Core Viewpoint - The issuance of the CSI A500 index funds has seen a resurgence, primarily driven by small and medium-sized public funds, marking a shift from the previous dominance of large public funds [2][4]. Group 1: Fund Issuance Trends - As of June 12, there are 8 CSI A500 index-related funds currently being issued, with a notable increase in participation from small and medium-sized public funds [3][4]. - The number of fund companies involved in the CSI A500 index fund market has exceeded 75 since the fourth quarter of 2024 [5]. - The total scale of the 113 CSI A500 index funds established is approximately 2165.56 billion, with a current scale of 2964.76 billion, indicating significant growth despite some recent declines in issuance scale [5][6]. Group 2: Fund Performance and Characteristics - Among the 113 established funds, 10 have a scale exceeding 100 billion, all of which are ETFs, while 58 funds have a scale below 10 billion [6]. - The average unit net value of the 113 CSI A500 index funds is 0.997 yuan, with an average return rate of -0.23% since inception [7]. - Over 50% of the funds have a unit net value below 1 yuan, indicating challenges in performance for many newly established products [7]. Group 3: New Index Development - New strategy indices related to the CSI A500 have been developed, including the CSI A500 "Dividend" and "Quality" indices, which are expected to diversify the product offerings in the market [2][8]. - The CSI A500 Dividend Index selects 50 high-dividend stocks from the CSI A500 sample, reflecting the overall performance of high-dividend securities [9]. - The low interest rate environment is making dividends more attractive, potentially boosting stock valuations and market performance [9].

午后会迎来新行情了 大家，目前还相信牛市吗？ 如果，你不相信牛市肯定就等不到牛市了。证券已经拉升了，牛市旗手已经有一个提前上涨了，关键是等地产、白酒的补涨，只有联动上涨才会有大行情。 不要担心白酒的回调，目前就是用银行、证券的拉升对冲它的下跌，等它跌透了就可以一起拉升了，证券的空间远不止这个，特别是港股证券。 大盘指数还会继续拉升，大家炒股能不能挣钱与大盘指数涨跌关系有限，这是我们指数ETF玩家关心的事情，我们不可能去关注题材、概念、热点、游资、 龙虎榜吧。 大家不相信牛市而踏空行情，又因为不甘心而追涨。指数已经没有问题，关键是自己的选择筹码问题了。结构性行情，一定要踏准筹码节奏。 大盘指数上涨了，一样有很多行业下跌，白酒就是典型，只是它的跌幅太慢了，有人踏空大幅低开，放量跌停就好了。 今日的A股又缩量了，三大指数继续上涨，股票继续普跌。白酒砸盘的情况下，大盘指数震荡向上。证券、医疗再次上涨，港股恒生医疗再次大涨了。 这个位置的行情，我们指数玩家很容易面对，白酒如果跌到浮亏10%的时候补仓就完事了，市场还需要等它止跌反弹，与证券、地产等加速上涨。否则，没 有办法快速拉升上证指数，就不能放量…… 不出意外，接下 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The risk appetite in the stock market has rebounded moderately, creating a relatively strong pattern. The index is in a slow - bull state with prominent structural market conditions, driven by limited external risk disturbances, stable domestic fundamentals and optimistic policy expectations, and the inflow of funds due to the shift from short to long positions [7]. - The cast aluminum alloy is expected to open high on the first day of listing but may decline later. It is recommended to pay attention to inter - period positive spreads and long AD short AL positions [8]. - The pulp market is affected by news but is expected to have limited upside due to high inventory and weak demand [10]. - Crude oil may continue to be strong in the short - term, with Brent having a chance to challenge $80 per barrel in the third quarter, but there is significant downward pressure in the medium - to - long - term [11]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Stock Index - The current index is in a slow - bull state with prominent structural market conditions. External risk disturbances are limited, domestic fundamentals are stable, and policy expectations are optimistic. The inflow of funds due to the shift from short to long positions also contributes to the market. However, if the market rises too fast or there are new changes in the external environment, the index may experience greater fluctuations [7]. 3.2 Cast Aluminum Alloy - It is expected to open high on the first day of listing, with a possible 6 - 8% increase in the call auction. The listing price is significantly lower than the reasonable valuation. However, the fundamentals are weak, and it is likely to open high and fall low. It is recommended to pay attention to inter - period positive spreads and long AD short AL positions around mid - year [8]. 3.3 Pulp - The shutdown of a pulp mill by Fenbao Group boosts the market, but the upside is limited. June is the off - season for the downstream paper market, with weak terminal market performance, low raw material procurement enthusiasm of paper mills, and high inventory, making it difficult for the market to have an unexpected performance [10]. 3.4 Crude Oil - Short - term: Both domestic and foreign crude oil markets are relatively strong. Brent may challenge $80 per barrel in the third quarter. The actual increase in supply is lower than expected, and there are still positive factors such as the contraction of Iranian oil supply, low inventory in major regions, and slow growth of US shale oil supply. - Medium - to - long - term: There is significant downward pressure, and Brent may test $50 per barrel this year. It is recommended to hold long positions and positive spreads as appropriate [11]. 3.5 Other Commodities - **Gold and Silver**: Gold's non - farm payrolls slightly exceeded expectations, and silver had a technical breakthrough. Gold's trend strength is 0, and silver's is 2 [14][22]. - **Copper**: The strength of LME copper spot prices supports the price, and the trend strength is 1 [24]. - **Aluminum and Alumina**: Aluminum is in a sideways shock, and alumina continues to decline. The trend strength of both is 0 [27]. - **Zinc**: Social inventory has increased, putting downward pressure on prices, and the trend strength is - 1 [30]. - **Lead**: In the short - term, supply and demand are both weak, but it is bullish in the medium - term, with a trend strength of 1 [33]. - **Tin**: It has stopped falling and rebounded, with a trend strength of 1 [36]. - **Nickel and Stainless Steel**: Nickel prices are oscillating due to the game between real - world support and weak expectations. Stainless steel prices are oscillating in a range due to increased production cuts through negative feedback. The trend strength of both is 0 [40]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The ore price has stabilized, and the weak oscillation continues, with a trend strength of 0 [45]. - **Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon**: Industrial silicon has limited upside space and is recommended to be short - allocated on rallies. Polysilicon is recommended to be short - allocated on the disk. The trend strength of both is - 1 [48]. - **Iron Ore**: It oscillates repeatedly, with a trend strength of 0 [52]. - **Rebar and Hot - Rolled Coil**: The demand expectation is weak, and they are oscillating at a low level. The trend strength of both is 0 [54]. - **Silicon Ferrosilicon and Manganese Silicide**: They are in wide - range oscillations, with a trend strength of 0 [58]. - **Coke and Coking Coal**: Coke is in wide - range oscillations with a trend strength of - 1, and coking coal is also in wide - range oscillations with a trend strength of 0 [62]. - **Steam Coal**: Demand needs to be released, and it is in wide - range oscillations, with a trend strength of 0 [66]. - **Log**: It oscillates repeatedly [70].

