Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights an increase in the valuation center of new consumption, with new tobacco and smart glasses industries poised for catalysts [2] - The report discusses various sectors including paper, exports, new tobacco, home furnishings, consumer goods, packaging, two-wheelers, gold and jewelry, cross-border e-commerce, IP retail, maternal and child products, beauty care, e-commerce, electrical lighting, and tools, indicating a broad analysis of the light industry [2][3][4][5] Summary by Relevant Sections Paper Industry - As of May 15, the average weekly price of imported needle and broadleaf pulp increased by 1.1% and 0.9% respectively, influenced by overseas supply and easing US-China trade tensions [2] - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in paper prices due to ongoing demand and cost pressures [2] Export Sector - The narrative remains positive with structural growth and overseas capacity as long-term focus areas [2] - Companies like Walmart and YETI reported stable growth, with Walmart's Q1 revenue up by 2.5% year-on-year [2] New Tobacco - The GLO HILO product from British American Tobacco is set to launch in Japan, with expectations for strong performance in 2024 [2] - Sales for various tobacco products are projected to grow, with heated tobacco products (HNB) and nicotine pouches showing significant increases [3] Home Furnishings - The report notes a decline in revenue and net profit for leading companies like Minhua, but anticipates recovery through multi-channel strategies [3] - Companies such as Gujia and Mousse are highlighted for their potential growth in the domestic market [3] Consumer Goods - The report mentions the upcoming 618 shopping festival, with domestic brands showing strong pre-sale performance [3] - Brands like Babycare and Bubululu are noted for their market leadership in specific categories [3] Packaging - Companies like Yongxin and Yutong are performing steadily, with growth in new segments [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of overseas market expansion for these companies [4] Two-Wheelers - Ninebot's cumulative sales have surpassed 7 million units, indicating robust growth in the electric two-wheeler market [4] - New product launches from companies like Niu Electric are also performing well [4] Gold and Jewelry - The report discusses the launch of new product lines and promotional activities by brands like Chao Hong Ji and Lao Feng Xiang [4] - Despite concerns over gold price fluctuations, sales performance remains strong [4] Cross-Border E-commerce - The easing of tariff pressures is seen as a temporary relief for sellers, with a focus on global supply chain strategies [4] - Companies like Anker Innovations and Zhiou Technology are highlighted for their strong global presence [4] IP Retail - The opening of new stores by brands like Pop Mart is expected to attract significant consumer interest [4] - The report notes the potential for increased foot traffic and sales through innovative product launches [4] Maternal and Child Products - The strategic investment by Kidswant in HanSang Technology aims to enhance service ecosystems [5] - The report emphasizes the importance of technology in improving customer experience [5] Beauty Care - Domestic brands are leading in pre-sale rankings for the 618 shopping festival, with significant year-on-year growth in sales [5] - Brands like Proya and Kefu Mei are noted for their strong market presence [5] E-commerce - The report discusses the focus on lower-tier markets and the integration of AI in retail strategies [5] - Companies like Huitongda Network are highlighted for their innovative approaches to market expansion [5] Electrical Lighting - Bull Group is focusing on smart lighting and international expansion, launching new products [5] - The report notes the brand's efforts to enhance its global reputation [5] Tools - The report indicates a recovery in shipments due to easing tariff impacts, with companies like Juxing Technology resuming exports [5] - The ongoing shift in production capacity is noted as a significant trend in the industry [5]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records primarily discuss the impact of tariffs on the technology and manufacturing sectors, particularly focusing on the U.S.-China trade relationship and its implications for various industries [1][2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Export Dynamics**: China's export to the U.S. is projected to decrease to 14.7% of total exports by 2024, a decline of 4.6 percentage points since 2018, although the absolute export value has slightly increased by 4.9% during the same period [2]. - **U.S. Import Trends**: The share of U.S. imports from China has decreased by 3.4% since 2018, with Mexico now being the largest importer to the U.S. In absolute terms, U.S. imports from China are expected to be $438.9 billion in 2024, down 18.5% from 2018 [4]. - **Tariff Agreements**: The new Geneva tariff agreement provides a temporary buffer for U.S.