021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 021-60635727 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 行业 纸浆日报 日期 2025 年 6 月 9 日 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015157 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员:李捷,CFA（原油燃料油） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（尿素、工业硅） 研究员 ...

综述 1 行情研判 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 国泰君安期货·能源化工 胶版印刷纸周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·高琳琳 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0002332 日期：2025年6月8日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint CONTENTS 综述 01 行情走势 02 供需数据 03 行情研判 04 行情研判 行业资讯 现货价格 成本利润 季节性特征 供给 需求 库存 进出口 行情研判 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 4 资料来源：Qinrex ➢ 行情回顾：本周双胶纸市场主流维稳，个别本白规格价格下跌。据卓创资讯数据显示，本周70g木浆高白双胶纸市场均价为5163元/吨， 环比持平，本周趋势较上周由跌转稳；70g木浆本白双胶纸市场均价为4862元/吨，环比下跌21元/吨，跌幅0.43%，本周跌幅环比扩大 0.10个百分点。影响市场价格走势的主要因素有：第一，月初纸厂报盘基本稳定，多延续上月政策，个别出货存在商谈空间；第二， ...

研究所 偏弱震荡，关注主力合约移仓换月 ——国信期货纸浆周报 2025年6月8日 3 后市展望 目 录 CONTENTS 研究所 1 本周行情回顾 2 基本面分析 研究所 第 P 一 a 部 r 分 t1 行情回顾 一、本周行情回顾 研究所 本周纸浆期货主力合约移仓换月，SP2509偏弱运行，周度跌幅1.32%。 免责声明：本报告以投资者教育为目的，不构成任何投资建议。 数据来源：文华财经 国信期货 4 研究所 第 P 二 a 部 r 分 t2 基本面分析 二、基本面分析：纸浆市场价格 研究所 卓创资讯监测数据显示，截至6月5日，本周进口针叶浆周均价5989元/吨，较上周下跌0.50%，跌幅较上期收窄0.45个百分点；进口阔叶浆周均价4158元/吨 ，较上周下跌0.83%，跌幅较上期收窄0.51个百分点；进口本色浆周均价5312元/吨，较上周下跌0.58%，跌幅较上期扩大0.08个百分点；进口化机浆周均价 3838元/吨，较上周下跌0.10%，由稳转跌。 免责声明：本报告以投资者教育为目的，不构成任何投资建议。 数据来源：Choice 国信期货 6 二、基本面分析：4月份纸浆进口量环比下滑 研究所 进口方面， ...

| | | | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | | | ITC 国贸期货 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | SAL | | | | | | 农产品研究中心 | | | 国贸期货研究院 | 杨璐琳 | 投资咨询号:Z0015194 从业资格号:F3042528 | | | 2025/6/6 | | | | | | | | 纸浆价格数据 | | | | | | 2025年6月5日 | | | 日环比 | 周环比 | | | 2025年6月5日 | 日环比 | 107 W/N | | SP2601 | | 5242 | -0. 15% | 0. 15% | | 针叶浆银星 | 6150 | 0. 00% | 0. 00% | | 期货价格 | SP2507 | 5280 | -0. 34% | -0. 86% | 现货价 | 针织我针 | 5320 | 0. 00% | 0. 00% | | SP2509 | | 5228 | -0. 15% | 0. 27% | | ...

