Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - From January to August 1, 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index rose by +10.3%, and the CSI All-Share Index rose by +8.6%. The convertible bond market outperformed the equity market. After five consecutive weeks of gains, the convertible bonds adjusted slightly this week. Fundamental trends and anti-involution policies are important influencing factors for the current convertible bond market. Investors can continue to focus on convertible bonds in areas such as boosting domestic demand and anti-involution [1][4] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Market Conditions - From July 28 to August 1, 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index fell by -1.4% (last week's increase was +2.1%), and the CSI All-Share Index changed by -1.1% (last week's increase was +2.2%). Since the beginning of 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index has risen by +10.3%, and the CSI All-Share Index has risen by +8.6%. The convertible bond market outperformed the equity market [1] - By rating, high-rated bonds (AA+ and above), medium-rated bonds (AA), and low-rated bonds (AA- and below) fell by -2.03%, -0.29%, and -0.93% respectively this week, with high-rated bonds having the largest decline. By convertible bond scale, large-scale convertible bonds (bond balance greater than 5 billion yuan), medium-scale convertible bonds (balance between 500 million and 5 billion yuan), and small-scale convertible bonds (balance less than 500 million yuan) fell by -1.66%, -0.85%, and -0.83% respectively this week, with large-scale convertible bonds having the largest decline. By parity, ultra-high parity bonds (conversion value greater than 130 yuan) rose slightly by +0.38% this week, while other types of parity bonds had varying degrees of decline [2] - By industry, the top 30 convertible bonds in terms of gains mainly came from machinery and equipment (6), pharmaceutical biology (4), and electronics (4); the top 30 convertible bonds in terms of losses mainly came from chemicals (5), non-ferrous metals (4), etc. [2] 2. Convertible Bond Price, Parity, and Conversion Premium Rate - As of August 1, 2025, there were 463 outstanding convertible bonds (468 at the close of last week), with a balance of 636.614 billion yuan (637.942 billion yuan at the close of last week) [3] - The average convertible bond price was 127.7 yuan (128.87 yuan last week), with a quantile of 97.7%; the average convertible bond parity was 100.65 yuan (101.20 yuan last week), with a quantile of 89.3%; the average convertible bond conversion premium rate was 27.4% (27.3% last week), with a quantile of 55.4%. Among them, the conversion premium rate of medium-parity convertible bonds (conversion value between 90 and 110 yuan) was 27.6% (29.0% last week), higher than the median conversion premium rate of medium-parity convertible bonds since 2018 (20.0%) [3] 3. Convertible Bond Performance and Allocation Direction - This week, the CSI Convertible Bond Index fell by -1.4%. After five consecutive weeks of gains, the convertible bonds adjusted slightly this week; the CSI All-Share Index changed by -1.1%. Since the beginning of 2025, the CSI Convertible Bond Index has risen by +10.3%, and the CSI All-Share Index has risen by +8.6%. The convertible bond market outperformed the equity market. Looking ahead, fundamental trends and anti-involution policies are still important influencing factors for the current convertible bond market. Investors can continue to focus on convertible bonds in areas such as boosting domestic demand and anti-involution [4] 4. Convertible Bond Increase Situation - The top 15 convertible bonds in terms of gains this week included Qizheng Convertible Bond, Bo 25 Convertible Bond, Dongjie Convertible