Group 1: Tourism and Travel Trends - The "May Day" holiday is a peak period for cultural and tourism consumption, with the World Travel and Tourism Council (WTTC) predicting a potential 3% increase in annual tourism revenue during this 5-day holiday [1] - According to a report by Tongcheng Travel, the travel enthusiasm for the "May Day" holiday in 2025 is expected to reach the peak level since 2023, indicating a strong demand and a trend towards quality leisure vacations [1] - Various local governments are launching diverse promotional activities to stimulate consumption, including the "May Day Cultural and Tourism Consumption Week" organized by the Ministry of Culture and Tourism [2][3] Group 2: Consumer Upgrading and Promotions - The "May Day" holiday is also seen as an opportunity for consumer goods upgrading, with the Ministry of Commerce emphasizing the importance of promoting "old-for-new" consumption activities during this period [4] - Financial institutions are introducing various promotional offers to accelerate the replacement demand for consumer goods such as mobile phones, home appliances, and automobiles [4][5] - Companies are leveraging holiday periods to implement "old-for-new" campaigns, offering low-interest loans and installment plans to lower the financial barriers for consumers [5] Group 3: Consumer Protection and Awareness - Several regions, including Beijing and Tianjin, have issued consumption tips for the "May Day" holiday, urging consumers to engage in rational and green consumption while being cautious of "low-price traps" [6] - The financial sector is encouraged to proactively protect consumer rights by establishing dynamic risk assessment mechanisms and transparent information disclosure systems [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 68.77, representing a potential upside of 9% from the current price of RMB 55.17 [1][8]. Core Insights - The company's performance in Q1 2025 shows stable growth, with revenue reaching RMB 5.79 billion, up 7.59% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders at RMB 497 million, up 5.82% year-on-year [1][8]. - External sales growth is expected to outpace internal sales, driven by high demand and national subsidies, contributing to a positive outlook for 2025 [1][8]. - The gross profit margin (GPM) decreased by 0.51 percentage points to 23.91% in Q1 2025, while overall profitability remains stable despite increased competition in the domestic market [1][8]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023A: RMB 21,304 million - 2024A: RMB 22,427 million - 2025E: RMB 23,821 million - 2026E: RMB 25,073 million - 2027E: RMB 26,392 million - The year-on-year growth rates are 5.6%, 5.3%, 6.2%, 5.3%, and 5.3% respectively [3]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be: - 2023A: RMB 2,180 million - 2024A: RMB 2,244 million - 2025E: RMB 2,397 million - 2026E: RMB 2,557 million - 2027E: RMB 2,708 million - The year-on-year growth rates are 5.4%, 3.0%, 6.8%, 6.7%, and 5.9% respectively [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are: - 2025E: RMB 2.99 - 2026E: RMB 3.19 - 2027E: RMB 3.38 [3][8]. Company Outlook - For 2025, the company anticipates selling RMB 7.37 billion worth of goods to SEB, reflecting a 5% year-on-year increase, supported by trade-in programs and market share growth [1][8].

Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the "old-for-new" subsidy policy in Gansu Province aims to stimulate consumption and promote high-quality economic development in the region through comprehensive support from the tax authority [1]. Group 1: Policy Implementation and Support - The Gansu Provincial Department of Commerce released guidelines for the "old-for-new" subsidy, leading to a city-wide initiative in Jiuquan City [1]. - The Jiuquan City Taxation Bureau has actively promoted tax incentives related to value-added tax, corporate income tax, and vehicle purchase tax through various media platforms [1]. - Tax officials have provided on-site guidance to businesses involved in the program, addressing specific tax-related queries and ensuring smooth participation [1][2]. Group 2: Service Optimization and Efficiency - The increase in sales due to the "old-for-new" initiative has led to a significant rise in invoice requests from mobile digital product retailers [2]. - The Jiuquan City Taxation Bureau established a "green channel" for invoice applications, reducing approval times to under ten minutes, thus facilitating seamless operations for businesses [2]. - A dedicated consultation window for "old-for-new" business inquiries has been set up at the tax office to provide accurate and professional assistance to both businesses and consumers [3]. Group 3: Interdepartmental Collaboration - The Jiuquan City Taxation Bureau has strengthened collaboration with various departments, including finance, commerce, and market regulation, to ensure effective implementation of the "old-for-new" policy [4]. - Businesses participating in the program have reported significant increases in sales, prompting the tax bureau to assist with tax incentives and operational compliance [4]. - Through thorough investigations and consultations, the tax bureau and related departments have addressed potential issues affecting the policy's implementation, ensuring a fair market environment [4].