-China trade, alleviating some immediate pressures from tariff increases [5]. - **U.S. Economic Challenges**: The U.S. economy faces multiple pressures, including supply chain disruptions, weakening demand, inflation, and recession fears, with a significant amount of national debt maturing soon [6][7]. - **Federal Reserve's Position**: The Federal Reserve may adopt a dovish stance in upcoming meetings, potentially considering interest rate cuts to address economic challenges and manage debt issuance costs [8][9]. - **Market Reactions**: A temporary easing of trade tensions may catalyze a rebound in U.S. stock markets, although the long-term outlook remains bearish due to ongoing economic cycles [11]. Sector-Specific Insights - **Technology and AI**: The AI sector is experiencing cost reductions due to the ongoing Moore's Law, despite tariff pressures increasing cross-border hardware costs. Companies are shifting from one-time hardware investments to subscription models to manage costs [3][16]. - **Communication Industry**: The latest tariff situation has improved marginally for the communication sector, with a focus on high-quality domestic production and self-sufficiency as long-term investment themes [20]. - **Investment Recommendations**: Key sectors to watch include core safety assets (transportation, finance), technology innovation (computers, electronics), and consumer themes, particularly in light of improving U.S.-China relations [13]. Additional Important Content - **Long-term Trends**: The trend towards domestic production and self-sufficiency in technology is expected to continue, with specific targets set for 2027 [18]. - **AI and Semiconductor Impact**: U.S. export restrictions on AI chips are likely to significantly impact China's semiconductor industry, particularly in high-end markets [27]. - **Opportunities in Electronics**: The electronics sector is seeing potential recovery, especially for companies involved in the supply chain for consumer electronics [28]. - **Mechanical Industry Outlook**: The mechanical sector is advised to focus on companies that can adapt to changing application scenarios and capitalize on domestic demand recovery [35]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and trends discussed in the conference call records, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the relevant industries.

Core Insights - The total cross-border e-commerce import and export volume in China is projected to reach 2.63 trillion yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 10.8% and an increase of over 1 trillion yuan compared to 2020 [1] - Despite the overall growth in revenue for many cross-border e-commerce companies, profitability is under pressure, with several companies experiencing revenue growth without corresponding profit increases [1][3] Industry Overview - The global economy is showing signs of slow recovery, but geopolitical tensions and supply chain stability issues continue to pose challenges for international trade [2] - Many cross-border e-commerce companies are adjusting their strategies to cope with uncertainties, focusing on brand development, global supply chain restructuring, and exploring emerging markets [2] Company Performance - In 2024, six out of thirteen major cross-border e-commerce companies reported revenue growth without profit increases, and this trend continued into the first quarter of 2025 [1][3] - Companies like Lekai and Huakai Yibai saw significant revenue growth but faced substantial declines in net profit, with Lekai's net profit down 35.17% despite a 37.69% revenue increase [3][4] - Anker Innovations reported a strong performance with a 41.14% increase in revenue to 24.71 billion yuan and a 30.93% rise in net profit to 2.11 billion yuan in 2024 [5][6] Cost and Supply Chain Challenges - Fluctuations in shipping costs have been a significant challenge for many companies, with rising costs impacting profitability and inventory management [4][5] - The shipping industry is currently experiencing downward pressure on prices due to global supply chain disruptions and excess capacity, which may affect future earnings reports [5] Strategic Adjustments - Companies are increasingly focusing on diversifying their supply chains and sales markets to mitigate risks associated with reliance on single markets, particularly the U.S. [7][8] - Anker Innovations is implementing a "China + N" supply chain strategy to enhance resilience, with plans to increase overseas production capabilities [8][9] - Companies like Sewei Times and Giant Star Technology are also expanding their overseas supply chains, particularly in Southeast Asia, to reduce dependency on U.S. markets [9]