Bond, etc. For example, Qizheng Convertible Bond had a convertible bond increase of 45.60% and an underlying stock increase of 39.99% [24]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the liquidity and scale of the CSI 300 ETF have shown positive trends, with a significant increase in trading volume and net inflows from leveraged funds [3][4] - As of July 31, the CSI 300 ETF has seen a net value increase of 8.63% over the past six months, with a maximum monthly return of 25.64% since its inception [3] - The July PMI data reflects the resilience of China's economy, with production maintaining expansion despite seasonal negative impacts, while domestic demand is expected to recover due to policy support [3][4] Group 2 - The central political bureau meeting in July emphasized consolidating the economic recovery and addressing prominent issues in economic operations, while fostering new pillar industries without relying on debt-driven growth [4] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 300 index as of June 30, 2025, include Kweichow Moutai, CATL, and Ping An Insurance, collectively accounting for 22.76% of the index [4][6] - Investors without stock accounts can access core A-share assets through the CSI 300 ETF linked fund (160724) for low-cost entry [7]

Group 1 - A-shares opened lower with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.14%, Shenzhen Component down 0.08%, and ChiNext down 0.19% [1] - Sectors such as China Shipbuilding, fiberglass, and copper foil/copper-clad laminate saw significant declines [1] Group 2 - Everbright Securities noted a weakening "import rush" effect in Q2, with U.S. imports declining at an annualized rate of -30.3%, impacting net exports and contributing to the positive GDP growth [2] - Consumer confidence in the U.S. remains low, with personal consumption growth at 1.4%, the second-lowest since 2024, and private investment down to an annualized rate of -15.6% [2] - Everbright Securities predicts a high probability of the Federal Reserve restarting interest rate cuts in the second half of the year [2] Group 3 - Huatai Securities expects the lithium battery supply chain's capacity utilization to continue improving, driven by strong sales of new energy vehicles in China and Europe [3] - The profitability model for energy storage is gradually improving, supported by local policies, and demand is expected to remain strong [3] - Supply-side constraints are easing, with significant slowdowns in new capacity releases in battery and material sectors, leading to improved profitability [3] Group 4 - Galaxy Securities remains optimistic about the equity market, focusing on technology, consumer sectors, and "anti-involution" areas [4] - July's PMI indicates resilience in China's economy, with production maintaining expansion despite seasonal impacts [4] - The central political bureau's meeting emphasized consolidating economic recovery and fostering new pillar industries without relying on debt-driven growth [4]

银河证券研报表示，7月份的PMI一方面展现了我国经济的韧性，生产端在季节的负面影响下依然保持 扩张区间；内需虽然下滑，不过有前期"618"透支的因素，未来在以旧换新以及生育补贴等扩内需政策 的带动下或继续回升。另一方面，外需在长期"抢出口"的影响下已经开始边际下滑；企业对长期的经营 信心仍没有恢复，生产、采购和库存水平均以即期订单为锚。7月中央政治局会议做出了部署，即巩固 经济回升向好态势，并解决经济运行过程中的突出问题。又加速培育新兴支柱产业，不走债务驱动增长 的老路。同时会议提到了"巩固资本市场回稳向好势头"，银河证券仍然看好权益市场，重点关注政策支 持的科技、消费以及"反内卷"领域。 ...

昨日市场震荡调整，三大指数均跌超1%。7月市场总体呈现震荡攀升态势，三大指数月线均收涨，其中 创业板指7月累计涨超8%，但沪指3600点整数关得而复失。昨日沪深两市全天成交额1.94万亿，较上个 交易日放量918亿。板块方面，辅助生殖、液冷IDC、信创、华为昇腾等板块涨幅居前，钢铁、煤炭、 有色、影视等板块跌幅居前。截至昨日收盘，沪指跌1.18%，深成指跌1.73%，创业板指跌1.66%。 在今天的券商晨会上，光大证券认为，二季度"抢进口"效应减弱，美联储下半年或重启降息；华泰证券 表示，预计锂电产业链各环节产能利用率或持续提升；银河证券指出，仍然看好权益市场，重点关注科 技、消费及"反内卷"领域。 光大证券：二季度"抢进口"效应减弱 美联储下半年或重启降息 光大证券表示，二季度"抢进口"效应减弱，美国进口环比折年率降至-30.3%，导致净出口对GDP拖累大 幅收敛，是二季度经济增速转正的重要原因。但另一方面，消费与投资则难掩疲弱，其中二季度美国消 费者信心指数低迷，相应地个人消费表现较弱，1.4%的环比增速为2024年以来的次低值，私人投资环 比折年率也降至-15.6%，因此不宜高估本次经济数据的韧性。光大 ...

