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释放有力信号!全面、精准 一揽子金融政策对经济发展提供多维度支撑 | 解读↓
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-05-07 08:09
央视网消息:5月7日,国务院新闻办公室就"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况举行新闻发布会。这场新闻发布会上所释放的政策信 息,对于未来经济发展有何助力? 对于房地产方面,政策也在加码。从需求端看,下调个人住房公积金贷款利率,减轻居民负担,并刺激购房需求。从供给端来看,加快出台和 房地产发展新模式相适配的系列融资制度,来助力持续巩固房地产市场的稳定态势。 北京师范大学教授、经济学专家万喆表示,发布会释放了一系列金融政策的"组合拳",核心还是围绕稳市场、稳预期展开。政策力度很大、覆 盖范围广,对未来经济发展也具有多维度的支撑作用。 货币政策全面宽松 释放流动性 从主要关注点来看,首先是在宏观经济方面。货币政策调整和流动性支持力度相当大。发布会也明确提及,要通过降准降息等工具来释放流动 性,降低实体经济融资成本,缓解当前的有效需求不足这等问题,提振企业投资和居民消费的信心。 房地产政策精准施策 促进市场企稳 在资本市场方面,资本市场改革和中长期资金引入也是"组合拳"之一,进一步扩大保险资金长期投资试点范围,为市场引入更多的增量资金, 而且也会调整优化监管规则,进一步降低保险公司股票投资风险因子,来支持稳定和 ...
一揽子金融政策点评:金融口发布会引领走出黄金坑
Huachuang Securities· 2025-05-07 08:04
证 券 研 究 报 告 【策略快评】 金融口发布会引领走出黄金坑 ——一揽子金融政策点评 1、针对实体经济的支持:包括总量和结构两方面:①总量方面,降准 50BP, 降息 10BP。降息幅度较去年 10 月 25BP 更小,后续货币政策更多或呈现"小 步快跑"模式,随中美贸易形势变化和经济数据做出更高频的相机抉择。②结 构方面,中国央行在资金投向方面拥有更大的灵活性和指引性,当前更多倾向 于科技创新和扩内需,具体工具包括再贷款、科技创新债券风险分担工具等。 2、针对资本市场的支持:央行强调坚定支持汇金公司在必要时加大力度增持 股票市场指数基金,并向其提供充足的再贷款支持。中长线资金主要集中在保 险(扩大长期投资试点范围、调降股票投资风险因子)和公募资金(强化与投 资者利益绑定、明确长期考核权重),侧重于从结构上加强市场中长期稳定性。 大势观点:金融口发布会引领走出黄金坑。明确乐观,本次新闻发布会对市场 的定价将衔接第一步到第二步的切换,第一步国家队的流动性支持速度快体量 大,第二步转向更多针对实体经济的政策支持和经济基本面的修复。后续各部 委或密集召开新闻发布会,可能形成类似去年四季度 "一揽子"政策的加速 ...
《央行观察》系列第十二篇:“双降”落地,如何交易?
