Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the line control braking industry, particularly for the Electric Mechanical Brake (EMB) technology, which is expected to achieve mass production soon [1][4]. Core Insights - The line control braking technology is evolving, with domestic manufacturers likely to gain market share through technological advancements, particularly in EMB [1][4]. - EMB technology is aligned with the trends in smart driving, offering significant performance advantages such as faster response times and higher control precision, which are critical for active safety features [3][11]. - The line control braking market is projected to reach a scale of 25.75 billion yuan by 2030, with EMB expected to achieve a breakthrough in mass production by 2025, reaching a market size of 11.98 billion yuan by 2030 [4][63]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Insights - The report highlights three main technological paths for line control braking: EHB Two-box, EHB One-box, and EMB, with the One-box currently being the mainstream choice [1][10]. - EMB is transitioning from research and development to mass production, overcoming previous bottlenecks related to motor durability and regulatory frameworks [3][11][62]. 2. Line Control Braking - Line control braking is a crucial component of smart chassis systems, meeting the safety requirements of intelligent driving through rapid response and precise control capabilities [2][29]. - The evolution of braking systems has progressed from mechanical to hydraulic and now to line control systems, which utilize electronic signals for operation [20][24]. 3. EHB One-box and EMB - EHB One-box is currently the mainstream solution due to its compact size and low cost, with its market share expected to increase significantly by 2024 [52]. - EMB technology eliminates hydraulic structures, providing a fully electronic control system that enhances response speed and control accuracy, making it suitable for advanced driving assistance systems [47][56]. 4. Market Outlook - The line control braking market is anticipated to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.2% from 2024 to 2030, with significant contributions from the EMB segment [63]. - The report emphasizes the competitive landscape, noting that while foreign manufacturers dominate the EHB market, domestic companies are focusing on EMB development [4][61].

Group 1: Automotive Sector Insights - The current trend in the automotive sector is the industrialization of L4 autonomous driving, which is becoming a clear industry trend [1] - The passenger vehicle segment is experiencing relatively flat terminal insurance sales data, with automakers increasing promotional efforts to support performance expectations and new vehicle forecasts [1] - New vehicle launches and exports are expected to provide structural growth opportunities within the automotive sector, indicating potential for upward revisions in expectations [1] Group 2: Autonomous Driving Developments - Tesla plans to launch a paid full self-driving service in Austin, Texas, in June, with plans to expand to other cities by the end of the year, while preparing for a regulated full self-driving launch in Europe [2] - Companies like Pony.ai and WeRide are expanding their partnerships with Uber, accelerating the rollout of Robotaxi services globally [2] - The L4 technology has been at a low expectation point for a long time, but the capital market is quickly catching up with industry advancements, indicating potential for a new upward momentum in the sector [2] Group 3: Robotics Sector Analysis - The robotics sector has experienced a volatile market recently, with high expectations making further upward adjustments challenging, leading to a phase of validating individual stock performances [3] - Industry benchmark manufacturers have begun releasing initial large-scale procurement orders, with market focus shifting to mid-term prototype iterations and larger-scale production to validate industry trends [3] - Recommendations for investment include companies like BYD, Geely, and Xiamen King Long, as well as components suppliers such as Desay SV and Bertel [3]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guotai Junan highlights the three technological paths of line control braking: EHB Two-box, One-box, and EMB, with One-box currently being the mainstream choice and dominated by overseas manufacturers. EMB represents a true full-line control braking system with significant performance advantages, aligning with the trends in intelligent driving, and is transitioning from R&D to mass production [1][2]. Summary by Categories Line Control Braking Technology - Line control braking operates through electrical signals, making it a crucial component of intelligent chassis systems. The evolution of braking systems has progressed from mechanical to hydraulic and now to line control braking, which meets the safety requirements of intelligent driving [1]. Current Market Trends - EHB One-box is the current mainstream choice, with its market share increasing from 20.5% in 2021 to 63.4% in 2024 due to its compact size and low cost. EMB is expected to overcome previous production bottlenecks and is moving towards mass production, with the HBBW system likely to be the first to achieve this [3][4]. Market Outlook - The line control braking market is projected to reach a scale of 25.75 billion yuan by 2030, with EMB expected to achieve a breakthrough in mass production by 2025, reaching a scale of 11.98 billion yuan by 2030. Currently, foreign manufacturers hold over 60% of the EHB market share, while domestic manufacturers are focusing on EMB development [4][5]. Industry Development - As technology and regulatory frameworks advance, EMB is moving towards mass production, and domestic manufacturers are positioned to bypass the hydraulic control domain where foreign players have an advantage. Several domestic companies, including Berteli, Asia-Pacific Shares, and others, are actively engaged in EMB R&D, which is expected to enhance the domestic production rate in the line control braking industry [5].

