Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights Rolls-Royce's significant expansion plans in the global MRO (Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul) capabilities for its civil aviation business by 2030 [1] - Rolls-Royce is enhancing the capacity of its facilities in the UK, Germany, and Singapore, despite already having a global coverage for existing MRO services [1] - The joint venture BAESL with China International Airlines is progressing well, with operations expected to commence in 2026 at a site covering 86,000 square meters, featuring a new test bed that will reach full operational capacity by the mid-2030s [1]

8月15日，据罗尔斯-罗伊斯（下称罗罗）消息，罗罗民用航空业务发展与能力高级副总裁Hannah Newton日前阐述了公司在售后市场的关键扩张计划，计划到2030年大幅扩展全球MRO（航空发动机维 修）能力。尽管现有MRO设施已覆盖全球客户，罗罗仍在提升英国、德国和新加坡工厂的产能。此 外，在北京，罗罗与中国国际航空股份有限公司的合资企业BAESL进展顺利，预计将于2026年投入运 营；占地8.6万平方米的园区将配备新试车台，将于2030年代中叶实现满负荷运转。 ...

投资建议：短期建议重点关注"反内卷"相关机会，长期看好经营稳健、风险可控且有望 带来稳定收益的价值龙头。推荐顺丰控股、中通快递、圆通速递、申通快递、韵达股份、春 秋航空、中国国航、中远海能、招商轮船、德邦股份、招商南油、京沪高铁。 航运：上周原油运价走强，尤其是VLCC船运费出现大涨，主要由于OPEC+7月下定决 心提速增产后的产量释放，叠加特朗普对印度购买俄罗斯原油征收惩罚性关税事件的刺激， 油运年内的景气度有望于暑期内见底，考虑到当前的供给格局，我们认为运价和股价有望抢 跑，且在当前供给相对偏紧的情况下，需求侧的边际变化有望对运价形成乘数效应推动，继 续推荐中远海能、招商轮船，关注招商南油。集运方面，由于货量边际走弱，美线和欧线的 运价均持续走弱，短期集运的需求或主要取决于中美关税政策，但中长期来看，考虑到当前 欧美的经济表现相对平淡、贸易形势风险仍存、大部分航商的欧线仍在采用好望角航线，且 仍有较多运力会在年内交付，我们预计年内集运企业的盈利能力仍将承压，建议关注中远海 控在弱β下，盈利能力能否维持明显跑赢行业的状态，实现α机会。 航空：暑运旺季已接近尾声，上周整体和国内客运航班量环比有所提升，整体/国 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong aviation stocks have strengthened, with China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines rising over 5%, China National Aviation increasing by 3%, and Cathay Pacific up over 1% [1][2] - The China Air Transport Association has recently released a self-discipline convention for air passenger transport, aiming to enhance industry self-regulation and eliminate malicious competition aimed at excluding rivals [1] - According to Cinda Securities, the current short-term increase in industry capacity is significant, while demand is expected to take time to recover. The industry’s passenger load factor remains high, indicating an improving supply-demand relationship, which is likely to drive ticket prices upward [1] Group 2 - The report highlights the expectation of improved supply-demand dynamics during the summer travel peak season, which is anticipated to lead to a recovery in ticket prices. Key airlines to focus on include China National Aviation, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines [1]

信达证券提到，当前行业运力短期增投较多、需求仍需时间爬升，而行业客座率持续高位，供需关系仍 在改善，有望带动票价持续修复；看好暑运旺季供需改善带来的票价回升，并建议重点关注中国国航、 中国东航、南方航空、春秋航空、吉祥航空等。(格隆汇) 格隆汇8月15日｜港股航空股拉升走强，其中，中国东方航空、中国南方航空涨超5%，中国国航涨 3%，国泰航空涨超1%。 消息上，日前，中国航空运输协会发布航空客运自律公约，要求加强行业自律，杜绝以排挤竞争对手为 目的的恶意竞争行为。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 √ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00670 | 中国东方航空股 | 3.120 | 5.41% | | 01055 | 中国南方航空股 | 4.020 | 5.24% | | 00753 | 中国国航 | 5.560 | 2.96% | | 00293 | 国泰航空 | 10.840 | 1.12% | ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant increase in Hong Kong airline stocks, with China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines rising over 5%, and Air China increasing by 3% [1] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China has released a self-discipline convention for air transport, aiming to strengthen industry self-regulation and eliminate malicious competition aimed at excluding rivals [1] - According to Cinda Securities, the current short-term increase in industry capacity is substantial, while demand is expected to take time to recover; however, the high passenger load factor indicates an improving supply-demand relationship, which is likely to drive ticket prices upward [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the potential for ticket price recovery during the peak summer travel season due to improved supply and demand dynamics [1] - Key airlines to watch include Air China, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and Juneyao Airlines, as they are expected to benefit from the anticipated recovery in ticket prices [1] - The latest stock prices and percentage changes for the airlines mentioned are as follows: China Eastern Airlines at 3.120 (up 5.41%), China Southern Airlines at 4.020 (up 5.24%), Air China at 5.560 (up 2.96%), and Cathay Pacific at 10.840 (up 1.12%) [1]

