[Table_Reportdate] 2026年01月27日 [证券分析师： Table_Authors] 张季恺 S0630521110001 zjk@longone.com.cn 证券分析师： 王洋 S0630513040002 wangyang@longone.com.cn 联系人： 陈伟业 cwy@longone.com.cn 联系人： 邓尧天 dytian@longone.com.cn [晨会纪要 Table_NewTitle] 20260127 重点推荐 财经要闻 晨 会 纪 要 证券研究报告 HTTP://WWW.LONGONE.COM.CN 请务必仔细阅读正文后的所有说明和声明 [table_summary] ➢ 1.药品零售新政出台，赋能行业高质量发展——医药生物行业周报（2026/01/19- 2026/01/25） ➢ 2.2026年全球AI服务器出货同比有望增超28%，AI相关芯片涨价持续——电子行业周报 2026/1/19-2025/1/25 ➢ 1.商务部：将优化实施消费品以旧换新，促进家电等大宗耐用商品消费 ➢ 2.上期所调整白银、锡期货相关合约交易限额 ➢ 3.香港特别行政区行 ...

Core Viewpoint - The PCB (Printed Circuit Board) industry is expected to experience significant growth in performance due to the AI wave, driven by increased demand for AI computing infrastructure and consumer electronics upgrades [1][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - Guangzhou Haozhi Electromechanical Co., Ltd. forecasts a net profit of 128 million to 165 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 54.40% to 99.03% [1]. - Shenghong Technology (Huizhou) Co., Ltd. anticipates a net profit of 4.16 billion to 4.56 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 260.35% to 295% [2]. - Shenzhen Dazhu CNC Technology Co., Ltd. expects a net profit of 785 million to 885 million yuan for 2025, indicating a year-on-year increase of 160.64% to 193.84% [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The demand for AI computing power is driving a structural boom in the PCB industry, with expectations that the AI-related PCB market will reach 10 billion USD by 2026 [3]. - The expansion of AI infrastructure is leading to a significant increase in both volume and price in the PCB sector, particularly for high-end PCBs, which will support sustained profitability for companies [3][4]. - Companies are ramping up production to seize market opportunities, with examples such as Hushi Electronics starting a high-end PCB expansion project in June 2025, expected to begin trial production in the second half of 2026 [3]. Group 3: Strategic Recommendations - PCB-related companies should focus on technological research and development to tackle challenges in high-frequency, high-layer boards and upgrade high-end production capacity to meet customized AI computing demands [4]. - Companies are encouraged to deeply integrate with leading chip and server manufacturers during the early stages of product development to create dual barriers of technology and supply chain, thereby avoiding low-end price competition and solidifying their high-end market advantage [4].

Core Viewpoint - The PCB sector is experiencing significant performance growth driven by AI demand, with several key investment themes identified for 2023 [1][2]. Investment Themes - **PCB Upgrade Trend**: The commercialization of CoWoP technology is accelerating, leading to a new round of upgrades in AI PCB products. mSAP capacity, equipment, and technical capabilities will become higher competitive thresholds for PCB manufacturers, presenting investment opportunities across the mSAP supply chain [1][2]. - **CCL Upgrade from M8 to M9**: The transition from M8 to M9 CCL is a definitive trend, with an increasing number of GPUs, ASIC servers, and 1.6T switches adopting M9 CCL. The usage of Q fabric, HVLP 3-4, and hydrocarbon resins will continue to rise rapidly [1][2]. - **Upstream Material Price Increases**: The price of upstream materials is still in an upward cycle, which is expected to further improve profitability [1][3]. - **Rising Demand for Substrates**: Demand for BT substrates is increasing, with continuous price hikes, while ABF substrate demand is beginning to overflow to domestic manufacturers [1][4]. Market Performance - The PCB sector's performance has exceeded market expectations, particularly in the upstream materials and equipment segments, driven by global AI PCB capacity expansion. Companies like Jin'an Guoji and Huazheng New Materials in the CCL segment, and Dazhu CNC and Chipbase in the equipment segment, have shown significant excess returns [2]. Price Trends - The CCL industry average price has increased by 20%-30% in 2025, with expectations for further price hikes in 2026 potentially exceeding those of 2025 due to supply-demand dynamics and raw material price trends [3]. Demand Dynamics - The global AI data center's storage demand is robust, with TSMC's capital expenditure for 2026 projected at $52-56 billion, significantly above market expectations. This indicates a strong upward trend in storage chip demand, leading to continuous price increases for BT substrates and the overflow of ABF substrate demand to domestic suppliers [4].

