就业市场同样承压，招聘机构调查显示企业正搁置投资计划并缩减招聘规模。毕马威会计师事务所 与招聘和就业联合会（REC）联合调查显示，3月招聘活动持续萎缩，雇主普遍提及"经济不确定性、预 算紧缩及客户活动减少"等因素。REC称："固定岗位招聘量已连续30个月下降，缩减速度与2月基本持 平。" 毕马威高级合伙人乔恩·霍尔特指出："当前全球不确定性达到峰值，企业既要应对市场波动，又要 消化用工成本上升。最新数据印证经济现实持续拖累劳动力市场。" （原标题：英国零售业担忧特朗普关税影响导致商业街客流下滑） 《卫报》4月11日消息，最新数据显示，英国商业街3月客流量同比下降5%，延续了2月的颓势。零 售商警告称，若特朗普关税战引发的经济阴云打击消费者信心，情况可能进一步恶化。 自1月促销季短暂复苏后，通胀回升与家庭收入压力持续影响消费。郊区购物中心受创最重，客流 量下降5.8%，传统商业街和零售园区客流量分别减少4%和1.2%，销售额同步下滑。 英国零售商协会指出，美国对进口商品加征关税的直接影响尚难量化，但可能抑制消费者购买意 愿，尤其是高价商品。该机构首席执行官海伦·狄金森表示："关税引发的全球不确定性及潜在经济放 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of optimizing the consumer environment as a key driver for economic growth, highlighting the implementation of a three-year action plan (2025-2027) to address consumer pain points and enhance consumer rights protection [1][2]. Group 1: Action Plan and Objectives - The action plan aims to improve quality standards, credit constraints, comprehensive governance, and consumer rights protection to resolve prominent consumer issues [1]. - In 2024, final consumption expenditure is projected to contribute 44.5% to economic growth, driving GDP growth by 2.2 percentage points [1]. Group 2: Challenges and Solutions - Current challenges include low quality of consumer supply, lack of market order, and insufficient protection of consumer rights, which negatively impact consumer experience and confidence [1][2]. - The action plan outlines five major initiatives: improving consumer supply quality, optimizing consumer order, enhancing consumer rights protection, promoting collaborative governance, and leading consumer environment initiatives [2]. Group 3: Collaborative Efforts - Protecting consumer rights is a collective responsibility involving government departments, judicial bodies, businesses, social organizations, media, and consumers [2]. - Effective collaboration among all stakeholders is essential for the successful implementation of consumer rights protection measures [2]. Group 4: Long-term Commitment - Optimizing the consumer environment is a long-term endeavor that requires a systematic approach, starting from local standards and gradually expanding to broader areas [3]. - Continuous improvement of the consumer environment is necessary to boost consumer confidence and stimulate economic vitality [3].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant shift in China's e-commerce landscape, particularly the potential cancellation of the "return-only refund" policy, which has been a crucial consumer protection mechanism [2][3][4]. Group 1: E-commerce Policy Changes - Major e-commerce platforms such as Pinduoduo, Taobao, Douyin, Kuaishou, and JD.com are set to eliminate the "return-only refund" option, leaving refund decisions to individual merchants [3][4]. - The absence of public announcements from these platforms regarding the cancellation of the policy suggests a covert implementation of this change [4]. Group 2: Consumer Complaints and Issues - In 2024, consumer complaint organizations in China received 1.76 million complaints, a 32.62% increase from the previous year, with after-sales service issues accounting for 29.67% of complaints [6][7]. - Issues related to product quality and false advertising also contribute significantly to consumer grievances, indicating a persistent problem in the e-commerce sector [6][8]. Group 3: Implications for Consumer Rights - The removal of the "return-only refund" policy raises concerns about how consumers will protect their rights when faced with unsatisfactory products [29][30]. - The article highlights the long and arduous process consumers face when seeking refunds, often leading to frustration and abandonment of claims [10][11]. Group 4: Comparison with International Practices - In contrast, Amazon has expanded its "returnless refund" policy, which has been shown to increase brand trust by 20% and boost loyalty consumer spending by 1.7 times compared to regular consumers [26][27]. - The article suggests that U.S. retailers are not deterred by refund abuse ("sheep shearing") because they prioritize long-term consumer trust and satisfaction [27]. Group 5: Future of Consumer Protection - The article questions the effectiveness of current consumer protection mechanisms in China, suggesting that without the "return-only refund" policy, consumers may struggle to assert their rights [29][30]. - The ongoing evolution of consumer rights in China reflects a broader struggle between consumer protection and merchant interests, with potential implications for overall market trust and consumer spending [31][33].

