillion yuan, reflecting a significant increase of 1.6 trillion yuan from the beginning of the year [3] - In Q4 alone, the "stocks + funds" scale increased by 110.1 billion yuan, with stocks increasing by 113.5 billion yuan and funds decreasing by 3.4 billion yuan [3] - The combined proportion of "stocks + funds" in total investment reached 15.4% by the end of 2025, up 2.6 percentage points from the beginning of the year, but down 0.1 percentage points from Q3 [3] Group 3: Asset Allocation Trends - By the end of 2025, the proportion of bank deposits decreased to 7.6%, down 0.8 percentage points from the beginning of the year and up 0.3 percentage points from Q3 [4] - The bond allocation continued to increase, with a proportion of 51.1% by the end of 2025, up 0.9 percentage points from the beginning of the year and 0.1 percentage points from Q3, although the pace of bond allocation has noticeably slowed compared to previous years [4] - The allocation to stocks + funds significantly increased, reaching a high of 15.3% by the end of 2025, up 2.9 percentage points from the beginning of the year, but down 0.1 percentage points from Q3 [4]

A股三大指数早盘集体低开，券商股逆势表现，锦龙股份、首创证券、东吴证券等率先涨超1%。 受盘面影响，券商ETF（159842）低开高走，盘中快速翻红。 有机构表示，证券行业当前估值处于2021年以来的相对低位，PE水平约在16-17倍区间，具备较好的安 全边际，但仍需警惕政策变化及市场波动带来的风险。 值得注意的是，近期资金持续关注券商板块，截至2月12日，券商ETF（159842）开年来累计净流入资 金超6亿元。 资料显示，券商ETF（159842）跟踪中证全指证券公司指数，该指数选取中证全指样本股中至多50只证 券公司行业股票组成，以反映该行业股票的整体表现。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 2月9日，沪深北交易所宣布优化再融资一揽子措施。再融资是资本市场的重要基础制度，在支持上市公 司做优做强、促进资源优化配置等方面发挥着重要作用。 有分析认为，优化再融资有望激发市场活力，券商作为中介直接受益，关注板块Beta属性。此次优化明 确支持优质企业、服务科创企业，短期对市场分流影响有限，更多意义在于优化市场资源、资金配置， 增强优质企业发展动能，助力新质生产力发展。再融资优化，叠加证监会拟放松战略投资者限制，带动 ...

Core Viewpoint - The humanoid robot sector is expected to gradually converge by 2026, with Tesla's Optimus moving from the laboratory phase to mass production, highlighting the need to focus on mass production certainty and new technological directions for efficiency improvement or significant cost reduction [1][2]. Industry Core Changes - The humanoid robot industry in 2025 saw significant order placements, primarily from government, data collection, and life service scenarios, with companies like Yuzhu, Zhiyuan, and UBTECH leading in shipment volumes [2]. - The prices of core robot components have significantly decreased due to industrial capital support, although there is still room for improvement in precision and lifespan [2]. - The model end has confirmed the correct path for VLA, with some models beginning to show intelligence, but the lack of sufficient data has prevented the formation of a scaling law cycle in the short term [2]. 2026 Strategy Outlook - The successful iteration of Tesla's Optimus is expected to lead to a large-scale production year in 2026, with key focus areas including Tier 1 suppliers, lead screws, and harmonic reducers, as the supply chain enters a contraction phase [3]. - For flexible robot targets, attention should be paid to technological iterations and cost reduction, with key drivers including improvements in dexterous hands, motors, and lightweight materials [3]. Investment Recommendations - For certainty in direction, focus on Tier 1 suppliers such as Sanhua Intelligent Control and Top Group, lead screws from Hengli Hydraulic and Zhejiang Rongtai, and harmonic reducers from Lide Harmonic and Siling Intelligent Drive [4]. - For technological transformation and cost reduction, key companies to watch include Zhaowei Electromechanical and Hanwei Technology for dexterous hands and electronic skin, Hengshuai Co. and Buke Co. for motors, and Hengbo Co. and Xingyuan Zhuomei for lightweight materials [4].

东吴证券认为，尽管南向资金加速流入，但港股整体成交缩量，观望情绪浓厚，短期建议防御策略为 主。 东方财富证券分析师付原表示，港股估值处于历史低位(恒指PE仅12倍)，南向资金抄底吸引力增强，被 错杀的优质标的有望反弹。 恒生指数低开1.45%，恒生科技指数跌1.59%。科网股走低，阿里巴巴跌超2%。黄金股下跌，紫金黄金 国际跌超3%，灵宝黄金跌超2%。 关于港股后市 中金公司指出，港股回调源于美联储鹰派预期、AI资本开支回报质疑及制造业PMI偏弱的"三重压力"， 短期存在超调，有向上修复空间，但中期指数空间有限，机会在于必需零售、科技硬件等景气结构。 建银国际首席经济学家赵文利判断，港股估值修复已基本到位，投资逻辑正从"估值修复"转向"新质生 产力"的重估。广发证券则指出，春节前后港股或跟随A股出现阶段性上涨，但需警惕节后日历效应不 明显的风险。 本文转载自"腾讯自选股"，智通财经编辑：蒋远华。 ...