长安基金王浩聿：以产业周期视角迎接AI投资浪潮 ◎记者 赵明超 历经苹果产业链崛起、5G爆发及新能源浪潮等多轮产业周期，长安宏观策略混合基金经理王浩聿直 言，"水大才能鱼多"。他沉淀出一套"锚定趋势、验证业绩、敬畏估值"的核心框架。当人工智能成为席 卷全球的科技浪潮时，王浩聿表示这是"20年一遇的大机会"，需要沉下心做好研究与跟踪，才能把握好 这次投资机会。 聚焦产业发展趋势 在担任基金经理前，王浩聿在科技行业深耕多年，覆盖电子、传媒、通信、计算机、机器人等领域，也 逐渐形成了一套完整的投资框架，即从产业发展趋势入手，聚焦行业竞争格局，精选优质公司，通过对 订单和业绩的持续跟踪，结合市场走势和估值水平，对仓位进行灵活调整。 "任何产业趋势背后都有核心驱动力。以苹果产业链为例，很多人在研究苹果产业链时，可能会聚焦供 应链公司的订单业绩情况，但就本质而言，这些其实是产业趋势发展的结果。真正关键的是研究苹果公 司自身的发展逻辑，比如它如何规划产品线、未来手机的创新方向在哪里、TWS耳机为何能实现爆发 式增长、AI手机应该如何设计等，这才是产业链研究的核心。"王浩聿表示。 在锚定方向后，王浩聿会从竞争格局、订单及业绩 ...

AI 景气度逐步向上传导，关注产业链缺货涨价 环节 [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 1 月 25 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [行业周报 Table_ReportType] | [Table_StockAndRank] 电子 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | [Table_Author] 莫文宇 电子行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500522090001 邮 箱：mowenyu@cindasc.com 郭一江 电子行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524120001 邮 箱：guoyijiang@cindasc.com 杨宇轩 电子行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525010001 邮 箱：yangyuxuan@cindasc.com 王义夫 电子行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525090001 邮 箱：wangyifu@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] AI 景气度逐步向上 ...

AI基金宏利转型机遇股票A（000828）披露2025年四季报，第四季度基金利润6533.12万元，加权平均基金份额本期利润0.099元。报告期内，基金净值增长 率为2.65%，截至四季度末，基金规模为27.59亿元。 该基金属于标准股票型基金，长期投资于TMT股票。截至1月22日，单位净值为4.911元。基金经理是孟杰，目前管理7只基金。其中，截至1月22日，宏利转 型机遇股票A近一年复权单位净值增长率最高，达69.23%；宏利行业精选混合A最低，为39.2%。 基金管理人在四季报中表示，科技相关行业经历了 2025 年全年的大幅上涨仍具备投资机会。人工智能模型仍在加速迭代，无论国内还是海外的互联网巨头 都将继续高额投入，算力产业链仍然有很好的投资机会。 手机、汽车、智能家居等端侧的智能化将成为持续的产业趋势，其中苹果是最具代表性的端侧产品，拥有从芯片设计到完善系统的良好生态，将开启又一轮 创新周期，国内产业链公司有望充分受益。先进逻辑及存储扩产拉动，国内晶圆厂仍然会持续加大资本支出，相关产业链公司订单有望持续增长。 截至1月22日，宏利转型机遇股票A近三个月复权单位净值增长率为13.16%，位于同类可比基 ...

智通财经记者 计思敏 在A股投资者互动平台上，不少股民带着犀利追问上市公司痛点，董秘则在合规边界内各显神通。 68岁董秘回应高管年龄偏大："公司经营可不比蹦迪" 沪电股份可以说是2025年A股互动平台上的"显眼包"，无论是回应管理层年龄质疑，还是"回怼"各类琐 碎提问，其凭借犀利又幽默的花式回应屡次出圈。 "贵公司目前的管理层年龄已造成资本市场对公司的担忧，请公司认真对待这个迫在眉睫的问题"2025年 10月，一位投资者在深交所互动平台上向沪士电子股份有限公司（沪电股份，002463.SZ）抛出质疑， 直指管理层年龄结构问题。 根据沪电股份披露的2024年年报，该公司董事长陈梅芳已79岁，总经理吴传彬54岁，董秘李明贵也已68 岁。 面对这样的"灵魂拷问"，公司董秘在互动平台回复"我们可以理解您个人对这个问题的关注，但将个人 关注替代为资本市场的普遍结论恐怕并不合适。"其进一步解释，相对成熟的制造业领域"经验丰富的团 队往往更善于应对复杂市场环境"，并附上一句"您大可不必过度担忧，放松一点，公司始终高度重视人 才梯队建设，培养并吸纳年轻骨干力量"。 而这并非其首次回应投资者对管理层年龄的质疑，相较此次温和的解 ...

