逆周期调节

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央行再出手!今日将开展5000亿元买断式逆回购操作
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-14 23:39
Group 1 - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) announced a 500 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation to maintain liquidity in the banking system [1] - The operation will be conducted on August 15 with a six-month term, following the maturity of 900 billion yuan in reverse repos in August [1] - This move indicates the PBOC's commitment to ensuring reasonable liquidity levels in the market, as it has consistently pre-announced operations since June [1] Group 2 - The central government has emphasized accelerating the issuance and use of government bonds, which supports the PBOC's liquidity measures [1] - There is an expectation of 300 billion yuan in Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) maturing in August, with market institutions predicting an increase in MLF operations [2] - The PBOC aims to maintain a stable liquidity environment, utilizing various monetary policy tools to ensure the banking system remains adequately liquid [2]
5000亿元,央行再出手
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-14 22:32
央行将开展5000亿元买断式逆回购操作。 中国人民银行(下称"央行")在8月14日提前公告,为保持银行体系流动性充裕,将于15日以固定数 量、利率招标、多重价位中标方式开展5000亿元6个月(182天)期限买断式逆回购操作。鉴于8月有累 计9000亿元买断式逆回购到期,而8月8日央行已开展过7000亿元3个月期限买断式逆回购操作,本月买 断式逆回购将实现净投放3000亿元。 自6月央行打破月末公告惯例以来,央行持续在月初、月中提前预告并开展买断式逆回购操作,释放出 央行坚决呵护市场流动性合理充裕的信号,提前预告的方式也有助于稳定市场预期。 8月15日操作后,央行买断式逆回购将实现连续三个月加量续作。东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青向证券 时报记者指出,当前政府债券持续处于发行高峰期阶段,央行开展买断式逆回购操作将流动性充裕,有 助于强化逆周期调节。 7月30日召开的中央政治局会议要求"加快政府债券发行使用"后,8月以来地方政府债券继续保持较快发 行速度。"在8月至9月政府债券缴款依然偏多的情况下,央行大概率维持协同思路,营造适宜的货币环 境。"华创证券固定收益首席分析师周冠南表示。 目前来看,8月还有3000亿元M ...
央行今日开展5000亿元 买断式逆回购操作
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-14 18:01
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is taking measures to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system by conducting a 500 billion yuan reverse repo operation with a six-month term, indicating a proactive approach to stabilize market expectations and support economic conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - On August 15, the PBOC will conduct a 500 billion yuan reverse repo operation, marking a net injection of 300 billion yuan for the month after accounting for 900 billion yuan in reverse repos maturing [1]. - The PBOC has been consistently signaling its commitment to ensuring reasonable liquidity levels in the market by announcing reverse repo operations in advance, which helps stabilize market expectations [1]. Group 2: Government Bonds and Monetary Policy - The issuance of government bonds is at a peak, and the PBOC's reverse repo operations are aimed at maintaining liquidity, which is crucial for counter-cyclical adjustments [1]. - Following the Central Political Bureau meeting on July 30, there has been a rapid issuance of local government bonds, and the PBOC is likely to maintain a supportive monetary environment in light of upcoming bond payments [1]. Group 3: Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) - In August, there is an expectation of 300 billion yuan in MLF maturing, with market institutions predicting an increase in MLF operations as well [2]. - Since March, the PBOC has been consistently increasing MLF operations, indicating a stable liquidity stance and a relatively loose monetary policy [2].