Group 1 - Hong Kong stocks have shown resilience, outperforming A-shares and maintaining competitiveness in global markets despite challenges such as unexpected tariffs [1][2] - The market's earnings growth is projected at 4-5% for the year, but a 30% tariff could reduce this growth by 2 percentage points to 2% [1][10] - The Hang Seng Index is expected to fluctuate between 23,000-24,000 points under baseline conditions, with optimistic scenarios reaching 25,000-26,000 points, while pessimistic scenarios could see it drop to around 20,500 points [10] Group 2 - The current credit cycle in China is characterized by a shift from recovery to stagnation, with private sector credit contraction remaining a core issue [3][6] - Key factors influencing the credit cycle include tariffs, fiscal policy, and advancements in AI technology, with expectations for these factors to remain stable in the near term [6][7] - The market is experiencing a dichotomy, with excess liquidity leading to structural opportunities in sectors like new consumption and technology, while traditional sectors face challenges [8][9] Group 3 - The influx of southbound capital into Hong Kong is expected to continue, with estimates of 200-300 billion HKD in net inflows for the year, driven by the search for stable returns and structural opportunities [11] - The structural changes in the Hong Kong market are attributed to improved liquidity and the listing of high-quality companies, which helps attract more capital [11] - The potential risks for Hong Kong stocks include external risks and the impact of fiscal policies on consumption and cyclical sectors, although these are not considered baseline scenarios [12]

市场分化格局下，避险与进攻双线并行：一方面资金涌入贵金属寻求避险，另一方面则积极布 局受政策驱动的算力基建与涨价的农药板块。 二、 三大领涨板块异动解析 1、 农药行业掀起涨价风暴。苏利股份强势斩获两连板，广康生化盘中股价刷新历史纪录。行 业爆发的导火索是红太阳公司宣布将 97%氯虫苯甲酰胺产品价格上调至30万元/吨，较2024 年低点涨幅超40%。 核心原材料供应紧张导致成本攀升，直接推动行业供需格局收紧。当前正值农药需求旺季，市 场分析人士指出，氯虫苯甲酰胺价格或持续走高，并带动阿维菌素、吡蚜酮等复配品种价格联 动上涨。 一、 指数震荡，板块分化 今日 ， A股市场呈现显著分化。沪指微 涨 0.0 4 %报338 5 . 36 点，深证成指 微 跌 0.1 9 %报1018 3 . 70 点 ，创业板指则下跌 0.4 5 %报203 9 . 44 点。 市场呈现典型的结构性行情，主要指数在窄幅震荡中显露出资金偏好转变。沪深两市成交额达 11520 亿元， 相对昨天缩量 1384亿。 2 4 00只 多只 个股下跌， 三、 市场分化的多重逻辑 1、 央行今日开展 1万亿元买断式逆回购操作，期限为3个月。这是 ...