Core Viewpoint - The PMI data for July indicates resilience in China's economy, with production maintaining an expansionary range despite seasonal negative impacts, while internal demand has declined due to prior overconsumption during the "618" shopping festival, but is expected to recover with policies promoting consumption [1] Economic Indicators - The production sector remains in an expansionary zone, showcasing economic resilience [1] - Internal demand has decreased, influenced by previous consumption patterns, but is anticipated to rebound due to policies such as trade-in programs and childbirth subsidies [1] - External demand is experiencing marginal decline due to long-term "export grabbing" effects [1] Business Sentiment - Companies have not yet regained confidence in long-term operations, with production, procurement, and inventory levels anchored to immediate orders [1] Policy Measures - The Central Political Bureau meeting in July emphasized consolidating the economic recovery and addressing prominent issues in economic operations [1] - There is a focus on accelerating the cultivation of emerging pillar industries without resorting to debt-driven growth [1] - The meeting also highlighted the importance of stabilizing the capital market, with a positive outlook on the equity market, particularly in technology, consumption, and "anti-involution" sectors supported by policies [1]

Core Insights - The manufacturing PMI for July 2025 is reported at 49.3%, indicating a decline of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting a downturn in manufacturing activity [1] Manufacturing PMI Breakdown - The production index stands at 50.5%, down 0.5 percentage points, while the new orders index is at 49.4%, down 0.8 percentage points, indicating continued expansion in production but a slowdown in market demand [2] - The raw material inventory index is at 47.7%, down 0.3 percentage points, and the employment index is at 48.0%, up 0.1 percentage points, suggesting challenges in workforce levels [1][2] - The supplier delivery time index is at 50.3%, up 0.1 percentage points, indicating stable supply chain conditions [1] Price Index and Market Dynamics - The price index has risen, with the main raw material purchase price index at 51.5%, up 3.1 percentage points, and the factory price index at 48.3%, up 2.1 percentage points, indicating an overall improvement in manufacturing market prices [2] Large Enterprises and New Growth Drivers - Large enterprises maintain expansion with a PMI of 50.3%, down 0.9 percentage points, and their production and new orders indices at 52.1% and 50.7%, respectively, indicating a stable operational environment [2] - Emerging sectors such as equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing show PMIs of 50.3% and 50.6%, respectively, both above the critical point, indicating ongoing growth in these areas [2] Market Expectations and Future Outlook - The production and business activity expectation index is at 52.6%, up 0.6 percentage points, reflecting increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding market developments [2] - Analysts suggest that despite a decline in domestic demand, future policies aimed at boosting consumption and investment may lead to a recovery in economic activity [3] - The focus on new pillar industries and the stabilization of the capital market are expected to support the equity market, particularly in technology and consumer sectors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The increasing market volatility in 2023 has led to a significant structural differentiation in the A-share market, with investors seeking stability and yield flexibility in asset allocation, making "fixed income +" funds a focal point in the wealth management market [1] Group 1: Fund Performance - The Shangyin Fengrui One-Year Holding Mixed Fund A achieved a net value growth rate of 9.46% over the past year, significantly outperforming its benchmark return of 4.31% [2] - Since its inception in December 2023, the fund's net value growth rate reached 18.65%, compared to a benchmark return of 7.49%, indicating a clear excess return [2] - The fund ranks in the top 14% for one-year performance among its peers, with a maximum drawdown of -2.34%, well below the average of -4.78% for similar products [2] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The Shangyin Fengyi Mixed Fund A reported a net value growth rate of 6.34% over the past six months, with a one-year growth rate of 13.25%, far exceeding its benchmark of 4.94% [3] - The fund's stock allocation is 28.22% of total assets, leveraging the advantages of fixed income + products to enhance returns through selective stock picking [3] - The fund manager emphasizes a proactive investment strategy, focusing on sectors with growth potential such as gaming, semiconductors, and healthcare, while also incorporating convertible bonds to enhance yield flexibility [3][4] Group 3: Research and Market Outlook - Shangyin Fund has established a robust research framework, focusing on risk control and long-term stability, with a comprehensive investment research center [5] - The fund anticipates a stable macroeconomic environment, with a focus on sectors like big finance, military industry, innovative pharmaceuticals, and AI applications, as well as resource commodities like gold and copper [6]