Group 1 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments have launched the 2025 New Energy Vehicle (NEV) initiative to promote NEV usage in rural areas, focusing on quality and reliable models [1] - The initiative includes exhibitions, test drives, and collaboration with after-sales service, charging service, insurance, and financial service companies to enhance the NEV ecosystem in rural regions [1] - Policies such as tax reductions and incentives for vehicle trade-ins will encourage manufacturers to expand their product offerings and improve service levels in rural markets [1] Group 2 - Dongxing Securities notes that the automotive industry is experiencing intensified competition, impacting profitability and cash flow, but leading companies are still showing improvements in net profit and operating cash flow [2] - The release of new vehicles during auto shows and the ongoing effects of new policies are expected to gradually improve the performance of automotive companies in the second quarter [2] - Recommended companies for investment include SAIC Motor, Jianghuai Automobile, BYD, Changan Automobile, and others within the automotive and related sectors [2]

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨专题报告丨汽车与汽车零部件 [Table_Title] 汽车行业周报：政策持续优化， Robotaxi 商业 化落地加速 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 政策法规的持续迭代保证智能驾驶行业快速发展，目前已对高级别方案的车辆要求、人员要求、 安全要求等方面做出明确规定，未来全国性法规的持续完善有望推动智能驾驶的全面升级。国 内外重点企业规模化加速，均已部署规模超千辆运营车。国内主要关注百度（萝卜快跑）、小马 智行、文远知行等，海外主要关注 Waymo 和特斯拉。 汽车与汽车零部件 cjzqdt11111 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高伊楠 SAC：S0490517060001 SFC：BUW101 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 [Table_Title 汽车行业周报：政策持续优化， 2] Robotaxi 商业 化落地加速 [Table_Summary2] 一周车市 汽车销量：5 月 19 日-5 月 25 日交强险上牌数据显示，汽车销量 39.95 万辆，较 5 月 W3（5.12- 5. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the automotive and electronics sectors [6] Core Insights - The Robo X industry, represented by Robotaxi and Robovan, is experiencing accelerated commercialization driven by policy and industry resonance, with significant market attention due to multiple catalysts [10][11] - The global and China L4 autonomous driving market is projected to reach USD 15.35 trillion and USD 581 billion respectively by 2030, with a CAGR of 104% and 105% from 2025 to 2030 [10] - The report suggests focusing on core operational platforms, high-growth hardware suppliers, and innovative application scenario developers as investment opportunities [44] Summary by Sections Robotaxi - The commercialization of Robotaxi is accelerating, with leading companies like Pony.ai, WeRide, and Loongrun expanding fleet sizes and increasing order volumes [2][12] - Pony.ai's Robotaxi service revenue grew by 200% year-on-year in Q1 2025, while WeRide's revenue contribution reached 22.3%, up 10.4 percentage points year-on-year [2][19] - The policy environment is improving, with major cities expanding operational areas and refining license management, which lowers operational costs for companies [12][19] Robovan - Robovan is showing significant potential in logistics, with a positive cycle of "cost reduction-application validation-scale expansion" forming [3][23] - The hardware costs have drastically decreased, with models like the New Stone X3 dropping from CNY 200,000 to CNY 70,000, and the Jiushi Intelligent E6 model priced at CNY 19,800, a 91% reduction [3][23] - Major players are accelerating financing and production expansion, with Jiushi Intelligent targeting the delivery of 10,000 units in 2025 [3][24] Broader Applications - The Robo X concept extends beyond Robotaxi and Robovan to include applications like Robosweeper and Robotruck, which are also seeing accelerated commercialization [4][14] - Robosweeper has been deployed in multiple cities, reducing labor costs and improving operational efficiency [4][40] - Drone logistics is emerging as a key area, with significant potential in last-mile delivery and complex terrain transport, supported by favorable policies [41][42] Investment Opportunities - The report recommends focusing on core operational platforms that have achieved scalable operations and possess clear cost reduction paths, such as Pony.ai [44] - High-growth component suppliers in critical areas like lidar and high-performance chips are also highlighted as potential beneficiaries of the autonomous vehicle rollout [44] - Companies that integrate autonomous driving technology with specific industry applications, such as smart warehousing and last-mile delivery robots, are identified as innovative scenario developers [44]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The focus is on the automotive industry, specifically the trends in automotive intelligence and electrification strategies. The current market dynamics are influenced by a price war in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, which is seen as a temporary disruption to the long-term growth of automotive intelligence [1][3]. Key Points and Arguments - **Investment Strategy**: The electric vehicle price war, while disruptive, presents a good opportunity for bottom-fishing investments. The long-term logic of automotive intelligence remains unchanged, and investors should focus on structural opportunities [1][2]. - **Consumer Willingness**: Consumer willingness to pay for automotive intelligence is expected