中金公司：当前时点AI板块拥挤风险相对较低，长期依旧存在机会 华泰证券：布局"春躁"中的高胜率方向 沪指11月累计下跌1.67%，月中续创十年新高后震荡回落，终结月线六连阳。创业板指累计下跌 4.23%，创业板指、深成指呈现"先抑后扬"的整体格局，随着11月下旬算力硬件概念的带动下，逐步小 幅修复前期跌幅。从板块来看，11月热点轮动加快，市场热点主要集中在电池产业链、海南、福建、算 力硬件等方向。 本文转载自"智通财经"，智通财经编辑：李佛。 在今天的券商晨会上，华泰证券指出，建议布局"春躁"中的高胜率方向;中金公司表示，当前时点AI板 块拥挤风险相对较低，长期依旧存在机会;中信证券认为，AI光互联大有可为，头部厂商优势显著。 中金公司指出，当前时点AI板块拥挤风险相对较低，长期依旧存在机会，但短期价值风格或存在相对 优势。AI板块拥挤度自9月末高点有所回落，当前AI板块拥挤度处于相对低位，AI投资价值仍在，长期 存在发展空间。但当前的风格轮动模型短期推荐价值风格，此外机构投资者在年末风险偏好降低，或倾 向于短期采用防守型策略。 中信证券：AI光互联大有可为 头部厂商优势显著 中信证券指出，AI大模型与应用的 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.67% in November, ending a six-month winning streak after reaching a ten-year high mid-month [1] - The ChiNext Index dropped by 4.23%, showing a pattern of "initial decline followed by recovery" [1] - Market hotspots in November were concentrated in the battery supply chain, Hainan, Fujian, and computing hardware sectors [1] Investment Strategies - Huatai Securities suggests positioning in high-probability sectors during the "spring excitement," focusing on balanced allocations between growth and cyclical sectors [2] - Key areas of interest include aviation equipment, AI-related energy storage, and power supply equipment, as well as chemicals and energy metals [2] - Financial sectors and high-value consumer goods, such as liquor and consumer building materials, are recommended as mid-term investment choices [2] AI Sector Insights - CICC indicates that the current risk of overcrowding in the AI sector is relatively low, with long-term opportunities still present [3] - The overcrowding level in the AI sector has decreased since the peak in late September, suggesting ongoing investment value [3] - Short-term market trends may favor value styles, with institutional investors likely adopting defensive strategies as year-end approaches [3] Optical Communication Opportunities - CITIC Securities highlights the significant growth potential in AI optical interconnection, driven by the need for high-performance, high-bandwidth, and low-latency networks [4] - The advantages of leading firms in the optical communication sector are becoming more pronounced due to increasing demands for R&D capabilities and new technology deployments [4] - The firm is optimistic about the development potential of domestic optical communication leaders [4]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the short-term adjustment in the technology sector is a preparatory phase for the next "spring rally" in the market [1] - The overall market remains in a slow bull pattern despite short-term corrections, with a focus on style rotation and opportunities for cyclical stocks [2][10] - The report highlights the importance of macro policy expectations and the performance of small-cap stocks during periods of volatility in large-cap technology stocks [10] Market Overview - In October, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.85%, reaching a ten-year high, while the ChiNext and STAR 50 indices experienced fluctuations [10] - The market is entering an earnings window period in November, with mixed signals regarding domestic demand recovery [10] - The report notes that while corporate revenue and profits showed significant recovery in September, the October PMI indicated a marginal decline [2][10] Industry and Sector Analysis - The technology sector, particularly AI hardware, has faced adjustments due to underwhelming earnings reports from companies in the optical communication and PCB sectors [20][34] - Despite the adjustments, domestic computing and storage chip manufacturers have shown strong performance, with significant revenue growth reported [36] - The AI application sector is experiencing a reversal in performance, with increasing penetration rates and initial signs of commercialization in various vertical applications [37][38] Fund Allocation Insights - The report discusses the allocation of active equity funds to the pan-technology manufacturing sector, noting a high configuration ratio of 63.2% and an overweight ratio of 22.1% as of Q3 2025 [22][24] - Historical data suggests that once active equity funds show a significant bias towards a leading industry, this configuration tends to remain elevated for several quarters [29] - The report emphasizes the need to monitor the sustainability of these allocations in light of ongoing economic conditions and sector performance [28][29]