在谷歌母公司Alphabet发布强劲财报后，纳指周四再创历史新高。此外， 特朗普罕见造访美联储也引发市场关注， 美债收益率上涨。 2年期美国国债上涨5bp至3.918%，10年期国债收益率上涨2bp至 4.398%。 7月24日，美国总统特朗普罕见地造访美联储总部，与主席鲍威尔并肩而立，在媒体面前就总部翻新工程费用展开激烈交锋。 标普500指数上涨0.07%，报6363.35点，纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.18%，收于21057.96点，两者皆录得收盘新高，并在盘中创下历史高位。然而，道琼斯工 业平均指数下跌316.38点，跌幅0.70%，报44693.91点，主要受IBM股价大跌逾7%拖累。该公司二季度软件收入未达市场预期，令投资者失望。 | 道琼斯 | 纳斯达克 | 标普500 | | --- | --- | --- | | 44693.91 | 21057.96 | 6363.35 | | -316.38 -0.70% +37.94 +0.18% +4.44 +0.07% | | | | 中国金龙指数 | 纳指100期货 | 标普500期货 | | 7775.58 | 23395.00 | 6406.50 ...

Group 1 - Chicago futures market saw an overall increase in corn, wheat, and soybean prices on July 24, with corn rising to $4.21 per bushel, an increase of 3.25 cents (0.78%) from the previous trading day [1] - Wheat September contract closed at $5.42 per bushel, up 1 cent (0.19%), while soybean November contract reached $10.24 per bushel, increasing by 1.5 cents (0.15%) [1] - Traders are hesitant to increase risk ahead of the August weather conditions in the Midwest and the upcoming tariffs set to take effect on August 1, with expectations of trade agreements that may not lead to significant new export demand for U.S. agricultural products [1] Group 2 - The USDA reported export sales for the week ending July 17, showing wheat export sales at 26.2 million bushels, old corn at 25.3 million bushels, new corn at 28.9 million bushels, old soybeans at 5.9 million bushels, and new soybeans at 8.8 million bushels [2] - Cumulative export sales for the current crop year include 329 million bushels of wheat (up 35 million bushels year-on-year), 2.76 billion bushels of corn (up 594 million bushels), and 1.867 billion bushels of soybeans (up 208 million bushels) [2] - Weather forecasts indicate that ridge storms will bring daily showers to the Midwest, with warm temperatures expected to last for 4-5 days, followed by a return to average temperatures [2]

Market Performance - The three major U.S. indices showed mixed results, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 reaching new highs. The Dow Jones fell by 316.38 points, a decrease of 0.70%, closing at 44,693.91 points. The Nasdaq rose by 37.94 points, an increase of 0.18%, closing at 21,057.96 points, while the S&P 500 gained 4.44 points, up 0.07%, closing at 6,363.35 points [1] - In the European market, the DAX 30 index increased by 71.52 points, or 0.30%, closing at 24,288.62 points. The FTSE 100 rose by 74.85 points, or 0.83%, closing at 9,136.34 points, while the CAC 40 index fell by 32.15 points, a decrease of 0.41%, closing at 7,818.28 points [2] - In the Asia-Pacific region, the Nikkei 225 index rose by 1.59%, while the KOSPI index increased by 0.21% and the Indonesian Composite Index gained 0.83% [3] Economic Indicators - The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. decreased slightly to 217,000, down by 4,000 from the previous value, and below the Dow Jones estimate of 227,000. The number of continuing claims remained stable, increasing by 4,000 to 1.955 million [1] - U.S. new home sales in June rose slightly to an annualized rate of 627,000, up from 623,000 in May, but below the expected 645,000. Year-over-year, June new home sales decreased by 6.6% [6] Company News - Intel reported Q2 revenue of $12.86 billion, exceeding Wall Street expectations of $11.92 billion. The company announced a significant reduction in chip factory investment and expects Q3 revenue midpoint of $13.1 billion, higher than the analyst average estimate of $12.65 billion [10] - Alphabet's revenue surpassed expectations, contributing to a significant increase in the company's market value, which has risen by over $1 trillion since the beginning of 2023, resulting in CEO Sundar Pichai's net worth exceeding $1 billion [11] - Chevron is regaining its ability to extract oil in Venezuela, following discussions between Trump and U.S. Secretary of State Rubio. The details of the agreement remain unclear, but it is noted that the Maduro government will not receive any royalties or taxes from this arrangement [12] Analyst Ratings - Deutsche Bank raised the target price for Alphabet (GOOG.US) from $200 to $215 [13]

印度商务部长戈亚尔：我希望我们能够达成一项非常重要的伙伴关系。我们与美国在一项贸易协议上取 得了惊人的进展。 ...