Group 1 - In the first quarter, consumer willingness to purchase cars, homes, and durable goods in Shanghai significantly increased, indicating a positive shift in consumer sentiment [1][7] - The retail sales of new energy vehicles in Shanghai rose by 10.6% year-on-year in the first quarter, reflecting strong market performance [1][6] - The consumer confidence index in Shanghai reached 111.4 points, a month-on-month increase of 10.5 points and a year-on-year increase of 6.5 points, showing a recovery in consumer sentiment [7][8] Group 2 - NIO delivered its 100,000th production vehicle in Shanghai, marking a significant milestone for the company [3][4] - SAIC Motor sold 945,000 vehicles in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 13.3%, with new energy vehicle sales up nearly 30% [5] - Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory delivered over 172,000 vehicles in the first quarter, with domestic sales reaching 137,200 units, the highest first-quarter figure since 2022 [5] Group 3 - The Shanghai International Auto Show, which began on April 23, 2025, is expected to further stimulate automotive consumption with over 100 new models being launched [1][11] - The Shanghai government has expanded its vehicle replacement subsidy policy to include out-of-province old cars, enhancing consumer enthusiasm for vehicle upgrades [9][10] - The automotive market in Shanghai is entering a positive cycle of "policy dividend release - market feedback acceleration," with expectations for sustained growth momentum in the second quarter [1][11]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The rating for the steel products industry is "sideways consolidation" [3] - The rating for the aluminum industry is "expected short - term range adjustment" [4] Report's Core View - The steel products market is in a pattern of weak supply and demand, with a pessimistic market sentiment, leading to a continuous downward shift in the price center. It is expected to move in a sideways consolidation manner [3] - The aluminum market has a complex situation. Although the inventory decline strengthens the fundamental support, the tariff policy is uncertain, the overseas demand is suppressed, and the price is expected to have a short - term range adjustment [3][4] Summary by Relevant Contents Steel Products - **Production Impact**: In the Yunnan - Guizhou region, short - process construction steel producers' shutdown during the Spring Festival is expected to affect a total of 741,000 tons of construction steel production. In Anhui, 6 short - process steel mills, 1 has shut down on January 5, and most others will shut down around mid - January, with a daily production impact of about 16,200 tons during shutdown [2][3] - **Real Estate Transaction**: From December 30, 2024, to January 5, 2025, the total transaction area of newly built commercial housing in 10 key cities was 2.234 million square meters, a 40.3% decrease from the previous period and a 43.2% increase from the same period last year [3] - **Market Situation**: In a pattern of weak supply and demand, the market sentiment is pessimistic, the price center moves down, and this year's winter storage is sluggish, providing weak price support [3] - **Viewpoint**: The steel products market is expected to move in a sideways consolidation manner, and attention should be paid to macro - policies and downstream demand [3] Aluminum - **Inventory**: On April 10, the inventory of electrolytic aluminum ingots in domestic mainstream consumption areas was 744,000 tons, a decrease of 30,000 tons from Monday and 21,000 tons from last Thursday. The overall de - stocking trend in the first half of April remained unchanged [3] - **Industry Operation**: The operating rate of leading recycled aluminum enterprises decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 56.1%. Some recycled aluminum plants reduced their April operating levels due to order reduction and inventory pressure, and the short - term industry operating rate is expected to decline slightly [3] - **Tariff Impact**: The US tariff policy may suppress overseas demand and export - oriented die - casting enterprises' orders. China's tariff increase on US goods may raise the import cost of the aluminum industry chain but also release an incremental signal [3] - **Viewpoint**: The aluminum price is expected to have a short - term range adjustment, and attention should be paid to macro - sentiment and downstream start - up, as well as macro - expectations, geopolitical crises, mine resumption, and consumption release [3][4]