Summary of Conference Call on Tariff Impact on Machinery Export Chain Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the impact of recent tariff adjustments between China and the United States on the machinery industry, particularly focusing on companies like Zhejiang Dingli, Lingxiao Pump Industry, and others in the machinery export chain [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments - **Tariff Adjustments**: The machinery industry faces a new total tariff rate of 30%, which includes a 20% anti-dumping tax and a 10% global equivalent tariff. This is a significant increase from previous rates, but companies like Zhejiang Dingli have managed to mitigate the impact through cost control and price adjustments [2][3]. - **Zhejiang Dingli's Performance**: After successfully appealing against high anti-dumping duties, Zhejiang Dingli's effective tariff increase is only 11%. The company expects to maintain profit margins and has seen stable customer demand despite the tariff changes [3]. - **Other Chinese Manufacturers**: Companies such as Lingxiao Pump Industry and Chunfeng are positioned to pass on the new tariffs to downstream markets, maintaining their cost advantages. Low-value products like textiles and toys can also increase prices to offset tariff impacts [4]. - **Caterpillar's Outlook**: Caterpillar indicates that North American demand remains supported by order backlogs due to manufacturing reshoring, which extends delivery times. This environment is favorable for Zhejiang Dingli's growth in the U.S. market [5]. - **Jack Co. as an Investment**: Jack Co. is highlighted as a viable investment option due to its overseas production capabilities, which benefit from improved market confidence stemming from tariff negotiations. The company can effectively pass on costs to downstream markets [6][7]. - **Potential Beneficiaries**: Companies like Juxing, Yongda, and Jiechang are expected to benefit from improved demand in the U.S. market and stable domestic demand, which enhances their profit margins [8]. - **Global Tariff Environment**: The current global tariff landscape suggests that if average tariffs are around 10%, the impact on consumer purchasing power will be limited, leading to less severe demand disruptions for export chain companies [9]. - **Impact of U.S.-China Relations**: The lack of decoupling between the U.S. and China is expected to stabilize domestic demand in the manufacturing sector, particularly for consumer goods, potentially leading to a recovery in orders that were previously affected by tariffs [10]. Other Important Insights - The machinery industry is experiencing a shift in expectations due to tariff changes, with leading companies likely to achieve excess returns as the market stabilizes [10]. - The overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with companies adapting to the new tariff environment and finding ways to maintain profitability despite challenges [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the **China-U.S. trade negotiations** and its impact on the **export chain** and **mechanical sector** companies. Core Points and Arguments - **Trade Negotiation Outcomes**: The recent China-U.S. trade negotiations exceeded expectations, indicating a potential for future tariff reductions, which could positively impact the mechanical sector investment strategy [1][7] - **Market Sentiment**: The reduction in expectations for reciprocal tariffs suggests that export chain companies may return to levels seen before April 2, 2025, with strong demand from downstream inventory consumption [1][8] - **Retail Inventory Crisis**: Major U.S. retailers like Walmart, Home Depot, and Lowe's are facing inventory shortages, which has led to a shift in tariff expectations, highlighting the competitive advantage of the Chinese supply chain [1][9][10] - **Short-term Performance**: The next 90 days are critical for export chain companies to build global capacity, as strong stocking intentions from consumers and channels may lead to a surge in Q2 performance [1][11] - **Long-term Economic Outlook**: The trade agreement has reduced recession fears in the U.S. and lowered inflation pressures, potentially leading to interest rate cuts and tax reductions that could bolster U.S. demand resilience [3][12] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - **Sector Recommendations**: Companies such as **Juxing Technology**, **TaoTao Vehicle**, **Zhongji United**, **Sany Heavy Industry**, **Xugong Machinery**, and **Huatong Cable** are highlighted as having strong investment potential due to their resilience in overseas markets [5] - **Impact of Tariffs on Exports**: The overall tariff on Chinese exports to the U.S. is approximately 55%, with potential for further reductions, which necessitates a strategic adjustment in investment approaches for the mechanical sector [6][7] - **Investment Opportunities**: Companies with significant price elasticity in demand should be prioritized for investment, particularly those with strong overseas capacity building capabilities [2][13] - **Comparative Analysis**: **Quanfeng Holdings** is noted to have a lower overseas capacity ratio compared to **Juxing Technology**, but it is expected to recover to pre-April 2 profit levels due to the temporary tariff measures [15][16] - **Market Recovery Potential**: **Honghua Digital Science** is identified as a potential recovery candidate despite a significant drop in stock price, with limited exposure to U.S. exports [17] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, focusing on the implications of the trade negotiations and the strategic positioning of various companies within the mechanical and export sectors.