行业 纸浆日报 日期 2025 年 6 月 6 日 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 021-60635727 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3015157 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03134307 能源化工研究团队 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员:李捷,CFA（原油燃料油） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（尿素、工业硅） 研究员 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Group 2: Core View of the Report - Pulp lacks clear driving factors in the short term and is expected to fluctuate at a low level [2] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Pulp Price Data - **Futures Prices**: On June 4, 2025, SP2601 was 5250, up 0.23% day - on - day and 0.65% week - on - week; SP2507 was 5298, down 0.11% day - on - day and up 0.46% week - on - week; SP2509 was 5236, up 0.27% day - on - day and 1.00% week - on - week [1] - **Spot Prices**: Coniferous pulp Silver Star was 6150, down 0.81% day - on - day and week - on - week; Knitted Coniferous was 5320, down 1.48% day - on - day and 0.56% week - on - week; Broadleaf pulp Goldfish was 4120, down 0.72% day - on - day and up 0.49% week - on - week [1] - **Outer - disk Quotes**: Chilean Silver Star was 740 dollars, unchanged; Chilean Star was 560 dollars, unchanged; Chilean Venus was 620 dollars, unchanged [1] - **Import Costs**: Chilean Silver Star was 6046, unchanged; Chilean Star was 4587, unchanged; Chilean Venus was 5073, unchanged [1] Pulp Fundamental Data - **Supply** - **Imports in April 2025**: Coniferous pulp imports were 75.8 tons, down 5.01% month - on - month; Broadleaf pulp imports were 119.9 tons, down 18.44% month - on - month [1] - **Shipments to China**: In April 2025, shipments of coniferous pulp to China decreased by 2.9% year - on - year, and shipments of broadleaf pulp to China increased by 26.7% year - on - year. In March 2025, shipments to China were 1813, up 20.70% month - on - month [1] - **Domestic Production**: In late May 2025, broadleaf pulp production fluctuated around 20 tons, and chemimechanical pulp production was around 20 tons [1] - **Inventory** - **Port Inventory**: As of May 29, 2025, pulp port inventory was 216.1 tons, up 0.4 tons from the previous period, a 0.2% increase [1] - **Delivery Warehouse Inventory**: As of May 29, 2025, it was 25.20 tons, down from the previous period [1] - **Demand**: In late May 2025, among the main finished paper products, the output of white cardboard increased slightly, and the output of other paper types was stable. Cultural paper and white cardboard manufacturers issued price increase letters, but the implementation was poor, and downstream paper mills made rigid purchases [1] Pulp Valuation Data - **Basis**: On June 4, 2025, the Russian needle basis was 22, with a quantile level of 0.755; the Silver Star basis was 852, with a quantile level of 0.971 [1] - **Import Profit**: On June 4, 2025, the import profit of coniferous pulp Silver Star was 104, with a quantile level of 0.78; the import profit of broadleaf pulp Goldfish was - 467, with a quantile level of 0.206 [1] Summary - **Supply**: Chilean Arauco's June 2025 wood pulp outer - disk quotes were flat. Broadleaf pulp is expected to resume partial supply in July (limited quantity) [1] - **Demand**: The implementation of price increase letters from cultural paper and white cardboard manufacturers was poor, and downstream paper mills made rigid purchases. The output of white cardboard increased slightly, and the output of other paper types was stable [1] - **Inventory**: As of May 29, 2025, pulp port inventory showed a slight accumulation trend [1] - **Strategy**: Pulp lacks clear driving factors in the short term and is expected to fluctuate at a low level [2]

行业 纸浆日报 日期 2025 年 6 月 5 日 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 021-60635727 数据来源：Wind，建信期货研究发展部 纸浆期货 09 合约前结算价为 5272 元/吨，收盘价为 5236 元/吨，整体下跌 0.68%。山东木浆市场针叶浆意向成交价格区间为 5400-6750 元/吨，低端价格较 上一工作日收盘价格持稳运行，其中山东银星报价为 6300 元/吨。 021-60635730 lijin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F ...

| | | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | | | | ITC 国贸期货 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | SAL. | | | | | | | | 农产品研究中心 >> | 国贸期货研究院 | 杨璐琳 | 投资咨询号: Z0015194 从业资格号:F3042528 | | | 2025/6/4 | | | | | | | | 纸浆价格数据 | | | | | | | 2025年6月3日 | | 日环比 | 周环比 | | | 2025年6月3日 | 日本に | 19 W FD | | | SP2601 5238 | | -1. 32% | -1. 17% | | 针叶浆银星 | 6200 | 0. 00% | -0. 80% | | 期货价格 | SP2507 5414 | | -1.42% | 1. 65% | 现货价 | 针叶浆俄针 | 5400 | 0. 00% | -0. 92% | | | SP2509 5222 | | -1.36% | -1.47 ...