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View Standing at the end of July and looking forward to August, investors' sentiment for going long in the bond market has declined. The consensus has shifted from going long on long - term and ultra - long - term bonds to medium - and short - term interest - rate bonds. The money market and the equity market have become the core concerns of investors, and their preference for medium - and low - grade urban investment bonds and local government bonds has weakened marginally [1]. 3. Summary by Questionnaire Items Q2: 10 - year Treasury Yield Upper and Lower Limits in August - Regarding the lower limit, 45% of investors think it will likely fall within 1.60% - 1.65% (inclusive), 18% believe it will break below 1.60% (mostly in the 1.55% - 1.60% range), and about 37% think it will exceed 1.65%. - Regarding the upper limit, 51% of investors think it will likely fall within 1.75% - 1.80% (inclusive), about 14% think it will exceed 1.80%, and only 4% think it will be below 1.70%. - Conclusion: Investors' expectation of a rise in the 10 - year Treasury yield is increasing, but they are still cautious about it breaking key points. The bond market may face some emotional shocks in August, but the macro - fundamentals are in a weak recovery, the money market is stable, and the expectation of loose monetary policy remains unchanged [10]. Q3: 30 - year Treasury Yield Upper and Lower Limits in August - Regarding the lower limit, over 73% of investors think it will fall within 1.80% - 1.90% (inclusive), 18% think it will break above 1.90%, and only 8% think it will be below 1.80%. - Regarding the upper limit, about 56% of investors think it will fall within 1.95% - 2.00% (inclusive), 24% think it will be in the 2.00% - 2.05% range, and about 9% think it will break above 2.05%. - Conclusion: Since July, the 30 - year Treasury yield has been rising, reaching a maximum of 1.998%. Investors' expectation of a further increase in the 30 - year Treasury yield is not high [14]. Q4: Economic Trend in the Third Quarter - 31% of investors are relatively optimistic about the economic trend in the third quarter, believing it will show "year - on - year recovery and month - on - month growth exceeding the seasonal level". - 24% think it will be "year - on - year recovery and month - on - month growth in line with the seasonal level". - 34% think it will be "year - on - year recovery and month - on - month growth weaker than the seasonal level". - 31% are relatively pessimistic, believing it will be "both year - on - year and month - on - month decline". - Conclusion: External factors may have some impact on the macro - economy in the third quarter, but the overall expectation of investors has not changed much, with the proportion of pessimistic expectations rising from 30% to 31% [15]. Q5: Next Reserve Requirement Ratio Cut and Interest Rate Cut Timing - Regarding reserve requirement ratio cuts, 43% of investors think there will be no more cuts this year, 47% think the next cut may be in the third quarter, and 9% think it will be postponed to the fourth quarter. - Regarding interest rate cuts, 41% of investors think there will be no cuts this year, 41% think the next cut may be in the fourth quarter, and 19% think it will be in August or the third quarter. - Conclusion: In July, investors' expectations for reserve requirement ratio and interest rate cuts have gradually weakened. Most investors tend to postpone potential cuts to a more distant policy window rather than August [17]. Q6: Impact of the Recent "Anti - Involution" Policy on the Bond Market - 71% of investors think the "anti - involution" policy will be negative for the bond market. - 43% think it will strengthen the stock - bond seesaw effect and suppress the bond market through capital diversion. - 28% think it will push up industrial product prices, intensify inflation expectations, and be negative for the bond market. - 17% think the policy's effect is limited, and the bond market is still dominated by fundamentals. - Conclusion: The "anti - involution" policy