申银万国期货研究所 陆甲明 （从业编号F3079531 交易咨询号Z0015919） 免 责 声 明 本公司具有中国证监会核准的期货交易咨询业务资格 （核准文号 证监许可[2011]1284号） 研究局限性和风险提示 报告中依据和结论存在范围局限性，对未来预测存在不及预期，以及宏观环境和产业链影响因素存在不确定性变化等风险。 分析师声明 作者具有期货交易咨询执业资格，保证报告所采用的数据均来自合规渠道，分析逻辑基于作者的职业理解，本报告清晰准确地 反映了作者的研究观点，力求独立、客观和公正，结论不受任何第三方的授意或影响，作者及利益相关方不曾因也将不会因本 报告中的具体推荐意见或观点而直接或间接获取任何形式的不当利益。 免责声明 本报告的信息均来源于第三方信息提供商或其他已公开信息，本公司对这些信息的准确性、完整性、时效性或可靠性不作任何 保证，也不保证所包含的信息和建议不会发生任何变更。市场有风险，投资需谨慎。我们力求报告内容的客观、公正，但文中 的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，报告中的信息或意见并不构成所述品种的买卖出价，投资者据此做出的任何投资决策与本公司 无关。 本报告所涵括的信息仅供交流研讨，投资者应合 ...

聚烯烃周报： 旺季陆续启动，逢低试多 能源化工团队 郭建锋 F03126846 何 慧 Z0011420 郭艳鹏 Z0021323 李 倩 F03134406 时间：2025/8/24 中辉期货有限公司交易咨询业务资格 证监许可[2015]75号 PE：社会库存转为去库，震荡偏强 【下周展望】 近期基本面改善，社会库存去化。供给端变动不大，暂无新增扩能压力，7月进口量为111万吨，累 计同比+2.5%，进口压力缓解。需求端，农膜陆续转为旺季，开工率连续5周上涨。目前产业链整体 库存压力不大，企业库存位于同期高位，社会库存及下游原料库存均处于同期中性偏低水平。 策略： 风险提示：1）上行风险：原油大幅上涨，宏观利好政策超预期；2）下行风险：原油大幅下跌，需 求不及预期。 2 1）单边：回调做多。L2601关注区间【7350-7550】。 2）套利：塑料近期检修力度更高，多LP01套利继续持有。 3）套保：基差同期低位，产业客户可择机卖保。 PP：供给持续攀升，跟随板块区间反弹 【本周回顾】 本周回顾：本周L2601合约在7243至7413宽幅震荡，振幅170点，周线2连阳。上周五夜盘开盘价为 7352，随后一路 ...

2025.08.25-08.29 螺纹钢、铁矿石 期货品种周报 01 P A R T 螺纹钢期货 Contents 01 中线行情分析 02 品种交易策略 03 相关数据情况 趋势判断逻辑 螺纹钢周度产量214万吨，表观消费量194万吨，主要钢厂库存174万 吨，社会库存642万吨。长城期货AI智能投询品种诊断报告显示螺纹钢 期货主力资金暂无明显多空倾向。 2 目录 中线行情分析 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型综合分析，螺纹钢期货主 力合约进入震荡整理区间。 中线趋势判断 1 观望等待整理阶段完成。 中线策略建议 3 品种交易策略 螺纹钢期货主力合约进入震荡整理区间。 n 上周策略回顾 n 本周策略建议 根据长城期货AI智能大数据量化策略模型，螺纹钢期货主力 合约进入震荡整理阶段，耐心等待新一轮中线趋势。 n 现货企业套期保值建议 整理阶段密切关注等待新一轮中线趋势明朗。 相关数据情况 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货交易咨询部 相关数据情况 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货交易咨询部 本报告数据来源为Wind、Mysteel、长城期货交易咨询部 相关数据情况 本报 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 沪锌期货早报-2025年8月25日 大越期货投资咨询部 祝森林 从业资格证号：F3023048 投资咨询证号： Z0013626 联系方式：0575-85225791 6、预期：LME库存仓单继续减少；上期所仓单保持高位；沪锌ZN2510：震 荡盘整。 8月22日期货交易所锌期货行情 1、基本面：外媒6月18日消息， 世界金属统计局( WBMS )公布的最新数据 报告显示，2025年4月, 全球锌板产量为115.3万吨，消费量为113.02万吨, 供应过剩2.27万吨。1-4月，全球锌板产量为445.14万吨,消费量为450.79 万吨，供应短缺5.65万吨。4月,全球锌板产量为107.22万吨。1-4月，全球 锌矿产量为404.06万吨；偏多。 2、基差：现货22240，基差-35；中性。 3、库存：8月22日LME锌库存较上日减少1300吨至68075吨，8月22日上期所 锌库存仓单较上日增加503吨至32791吨；中性。 4、盘面：昨日沪锌震荡反弹走势，收20日均线之下,20日均线向下；偏空。 5、主力持仓：主力净多头，空翻多；偏多。 重要提示：本报告非 ...