EBSCN· 2025-05-07 07:44
Policy Insights - The recent financial policy package is substantial and contains many unexpected details, indicating a shift in market trading expectations towards the implementation of incremental fiscal policies[2] - The People's Bank of China announced a comprehensive 0.5% reduction in the reserve requirement ratio, expected to provide approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity to the market[12] Market Reactions - A-shares are likely to enter a strong oscillating trend, supported by the government's commitment to stabilize the capital market amid easing US-China trade tensions[13] - The bond yield curve is expected to steepen initially before flattening, with limited upward movement in long-term rates due to ongoing uncertainties in US-China negotiations[13] Economic Indicators - The April manufacturing PMI orders index fell by 4.3 percentage points to 44.7%, prompting timely policy responses to counteract weakening export indicators[4] - The market anticipates further clues from the release of April's major economic indicators throughout May, which may influence future policy directions[2] Interest Rate Adjustments - The policy interest rate was lowered by 10 basis points to 1.4%, signaling a strong intent to guide the overall yield curve downward[9] - Structural monetary policy tools saw a more significant reduction of 25 basis points, with specific rates for agricultural and small business loans adjusted to 1.5%[9] Risk Considerations - There is a risk that the implementation of re-lending policies may not meet expectations, potentially leading to unexpected tightening of liquidity in the market[14]
经济动态跟踪:金融发布会:“双降”之外的政策信号
Minsheng Securities· 2025-05-07 07:32
金融发布会:"双降"之外的政策信号 2025 年 05 月 07 日 [Table_Author] 分析师:陶川 分析师:张云杰 研究助理:钟渝梅 执业证号:S0100524060005 执业证号:S0100525020002 执业证号:S0100124080017 邮箱:taochuan@mszq.com 邮箱:zhangyunjie@mszq.com 邮箱:zhongyumei@mszq.com ➢ 今天的国新办金融发布会"既赶早也赶巧",可以说是为 4 月政治局会议后 一系列稳市场、稳经济的宏观政策拉开了序幕。 "赶早"无疑是借鉴了去年"924"在开盘前释放利好的成功经验,上证指数午 盘上涨 0.64%,我们认为这一次"一揽子金融政策"对市场的影响更偏细水长流。 "赶巧"则是因为中美经贸谈判在即,谁能在新一轮谈判中把握主动,背后比拼 的是双方的士气和耐心,首先就需要一个稳定的市场预期。 虽然市场对本次发布会第一反应的超预期是央行"双降",但我们认为随着关税 冲击的显现,真正能让经济和市场行稳致远的关键因素仍在于货币金融政策和财 政政策的协同,预计随着"一揽子金融政策"在二季度的陆续落地,三季度增量 财政 ...
一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期 多部门重磅举措发布
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-05-07 06:45
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is implementing a comprehensive set of financial policies to stabilize the market and expectations, including a series of monetary policy measures aimed at enhancing liquidity and supporting economic growth [1][9]. Monetary Policy Measures - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) will lower the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5 percentage points, providing approximately 1 trillion yuan in long-term liquidity [3][9]. - The reserve requirement ratio for auto finance and financial leasing companies will be reduced from 5% to 0% to enhance their credit supply capabilities [9]. - The policy interest rate will be decreased by 0.1 percentage points, with the 7-day reverse repurchase rate dropping from 1.5% to 1.4%, expected to lead to a similar decline in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) [3]. - Structural monetary policy tool rates will be reduced by 0.25 percentage points, including rates for various special policy tools and re-lending for agriculture and small enterprises [3]. - The interest rate for personal housing provident fund loans will be lowered by 0.25 percentage points, with the rate for first-time homebuyers over five years dropping from 2.85% to 2.6% [4]. Support for Innovation and Consumption - The PBOC will increase the re-lending quota for technological innovation and technological transformation from 500 billion yuan to 800 billion yuan, supporting the "two new" policies [5][6]. - A new 500 billion yuan re-lending facility will be established to guide commercial banks in increasing credit support for service consumption and elderly care [7]. - An additional 300 billion yuan will be allocated to support agriculture and small enterprises, complementing the reduction in re-lending rates [8]. Capital Market Support - The PBOC will optimize two monetary policy tools supporting the capital market, merging the quotas for securities fund and insurance company swap facilities and stock repurchase re-lending to a total of 800 billion yuan [8]. - A risk-sharing tool for technology innovation bonds will be created, allowing the central bank to provide low-cost re-lending to purchase these bonds, supporting financing for technology innovation enterprises [8]. Regulatory Measures - The National Financial Supervisory Administration plans to introduce eight incremental policies to stabilize the real estate market and enhance financing for small and private enterprises [10][11]. - The approval of "white list" loans by commercial banks has increased to 6.7 trillion yuan, supporting the construction and delivery of over 16 million residential units [16]. - The insurance fund's long-term investment pilot program will be expanded, injecting more incremental funds into the market [19][22]. Market Confidence - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) expresses confidence in achieving stable and healthy development of the stock market, supported by strong leadership and a robust policy framework [27][28]. - The A-share market is seen as having strong resilience and adaptability, with nearly 90% of listed companies' revenues coming from domestic sources [31]. - The CSRC will continue to assist affected companies in coping with the impacts of U.S. tariffs, enhancing regulatory flexibility and supporting mergers and acquisitions [34][35].