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Outperform the Market" [11] Core Insights - The PCB industry is experiencing high prosperity, with strong performance in equipment earnings [2] - Major companies such as Dazhu CNC, Chipbond, Dongwei Technology, and Dingtai High-Tech are expected to see significant profit growth by 2025, with net profits projected to increase by 160.64% to 193.84%, 71.13% to 83.58%, 73.23% to 102.10%, and 80.72% to 102.76% respectively [2] - The glass substrate industry is transitioning from technology validation to early-stage mass production, with expectations for small-scale commercial shipments by 2026 and a compound annual growth rate of over 10% from 2025 to 2030 for semiconductor glass wafers [3] - The demand for AI-driven servers, data storage, and high-speed network infrastructure is creating new growth opportunities in the PCB market, necessitating more complex and high-performance HDI PCB products [3] Summary by Sections Company Performance - Dazhu CNC is expected to achieve a net profit of 785 million to 885 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 160.64% to 193.84% [2] - Chipbond's projected net profit for 2025 is between 275 million to 295 million yuan, with a growth rate of 71.13% to 83.58% [2] - Dongwei Technology anticipates a net profit of 120 million to 140 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 73.23% to 102.10% [2] - Dingtai High-Tech expects a net profit of 410 million to 460 million yuan, with a growth of 80.72% to 102.76% [2] Industry Trends - The glass substrate industry is on the verge of commercialization, with major companies like SK, LG, and Samsung expanding partnerships with material and process suppliers [3] - The growth of AI and network infrastructure is driving the need for advanced PCB products, presenting new opportunities for the PCB market [3] Investment Recommendations - Focus on PCB equipment and consumables companies such as Dazhu CNC, Dingtai High-Tech, Chipbond, Dongwei Technology, Zhengye Technology, and Rilian Technology [4] - Consider PCBA equipment companies like Kaige Precision Machinery, Jintuo Co., Bojie Co., Oat Technology, Juzi Technology, and Sitake [4]

Group 1 - Nvidia's founder and CEO Jensen Huang visited China in January 2026, engaging with employees and attending New Year events in Shanghai, Beijing, and Shenzhen [1] - The H200 chip, launched in November 2023, features a groundbreaking 141GB HBM3e memory system, significantly enhancing the capability to process large models [2] - The U.S. government approved Nvidia's export of the H200 chip to China under certain conditions, including a 25% sales revenue fee, despite opposition from hawkish lawmakers [2] Group 2 - The production of key components for the H200 chip, such as printed circuit boards (PCBs), has been halted due to uncertainties surrounding U.S. export controls [2] - PCBs are essential for GPU/AI chips, providing physical support, signal transmission, and power distribution [3] - Different GPU models may require specific PCB designs based on their pin configurations and intended applications, leading to multiple differentiated PCB versions for the same GPU [3] Group 3 - Domestic GPU companies, including Moer Technology, Muxi Co., Biran Technology, and Tianshu Zhixin, rely on PCBs as a crucial raw material [4] - Shenghong Technology is identified as a core PCB supplier for domestic GPU manufacturers, holding over 50% of the global graphics card PCB market share [5] - Huadian Co. is another significant supplier, focusing on high-layer boards for UBB motherboards and data center computing boards [5]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [4][40]. Core Insights - Intel's Q4 2025 revenue was $13.7 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3%. The revenue from the Client Computing Group (CCG) was $8.19 billion, down 6.6% year-on-year, while the Data Center and AI (DCAI) segment saw revenue of $4.74 billion, up 8.9% year-on-year. The Foundry business generated $4.51 billion, an increase of 3.8% year-on-year. Despite a recovery in core DCAI business, Intel's Q1 2026 guidance was significantly below market expectations, forecasting revenue between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion [4][7][8]. - TE Connectivity reported Q1 2026 net sales of $4.7 billion, a 22% year-on-year increase, driven by growth in industrial and transportation sectors. Earnings per share rose to $2.53, up 45% year-on-year, with adjusted EPS at $2.72, a 33% increase. The company expects Q2 2026 sales of approximately $4.7 billion, a 13% year-on-year increase [4][7][8]. - Resonac, a major semiconductor materials manufacturer, announced a 30% price increase for all series of copper-clad laminates and adhesive films starting March 1, 2026, due to tight supply and rising costs of raw materials [4][8]. - The semiconductor industry is expected to benefit from AI advancements, with a projected 10,000-fold increase in total computing power by 2035. Key investment targets include companies across the semiconductor supply chain, such as SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and others [4][36]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Intel's Q4 2025 revenue was $13.7 billion, with a decline in CCG but growth in DCAI. Q1 2026 revenue guidance is significantly lower than expected [4][7]. - TE Connectivity's Q1 2026 net sales were $4.7 billion, with strong performance in industrial and transportation sectors [4][8]. - Price increases announced by Resonac and other companies in the semiconductor materials sector due to rising costs [4][8]. Market Review - The electronic industry saw a weekly increase of 1.39% from January 19 to January 23, 2026, with the construction materials sector leading the gains [9][10]. Industry High-Frequency Data Tracking - TV panel prices are expected to see mild increases in January 2026, while monitor panel prices are predicted to remain stable [16][18]. - Memory prices for various DRAM types have shown an upward trend from January 19 to January 23, 2026 [21].