大宗商品研究所 化工研究组：张孟超 投资咨询资格证号：Z0017786 从业资格号：F03086954 2025年8月 银河能化微信公众号 目录 港口继续，甲醇偏弱态势 第二章 周度数据追踪 GALAXY FUTURES 1 1、核心观点及交易策略 GALAXY FUTURES 2 观点：原料煤方面，煤矿开工率下滑，截止8月22日，鄂市煤矿开工率76%，榆林地区煤矿开工率47%，煤矿恢复生产，鄂尔多斯地 区煤矿开工率与榆林地区开工率回升，当前鄂市与榆林地区煤炭日均产量400万吨附近，需求减弱，坑口价止涨回落。供应端，原料煤 价格止涨，西北主流甲醇企业竞拍价格坚挺，煤制甲醇利润在660元/吨附近，甲醇开工率高位稳定，国内供应持续宽松。进口端，口 端，美金昨日价格继续下跌，进口顺挂稳定，伊朗装置基本正常，非伊开工稳定，外盘开工高位，欧美市场稳定，中欧价差小幅扩大， 东南亚转口窗口关闭，伊朗8月已装78万吨，印度减量采购伊朗货源，伊朗降价招标，中国流向增加，非伊货源稳定，9月进口预期调 高至140万吨，美金商逢高获利出货积极，太仓到货较多，持续累库。需求端，传统下游进入淡季，开工率回落，MTO装置开工率回升， 兴兴 ...

证监许可【2011】1288号 报告 利空持续兑现 玉米关注低多机会 收储再度启动 生猪情绪扰动增强 现货底部震荡 鸡蛋高空思路不变 2025年08月22日 更多精彩内容 请关注 格林大华期货 官方微信 研究员：张晓君 联系方式：0371-65617380 期货从业资格证号：F0242716 期货交易咨询号：Z0011864 本周玉米期货分析逻辑及策略建议 【交易策略】 本周观点：利空持续兑现 玉米关注低多机会 【重要资讯】 1、22日南北港口价格弱势延续。锦州港（15%水/容重680-720）收购价2230-2240元/吨，较前一日跌20元/吨；蛇口港散粮玉米成交价2360 元/吨，较前一日持平。 2、22日深加工企业收购价弱势延续。东北地区企业主流收购均价2212元/吨，较前一日跌8元/吨；华北地区企业主流收购均价2460元/吨， 较前一日跌1元/吨。 6、中国粮油商务网监测数据显示，截止到2025年第34周末，广州港口谷物库存量为138.5万吨，环比下降11.78%，同比下降27.79%。其中： 玉米库存量为77.9万吨，环比增加14.22%，同比增加36.43%；高粱库存量为49.6万吨，环比下降2. ...

第一章 总则 华勤技术股份有限公司 对外投资管理制度 第一条 为规范华勤技术股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）的对外投资行 为，加强公司对外投资管理，防范对外投资风险，保障对外投资安全，提高对外 投资效益，维护公司形象和投资者的利益，依照《中华人民共和国公司法》《中 华人民共和国证券法》等法律、法规、规范性文件的相关规定，结合《华勤技术 股份有限公司章程》（以下简称《公司章程》）及公司的实际情况，制定本制度。 第二条 本制度所称对外投资是指公司为获取未来收益而将一定数量的货 币资金或公司所有的固定资产、其他流动资产、无形资产、股权等可以用货币估 价并可以依法转让的非货币财产作价出资，对外进行各种形式的投资活动。 本制度所称风险投资，是指公司进行私募股权投资（PE）、创投等风险投资 行为，将风险资本投向刚刚成立或快速成长的未上市新兴公司（主要是高科技公 司），在承担投资风险基础上为被投资公司提供长期股权投资和增值服务，再通 过上市、兼并或其它股权转让方式撤出投资，取得高额回报的一种投资方式，但 公司以扩大主营业务生产规模或延伸产业链为目的进行的投资除外。 本制度所称证券投资，是指公司在相关规则允许的情况下，在控制 ...

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core View of the Report The LPG market shows a pattern of increasing supply and weakening demand, with the spot price center shifting downward. The PG futures market rebounds due to the improvement in the international spot market and the low valuation of the futures. It is expected to continue the weak and volatile consolidation trend [1]. 3) Summary by Related Catalogs Market Data - **Spot Prices**: From August 15 to August 21, 2025, the prices of South China LPG remained at 4520, East China LPG increased from 4410 to 4398, and Shandong LPG rose from 4420 to 4500. The CFR South price of propane increased from 563 to 573, and the CIF Japan price of propane rose from 527 to 540 [1]. - **Daily Changes**: On August 21, compared with the previous day, the prices of South China LPG remained unchanged, East China LPG increased by 8, Shandong LPG increased by 20, the CFR South price of propane increased by 8, and the CIF Japan price of propane increased by 4 [1]. - **Futures Market**: The PG futures market shows a small rebound. The basis strengthened to 105 (-31), and the 09 - 10 spread was -493 (-29). The cheapest deliverable was East China civil gas at 4398 on Thursday [1]. Weekly View - **Market Conditions**: The international market is volatile, with freight rates generally in a high - level volatile state. The waiting time at the Panama Canal for VLGCs has decreased. The FEI and CP have increased, and the production profit of PP made from FEI and CP has weakened [1]. - **Fundamentals**: The unloading volume has decreased, chemical demand has slightly increased, and port inventories have decreased by 2.06%. Refinery commodity volume has decreased by 1.68%. Factory inventories have increased by 0.07%. The PDH operating rate is 76.33% (+2.49pct), and the combustion demand is still weak but gradually coming to an end [1].

