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部分民营银行逆势上调存款利率 分析称存款产品利率下行趋势难变
news flash· 2025-05-22 13:10
Core Viewpoint - Some private banks are raising deposit interest rates against the trend of declining rates in the market, indicating a complex shift in financial strategies among depositors [1] Group 1: Deposit Rate Trends - Recent data shows that the RMB deposit rates are continuously decreasing, leading to a compression of returns for savers [1] - Some private banks have increased their one-year fixed deposit rates to as high as 2% [1] - The overall trend of declining deposit product rates is expected to remain unchanged despite these isolated increases [1] Group 2: Shifts in Depositor Behavior - There is a notable shift of resident deposits towards non-bank financial institutions, with a decrease of 1.39 trillion yuan in resident deposits in April [1] - The increase in non-bank deposits suggests that excess savings accumulated by residents are being redirected towards enterprises and non-bank institutions [1] - This shift complicates the financial choices available to depositors, as they seek new avenues for yield [1] Group 3: Foreign Currency Deposits - Dollar deposit products are gaining attention, with several banks offering high-interest rates, although these often come with conditions and currency exchange risks [1]
国泰海通|固收:存款利率调降,资金未必出表
更多国泰海通研究和服务 亦可联系对口销售获取 重要提醒 我们预计此轮存款利率调降对资金出表的扰动有限,资金面再度回到一季度的紧张状态概率不大。 今年一 季度资金面的异常收紧是同业负债提价、比价效应、政策调控等多因素共振的结果。就此轮存款利率调降 而言,一方面,近两轮大行存款利率调降后的次月,存款同比涨幅最多只是少增了五千亿元左右。 考虑到 今年 4 月大行个人和单位存款同比涨幅已回升到 5.9 万亿元,而一季度各月整体低于 4.5 万亿元,即使 出现相同程度的存款流失,资金面也难以重现一季度的紧张局面。 另一方面,当前理财产品恰逢业绩比较 基准密集下调期,叠加理财净值化整改逐步推进,预计理财相对存款的吸引力将有所下降。在当前行情 下,我们认为票息策略继续占优, 考虑到部分资金或从存款流向理财,高等级短久期信用债或受益。 风险提示: 流动性超预期收紧;经济修复大幅加速;债券供给放量。 文章来源 本文摘自:2025年5月22日发布的 存款利率调降,资金未必出表 唐元懋 ,资格证书编号: S0880524040002 藏 多 ,资格证书编号: S0880525040116 报告导读: 低利率趋势下,存款规模对存款利 ...
1万存银行,利息连奶茶钱都不够?这才是普通人该有的理财思路!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-22 13:08
T 7. I 还有一个容易被忽视的问题:存款利率的"高低"并非绝对,而是与个人的资金需求和风险偏好密切相关。比如年轻人收入不稳定,可能更倾向于活期存款或 货币基金,而老年人更看重本金安全,自然会选择定期存款。此外,不同银行的利率政策差异也值得关注。一些地方银行或民营银行的定期利率仍高于国有 大行,但需要仔细甄别其资质和风险。 1万元是否有必要存定期,取决于以下几个因素: 你的观点是什么?欢迎在评论区分享你的看法,关注我,获取更多实用理财干货! 1. 资金用途:短期内需要用钱,活期存款或货币基金更灵活;长期闲置,定期存款或大额存单更划算。 2. 风险承受能力:追求稳健收益,定期存款是首选;能接受一定风险,可尝试理财产品。 3. 通胀环境:当前低利率环境下,需警惕实际购买力缩水,适当分散投资更稳妥。 但问题是,如果不定期存款,这笔钱放哪儿更合适?很多人会想到银行理财、基金或者余额宝。确实,这些产品的收益率普遍高于定期存款,但风险也随之 而来。银行理财虽然号称"保本",但近年来业绩比较基准一降再降,甚至低于存款利率;基金和股票类产品波动更大,普通人如果没有专业知识和心理承受 力,很容易被市场"割韭菜"。相比之下,定 ...
降息潮下储户寻“存款替代”,利率高地有何风险
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-22 13:03
Core Viewpoint - The downward trend in interest rates is becoming increasingly evident, prompting depositors to seek alternative investment strategies due to shrinking returns on traditional RMB deposits [1][5][6]. Group 1: Interest Rate Trends - The RMB deposit rates have been continuously lowered, leading to a compression of returns for depositors [2][5]. - Some private banks, like Yilian Bank, have raised their one-year fixed deposit rates to 2%, contrasting with the general trend of rate cuts among major banks [3][5]. - As of May 22, 20 commercial banks have joined the trend of lowering RMB deposit rates, indicating a widespread acknowledgment of the ongoing "rate cut wave" [6]. Group 2: Shifts in Depositor Behavior - Depositors are increasingly moving their funds to non-bank financial institutions, with a reported decrease of 1.39 trillion yuan in household deposits in April, while non-bank deposits surged by 1.57 trillion yuan [1][5]. - Individuals like Li Xiang are actively searching for new investment avenues, while others, such as Chen Meng, are still exploring suitable financial products [2][3]. Group 3: Dollar Deposit Products - Several banks are offering attractive dollar deposit rates, with some reaching as high as 4.2% for six-month deposits, but these often come with conditions [4][7]. - The dollar deposit rates are also on a downward trend, with significant declines observed since the end of 2023 [6][8]. Group 4: Risks and Challenges - The high dollar deposit rates are often conditional, creating uncertainty for depositors who may not benefit from these rates in the long term [7]. - The dollar's value has been fluctuating, with the index dropping below 100, raising concerns about currency exchange risks for depositors [7][8].