to increase with the rising penetration of electric vehicles. The penetration rate for urban NOA (Navigation on Autopilot) is projected to accelerate in the second half of the year, particularly in Q3 [1][6]. - **Market Growth**: The domestic market is expected to grow by 4% in 2025 due to the old-for-new policy. Traditional automakers like BYD and Geely are rapidly advancing in the mid-to-low price segment, but the effectiveness of these strategies remains to be observed [1][8]. - **Market Share**: Domestic brands have achieved a market share of 70.81% based on transaction value, but merely relying on price cuts to increase market share is challenging without stronger product capabilities [1][10]. - **Technological Advancements**: The acceleration of autonomous driving technology is anticipated, with a significant update expected in July. The installation of LiDAR is increasing rapidly, and the market is closely watching developments from companies like Xiaomi [1][11][13]. Important but Overlooked Content - **Stock Recommendations**: Key stocks to watch include XPeng in Hong Kong, and in A-shares, companies related to Huawei such as Desay SV, Bertel, and Jin Hong Holdings. In the US market, Pony.ai is highlighted, along with Jinwei Co., Run Technology, and Xingling Technology in A-shares [1][4][5]. - **Consumer Sentiment**: There is a gradual decline in consumer hesitation towards electric vehicles, with a notable increase in transaction volumes reported by BYD. The penetration rate for electric vehicles is expected to exceed 60% this year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33% [1][9]. - **Future Outlook**: The overall sentiment towards the automotive intelligence sector remains optimistic despite short-term fluctuations. The potential for new business models, particularly in autonomous taxi services, could significantly impact the automotive industry [2][3]. Conclusion The automotive industry is at a pivotal moment with the interplay of electrification and intelligence. While short-term price wars may create volatility, the long-term outlook remains positive, driven by technological advancements and changing consumer preferences. Key players and stocks in this space are positioned to benefit from the ongoing transformation.

Core Conclusion - The review of the week shows that the compulsory insurance for the fourth week of May reached 391,000 vehicles, with a week-on-week increase of 2.7% but a month-on-month decrease of 11.5% [2][7] - The performance of various segments this week ranked as follows: SW commercial passenger vehicles (-0.1%) > SW motorcycles and others (-1.1%) > SW commercial freight vehicles (-1.8%) > SW auto parts (-1.9%) > SW automobiles (-4.1%) > SW passenger vehicles (-9.5%) [2][7] - The top five stocks covered this week with the highest gains were Jingwei Hengrun-W, King Long Automobile, Xinquan Co., China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, and Desay SV [2][7] - Research outputs from the team included a deep dive on Jifeng Holdings titled "Overseas Inflection Point Approaches, Seats Accelerate Release," investment strategies for automotive intelligence in June, a report on buses for May, and a commentary on Li Auto's Q1 results [2][7] Industry Changes - Key changes in the industry this week include: 1) The launch of Xiaopeng MONA M03 Max, featuring the strongest AI-assisted driving in its class, making high-end intelligent driving accessible for under 150,000 yuan [3][7] 2) Li Auto reported Q1 2025 revenue of 25.93 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 1.1% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 41.4%. Vehicle sales revenue was 24.68 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 1.8% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 42.1%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 650 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 9.7% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 81.5% [3][7] 3) The launch of the ZunJie S800 [3][7] 4) Aikodi announced a draft for a private placement to acquire 71% of Zhuoerbo's equity for a total consideration of 1.118 billion yuan [3][7] 5) Xiaomi's YU7 was unveiled, with Huayang Group assisting in creating a panoramic display [3][7] Sector Outlook - The outlook for the automotive sector remains positive, with a focus on three main lines: AI robotics, AI intelligence, and favorable market conditions [4][8] - The automotive A-H shares underperformed the market last week, primarily due to concerns over a new round of price wars in the passenger vehicle segment, which may impact profitability [4][8] - The launch of Xiaopeng MONA M03 Max saw 12,600 pre-orders within an hour, while the ZunJie S800 garnered 1,600 pre-orders within 24 hours [4][8] Current Configuration of the Automotive Sector - The company maintains a positive outlook for 2025, focusing on three main lines: AI robotics, AI intelligence, and favorable market conditions, with the robotics line expected to show the most elasticity in May [5][8] - For the AI robotics line, preferred stocks include Top Group, Joyson Electronics, Precision Forging Technology, Zhongding Sealing Parts, Aikodi, and Ruihu Mould [5][8] - For the AI intelligence line, preferred stocks in Hong Kong include Xiaopeng Motors, Li Auto, and Xiaomi Group, while A-shares include Seres, SAIC Motor, and