Core Viewpoint - Jimsar County has successfully implemented various consumer promotion measures in 2023, resulting in a significant increase in retail sales and tourism, establishing a strong foundation for economic growth throughout the year [1][4]. Group 1: Consumer Promotion Measures - The total retail sales of social consumer goods in Jimsar County reached 193 million yuan in the first quarter, marking a year-on-year increase of 19.1% [1]. - During key holidays such as New Year's Day and Spring Festival, Jimsar County launched activities like family dinners, car exhibitions, and group purchases, distributing consumption vouchers worth millions, which boosted consumption in key sectors by nearly 7 million yuan [1]. - The Unified People's Supermarket in Jimsar County reported a 70% year-on-year increase in revenue in the first quarter, driven by government-issued consumption vouchers and promotional activities [1]. Group 2: Tourism and Cultural Activities - Jimsar County hosted various tourism and cultural events, including the "North Court New Year Goods Festival" and "Ice and Snow Carnival," attracting 1.4863 million tourists in the first quarter, a year-on-year increase of 4.59% [1]. - Tourism consumption reached 100 million yuan in the first quarter, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.39% [1]. - The Hao Wei International Hotel experienced high occupancy rates, with bookings extending into mid-May due to the influx of tourists from cultural and sports events [2]. Group 3: Trade-in Policies and Market Growth - The implementation of the national trade-in policy has led to significant results in Jimsar County, with over 40 merchants participating and generating sales of more than 9 million yuan [4]. - The Jieguan Automobile Trade reported a 60% year-on-year increase in daily customer visits, with sales of over 110 vehicles in the first quarter, doubling their revenue compared to the previous year [4]. - The county aims to leverage trade-in policies and consumer promotion strategies to enhance the consumption environment and stimulate market growth [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant revenue and profit growth in 2024, with total operating income reaching 60.514 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.23%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.825 billion yuan, up 160.36% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved total operating income of 15.666 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 49.06%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 21.86%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.247 billion yuan, up 138.2% year-on-year and 74.19% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The company's revenue from major business segments in 2024 included modified plastics (32.075 billion yuan), materials trading (12.371 billion yuan), green petrochemicals (11.436 billion yuan), and new materials (3.654 billion yuan), with respective year-on-year growth rates of 18.95%, 61.77%, 22.30%, and 15.73% [2] Group 2: Business Segments - The modified plastics segment remains the largest, with a production capacity of 3.72 million tons per year and sales volume of 2.5515 million tons in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.78% [3] - The company is actively expanding its market share in emerging fields such as humanoid robots and low-altitude economy, leveraging its competitive advantages in modified plastics [3] Group 3: International Expansion - In 2024, the company's revenue from mainland China and overseas was 51.306 billion yuan and 8.792 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 29.68% and 10.73% [4] - The company is accelerating local supply and service capabilities in overseas markets, achieving significant results in the U.S., Europe, India, Vietnam, and Malaysia [4] Group 4: Strategic Development - The company is a leading domestic player in the special engineering plastics sector, achieving import substitution in markets such as LED lighting and new energy vehicles, with sales of 23,900 tons, a year-on-year increase of 16.59% [5] - The company has plans to increase production capacity for various specialty resins, with projects expected to come online between 2025 and 2026 [5] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company is expected to see net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.451 billion yuan, 2.069 billion yuan, and 2.460 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 19.4, 13.6, and 11.4 [6] - The company is rated as "overweight" based on its competitive position and comprehensive product offerings in the global chemical new materials industry [6]

其中，2024Q4 单季营业总收入为2.24 亿元，同比-45.63%；归母净利润为0.04 亿元，同比-96.18%。 2025Q1 实现营业收入0.98 亿元，同比-63.97%；实现归母净利润0.08 亿元，同比-89.90%。 公司2024 年盈利能力承压。毛利率：2024 年公司毛利率同比-6.41pct 至40.69% 。费率端： 2024 年销 售/ 管理/ 研发/ 财务费率为13.93%/8.78%/4.26%/-2.32%，同比变动+3.37pct/+4.37pct/+0.82pct/-0.52pct。 净利率：公司2024 年净利率同比变动-15.3pct 至12.46%。 公司2025Q1 盈利能力承压。毛利率：2025Q1 公司毛利率同比-5.05pct至41.11% 。费率端： 2025Q1 销 售/ 管理/ 研发/ 财务费率为10.74%/17.46%/4.94%/-1.09% ， 同比增加 事件：公司发布2024 年年报和2025 年一季报。公司2024 年实现营业总收入8.77 亿元，同比-47.54%； 实现归母净利润1.1 亿元，同比-76.21%。 洗碗机行业显现出增长韧 ...