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry and Companies Involved - **Industry**: Manufacturing, specifically focusing on export-oriented companies affected by tariffs - **Companies**: 永艺股份 (Yongyi Co.), 浩洋股份 (Haoyang Co.) Key Points and Arguments Tariff Impact on Export Companies - The U.S. has imposed a 30% tariff on Chinese goods, which includes a 20% increase and an additional 10% tariff. China has also imposed a 10% tariff on U.S. goods. This has short-term operational impacts on export companies, but costs can be shared with downstream customers or passed on to end consumers. [3][4] - After tariffs return to a reasonable level, domestic shipping schedules are expected to normalize, with a recovery in orders anticipated in Q2. However, downstream companies are cautious about inventory levels due to previous high stock phases. [1][4] Company-Specific Insights - **永艺股份 (Yongyi Co.)**: - Holds an irreplaceable position in the office chair segment, with a strong supply chain that creates customer barriers. Recent orders are optimistic, with the Vietnam factory ramping up shipments to take advantage of tariff windows. Profit margins remain largely unaffected. [1][8] - The 2025 profit forecast is approximately 380 million yuan, with a current valuation of 10 times earnings, indicating a high cost-performance ratio within the export chain. The company is seen as a resilient choice with a dividend yield exceeding 4%. [10] - **浩洋股份 (Haoyang Co.)**: - Demonstrates cost efficiency and product innovation in stage lighting and performance equipment manufacturing. The company is actively developing new products, such as laser light sources, which are expected to drive long-term growth. [1][11] - The 2025 profit forecast is slightly above 300 million yuan, with a current valuation of about 14 times earnings, which is considered low compared to historical levels. The sentiment in U.S. business is improving, which is a positive factor for overall export sentiment. [13][14] Long-term Outlook and Valuation - Export companies are experiencing a valuation drop due to tariff pressures, but those with strong core advantages and a high proportion of overseas factories, like Yongyi and Haoyang, are less affected. Their valuations are now aligned with growth potential, making them suitable for long-term investment. [5][12] - The long-term growth drivers for Haoyang are expected to shift more towards proprietary brands and laser products rather than OEM business, which will enhance profitability and optimize product structure. [12] Additional Considerations - The overall sentiment regarding orders is improving as the actual burden of tariffs on end consumers is expected to be minimal. This could lead to a further recovery in order expectations in the short term. [9] - The selection of export chain companies should prioritize those with high growth potential, especially in the context of changing tariff environments. [15]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry or Company Involved - The notes primarily discuss the export chain industry, particularly companies affected by tariffs and their strategies to mitigate impacts. Specific companies mentioned include Jiangxin Home, Juxing Technology, and Chunfeng Power, as well as companies related to the Belt and Road Initiative and the fruit chain (electronics industry). Core Points and Arguments - **Impact of Tariffs on Profitability**: In 2019, the implementation of a 25% tariff on exports to the US resulted in a 5-10 percentage point decrease in gross margins and a 2-3 percentage point decline in net profits for listed companies. Some companies managed to mitigate these impacts through transfer or hedging measures [1][3][4]. - **Establishment of Overseas Factories**: Between 2023 and 2024, export chain companies established overseas factories in Southeast Asia, Europe, and Mexico, effectively reducing the impact of the 25% tariff and achieving historically high profitability, although valuations did not significantly improve [1][3]. - **Stock Performance and Market Reactions**: In the second half of 2024, stock returns for some export chain companies increased significantly due to expectations surrounding Trump's potential re-election. However, in 2025, the implementation of global tariffs led to notable declines in stock prices for companies like Jiangxin Home and Juxing Technology [1][3][4]. - **Recent Stock Recovery**: Recently, stocks of companies like Jiangxin Home have rebounded, indicating a 10-20% increase from their lows. The uncertainty surrounding new tariffs is expected to have a limited impact on financial statements, although overall rates remain higher than before [4][5]. - **Future Profitability of Export Companies**: The ability of export companies to maintain profitability will depend on global trade policies, corporate strategies, and market demand. Many companies have adapted by establishing overseas factories and implementing pricing strategies to offset tariff impacts [5][6]. - **Market Response in 2025**: The market's response to the machinery export sector in the first half of 2025 is complex, with traditional export chains facing limited opportunities despite potential short-term profit impacts from tariffs. The US is expected to accelerate inventory replenishment, which may positively affect export data in late May to June [6][7]. - **Concerns for North American Machinery Exporters**: North American machinery exporters should monitor tariff impacts, short-term demand