Report Industry Investment Rating - The overall investment rating for the pure benzene and styrene industry is neutral [3] Core Viewpoints - Pure benzene: Last week, the operating load of pure benzene increased, with no new maintenance capacity and the restart of multiple maintenance devices, leading to a continuous increase in overall supply. With maintenance mostly completed, supply is expected to remain stable in September, still at a relatively high level. In terms of imports, South Korea's exports to China in the first ten days of August decreased significantly month-on-month, and China's imports in August are expected to decline substantially. Downstream demand is at a relatively high level for the same period, but overall downstream profits have declined significantly. In the short term, supply and demand for pure benzene are expected to be strong, but in the long run, poor downstream profits may lead to weakening demand. Particular attention should be paid to the stability of styrene demand. Port inventory of pure benzene has increased, and subsequent destocking is expected, with an upward driving force. In terms of valuation, the BZN spread is neutral, and the valuation is also relatively neutral [3] - Styrene: Last week, Fushun Petrochemical carried out maintenance on its styrene unit. Supply is expected to be high in August but may tighten in September due to an increase in maintenance. In terms of demand, multiple PS units increased their loads, and EPS had good sales at low prices, alleviating some inventory pressure. Overall, the comprehensive operating rate of the three downstream S products has rebounded, but current demand remains weak, mainly driven by rigid needs, and raw material inventories are high. In terms of terminal inventory, port inventory remained stable last week, and there is still pressure to accumulate inventory in August, with a downward driving force. In terms of valuation, the BZ - SM spread has declined significantly, and the styrene valuation is neutral [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Pure Benzene Supply - There are no new maintenance plans for pure benzene units, and the current operating rate is at a high level. Supply is expected to continue increasing [3] - Last week, there were no new maintenance devices for pure benzene, and supply is expected to increase. The maintenance of hydrogenated benzene is basically over, and supply is expected to remain at a high level [7][10] - After the peak of pure benzene maintenance has passed, with the commissioning of new devices, supply in August is expected to increase month-on-month [47] Pure Benzene Demand - Downstream overall operating rates are high and are expected to remain stable in the short term. However, downstream profit margins are poor, limiting demand potential. As the "Golden September and Silver October" period approaches, the situation of end - users should be observed [3] Pure Benzene Month - Spread - Pure benzene is expected to undergo destocking, and the paper futures month - spread structure is close to flat [3] Styrene Supply - Current supply is high, but may contract in September due to an increase in maintenance [3] - Last week, the styrene operating rate increased. Although Fushun Petrochemical's unit was under maintenance, overall supply remains high. Maintenance will increase in September, and supply may tighten [52] - With the commissioning of new devices, styrene supply is expected to continue to rise [87] Styrene Demand - The operating rate of the three downstream S products remains stable but is weak. Overall downstream profits are good, and demand is expected to remain stable [3] - Currently, the three S products are in the off - season. Overall demand shows some resilience, but inventories of the three S products are high, and subsequent demand may weaken. Attention should be paid to the destocking situation of the three S products during the "Golden September and Silver October" period [87] Styrene Month - Spread - Given the pattern of strong supply and weak demand combined with improved long - term expectations, the C structure is expected to be maintained [3] External Market Support - The arbitrage window between the US and Asia remains closed. In the first ten days of August, China imported 38,725 tons of pure benzene from South Korea, a significant month - on - month decrease and lower than the same period last year [3]

1 交易提示 交易咨询：0571-85165192，85058093 2025 年 8 月 21 日星期四 16519 新世纪期货交易提示（2025-8-21） | | | | 铁矿：短期制造业复苏被打断，ZZJ 会议不及预期，国内供给政策预期被 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 阶段性证伪，资金层面博弈加剧，预期偏差带来行情修复。产业层面，铁 | | | | | 矿全球发运环比大幅回升，港口库存小幅回升，但目前在高疏港的情况下 | | | 铁矿石 | 震荡偏弱 | 亦无明显累库压力。终端需求偏弱，高炉铁水小幅攀升，钢厂盈利比例处 | | | | | 于高位，现阶段钢厂主动减产动力不足。8 月下旬北方地区也有减产预期， | | | | | 但限产力度不及预期，短期铁矿石基本面矛盾有限，预计震荡偏弱运行。 | | | | | 煤焦：大商所调整焦煤期货主力合约交易限额，房地产和基建需求弱，焦 | | | | | 煤高位调整。产地煤矿整体恢复依然缓慢，上周煤矿精煤库存创 2024 年 | | | | | 3 月以来最低。与此同时，下游焦钢企业开工维持高位，线下部分煤矿受 | | ...