智通财经获悉，航空股早盘走高，截至发稿，东方航空(00670)涨4.73%，报3.1港元；南方航空(01055) 涨3.66%，报3.96港元；中国国航(00753)涨3.15%，报5.57港元；国泰航空(00293)涨0.65%，报10.79港 元。 国泰海通证券指出，暑运客流客座率维持高位，扣油票价继续持平，暑运大额盈利可期。该行指出，近 期中国民航局部署综合整治"内卷式"竞争，预计短期将减少过度低价；中期或政策引导收益管理改善； 长期将保障机队规划继续低增。提示短期需求波动不改长逻辑，关注公商务需求恢复与反内卷，建议逆 向布局。 本文源自智通财经网 消息面上，中国航空运输协会正式发布《中国航空运输协会航空客运自律公约》。公约重点提出，加强 行业自律，维护市场秩序，强化反垄断和反不正当竞争措施。倡导各企业严格遵守价格法、反不正当竞 争法等相关法律规定，杜绝以排挤竞争对手为目的的恶意竞争行为，包括低价倾销、虚假宣传等。自律 条款同时还提出，对航空销售网络平台以及销售代理人执行的航司票价、退改签规则等，中航协要加强 监督管理，严禁违规捆绑销售、价外加价。 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed a decline, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 23,831 points, down 145 points or 0.61% [1][5] - The market turnover decreased to 82.799 billion, with net inflows of 484 million from the Stock Connect [1][5] - The US stock market remained stable despite previous inflation concerns, with the Dow Jones down 11 points, the S&P 500 up 1 point, and the Nasdaq down 2 points [2] Market Outlook - The report emphasizes that the Hong Kong market has advantages such as low valuations and increasing trading activity under the "profit-making effect," maintaining a relatively optimistic medium to long-term outlook [3] - Significant inflows of southbound funds were noted, with a total of 135.6 billion HKD in July, marking a recent high, and continued inflows in early August totaling 36.2 billion HKD [3] - Investment opportunities are highlighted in sectors such as artificial intelligence, robotics, semiconductors, and industrial software, as well as new consumption sectors supported by policy [3] Key Company Performances - Notable stock performances include Li Ning (2331HK) up 5.88% and Tingyi (0322HK) up 3.06% among the Hang Seng Index constituents [1][5] - In the technology sector, Huahong Semiconductor (1347HK) rose 3.04%, and Horizon Robotics (9660HK) increased by 2.44% [1][5] Economic Data - The US inflation rate for July remained steady at 2.7%, slightly below the forecast of 2.8% [2] - The report indicates a positive trend in investment sentiment, with the Stoxx 600 index in Europe rising for three consecutive days [11]

Group 1 - Airline stocks rose in early trading, with Eastern Airlines up 4.73% at HKD 3.1, Southern Airlines up 3.66% at HKD 3.96, Air China up 3.15% at HKD 5.57, and Cathay Pacific up 0.65% at HKD 10.79 [1] - The China Air Transport Association officially released the "Self-Discipline Convention for Air Passenger Transport," emphasizing industry self-regulation, market order maintenance, and strengthening anti-monopoly and anti-unfair competition measures [1] - The convention advocates strict compliance with pricing laws and anti-unfair competition laws, aiming to eliminate malicious competition practices such as predatory pricing and false advertising [1] Group 2 - Cathay Securities noted that the passenger load factor during the summer travel season remains high, with ticket prices holding steady, indicating potential for significant profits during this period [1] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China has initiated comprehensive measures to address "involution" competition, which is expected to reduce excessive low pricing in the short term and improve revenue management in the medium term [1] - Long-term policies are anticipated to ensure continued low growth in fleet planning, with a focus on the recovery of business travel demand and addressing involution [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a positive trend in airline stocks, with significant increases in share prices for major airlines in China, including Eastern Airlines, Southern Airlines, Air China, and Cathay Pacific [1] - The China Air Transport Association has officially released the "Self-Discipline Convention for Air Passenger Transport," emphasizing the need for industry self-regulation, market order maintenance, and enhanced anti-monopoly measures [1] - The convention advocates strict adherence to laws related to pricing and competition, aiming to eliminate malicious competitive behaviors such as predatory pricing and false advertising [1] Group 2 - Cathay Securities notes that the passenger load factor during the summer travel season remains high, with stable ticket prices, indicating potential for significant profits during this period [1] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China is implementing measures to address "involution" competition, which is expected to reduce excessive low pricing in the short term and improve revenue management in the medium term [1] - Long-term policies are anticipated to ensure a low growth rate in fleet planning, while short-term demand fluctuations do not alter the overall positive outlook for the industry [1]