fluctuations post-inventory replenishment, and long-term demand trends influenced by interest rates and consumer behavior [7]. - **Prospects for Belt and Road Initiative Companies**: Companies involved in the Belt and Road Initiative, such as construction machinery and oil and gas equipment manufacturers, are expected to perform well due to favorable fundamentals and potential marginal profit increases [2][8]. - **Outlook for the Fruit Chain**: The fruit chain (electronics industry) is anticipated to have a positive growth trajectory over the next one to two years, benefiting from tariff reductions and domestic substitution strategies [9]. - **Recommended Investment Directions**: In the current high-volatility environment, the focus should be on military and robotics-related assets, which have performed well due to geopolitical events. Additionally, opportunities in companies with high exposure to the Belt and Road Initiative and domestic construction should be prioritized [10]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The notes highlight the importance of strategic adjustments by companies in response to tariff changes and market conditions, emphasizing the need for flexibility in operational strategies to sustain profitability amidst evolving trade environments [5][6]. - The potential for recovery in stock prices suggests a market that is responsive to both macroeconomic signals and company-specific strategies, indicating a dynamic investment landscape [4][6].

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - Focus on the impact of US-China tariff adjustments on various industries, including technology, communication, manufacturing, and the internet sector. Core Points and Arguments US-China Tariff Adjustments - The US has reduced tariffs on China from 145% to 30%, including the cancellation of 91% of pressure tariffs and a delay on some reciprocal tariffs, leading to positive market reactions. However, uncertainty remains regarding the full implementation of the 34% reciprocal tariffs [1][2][34]. - The market is optimistic about the potential cancellation of the 20% fentanyl tariff due to China's strict management since 2018, but the 24% delayed reciprocal tariffs are less likely to be removed [2][3]. Domestic Policy Shifts - The Chinese government is adopting an active fiscal policy, including accelerated bond issuance and interest rate cuts, to stabilize growth. This policy response is expected to be quicker than in previous years [1][4]. - Investment opportunities include high-yield assets, overseas expansion, and gold assets due to global order restructuring [1][4]. Stock Market Dynamics - The US-China agreement is expected to enhance market risk appetite, primarily driven by changes in the intrinsic logic of the Chinese stock market, such as declining discount rates and risk-free rates, making equities more attractive [1][5][6]. - The Shanghai Composite Index is projected to reach 3,500-3,600 points before July, with the Hang Seng Index expected to hit new highs in the second half of the year [1][6]. Export Chain and Technology Sector - The export chain, particularly in sectors related to Apple, Nvidia, and Tesla, is anticipated to recover significantly, supported by favorable liquidity and risk appetite [1][7]. - The technology sector is expected to continue its growth trajectory, driven by trends in AI and robotics, which present substantial market opportunities [7]. Hong Kong Stock Market - The investment value of the Hong Kong internet sector has improved due to the easing of US-China geopolitical tensions, with strong fundamentals and reasonable valuations. Key stocks to watch include Alibaba and Kuaishou [1][8][45][46]. Communication Industry - The communication sector has been significantly impacted by tariff changes, with major players experiencing notable adjustments in stock prices. However, strong capital expenditure growth in North America is expected to drive demand for optical modules and related technologies [2][21][23][24][25]. Manufacturing Supply Chain Trends - There is a trend of global manufacturing supply chains relocating to third countries, with China focusing on a "China for China" strategy to serve its domestic market [2][35]. Investment Opportunities - In the current environment, there are promising investment opportunities in financials and high-dividend assets, particularly as risk-free rates decline [9][10]. - Companies with strong overseas production capabilities and those involved in the AI supply chain are recommended for investment [18][20][28][32]. Long-term Market Outlook - The long-term outlook for the Hong Kong stock market is positive, driven by strong fundamentals in technology and new consumer sectors, alongside increased capital inflows from mainland investors [11][14]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The impact of the H20 chip ban on domestic cloud manufacturers is significant, affecting their capital expenditure and market expectations [27]. - The home appliance industry is seeing a shift due to tariff reductions, with high-margin products like robotic vacuums gaining competitive advantages [53][54][57][58]. - The textile manufacturing sector is experiencing accelerated capacity transfer overseas, particularly to Southeast Asia, driven by economic factors [41][43]. This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call records, highlighting the implications of tariff adjustments and domestic policies on various sectors and investment opportunities.