又有3家股份行官宣:下调存款利率
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-05-22 11:11
继5月20日六家国有大行率先开启新一轮人民币存款挂牌利率调降工作后,各家股份制银行正在纷纷跟进调整。 《金融时报》记者注意到,5月21日,已有招商银行(600036)、平安银行(000001)、中信银行(601998)等9家股份制银行完成了存款利率下调。5月 22日上午,渤海银行、恒丰银行、浙商银行(601916)3家股份行也在官网发布了关于调整人民币存款挂牌利率的公告。 | 存款项目 | 个人存款(年利率 %) | 单位存款(年利率%) | | --- | --- | --- | | 活期在家 | 0.05 | 0. 05 | | 定期存款 | | | | 整存整取 | | | | 三个月 | 0. 70 | 0. 70 | | 半年 | 0.95 | 0. 95 | | 一年 | 1. 15 | 1. 15 | | 二年 | 1. 30 | 1. 30 | | 三年 | 1. 55 | 1. 55 | | 五年 | 1. 60 | 1. 60 | | 零存整取、 整存零取、存本取息 | | | | 一年 | 0. 70 | - | | 三年 | 0.95 | - | | 五年 | 1. 15 | - | ...
存款利率全面下跌,年轻人开始流行攒“新三金”
盐财经· 2025-05-22 10:49
作者 | 姜苏仁 统筹 | 张鹏霞 视觉 | 顾芗 5月20日一觉醒来,存款人傻眼了。比烛光大餐先来的是降息套餐。 1年期定期存款跌破1%,活期存款更是降到0.05%。不止大行在下调存款利率,5月以来,就连以高利率 吸引储蓄的中小银行也陆续降低存款利率。 一降再降的数字不止跳跃在各类新闻头条上,还在加速带起连锁反应。曾经风靡一时的"存款特种兵"话 题在多个社交平台再次火热起来。 只不过,这一次被讨论的不再是跨省存款,而是利息可能还赚不回机票钱,不仅浪费金钱、时间和精 力,甚至可能还存在各种阻碍和潜在风险。 "存款特种兵"们正在退出江湖。越来越多人意识到,定期存款也不香了。 或被动或主动,这代人正在抛弃"存银行吃利息"这条路。钱还能放哪?一部分年轻人率先开始给自己攒 起了"新三金",把求稳的钱分散放进货币基金、债券基金和黄金基金。 存款利息不香了,"新三金"成贵替 520那天,黎静"轻轻地碎了"。 工作第4年,主业与副业齐飞,她才攒下人生的第一个80万。本来想着存银行定期,每个月拿点利息, 多少都是赚了。然而,观摩一年多,利率一降再降,这意味着她可能什么都还没干,就要眼看着积蓄缩 水了。 她想到了前段时间,一个 ...
谁能承接居民存款外溢?短期看固收,长期看权益
南方财经全媒体记者 吴霜 上海报道 降息后的第一天,正好也是老陈存折上一笔40万元的一年期存款到期的日子,尽管天气潮湿闷热,早上 还下了大雨,他还是一大早就和同样已经退休的妻子出发,乘着上海早高峰时段的地铁,前往银行操作 这笔存款的转存。 "我这笔钱取出之后,要再转存一年,"叫号后,老陈刚坐定,就把存折递过去跟玻璃对面的柜员说道。 "好的,提醒您一下,您上次的存款利率是2%,现在是1.75%了。" "再存,再存,没事的。"还没等柜员说完,老陈就摆摆手,毫不犹豫地说道。 5月20日,贷款市场报价利率(LPR)迎来年内首降,1年期LPR为3%,5年期以上LPR为3.5%。两个品 种LPR均较前值下调10个基点。同日,国有六大行也一起下调了存款利率,其中,除了邮储银行之外, 一年期定存利率均下破1%至0.95%。紧接着,招商银行、光大银行、中信银行、广发银行等多家股份行 也相继宣布下调存款挂牌利率。 "现在贷款利率下降,负债端利率也往下调整,这对银行业来说是件好事,"一位城商行的零售业务负责 人对记者表示。 存款流向理财逻辑生变 当存款的收益低到一定程度时,随着理财和存款收益之间的价差扩大,部分居民财富会流向理财。 ...
