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1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Sugar**: Brazilian sugarcane production recovery exceeds expectations, putting pressure on the global sugar market. In China, new - season sugar production is expected to increase, and imports are high, but the spot price is stable due to thin inventory. Zhengzhou sugar futures are hovering at a low level [4]. - **Pulp**: As the peak season approaches, downstream demand for pulp replenishment may increase, but the magnitude is uncertain. The pulp market is stabilizing, and the recent listing of offset paper may support pulp futures. However, the upward drive for pulp prices is insufficient, and it is likely to trade in a low - level range [5]. - **Offset Paper**: The spot price of offset paper is stable, and there are expectations of improved demand in the peak season, which supports the futures price. But the fundamental situation is still weak, and the upward price movement may be limited [7][8]. - **Cotton**: The USDA September report has a slightly positive impact on the global cotton market, but the market is still under pressure. In China, there is a game between tight old - season supply and expected loose new - season supply, and cotton futures are likely to fluctuate within a range [9]. - **Apples**: The impact of the old - season apples on the market is coming to an end. The market is focused on the new - season production and quality. Apple futures are expected to trade within a range [10]. - **Jujubes**: The jujube futures price fell sharply. The inventory is being depleted, and the market is in a state of seeking a direction. Aggressive investors can short the 2601 contract, while cautious investors can hold a short 01 and long 05 spread position [11]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 First Part: Sector Strategy Recommendations - **Fresh Fruit Futures**: For Apple 2601, use a range - trading strategy with a support range of 7500 - 7600 and a pressure range of 8500 - 8600. For Jujube 2601, consider shorting at high prices, with a support range of 10500 - 11000 and a pressure range of 11500 - 12000 [19]. - **Soft Commodity Futures**: For Sugar 2601, stay on the sidelines. For Pulp 2511, take a bearish view within the range. For Offset Paper 2601, short on rebounds. For Cotton 2601, use a range - trading strategy [19]. 3.2 Second Part: Market News Changes - **Apple Market**: In July, China's fresh apple exports increased month - on - month but decreased year - on - year. As of September, the cold - storage inventory decreased. Different institutions have different estimates of the new - season apple production. The spot price in Shandong is stable, and the market in the sales area is also stable [20][21][22]. - **Jujube Market**: The inventory of 36 sample points decreased slightly. The market in the sales area is light, and the mentality of holders is divided [23]. - **Sugar Market**: The USDA's September report shows the sugar production and inventory/consumption ratio in the US. The ICE 11 - sugar non - commercial net short position increased. The domestic sugar spot price is stable [24][26]. - **Pulp Market**: The decline in domestic spot and futures prices of bleached softwood pulp has suppressed import volume. The price of bleached hardwood pulp has been raised twice [29]. - **Offset Paper Market**: The market is basically stable. The trading atmosphere is weak, and prices in different regions are stable [30][31]. - **Cotton Market**: India's cotton production and import expectations have increased, and its ending inventory has risen. In the US, the sales and inventory data of clothing and fabric in July show certain trends [32][33]. 3.3 Third Part: Market Review - **Futures Market**: The closing prices, daily changes, and daily change rates of Apple 2601, Jujube 2601, Sugar 2601, Pulp 2511, and Cotton 2601 are provided [34]. - **Spot Market**: The spot prices, month - on - month changes, and year - on - year changes of apples, jujubes, sugar, pulp, offset paper, and cotton are presented [39]. 3.4 Fourth Part: Basis Situation No specific analysis content provided, only related charts are mentioned [51]. 3.5 Fifth Part: Inter - month Spread Situation The inter - month spreads of apples, jujubes, sugar, and cotton are in a state of range - bound trading, and the recommended strategy is to stay on the sidelines [59]. 3.6 Sixth Part: Futures Positioning Situation No specific analysis content provided, only related charts are mentioned [68]. 3.7 Seventh Part: Futures Warehouse Receipt Situation The warehouse receipt quantities, month - on - month changes, and year - on - year changes of apples, jujubes, sugar, pulp, and cotton are given [88]. 3.8 Eighth Part: Option - related Data - **Apple Options**: No specific data analysis provided, only related charts are mentioned [89]. - **Sugar Options**: No specific data analysis provided, only related charts are mentioned [96]. - **Cotton Options**: No specific data analysis provided, only related charts are mentioned [101].