5000亿元!央行再出手
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-08-14 15:33
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is set to conduct a 500 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system, signaling a commitment to ensure reasonable liquidity levels in the market [1] Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - On August 15, the PBOC will implement a 500 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation with a six-month term, following the maturity of 900 billion yuan in reverse repos in August [1] - This operation will result in a net injection of 300 billion yuan into the market, as the PBOC had previously conducted a 700 billion yuan three-month reverse repo operation on August 8 [1] - The PBOC has consistently announced reverse repo operations in advance since June, which helps stabilize market expectations and reflects its determination to support liquidity [1] Group 2: Government Bonds and Market Conditions - The current high issuance of government bonds necessitates the PBOC's reverse repo operations to ensure liquidity, which is crucial for counter-cyclical adjustments [1] - Following the Central Political Bureau meeting on July 30, there has been a rapid issuance of local government bonds, indicating a continued focus on maintaining a favorable monetary environment [1] - Analysts expect that the PBOC will likely maintain a collaborative approach to liquidity management, especially with significant government bond payments expected in August and September [1] Group 3: MLF Operations - In August, there is an anticipated 300 billion yuan in Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) maturing, with expectations for an increase in MLF operations as well [2] - The PBOC has maintained a relatively loose monetary stance, with liquidity expected to remain stable in August [2] - The PBOC's 2025 work meeting emphasized the use of various monetary policy tools to keep liquidity ample, indicating a continuation of the "moderately loose" monetary policy [2]
5000亿元!央行再出手
证券时报· 2025-08-14 15:31
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is conducting a 500 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation to maintain liquidity in the banking system, signaling a commitment to ensure reasonable liquidity levels in the market [1]. Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - On August 15, the PBOC will conduct a 500 billion yuan reverse repo operation with a 6-month term, following the maturity of 900 billion yuan in reverse repos in August [1]. - This operation will result in a net injection of 300 billion yuan into the market, as the PBOC had previously conducted a 700 billion yuan operation on August 8 [1]. - The PBOC has been proactive in announcing reverse repo operations in advance, which helps stabilize market expectations and indicates a strong commitment to maintaining liquidity [1]. Group 2: Government Bonds and Monetary Policy - The central government's bond issuance is at a peak, and the PBOC's reverse repo operations are aimed at ensuring ample liquidity to support this [1]. - Following a recent meeting, the government emphasized accelerating the issuance and use of government bonds, which aligns with the PBOC's strategy to create a conducive monetary environment [1]. - Analysts expect that the PBOC will continue to maintain a relatively loose monetary policy, with liquidity remaining stable in August due to upcoming MLF (Medium-term Lending Facility) maturities [2]. Group 3: Future Expectations - The PBOC's recent meetings have indicated a commitment to using various monetary policy tools to keep liquidity abundant in the second half of 2025 [2]. - The overall stance of the PBOC is to ensure that the banking system remains in a state of reasonable liquidity, continuing the trend of "moderate easing" [2].
净投放3000亿元!央行再出手 明日将开展5000亿元买断式逆回购操作
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-14 15:26
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is conducting a buyback reverse repo operation of 500 billion yuan to maintain liquidity in the banking system, indicating a relatively loose monetary policy in August 2023 [1][2][3]. Group 1: Reverse Repo Operations - The PBOC will conduct a buyback reverse repo operation of 500 billion yuan with a term of 6 months on August 15, 2023, following a previous operation of 700 billion yuan on August 8 [1][2]. - In August, there are 4 billion yuan of 3-month and 5 billion yuan of 6-month buyback reverse repos maturing, with a total of 3 billion yuan of Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) also maturing [2][3]. - The total net injection of funds through the 3-month buyback reverse repo will be 3 billion yuan, while the 6-month variety will be fully offset [2]. Group 2: Market Liquidity and Policy Signals - The PBOC's actions are seen as a response to the upcoming government bond issuance peak and the large scale of maturing certificates of deposit, with a focus on encouraging financial institutions to increase credit supply [3][4]. - Analysts suggest that the PBOC will continue to use MLF and buyback reverse repos to inject medium-term liquidity, indicating a commitment to maintaining ample liquidity in the banking system [4]. - The average weighted interest rate for the interbank market has decreased, reflecting a continued decline in funding costs, which is influenced by various factors including monetary policy operations and market demand for funds [5][6].
8月买断式逆回购净投放3000亿,市场预期MLF也将加量续作
第一财经· 2025-08-14 14:59
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is implementing measures to maintain liquidity in the banking system, including a 500 billion yuan reverse repo operation, which aligns with market expectations and aims to support the economy during a period of significant government bond issuance and maturing deposits [3][4]. Group 1: PBOC Operations - On August 15, the PBOC will conduct a 500 billion yuan, 6-month reverse repo operation to ensure ample liquidity in the banking system [3]. - This operation follows a previous 700 billion yuan, 3-month reverse repo conducted on August 8, bringing the total reverse repo operations for the month to an excess of 300 billion yuan [3]. - The PBOC's actions are designed to offset maturing reverse repos, with 4 billion yuan of 3-month and 5 billion yuan of 6-month reverse repos set to mature in August [3]. Group 2: Market Analysis - Analysts suggest that the PBOC's increased reverse repo operations signal a relatively loose monetary policy, especially compared to the 200 billion yuan net injection in June and July [4]. - The timing of these operations is closely linked to the peak period for government bond issuance and significant maturing deposits, with expectations for a recovery in credit in August despite previous negative credit growth [4]. - It is anticipated that the PBOC will continue to rely on medium-term lending facilities (MLF) and reverse repos to maintain liquidity, rather than reducing reserve requirements or resuming government bond trading in the short term [4].