has some impact on the macro - economy and the bond market, but no obvious trend is seen. Most investors think it will be negative for the bond market, but some think the impact is short - term [18]. Q7: Bond Market Trend in August - 28% of investors think the bond market will strengthen in August, with 13% expecting a bullish steepening of the yield curve and 15% expecting a bullish flattening. - 31% of investors think the bond market will be weak. - 26% of investors think the bond market will show a divergence between the short - end and the long - end, with the short - end strong and the long - end weak. - 2% of investors think the short - end will be weak and the long - end will be strong. - Conclusion: Investors' consensus has shifted to going long on short - term bonds. The proportion of those thinking the bond market will strengthen is significantly lower than in June. Investors' judgments on the bond market are relatively evenly distributed [22]. Q8: Current Bond Market Operation - 33% of investors think they should hold cash and wait to add positions after the market corrects to the expected level. - 20% of investors think they can start adding positions now. - 19% of investors think they should reduce the duration to control risks. - 14% of investors think they should take appropriate profits and reduce positions. - 14% of investors think they should keep the positions basically stable. - Conclusion: Most investors are neutral in practice. Holding cash and waiting is the mainstream view. The proportion of those thinking they can start adding positions has increased, indicating potential buying power in the bond market [23]. Q9: Most Favored Bond Types in August - Compared with June, investors' preference for ultra - long - term and long - term interest - rate bonds has decreased, while their preference for medium - and short - term interest - rate bonds has increased significantly. - The popularity of local government bonds and medium - and low - grade urban investment bonds has decreased. - Conclusion: Investors' consensus has shifted from long - term and ultra - long - term interest - rate bonds to medium - and short - term interest - rate bonds, and their preference for negotiable certificates of deposit has also increased [29]. Q10: Main Logic of Bond Market Pricing in August - Monetary policy, the money market, and the performance of the equity market have become the core concerns of bond investors. - Investors' attention to fiscal policy and government bond issuance remains the same, while their attention to fundamentals and institutional behavior games has decreased. - Conclusion: The central bank's monetary policy stance and the money market trend are still the factors that investors focus on. This month, investors' attention to the equity market has increased significantly, while their attention to institutional behavior games and fiscal policy has decreased [30].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that equity financial products have shown impressive returns, with 18 products yielding over 10% year-to-date, and some exceeding 30% [1] - As of July 24, 2023, there are 46 publicly offered equity financial products, with 42 of them generating positive returns, indicating that 90% of these products are profitable [1] - The highest return among these products is from Huaxia Wealth's Tian Gong Ri Kai No. 8 (precious metal index), achieving a return of 31.72% [1] Group 2 - The emergence of high-yield financial products is attributed to the short-term elasticity of equity assets and market mechanism arbitrage, particularly in sectors like new energy and AI [2] - The total scale of the banking wealth management market is 30.67 trillion yuan, with equity products only accounting for 700 billion yuan, remaining stable compared to the previous year [2] - Most banking wealth management clients prioritize capital safety, leading companies to favor issuing 'fixed income+' and mixed financial products [2] Group 3 - Banks' research and investment capabilities in equity investments are still developing, with a focus on fixed income assets [3] - The client base for bank wealth management primarily consists of low to medium-risk investors, who are sensitive to net value fluctuations, limiting the large-scale issuance of equity products [3] - Regulatory encouragement for banks to invest in equity markets aims to enrich long-term patient capital, although practical challenges remain [3] Group 4 - Investors are advised to consider their risk tolerance, liquidity needs, and market assessments when making decisions [4] - A long-term 'risk-return ratio' mindset is recommended for asset allocation to achieve steady growth rather than chasing short-term gains [4]