Company Overview - Kimberly-Clark Corporation (NASDAQ: KMB) is involved in manufacturing and marketing personal care and tissue products, including baby care, feminine care, adult incontinence, household paper goods, and professional hygiene solutions [2]. Core Insights - Jim Cramer highlighted Kimberly-Clark as a company undergoing a significant turnaround, emphasizing its restructuring efforts led by CEO Michael Hsu, despite the lack of recognition for these changes [1]. - The company has taken decisive action by selling 51% of its global Kleenex and tissue division to Brazilian supplier Suzano for $1.73 billion, allowing Kimberly-Clark to exit a cyclical business with low margins and focus on its more proprietary products, particularly in the diaper segment [2].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Core Views of the Report - **Soft Commodity Sector - Sugar**: The production rhythm in Brazil has improved in the first half of August, with a significant year - on - year increase in sugar production, which is bearish for raw sugar. However, concerns about weather and domestic consumption improvement provide support. In China, import pressure is being realized, but the low inventory pressure of sugar - making enterprises and the warming up of transactions limit the downside space of the 2601 contract [3]. - **Soft Commodity Sector - Pulp**: The pulp industry chain shows few positive signs. Supply pressure remains, and demand improvement is limited. The price has no strong upward drive, but the low valuation provides some support [4]. - **Soft Commodity Sector - Cotton**: The external market is in a long - short game, and the domestic market is affected by rumors of state reserve sales. Short - term prices are expected to fluctuate and consolidate [6]. - **Fresh Fruit Sector - Apple**: The opening price of early - maturing apples has increased year - on - year, and concerns about the excellent fruit rate support the futures price [7]. - **Fresh Fruit Sector - Jujube**: The inventory of jujubes is being depleted, and the market is moving towards the peak season. The futures price of the 2601 contract is affected by multiple factors, and investors can adopt different strategies according to their risk preferences [8]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 First Part: Sector Strategy Recommendation - **Fresh Fruit Futures**: For Apple 2510, the recommended strategy is to wait and see or take a short - term long position due to the increase in the opening price of early - maturing apples and concerns about the excellent fruit rate. The support range is 7700 - 7800, and the pressure range is 8500 - 8600. For Jujube 2601, the recommended strategy is to reduce long positions as the commodity sentiment is strong and the third - quarter is the production - forming period, which is prone to weather premium. The support range is 11000 - 11200, and the pressure range is 11500 - 12000 [17]. - **Soft Commodity Futures**: For Sugar 2601, the recommended strategy is to reduce short positions as the estimated production in Brazil is lowered, and the downside space of the futures price is limited. The support range is 5530 - 5550, and the pressure range is 5630 - 5650. For Pulp 2511, the recommended strategy is to be bearish in the range because the coniferous pulp price is below the cost, but the supply pressure remains, and the price of finished paper is low. The support range is 4900 - 5000, and the pressure range is 5200 - 5300. For Cotton 2601, the recommended strategy is to return to a wait - and - see state as the Fed's interest - rate cut expectation and the rumor of state reserve sales lead to short - term price fluctuations [17]. 3.2 Second Part: Market News Changes 3.2.1 Apple Market - **Fundamental Information**: In July, China's fresh apple export volume was about 53,600 tons, a month - on - month increase of 44.59% and a year - on - year decrease of 18.39%. The estimated national apple production is expected to decrease by 2.03% according to one survey and increase by 2.35% according to another [18]. - **Spot Market Situation**: The mainstream transaction price in the Shandong production area is stable. In the northwest production area, the early - maturing Fuji is priced high, and the quality is good, with active procurement by merchants. In the sales area, the arrival of goods has increased significantly, and the price is stable [19][20]. 3.2.2 Jujube Market The temperature in the main jujube - producing areas in Xinjiang has decreased slightly, and some areas have experienced light rain. The daily arrival of goods in the sales area has decreased. The price of high - quality jujubes is strong, and the price of ordinary jujubes is stable. The sample - point physical inventory has decreased [21]. 3.2.3 Sugar Market The ISO reports that the 2025/26 sugar season will have a supply gap of only 23,100 tons. Brazil's sugar production in the first half of August has increased significantly year - on - year. In China, the spot price of sugar in different regions is reported [24][25]. 3.2.4 Pulp Market The price of imported radiata pine has been reduced by $20 per ton, while most suppliers keep the price of coniferous pulp unchanged. Suzano has increased the price of broad - leaf pulp for September orders [27]. 3.2.5 Cotton Market In July 2025, Vietnam's textile and clothing exports and yarn exports have increased. Argentina's cotton exports have decreased in July, and the cumulative exports in the 2024/25 season have decreased year - on - year [28]. 3.3 Third Part: Market Review 3.3.1 Futures Market Review The daily closing prices, price changes, and price change rates of Apple 2510, Jujube 2601, Sugar 2601, Pulp 2511, and Cotton 2601 are reported [29][30]. 3.3.2 Spot Market Review The spot prices, month - on - month changes, and year - on - year changes of apple, jujube, sugar, pulp, and cotton are reported [32]. 3.4 Fourth Part: Basis Situation There is no specific text description about the basis situation, only figure references are provided [43][44][46]. 3.5 Fifth Part: Inter - month Spread Situation The inter - month spreads of apple, jujube, sugar, and cotton are in a state of oscillation. The recommended strategy is to wait and see [49]. 3.6 Sixth Part: Futures Positioning Situation There is no specific text description, only figure references are provided [56][57][59]. 3.7 Seventh Part: Futures Warehouse Receipt Situation The warehouse receipt quantities, month - on - month changes, and year - on - year changes of apple, jujube, sugar, pulp, and cotton are reported [76]. 3.8 Eighth Part: Option - related Data There is no specific text description, only figure references are provided [78][80][81].