路威酩轩集团(LVMH)董事长阿尔诺：最近几周分别与德国总理默茨和意大利总理梅洛尼会面，敦促他 们同意与美国达成贸易协议。 ...

欧洲央行行长拉加德：今天的利率决定是一致通过的。 贸易协议将消除一些不确定性。 理事会成员对风险评估基本达成共识。 ...

Group 1 - The European Union has approved a measure to impose retaliatory tariffs on U.S. products totaling €93 billion, following a period of trade negotiations that seemed to be progressing [1][5] - The retaliatory tariffs will target high-value industrial products such as aircraft, automobiles, wine, and electrical equipment, with the first round of tariffs already implemented earlier this year on items like soybeans and motorcycles [5] - The EU's decision comes amid a backdrop of positive economic data, with the Eurozone's July Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rising from 50.6 in June to 51, indicating economic resilience [4] Group 2 - Following the announcement of the retaliatory tariffs, European stock markets experienced a sharp decline, reversing earlier gains that were attributed to positive economic indicators [2][3] - Analysts expect the European Central Bank to maintain its current policy stance, although there may be one or two interest rate cuts in the next six months due to the ongoing trade tensions impacting export performance and inflation [4]

Core Points - The US-Japan trade agreement includes Japan's commitment to invest $550 billion in the US and a $8 billion purchase plan for US agricultural products [1][2] - The agreement establishes a unified 15% tariff on Japanese goods, including automobiles, which is lower than the previously threatened 25% tariff [2][4] Investment Commitment - Japan will create a $550 billion investment fund aimed at revitalizing and expanding core US industries, expected to generate hundreds of thousands of jobs [3] - The fund will focus on strategic sectors such as energy infrastructure, semiconductor manufacturing, critical mineral processing, pharmaceuticals, and defense shipbuilding [3] Tariff Framework - A unified 15% tariff will be applied to Japanese imports, including a 12.5% additional tariff on automobiles and a 2.5% basic tariff [4] - The current 50% tariffs on steel and aluminum will remain unchanged [4] Agricultural and Energy Developments - Japan will increase its US rice import quota by 75%, raising the total to approximately 600,000 tons [5][7] - Japan has committed to purchasing $8 billion worth of US agricultural products, including corn, soybeans, fertilizers, and sustainable aviation fuel [5][7] - The agreement also includes significant expansions in US energy exports to Japan, particularly in liquefied natural gas [7] Aerospace and Defense Cooperation - Japan will purchase 100 Boeing aircraft and additional defense equipment to enhance security cooperation in the Indo-Pacific region [7][8] - The agreement allows US automobiles to enter the Japanese market without long-standing restrictions, with US automotive standards being recognized in Japan [8]

英印贸易协议将给英国经济带来60亿英镑的投资 金十数据7月24日讯，就外媒报道，英国与印度周四签署了一项具有历史意义的贸易协议。这项贸易协 议将为英国经济带来价值达60亿英镑的投资，预计将为英国直接创造逾2000个新岗位。这项贸易协议将 把多种英国商品的平均关税从15%降至3%，有望极大促进英国对印110亿英镑商品出口。英国政府还表 示，双方将加强在反腐败、反欺诈、打击有组织犯罪及非法移民方面的合作，包括共享犯罪记录和其他 情报。该协议还将在英国金融服务领域带来一些利好。 ...

Core Insights - Gold prices faced rejection at the critical level of $3440, leading to a pullback [1] - The market sentiment is influenced by optimism surrounding US trade agreements and strong earnings from US tech companies [2][3] - The upcoming PMI data from the US and EU is expected to impact market expectations regarding monetary policy adjustments by the Fed and ECB [4][5] Group 1: Market Sentiment and Influences - The dollar is weakening due to positive market sentiment from US trade agreements and strong earnings reports, particularly from Alphabet [2][3] - Investors are optimistic about trade agreements between the US and Japan, Indonesia, and the Philippines, as well as potential agreements with the EU [3] - The market is closely monitoring the ongoing disputes between President Trump and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell [6] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold Prices - After being rejected near the $3440 resistance, gold prices are testing the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $3377 [10] - For a sustained upward trend, gold needs to break above the $3440 resistance, targeting the June 16 high of $3453 [11] - If sellers maintain pressure, gold could fall below the support level at $3377, with further support around $3340 [12]