24 及25Q1 毛销差保持积极态势 公司24 年毛利率为29.4%，同比基本持平（虽然各项业务毛利率下降，但由于低毛利率的其他业务收入 占比下降，整体毛利率相对稳定）。而25Q1毛利率同比-1.2pct。24 年公司期间费用率同比-1.77pct，主 要由于销售费用率同比-2pct（渠道营销模式变化），而25Q1 期间费用同比-2.5pct，公司毛销差保持积 极态势。 内销高占比，且高股息锚定长期价值 考虑到其他业务拖累，我们下调了收入预期，考虑到准则调整及线上均价波动，我们下调了毛利率预 期，预测25-27 年EPS 为6.23/6.71/7.12 元（25-26年分别下调10%/14%），截至2025/4/25，Wind 可比公 司25 年一致预期平均PE 为11x，考虑到公司外销占比低(24 年仅15%)、高股息防御属性强，关税波动背 景下具备优势，但市场仍存多元业务拓展偏慢担忧，给予公司25 年9xPE 估值，对应目标价56.07 元 （前值58.74 元，基于25 年8.5xPE）。 公司披露2024 年报及25 一季报：2024 年实现总营收1900.38 亿元，同比-7.31%，归母净利321 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.955 billion yuan for 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 15.65%, with core business revenue reaching 2.669 billion yuan, up 19.58%, both achieving record highs since its listing [1] - In Q1 2025, the company continued its strong growth trajectory, with core business revenue of 525 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.92%, demonstrating resilience against industry cycles [1][2] - The company’s net profit for Q1 2025 was 9.49 million yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 55.88%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items rose by 91.87% to 9.42 million yuan [2] Revenue Performance - The dual drivers of "e-sports + domestic innovation" have provided the company with growth resilience, while the exploration of new product categories like smart glasses has created new growth momentum [1] - Despite the impact of the GeForce RTX 50 series product launch on consumer purchasing decisions, the company maintained revenue growth in Q1 2025 [1] Profitability and Cash Flow - The company faced foreign exchange losses due to the appreciation of the US dollar against the Chinese yuan, amounting to an increase of 7.9346 million yuan compared to the same period last year [2] - The net cash flow from operating activities surged by 17,993.88% year-on-year to approximately 249 million yuan, indicating strong self-sustaining capabilities [2] Market Outlook - The upcoming end of support for Windows 10, the proliferation of AI models like DeepSeek, and the domestic innovation strategy are expected to drive the PC industry into a "super replacement cycle" [3] - The explosion of the AI smart glasses market is anticipated to open a new incremental growth avenue for the company [3] - The company is expected to continue exceeding performance expectations, supported by its dual strategy and commitment to embracing globalization and leading the AI technology revolution [3]

4月28日，国务院新闻办公室召开发布会，邀请有关部门负责同志介绍稳就业稳经济推动高质量发展的 若干举措（以下简称"若干举措"）。 人力资源社会保障部副部长俞家栋介绍，面对当前外部冲击影响加大、就业压力持续上升，将全力确保 就业局势总体稳定，重点采取五方面措施。 持续挖潜扩容就业空间。围绕新质生产力发展、消费新热点打造、重点工程项目实施、基本民生服务等 领域出台激励政策，加大岗位释放力度，并积极拓展新的就业增长点。 打好稳就业政策组合拳。全面落实存量政策，加快兑现稳岗返还、担保贷款、就业补贴。加快推出增量 政策，对企业加大扩岗支持，对个人加大就业补贴支持，对受关税影响较大的企业提高失业保险稳岗返 还比例。 支持就业、稳定外贸发展、促进消费、积极扩大有效投资、营造稳定发展的良好环境……国家发展改革 委副主任赵辰昕表示，若干举措的出台实施将对经济形成有力支撑，能够促进经济平稳健康发展和保持 社会大局稳定。 支持就业 突出保障重点群体就业。启动就业服务攻坚行动。拓展外出务工和就近就业渠道，加大以工代赈支持， 促进农民工就业增收，稳住3000万脱贫人口的务工规模。强化困难人员就业援助。 加快兑现稳岗返还、担保贷款、就业 ...

6 4 1 近日，长城证券首席经济学家汪毅在"上证·首席讲坛"发表演讲并接受上海证券报记者专访。关于提振 消费市场，汪毅表示，可通过优化收入再分配机制、完善社会保障体系、稳定房地产市场与资本市场等 方式，提升居民收入水平，从而激发消费潜力。 多维发力促消费长效增长 今年以来，"以旧换新"政策力度更大、补贴范围更广，成效显著。 国家统计局数据显示，今年一季度社会消费品零售总额12.47万亿元，同比增长4.6%，比2024年全年加 快1.1个百分点。在"以旧换新"政策推动下，绿色智能产品销售快速增长。商品零售额同比增长4.6%， 增速比2024年全年加快1.4个百分点。限额以上单位商品零售额增长5.8%，增速比2024年全年加快3.1个 百分点，其中通讯器材、文化办公用品、家电、家具零售额同比分别增长26.9%、21.7%、19.3%和 18.1%。 此外，今年一季度乘用车零售量同比增长5.8%，其中新能源乘用车零售量增长36.4%，渗透率达 47.2%。3月，部分重点监测企业智能家居产品销售额同比增长超10%。 汪毅 ◎记者 高志刚 稳楼市还有不少"招数" "当然，更为关键的是居民财产性收入，这主要涉及资本市场 ...