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Name: Pulp Daily Report - Date: August 28, 2025 - Research Team: Energy and Chemical Research Team - Researchers: Liu Youran, Li Jie, Ren Junchi, Peng Haozhou, Peng Jinglin, Feng Zeren [3][4] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions Market Review - Pulp futures 01 contract: The previous settlement price was 5,392 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5,290 yuan/ton, a decrease of 1.89%. The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong wood pulp market was 5,000 - 6,650 yuan/ton, with the low - end price stable compared to the previous trading day's closing price. The quote for Shandong Silver Star was 5,720 - 5,750 yuan/ton [7] - Arauco's August wood pulp FOB prices: Coniferous pulp Silver Star at $720/ton, natural pulp Venus at $590/ton, and hardwood pulp Star at $520/ton, remaining stable compared to June quotes [8] - Global pulp data: In June, the chemical commodity pulp shipments of the world's 20 major pulp - producing countries increased by 4.7% year - on - year, with coniferous pulp down 2.4% and hardwood pulp up 10.1%. In July 2025, the European wood pulp inventory was 683,200 tons, a 0.3% month - on - month decrease and an 8.7% year - on - year increase; the European wood pulp consumption was 814,200 tons, a 6.8% month - on - month increase and a 2.1% year - on - year decrease. China's pulp imports in July were 2.877 million tons, a 5.1% month - on - month decrease and a 23.7% year - on - year increase. As of August 21, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports decreased by 1.59% month - on - month. In July, the cumulative year - on - year profit of the papermaking and paper products industry decreased by 21.9%, with the decline slightly expanding [8] Operation Suggestions - With limited cost guidance and a loose supply, waiting for the peak - season demand to emerge, pulp is in a low - level oscillatory adjustment [8] Group 3: Industry News - Suzano plans to adjust pulp order prices next month. The pulp prices in China and other Asian countries will be increased by $20/ton, while those in Europe and the US will be increased by $80/ton. Analysts from BTG Pactual are positive about this measure, believing that the current price of nearly $500/ton in China is "unsustainably low". Bradesco BBI expects the commodity price to reach $550/ton in the next few months, supported by more favorable seasonal factors at the end of the third quarter, the Sino - US trade truce, and possible supply restrictions due to high production costs [9] Group 4: Data Overview - The report includes multiple data charts, such as import bleached softwood pulp spot prices in Shandong, pulp futures prices, pulp spot - futures price differences, coniferous - hardwood price differences, inter - period price differences, warehouse receipt totals, domestic main port pulp inventories, European main port wood pulp inventories, copperplate paper and offset paper prices and price differences, white cardboard and whiteboard paper prices and price differences, and the US dollar - RMB exchange rate [15][17][19][22][29][32]

Group 1 - The paper industry chain is expected to see a price recovery due to multiple factors such as the approaching peak season, collaboration among leading companies, and low levels of profitability and inventory [1] - Leading paper manufacturers are anticipated to benefit from higher raw material self-sufficiency and economies of scale [1] - Recommendations include companies with strong operational capabilities such as Sun Paper (002078.SZ) and Nine Dragons Paper (02689), which is accelerating its integrated layout of boxboard and pulp [1] Group 2 - The price of recycled paper has accelerated, with a significant increase in August, where prices for recycled boxboard rose by 125-195 RMB compared to early July, and AA-grade high corrugated prices increased by 165-265 RMB [1] - The company expects continued price increases in August and September, leading to a widening price gap and a recovery in profitability [1] - In the wood pulp sector, domestic prices for hardwood pulp have risen by 150-190 RMB/ton compared to early July, with international prices also increasing [2] - The upcoming peak season is expected to drive further price increases for hardwood pulp as paper manufacturers replenish their stocks [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the pulp futures market is under pressure due to a seasonal demand slump, with processing profits for paper mills not showing significant improvement [3] - As of August 21, 2025, the inventory of pulp at major Chinese ports reached 2.132 million tons, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 33,000 tons, or 1.6% [2] - The main contract for pulp futures closed at 5,108 CNY/ton, with a weekly decline of 3.33% [1] Group 2 - Institutions suggest that the sentiment is dominated by expectations of supply contraction, as major international pulp producers