127只个股今日获机构买入型评级，4股最新评级被调高，16股机构首次关注。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，今日机构研报共发布129条买入型评级记录，共涉及127只个股。顾家家 居、九号公司等关注度最高，均有2次机构买入型评级记录。 今日获机构买入型评级个股中，共有24条评级记录中对相关个股给出了未来目标价。以公布的预测目标 价与最新收盘价进行对比显示，共有18股上涨空间超20%，立讯精密上涨空间最高，5月13日招商证券 预计公司目标价为60.00元，上涨空间达77.51%，上涨空间较高的个股还有德林海、伊之密等，上涨空 间分别为48.95%、45.61%。 从机构评级变动看，今日机构买入型评级记录中，有16条评级记录为机构首次关注，涉及埃斯顿、爱尔 眼科等16只个股。今日机构评级调高的共有4条记录，涉及佳都科技、康冠科技等4只个股。 市场表现方面，机构买入型评级个股今日平均下跌0.15%，表现弱于沪指。股价上涨的有54只，涨幅居 前的有通威股份、双良节能、上海银行等，今日涨幅分别为7.56%、4.27%、3.76%。跌幅较大的个股有 兆威机电、航材股份、巨星科技等，跌幅分别为5.92%、3.02%、2.89%。 ...

Macro Viewpoints - The recent negotiations resulted in the mutual cancellation of 91% of tariffs and a 90-day suspension of 24% tariffs, with a remaining 10% tariff retained by both sides [9][10][14] - The substantial progress in negotiations is attributed to three main factors: smoother negotiations between China and G2 countries, higher economic dependency of the US on China, and China's enhanced hard power [10][11][12] - The outlook for US-China trade is expected to be short-term easing, with China maintaining a strong position across various dimensions, although uncertainties regarding tariffs may resurface in the medium term [12] Strategy Viewpoints - The optimistic outcomes of the tariff negotiations exceeded market expectations, potentially restoring trade volumes to pre-tariff levels and improving global trade chains and capital market risk appetite [16] - Future trading logic includes the recovery of previously disrupted supply chains, investments in technology themes driven by improved risk appetite, and focusing on exports with supply chain advantages and significant market share growth potential [17] Textile and Apparel Viewpoints - The textile and apparel sector is witnessing stable orders from leading manufacturers, with a focus on companies with strong cross-regional capacity, high profit margins, and solid customer structures [18] - April 2025 export data shows positive trends, with significant year-on-year growth in textile exports from Vietnam and Cambodia, indicating robust demand [19] - Investment recommendations include leading manufacturers such as Jiuxing Holdings, Crystal International, and Shenzhou International, which are expected to show strong profit growth in the coming years [20][21] Home Appliance Viewpoints - The recent tariff negotiations have significantly boosted sentiment in the export supply chain, particularly benefiting companies with global operations like Midea and Haier, which have adapted their supply chains since the first tariff conflicts in 2018 [22][25] - Anticipated price increases in the US retail sector have led consumers to stock up on durable goods, driving demand growth in consumer spending [23] - Recommendations for investment focus on leading home appliance manufacturers and tool/small appliance companies that have successfully expanded their overseas operations [25] Metal Viewpoints - Copper is currently the strongest industrial metal, with demand exceeding expectations and supply issues persisting, indicating a favorable outlook for copper prices [26] - Aluminum prices have shown no rebound since early April, with market focus shifting to supply rigidity as US tariffs ease [27] - Tin prices are expected to rise due to supply recovery and potential downstream replenishment following the recent negotiations [28] - The rare earth sector is experiencing price fluctuations due to export controls, with demand expected to increase if restrictions are eased [29] - Tungsten prices have been rising due to reduced quotas, with strong demand anticipated from the manufacturing sector [30] - Gold prices are under pressure due to reduced risk aversion, with a critical support level around $3,200 [31]