据新华社，中共中央政治局12月8日召开会议，分析研究2026年经济工作，审议《中国共产党领导全面依法 治国工作条例》。 对于如何做好明年的经济工作，会议提出一些重要表述，包括"更好统筹国内经济工作和国际经贸斗争""实施 更加积极有为的宏观政策""持续扩大内需、优化供给"等，并提出八项"坚持"的重点工作。多位受访专家表 示，明年经济增长转型诉求不减，政策需要兼顾短期与长远，内需将继续发挥助力经济总体回升向好的"助推 器"作用，并坚持以开放促改革促发展，重点领域风险化解将更加积极稳妥。 延续"更加积极有为"取向，明年加大逆周期与跨周期力度 今年以来，我国实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，支持实体经济发展力度加大，推动经济持续回升向好。根据中 央政治局会议部署，"十五五"开局之年，我国宏观政策"更加积极有为"的取向不变，继续实施更加积极的财政 政策和适度宽松的货币政策。同时，明年将加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度。 "继续实施"今年的财政、货币政策取向，不仅意味着明年政策将保持连续性、稳定性，营造出稳定的宏观政策 环境，还意味着明年政策力度依然可期，将坚持支持性的政策立场。 报道组记者：贺觉渊 韩忠楠 郭博昊 秦燕玲 程丹 从 ...

坚定信心真抓实干 奋力实现"十五五"良好开局——从中央政治局会议看2026年经济工作方向 新华社记者 12月8日，中共中央政治局召开会议，分析研究2026年经济工作。 会议总结分析今年经济工作，对明年经济工作作出一系列重要部署，必将进一步坚定发展信心、凝聚发 展共识，有效应对各种冲击挑战，巩固拓展经济稳中向好势头，为实现"十五五"良好开局打牢基础。 今年经济社会发展主要目标将顺利实现 会议认为，过去5年，我们有效应对各种冲击挑战，我国经济、科技、国防等硬实力和文化、制度、外 交等软实力明显提升，"十四五"即将圆满收官，第二个百年奋斗目标新征程实现良好开局。 "'十四五'时期我国经济社会发展取得新的重要成就，为'十五五'奠定了更坚实的基础，积攒了更充足的 底气。坚定信心、乘势而进，一定能推动中国式现代化建设不断取得新成就。"郭丽岩说。 明年经济工作要坚持稳中求进、提质增效 2025年是"十四五"规划收官之年，在中国式现代化进程中具有重要意义。 会议总结一年来经济工作，作出重要判断：以习近平同志为核心的党中央团结带领全党全国各族人民迎 难而上、奋力拼搏，统筹国内国际两个大局，实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，经济社会发 ...

Core Viewpoint - The meeting of the Central Political Bureau on December 8 emphasized the need for a stable yet progressive economic strategy for 2026, focusing on enhancing quality and efficiency while implementing proactive fiscal and moderately loose monetary policies [2][5]. Group 1: Economic Policy Direction - The meeting highlighted the importance of maintaining a stable yet progressive work guideline, better coordinating domestic economic work with international trade, and enhancing the forward-looking, targeted, and coordinated nature of macroeconomic policies [5][6]. - The proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy will continue, aiming to ensure effective transmission of fiscal expansion to the real economy while maintaining a stable financing environment [8][9]. Group 2: Economic Growth and Demand - The meeting called for continuous expansion of domestic demand and optimization of supply, emphasizing the need for a consumption-driven economic model to address current demand weaknesses [14][15]. - It was noted that the real estate sector is still facing challenges, with significant declines in investment and sales, indicating a need for targeted measures to stabilize this sector [5][12]. Group 3: Innovation and New Growth Drivers - The meeting stressed the importance of innovation-driven development and the cultivation of new growth drivers, with a focus on technology and manufacturing upgrades [17]. - There will be an emphasis on increasing fiscal spending in technology sectors and supporting the integration of technological innovation with industrial development [17]. Group 4: Risk Management - The meeting reiterated the commitment to maintaining stability in employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations, while actively managing risks in key areas such as real estate and local government debt [19][20]. - It was acknowledged that the current debt pressures faced by residents, enterprises, and local governments require careful management to prevent the accumulation of new ineffective debts [20].