like Suzano and Bracell have announced production cuts [3] - The external pricing for wood pulp has remained stable, with needle pulp priced at 720 USD/ton and bleached pulp at 590 USD/ton, indicating no significant changes since June [2] - Despite marginal improvements in demand, the sustainability of this trend is uncertain, as paper mills continue to face high inventory levels and low profit margins [3]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the paper industry [4]. Core Insights - In the short term, the report anticipates an increase in pulp costs and prices due to overseas supply shocks and changes in the supply-demand dynamics in the European and American markets. In the long term, the cost of domestic pulp is expected to decrease due to changes in the pulp structure, benefiting leading integrated pulp and paper manufacturers with upstream forest resources and green energy [2][4]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that leading integrated pulp and paper manufacturers, such as Sun Paper, Xianhe Co., Wuzhou Special Paper, Bohui Paper, Shanying International, and Nine Dragons Paper, are expected to benefit from the full industry chain resource layout and operational advantages [7]. Domestic Pulp Prices and Global Supply-Demand - Domestic pulp prices are closely linked to overseas markets, with global supply and demand primarily driving domestic pulp prices. In 2024, domestic consumption of broadleaf pulp, softwood pulp, chemical pulp, and unbleached pulp is projected to be 2,353, 826, 656, and 95 thousand tons, respectively [9][11]. Supply Shocks and Price Impact - Supply shocks have significantly impacted short-term pulp prices, with an average of approximately 2 million tons of capacity permanently shut down annually since 2017. The report notes that supply disruptions are influenced by market factors, strikes, natural disasters, and equipment failures [76][79]. Long-term Cost Structure Changes - Changes in the pulp structure are expected to lower the long-term cost base in China. The report highlights that the price gap between softwood and broadleaf pulp has widened, with broadleaf pulp's demand share increasing by 10 percentage points to 74% [4][103]. Cost Curve Changes and Pricing - The cost curve is primarily determined by wood costs, with logistics and energy costs also playing significant roles. The report indicates that logistics costs account for 10-20% and energy costs for 15-20% of total costs, with leading pulp manufacturers optimizing costs through strategic location layouts [5][29].

Core Viewpoint - The paper industry is facing persistent supply-demand contradictions, with paper prices and profitability at historically low levels, particularly for double glue paper and white card paper, which are currently experiencing losses in gross profit margins [1][3]. Group 1: Paper Price Trends - As of the first week of August, prices for double glue paper and white card paper have reached new lows, with gross profit margins falling below the 20th percentile of the historical ten-year range [1]. - The leading box and corrugated paper producers have implemented multiple price increases, with cumulative price hikes for kraft linerboard ranging from 30 to 140 CNY per ton and for corrugated paper from 60 to 140 CNY per ton since late July [1]. - The price increases have accelerated due to rising costs, particularly the steady increase in domestic waste paper prices, prompting smaller manufacturers to follow suit [1]. Group 2: Profitability and Cost Dynamics - The profitability of corrugated paper is beginning to recover as its price increases are catching up with rising costs, although overall profitability remains constrained for high-end box paper due to limited price increases [1]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw peak profitability for box and corrugated paper, but profitability declined in July as paper prices did not keep pace with cost increases [1]. Group 3: Market Outlook for Pulp - The U.S. has exempted Brazilian pulp from a 40% tariff, which has positively influenced market expectations for pulp prices [2]. - Major pulp producers like Bracell and Suzano have announced production cuts, which are expected to support price increases in the pulp market [2]. - Domestic and international pulp manufacturers have raised prices, with spot prices for broadleaf pulp increasing by 125-150 CNY per ton since early July [2]. Group 4: Future Expectations - The paper price increases are expected to continue, driven by seasonal demand and cost pressures, with the potential for improved profitability as the price-cost gap widens [3]. - The production of double glue paper has decreased by 11.9% year-on-year from January to July 2025, indicating a tightening supply in the market [3]. - If pulp prices rise in the future, leading paper manufacturers are likely to pass on these costs, encouraging smaller manufacturers to follow suit during peak demand seasons [3].