8月买断式逆回购净投放3000亿 市场预期MLF也将加量续作
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 14:40
8月14日,中国人民银行发布公告称,为保持银行体系流动性充裕,将于15日以固定数量、利率招标、 多重价位中标方式开展5000亿元6个月期(182天)买断式逆回购操作。 从资金到期情况看,8月分别有4000亿3个月期和5000亿6个月期买断式逆回购到期。央行通过两次操作 不仅完成对冲,还实现净投放,同时市场预计本月3000亿元MLF(中期借贷便利)到期后,央行也可 能加量续作。 展望后续,王青认为,短期内降准和恢复国债买卖的概率不大,央行更可能依赖MLF和买断式逆回购 等工具维持流动性充裕。整体来看,8月市场流动性不会延续7月下旬的收紧趋势,资金面将保持稳定充 裕。 对于政策意图,分析指出,央行持续加码中期流动性工具,一方面是为配合政府债券发行、缓解存单到 期压力,保持银行体系流动性充裕;另一方面释放了数量型货币政策工具持续加力的信号,强化逆周期 调节,推动宽信用进程。 (文章来源:第一财经) 中信证券首席经济学家明明认为,相较于6月、7月各2000亿元的买断式逆回购净投放规模,8月买断式 逆回购加量操作,叠加OMO(公开市场操作)虽持续净回笼但整体资金面宽松,释放了相对宽松的政 策信号。 东方金诚首席宏观分析 ...
中国央行15日开展5000亿元买断式逆回购操作
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-08-14 14:04
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is conducting a 500 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation to maintain ample liquidity in the banking system, signaling a continuation of supportive monetary policy measures [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy Actions - On August 15, the PBOC will implement a fixed-quantity, interest-rate bidding, multi-price reverse repurchase operation amounting to 500 billion yuan with a term of 182 days [1] - The central bank is expected to continue injecting medium-term liquidity through Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) and reverse repos, especially during a peak period of government bond issuance [1] Group 2: Market Liquidity Outlook - The overall market liquidity in August is not expected to follow the tightening trend observed since late July, with the sustainability of rising market interest rates needing further observation [1] - Given the relatively strong macroeconomic performance in the first half of the year and uncertainties in external conditions and economic growth momentum in the third quarter, the likelihood of a reserve requirement ratio (RRR) cut or resuming government bond trading in the short term is low [1]
7月社融数据超预期增长9%,"一石多鸟"政策效应加快显现
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-08-13 20:26
Core Viewpoint - The central bank's data indicates that as of the end of July, social financing scale, broad money (M2), and RMB loans grew by 9%, 8.8%, and 6.9% year-on-year, respectively, continuing to outpace economic growth [1][4]. Group 1: Credit Growth Analysis - In July, credit growth slowed due to multiple factors including seasonal effects, local government debt swaps, and financial institutions reducing excessive competition, leading to a decrease in the loan growth rate to 6.9%, down from 8.7% the previous year [2][3]. - July is traditionally a low month for credit, as June often sees higher lending due to banks' performance assessments and businesses' cash flow needs [2][3]. - The impact of local government debt swaps on loan data remains significant, with estimates suggesting that these swaps have influenced loan growth by approximately 2.6 trillion yuan [3]. Group 2: Monetary Policy and Financing Environment - The high growth rates of social financing scale and M2 reflect a moderately loose monetary policy, providing a suitable financial environment for the real economy [4][5]. - As of the end of July, the social financing scale stood at 431.26 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 9%, indicating a robust increase in financing activities [4]. - Government bond issuance has been a major driver of social financing growth, with a more proactive fiscal policy supporting economic demand [4][5]. Group 3: Loan Structure and Interest Rates - The structure of loans is optimizing to meet the demands of economic transformation, with inclusive small and micro loans and medium to long-term loans for manufacturing showing growth rates of 11.8% and 8.5%, respectively [7]. - Loan interest rates remain low, with new corporate loans averaging around 3.2% and personal housing loans at approximately 3.1%, reflecting a favorable credit supply environment [7]. - The reduction in financing costs has positively impacted effective demand, with some businesses reporting interest rates halved compared to previous levels [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Experts anticipate that macroeconomic policies will maintain continuity and stability in the second half of the year, supporting employment, businesses, and market expectations, which will facilitate smoother domestic economic circulation [8].