据新华社报道，中共中央政治局12月8日召开会议，分析研究2026年经济工作。会议对当前经 济形势作出判断，我国经济运行总体平稳、稳中有进，新质生产力稳步发展，改革开放迈出新 步伐，重点领域风险化解取得积极进展，民生保障更加有力，社会大局保持稳定。 会议指出，明年经济工作要坚持稳中求进、提质增效，继续实施更加积极的财政政策和适度宽 松的货币政策，发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应，加大逆周期和跨周期调节力度，切实提升 宏观经济治理效能。 会议还对下半年持续扩大内需、因地制宜发展新质生产力、纵深推进全 国统一大市场建设、持续防范化解重点领域风险等方面的重点工作作出部署。 信号一： 实施更加 积极有为的宏观政策 增强政策前瞻性针对性协同性 会议强调，做好明年经济工作，要坚持稳中求进工作总基调，更好统筹国内经济工作和国际经 贸斗争，更好统筹发展和安全，实施更加积极有为的宏观政策，增强政策前瞻性针对性协同 性。 粤开证券首席经济学家罗志恒告诉记者，本次会议继续强调"实施更加积极有为的宏观政策"， 主要是基于当前宏观经济面临需求不足，尤其是消费不足、投资效益有待进一步提高、房地产 止跌回稳还要加码的形势。2025 年前三季度 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Central Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China has set the tone for economic work in 2026, emphasizing "seeking progress while maintaining stability" and "improving quality and efficiency" as key principles for the upcoming economic strategy [1] Economic Performance - The macroeconomic resilience has exceeded market expectations, with high-tech manufacturing leading growth [2] - The total economic output is projected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan this year [2] - The focus for 2026 will be on achieving qualitative improvements and reasonable quantitative growth while ensuring social stability and a good start to the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] Macroeconomic Policy - The meeting highlighted the continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, aiming to enhance macroeconomic governance effectiveness [3] - The fiscal deficit rate is expected to remain around 4%, with local government special bond issuance potentially increasing from 4.4 trillion yuan in 2025 to about 5 trillion yuan [3] - Monetary policy will seek a dynamic balance among multiple objectives, including stable growth and risk prevention [3] Domestic Market Development - The strategy emphasizes the need to build a strong domestic market to counter external uncertainties and enhance economic resilience [6] - Experts suggest that a consumption-oriented policy framework should be established, alongside reforms in income distribution and effective investment expansion [6] Innovation and Infrastructure - The focus on innovation and industrial development remains critical, with support for leading enterprises to form innovation alliances for national technological challenges [6] - There will be increased policy support for "new infrastructure" development, including communication networks and modern energy systems [6][7] Market Environment - A unified national market is essential for supporting technological innovation, with recommendations for optimizing institutional rules and protecting property rights [7] - Addressing "involution" competition is necessary to establish a healthy market order that promotes quality and fair pricing [7]

Economic Overview - China's GDP growth for the first three quarters of 2025 is 5.2% year-on-year, indicating stable economic performance[2] - Consumer spending, particularly driven by the "trade-in" policy, shows strong growth in durable goods consumption[2] Policy Direction - The Central Political Bureau emphasizes a more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy to enhance macroeconomic governance[4] - Focus on expanding domestic demand and optimizing supply structures to support economic stability[4] Investment and Development - Investment in high-tech sectors and equipment upgrades is crucial for supporting manufacturing investment[2] - Infrastructure investment will target new infrastructure, regional gaps, and safety-related facilities[3] Risk Management - Economic growth risks are easing, with a reduction in trade policy uncertainties and a shift in real estate policy towards long-term structural optimization[3] - Continuous efforts are needed to stabilize employment, businesses, and market expectations[4] Social Considerations - Emphasis on improving residents' income and consumption willingness to drive economic growth[4] - Investment in human capital is highlighted as a strategy for technological innovation and industrial transformation[4]