农产品日报 | 2025-06-04 郑糖跟随原糖下跌，棉价延续偏弱整理 棉花观点 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面，昨日收盘棉花2509合约13260元/吨，较前一日变动-15元/吨，幅度-0.11%。现货方面，3128B棉新疆到 厂价14445元/吨，较前一日变动-4元/吨，现货基差CF09+1185，较前一日变动+11；3128B棉全国均价14553元/吨， 较前一日变动-16元/吨，现货基差CF09+1293，较前一日变动-1。 近期市场资讯，据美国农业部（USDA），美棉种植进度同比落后幅度收窄，部分已开始现蕾，早期优良率同比偏 低。截止6月1日，美棉15个棉花主要种植州棉花种植率为66%，较去年同期慢2个百分点；近五年同期平均水平在 69%，较近五年同期平均水平慢3个百分点。美棉15个棉花主要种植州棉花现蕾率为8%，较去年同期持平；近五年 同期平均水平在7%，较近五年同期平均水平高1个百分点。美棉15个棉花主要种植州棉花优良率为49%，较去年同 期低11个百分点，较5年均值高1个百分点。 市场分析 昨日郑棉期价震荡收跌。宏观方面，近期美国国际贸易法院裁定暂停特朗普政府4月2日宣布的一揽子加征关税政 策 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent trend of photovoltaic companies listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange continues, with Jiangsu Riyu Photovoltaic New Materials Co., Ltd. applying for an IPO, aiming to leverage its position as a leading supplier of conductive silver paste for solar cells [1][2]. Company Overview - Jiangsu Riyu was established in September 2015 and specializes in producing conductive silver paste for various types of solar cells, including TOPCon, xBC, and PERC cells [2]. - The company is projected to rank first among the top five global manufacturers of conductive silver paste by revenue in 2024, capturing approximately 4.8% of the global market share in both revenue and sales volume [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue has shown rapid growth, with figures of 393 million RMB in 2022, 1.594 billion RMB in 2023, and 2.285 billion RMB in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 141.3% [3][4]. - Gross profit for the same period was 37.46 million RMB, 179.27 million RMB, and 211.80 million RMB, with gross margins of 9.5%, 11.2%, and 9.3% respectively [4]. - Net profit increased significantly from 877,000 RMB in 2022 to 9.224 million RMB in 2024, achieving a CAGR of 925.6% [3][4]. Product Dynamics - The company's product mix has shifted in response to industry trends, with TOPCon silver paste becoming a major revenue contributor, while PERC silver paste has seen a decline in sales [7][8]. - The sales volume of TOPCon silver paste surged from 0.03 tons in 2022 to 241.70 tons in 2024, with average prices increasing from 5,667 RMB/kg to 6,624 RMB/kg [4][5]. Market Trends - The photovoltaic silver paste market is expected to grow from 46.8 billion RMB in 2024 to 116 billion RMB by 2029, with a CAGR of 19.9% [11]. - The shift from PERC technology to N-type technologies like TOPCon and xBC is driving demand for high-performance silver paste, with N-type battery shipments projected to reach 1,166.9 GW by 2029, accounting for 95.4% of global shipments [6][11]. Competitive Landscape - The global silver paste market is highly concentrated, with the top five manufacturers holding approximately 73% of the market share [13]. - Jiangsu Riyu ranks fourth among global silver paste manufacturers, but still lags behind the top three companies, which have significantly higher revenues [13][16]. Challenges - The company faces high raw material costs, which accounted for over 97% of total sales costs in recent years, and a high customer concentration risk, with its top five customers generating nearly 75% of total revenue in 2024 [8][9]. - The company's operating cash flow has been negative, indicating a reliance on external financing to meet cash demands [10][12].