跌破1%!存款利率又降了!钱到底该放哪?
天天基金网· 2025-05-22 10:25
5月20日,新一期LPR(贷款市场报价利率)如约而至, 同日,六大国有 银行 和招行带头下 调存款挂牌利率。 各家国有 银行 活期存款利率下调至0.05%, 1年期整存整取定期存款利率均跌破"1字头" , 下调至0.95%。 面对存款收益缩水,普通人的资金可考虑以下替代方案: 1. 国债:利率优势明显 操作 :通过银行柜台或手机银行抢购储蓄国债(3年期利率1.93%,5年期2.0%),每月发 行需提前关注时间。 优势 : 3年期国债收益比同期大额存单高约0.03%(30万存3年多赚270元)。 注意 : 或 可对冲利率下行风险。 2. 大额存单:门槛高但利率略优 操作 :四大行起存20万,3年期利率1.9% ,比普通定存高 0.65%。 优势 :流动性优于国债(部分支持转让)。 优势 :T+0赎回,流动性接近活期;部分产品底层为国债、存款 。 注意 :不承诺保本,需关注底层资产和风险等级。 4. 货币基金:零钱管理首选 操作 : 天天基金 ( 活期 宝) 等, 历史 7日年化收益率1.5%-2.0% (数据来源 Choice、银 河证券 ,截至日期2025/5/19 ) 。 优势 :1元起投, 交易灵活 , ...
国泰海通证券:存款利率调降,资金未必出表
Ge Long Hui· 2025-05-22 10:12
Core Insights - The overall sensitivity of deposit scale to the reduction of deposit rates is low, indicating a strong willingness among individuals and businesses to allocate funds to bank deposits despite rate cuts [1][10] - The shift of deposits from the banking system to asset management products is primarily attributed to the manual interest compensation rectification in April 2024, which had a short-term impact but began to stabilize by July of the same year [1][10] - The proportion of personal and corporate deposits in the broad money supply has increased from approximately 48% to 52% by March 2024, reflecting a robust demand for bank deposits [1][10] Deposit Rate Adjustments - The reduction in deposit rates in July and October 2024 led to a noticeable decline in the year-on-year growth of large bank deposits, dropping from 5.8 trillion yuan to 5.2 trillion yuan and from 5.0 trillion yuan to 4.8 trillion yuan respectively [3] - The asset management product scale saw a rebound, with a shift from a year-on-year decrease of 629.5 billion yuan in August 2024 to a slight increase of 10 billion yuan, and a similar trend was observed in November 2024 [3] Deposit Growth Trends - Large banks' personal and corporate deposit year-on-year growth fluctuated, with notable increases and decreases observed in various months, indicating a dynamic response to interest rate changes [5] - The year-on-year growth of deposits in small and medium-sized banks also showed variability, with a peak growth of 81.56 billion yuan followed by a decrease of 25.29 billion yuan [5] Market Reactions - The bond market typically reacts in advance to expectations of deposit rate cuts, with rates generally declining before the official announcement, although the actual impact on market trends remains limited [10] - Following the last three deposit rate cuts, the yields on various bonds, including government bonds and credit bonds, generally trended downward over the subsequent trading days [10] Future Outlook - The current round of deposit rate cuts is expected to have a limited impact on the outflow of funds, with the probability of a return to a tight liquidity situation similar to the first quarter of the year being low [10] - The attractiveness of asset management products is anticipated to decrease due to ongoing adjustments in performance benchmarks, which may lead to a shift of funds back to deposits [10]
股份行存款利率也下调:存款“搬家” 理财、保险接住溢出资金
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-05-22 09:14
继国有大行之后,多家股份制银行跟进下调了存款利率。5月21日,贝壳财经记者统计,目前已有10家股份制银行 调降了银行存款挂牌利率。 多家股份制银行跟随降低存款利率 招商银行1年定期跟调破1 5月21日,贝壳财经记者统计,已有10家股份制银行已经或即将降低存款挂牌利率。其中,1年、2年定期存款的挂 牌利率普遍下调15个基点,3年、5年定期存款的挂牌利率则均下调了25个基点。 此次调整中,招商银行的存款挂牌利率与国有银行保持同步。调整后,该行1年定期存款挂牌利率降至0.95%,首 次跌破1%。2年、3年5年定期存款利率分别降至1.05%、1.25%和1.30%,是股份制银行存款挂牌利率最低的银 行。 其余9家银行1年定期存款挂牌利率均下调至1.15%。2年、3年、5年定期存款挂牌利率下调后则不尽相同。以3年 定期存款为例,平安银行、兴业银行、光大银行、浦发银行、民生银行、广发银行、华夏银行均将挂牌利率降至 1.30%,中信银行调整后为1.25%,浙商银行(601916)则为1.55%。 上海金融与发展实验室副主任董希淼表示,不同的商业银行由于市场竞争、客户定位、负债结构等因素有所不 同,因此调整存款利率的节奏、幅 ...