证券研究报告 | 宏观研究 gszqdatemark 2025 12 08 年 月 日 宏观点评 通稿短、增量多—政治局会议 5 大信号 事件：12 月 8 日，政治局会议召开，分析研究 2026 年经济工作。 核心观点：12 月政治局会议历来是"吹风会"，篇幅一般有限、没提到的 不代表不重要、不宜过分解读，即将召开的中央经济工作会议将作详细部 署。总体看，本次会议信息量不少，尤其是：1）较为少见的盘中发布通 稿，旨在提振信心、进一步凸显了稳股市的重要性；2）总定调偏积极、偏 扩张、偏刺激，包括实现"十五五"良好开局是硬要求，延续"四稳"，延 续"更加积极有为的宏观政策"，延续"更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的 货币政策"，首提"发挥存量政策和增量政策集成效应"，首提"加大逆周 期和跨周期调节力度"等；3）大原则上，"扩大内需"与"优化供给"并 重，"做优增量"与"盘活存量"并重，延续"两大更好统筹"（国内经济 工作 VS 国际经贸斗争，发展 VS 安全）；4）重点任务上，相比于"十五 五"规划建议稿，扩内需重回首位（突出内需主导），科技+产业次序仍靠 前（新动能从"加快培育"变为"加紧培育"），双碳移至民生前 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the meeting is to maintain a stable yet progressive economic approach, emphasizing the need for proactive fiscal and monetary policies to enhance macroeconomic governance and address current economic challenges [1][5][9] - The meeting highlighted the importance of expanding domestic demand and optimizing supply, with a focus on developing new productive forces tailored to local conditions and advancing the construction of a unified national market [6][7][8] - The meeting underscored the necessity of innovation-driven growth, aiming to cultivate new economic drivers and enhance the quality of development through increased investment in technology and manufacturing [8][9] Group 2 - The meeting called for the implementation of more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies, continuing the approach established in previous meetings [5][6] - It was noted that the macroeconomic policy environment for 2026 is expected to maintain a "wide fiscal, wide monetary" framework, with fiscal policy playing a crucial role in stabilizing growth and structural adjustments [6][7] - The meeting emphasized the need to address key risks in specific sectors, including real estate and local government debt, while ensuring the stability of employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations [9][10]

【12月8日中央政治局会议召开，明年宏观政策料更灵活】12月8日，中央政治局会议召开，提出明年实 施更积极有为宏观政策。分析称政策框架基本不变，安排会更灵活。保银资本管理公司总裁表示，宏观 政策框架与2025年大体一致，仍是积极财政与适度宽松货币政策。中央工作会议或提供更多细节，政策 将更灵活以应对外部变化。ING大中华区首席学家指出，会议通稿强调核心论点，保持既定方向。重点 包括扩大内需、创新驱动等，还释放或有更多刺激措施信号。2026年开局重要，要加大调节力度应对问 题。学人智库高级学家称，明年宏观形势与今年相似，政策取向变化不大，仍以财政扩张对冲压力，辅 以小幅货币宽松。 本文由 AI算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 和讯财经 FUL hexun.con 和而不同 迅达天下 扫码查看原文 本文由 Al 算法生成,仅作参考,不涉投资建议,使用风险自担 ...

事 件 点 评 策略研究 政策表态为市场筑牢支撑并带来结构性机遇，大 盘有望向上修复，迎接跨年行情 ——12 月中央政治局会议点评 2025 年 12 月 8 日 分析师：熊越（SAC 执业证书编号：S0340524080001） 电话：0769-22118627 邮箱：xiongyue@dgzq.com.cn 分析师：叶子沛（SAC 执业证书编号：S0340525070001） 电话：0769-22119276 邮箱：yezipei@dgzq.com.cn 策 略 研 事件： 会议对当前经济形势作出研判，指出"我国经济运行总体平稳、稳中有进"。从数据来看， 2025年前三季度GDP同比增长5.2%，高于"5%左右"的全年目标，在美国关税冲击下仍体现韧性。 从单季度数据来看，随着关税冲击显化和国内经济结构的调整，三季度经济出现走弱，三季度GDP 同比增长4.8%，经济增速较二季度的5.2%放缓了0.4个百分点，显示出三季度经济下行压力有所增 加。进入四季度，我国经济运行基本平稳，稳中有进的态势持续。从10月份关键经济指标来看， 生产端，工业生产保持稳定，服务业生产有所回落；投资端，制造业平稳增长，地方基建回升 ...