BYD. Preferred auto parts include Horizon Robotics, Desay SV, Bertley, and Hezhima Intelligent [5][8] - For the favorable market conditions line, preferred stocks include Yutong Bus, China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, Weichai Power, and auto parts such as Fuyao Glass, Xingyu Co., Xinquan Co., and Jifeng Holdings [5][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the automotive and automotive parts industry [5] Core Insights - Strong demand for unmanned delivery and accelerated application of L4 scenarios are driving the industry forward [2][10] - The automotive sector underperformed the market recently, with a decline of 2.90% in the A-share automotive sector [44] - Key companies to focus on include Geely, BYD, Xiaopeng Motors, Xiaomi Group, Berteli, Top Group, and others [2][24] Summary by Sections 1. Unmanned Delivery Demand - The demand for unmanned delivery is driven by labor shortages and cost pressures, with express delivery volume expected to grow at a CAGR of 22.5% from 2019 to 2024 [2][10] - The penetration rate of L2+ vehicles is projected to exceed 90% by 2030, leading to a cost revolution in the supply chain [2][12] - Policy support is enhancing the deployment of low-speed unmanned vehicles, with over 100 cities expected to open road rights by 2025 [2][22] 2. Passenger Vehicles - The report highlights the importance of intelligent and globalized breakthroughs in quality autonomous vehicle manufacturers [24] - The continuation of vehicle replacement policies is expected to stimulate domestic demand [24][54] 3. Robotics - The report sees a rapid acceleration in the industrialization of robotics, particularly humanoid robots, which are expected to transform production and lifestyle [29][31] - Key players in the robotics field include Tesla, NVIDIA, and Huawei, with significant advancements anticipated in 2025 [31][33] 4. Motorcycles - The market for large-displacement motorcycles is expanding, with a notable increase in sales and exports [36][37] - Recommended companies in this sector include Chunfeng Power, which is a leading player in the large-displacement motorcycle market [37] 5. Heavy Trucks - The heavy truck market is expected to recover due to expanded vehicle replacement subsidies, with a focus on low-emission vehicles [38][39] - Recommended companies include China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Weichai Power [39] 6. Tires - The tire industry is experiencing growth driven by high demand and the expansion of global operations [40][42] - Recommended companies include Sailun Tire and high-growth firms like Senkiren [42]

Data Summary - In the week of May 19-25, 2025, passenger car sales reached 399,000 units, up 12.1% year-on-year and 2.6% month-on-month; new energy vehicle sales were 222,000 units, up 20.4% year-on-year and 2.0% month-on-month; new energy penetration rate was 55.4%, down 0.4% month-on-month [1][48]. Market Performance - The automotive sector underperformed the market in the week of May 26-30, 2025, with a decline of 2.90%, ranking 30th among sub-industries, compared to the CSI 300's decline of 1.49%. Among sub-sectors, automotive services rose by 2.13%, while passenger cars fell by 5.59% [2][45]. Investment Recommendations - The core investment focus includes companies such as Geely Auto, BYD, Xpeng Motors, and Xiaomi Group, with a recommendation to pay attention to Berteli and Top Group [3][23]. Autonomous Delivery Demand - Strong demand for autonomous delivery is driven by labor shortages and cost pressures, with the express delivery business volume growing at a CAGR of 22.5% over five years, while the number of couriers only grew at 1.4%. The last mile of delivery accounts for 60% of logistics costs, and automation can significantly reduce these costs [4][21]. Supply Chain Developments - The cost revolution in core components is driven by technological scaling, with the average price of lidar dropping from 22,500 to 2,600 yuan, and the price of autonomous delivery vehicles decreasing from around 500,000 to 20,000 yuan [12][21]. Policy Support - The opening of road rights is expected to accelerate the deployment of low-speed autonomous vehicles, with pilot programs set to deploy at least 200 vehicles in various cities by 2025 [18][19]. Robotics Industry Acceleration - The robotics industry is witnessing rapid advancements, with companies like ZhiYuan Robotics and Figure making significant progress in humanoid robots. The integration of AI and advanced manufacturing technologies is expected to reshape production and lifestyle [5][27]. Motorcycle Market Insights - The motorcycle market is experiencing growth, with sales of 250cc and above motorcycles reaching 93,000 units in April 2025, up 28.0% year-on-year. The leading company, Chunfeng Power, holds a market share of 24.1% [35][36]. Heavy Truck Market - The heavy truck market is expected to recover due to expanded subsidies for replacing old vehicles, with sales in April 2025 reaching 87,700 units, up 6.5% year-on-year. The new subsidy policy is anticipated to stimulate demand significantly [38][39]. Tire Industry Outlook - The tire industry is benefiting from high demand and low valuations, with a focus on leading companies and high-growth potential firms. The global expansion of tire manufacturers is expected to enhance competitiveness [41][42].