一揽子金融政策将继续巩固房地产市场回稳势头
克而瑞地产研究· 2025-05-07 06:31
当前货币政策通过"降成本+扩需求+稳预期"三管齐下,短期内LPR、公积金和结构性贷款利率下调,中长期 则通过系列消费支持政策与市场信心修复,推动房地产行业新发展模式转型。 ◎ 文 / 杨科伟 今日上午国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会,请中国人民银行行长潘功胜、金融监管总局局长李云泽、中国证 监会主席吴清介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况,并答记者问。发布会上,针对房地产市场央行 和金管局提出几大增量金融政策,加力巩固房地产市场止跌回稳势头。 01 央行通过降准、降低LPR和公积金利率落实宽松信贷支持刚需购房 人民银行推出一揽子货币政策措施,主要有三大类共十项措施。一是数量型政策,通过普遍降准和定向降准加 大中长期流动性供给。二是价格型政策,下调政策利率,降低结构性货币政策工具利率,调降公积金贷款利 率。三是结构型政策,完善现有结构性货币政策工具,并创设新的政策工具,支持科技创新、扩大消费、普惠 金融等领域。 第一,降低存款准备金率0.5个百分点,预计将向市场提供长期流动性约1万亿元。整体存款准备金率的平均水 平将从原来的6.6%降低到6.2%,降低银行负债成本,可以极大增强银行体系对购房者和开发企业 ...
吴清主席在国新办新闻发布会上答记者问
证监会发布· 2025-05-07 05:58
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the Chinese government's commitment to stabilizing the capital market and enhancing investor confidence through a series of financial policies and measures in response to external economic pressures, particularly from U.S. tariff policies [2][3][6]. Group 1: Market Stability Measures - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has implemented a comprehensive set of policies to stabilize the market, including actions from various financial authorities and encouraging companies to buy back shares to maintain stock price stability [3][4]. - The central government has highlighted the importance of maintaining a stable and active capital market, reflecting its high priority on market stability and expectations [3][6]. - The CSRC aims to consolidate the market's recovery momentum by enhancing market monitoring and risk assessment, and supporting the Central Huijin Investment Ltd. to act as a stabilizing fund [4][6]. Group 2: Support for Innovation and Long-term Investment - The CSRC plans to introduce reforms for the Science and Technology Innovation Board and the Growth Enterprise Market to enhance institutional inclusivity and adaptability [4]. - There is a focus on developing technology innovation bonds and optimizing the issuance process to provide comprehensive financial services for innovative enterprises [4][5]. - The CSRC is committed to increasing the participation of long-term funds in the market, promoting high-quality development of public funds, and fostering a virtuous cycle of returns, capital inflow, and market stability [5][6]. Group 3: Response to Tariff Impacts - The article discusses the impact of U.S. tariffs on A-share listed companies, noting that most companies derive a significant portion of their revenue from domestic markets, which provides resilience against external shocks [8][9]. - A substantial increase in export revenue from 4.9 trillion yuan in 2018 to 9.4 trillion yuan in 2024 is highlighted, indicating a diversification of export markets and reduced reliance on the U.S. [8]. - The CSRC is actively helping affected companies by enhancing regulatory flexibility and supporting their transformation and upgrading through mergers and acquisitions [9][10]. Group 4: Foreign Investment and Market Openness - The CSRC is focused on enhancing the openness of the capital market, facilitating foreign investment participation, and optimizing the Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (QFII) system [11][12]. - Despite external uncertainties, the strategic direction for high-quality economic development remains clear, bolstering foreign investor confidence in the Chinese market [13]. - The CSRC plans to expand institutional openness, enrich product offerings, and deepen market access for foreign investors, thereby enhancing the overall investment environment [13][14]. Group 5: Public Fund Development - The CSRC has launched the "Action Plan for Promoting the High-Quality Development of Public Funds," aimed at aligning fund operations with investor interests and enhancing long-term investment stability [16][17]. - Key reforms include optimizing fund fee structures, improving performance evaluation metrics, and increasing the accountability of fund managers to ensure better returns for investors [17][18]. - The growth of equity funds from 7 trillion yuan to 8.3 trillion yuan since September indicates a positive trend in public fund development, with ongoing efforts to promote innovative fund products [18].
金融监管总局重磅发声!要点来了
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-05-07 05:33
5月7日上午,国新办举行新闻发布会,中国人民银行行长潘功胜、国家金融监督管理总局局长李云泽、 中国证券监督管理委员会主席吴清出席发布会,介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况,并 答记者问。 【导读】国新办举行新闻发布会,金融监管总局局长回答多项社会关切问题 金融监管总局局长李云泽在介绍即将推出的八项增量政策后,围绕稳楼市、稳股市、稳外贸等社会关切 问题进行了详细的回答。 加快完善与房地产发展新模式相适配的 系列融资制度 稳楼市方面,李云泽表示,下一步,将加快完善与房地产发展新模式相适配的系列融资制度,包括房地 产开发、个人住房、城市更新等贷款管理办法。指导金融机构继续保持房地产融资稳定,有效满足刚性 和改善性住房需求,强化对高品质住房的资金供给,助力持续巩固房地产市场稳定态势。 拟再批复600亿元 进一步扩大保险资金长期投资试点范围 稳股市方面,李云泽表示,将充分发挥保险资金作为耐心资本、长期资本的优势,加大入市稳市力度。 前期,金融监管总局开展了保险资金长期投资改革试点,为股市提供了真金白银的增量资金。上个月, 上调了保险资金权益类资产投资的比例上限,进一步释放投资空间。 下一步,金融监管总局将推 ...
煤焦日报-20250507
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-05-07 05:29
宏源期货煤焦日报 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2025/5/7 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 焦炭盘面 | | | | | 焦煤盘面 | | | | 基美 | | | | 昨日 | | 刷日 | 涨跌 | | 昨日 | 前日 | 涨跌 | | 昨日 | ■日 | 涨跌 | | 12601 | 90955 | 1576.0 | -25,5 | JM2601 | 959.5 | 980.0 | -20,5 | 101 查会 | -61.5 | -87.0 | 25.5 | | J2505 | 1470.5 | 1601.0 | -130.5 | JM2505 | 880.0 | 888.0 | -8.0 | 105基差 | 18.5 | -112.0 | 130 5 | | 12509 | 1505.0 | 1538.0 | -36.0 | 80952WIE | 911.5 | 930.5 | -19.0 | 100 变云 | -13.0 | -49.0 | 36.0 ...
一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期!A股走强半日成交近万亿,军工、金融起飞
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 05:21
智通财经记者 | 孙艺真 一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期,A股、港股主要指数今日全线高开,早盘维持涨势。 5月7日上午9时,国务院新闻办公室于2025年举行新闻发布会,中国人民银行行长潘功胜、金融监管总 局局长李云泽、中国证监会主席吴清介绍"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况,并答记者问。 受利好消息提振,A股市场交投活跃,半日成交额达9890亿元。截至午间收盘,沪指涨0.64%,深证成 指涨0.19%,创业板指涨0.4%、场内超3400只股票飘红。港股方面,截至发稿,恒生指数涨超0.4%,早 盘一度突破23000点。 分板块看,航天军工、大金融板块集体爆发,券商、多元金融领涨,弘业期货(001236.SZ)直线涨 停,九鼎投资(600053.SH)实现两连板,锦龙股份(000712.SZ)、湘财股份(600095.SH)涨超3%, 中国银河(601881.SH)、东方财富(300059.SZ))、华创云信(600155.SH)、招商证券 (600999.SH)等个股跟涨。地产股集体走强,消费电子设备等概念板块表现强势。天保基建 (000965.SZ)、三湘印象(000863.SZ)涨停,华丽家族(60 ...