Market Performance - A-shares experienced a positive trading day with major indices rising, including the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.43% to 3361.98 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.16% to 10057.17 points, and the ChiNext Index up 0.48% to 2002.7 points, with a total market turnover of 1164 billion yuan [1][3] June Market Outlook - Analysts predict that the A-share market will continue to show an upward trend in June, driven by ongoing economic recovery, supportive domestic policies, and regulatory assurances for the market [1][2] - The chief economist at China Aviation Securities suggests that while global financial markets may remain volatile, China's assets could become a safe haven for global capital due to lower overall volatility [1] Sector Opportunities - The chief A-share strategist at CITIC Securities anticipates a bull market for Chinese equity assets over the next year, particularly from Q4 2025, as major economies synchronize in economic and policy cycles [2] - Analysts from Dongwu Securities and Zheshang Securities highlight potential opportunities in technology growth, domestic consumption, mergers and acquisitions, innovative pharmaceuticals, and military industries, with a focus on switching investments to sectors that have seen less rebound [2]

无风险利率下行。叠加海外预期降低、固收预期降低，股市有望逐步成为资金配置关键方向。经过多轮 调整后，A股估值具备吸引力。政策、利率、改革等多重利好因素正逐步显现。指数下行空间有限，建 议投资者保持耐心，逢低布局优质资产，同时关注政策变化和资金流向。 海外因素扰动。美联储6月利率决议成为全球资本市场的焦点时刻。若释放降息信号，可能促使外资回 流，提振A股流动性；反之则可能抑制风险偏好。此外，特朗普政府对华关税政策的90天缓冲期即将结 束，若谈判进展不顺，外贸依赖型行业可能承压。 进入六月，A股市场延续着结构性分化格局，在政策托底与经济数据边际改善的双重作用下，市场可能 迎来新一轮结构性机会。但同时，海外环境的不确定性、国内经济复苏的节奏，都给市场增添了诸多变 数。 宏观环境:政策托底, 无风险利率下行。 政策支持力度加大。政治局会议表态"持续稳定与活跃资本市场"，未来有望出台更多改革措施进一步改 善市场生态，提升市场信心。经济温和复苏。稳增长政策逐步见效，下半年企业盈利有望边际改善，将 为市场向好提供基本面支撑。 六月A股市场指数空间或有限，但结构性机会丰富，科技成长、高股息、消费复苏三条主线将轮番演 绎。投资 ...

Group 1 - The core investment philosophy of the fund manager is to adapt investment paradigms according to changing market environments, focusing on discovering the fastest-growing emerging forces in the Chinese economy [1][2] - The investment strategy has shifted from industry beta-driven growth before 2019 to macro alpha-driven approaches from 2023 to 2025, emphasizing bottom-up stock selection and focusing on high-quality companies driven by entrepreneurial spirit [2][3] - The fund manager aims to identify companies that demonstrate China's competitive advantages through innovation, channel expansion, and technological breakthroughs, rather than relying solely on natural industry growth [3][4] Group 2 - The investment style is characterized by a balanced approach that combines offensive growth opportunities in sectors like new consumption and technology with defensive strategies to mitigate volatility risks [4][5] - The fund manager employs a diversified portfolio strategy, typically spreading investments across 5-6 industries to reduce the impact of volatility from any single sector or stock [4][5] - The investment framework utilizes the "one vertical and one horizontal" approach to calibrate investment coordinates based on macroeconomic conditions and national economic policies [4][5] Group 3 - The fund manager's previous product, Wan Jia New Opportunities Leading Enterprises Mixed A, has significantly outperformed its benchmark over the past five years, ranking in the top 8% among similar funds [6] - The upcoming floating fee rate fund, Wan Jia New Opportunities Sharing, aligns with the fund manager's long-term performance and risk control strategies, aiming to enhance investor experience [6] - The fund manager expresses confidence in the resilience of the Chinese economy and anticipates a structural market rally, shifting from a conservative strategy to a more aggressive focus on technology and consumption [6][7]

新华财经北京6月3日电四大证券报内容精华摘要如下： 中国证券报 ·多项先行指标向好经济运行有望延续平稳态势 5月份，我国制造业采购经理指数（PMI）比上月上升0.5个百分点，制造业景气水平改善；出口集装箱 运价指数回升，港口货物吞吐量维持较高水平。专家认为，近期公布的多项先行指标传递出的信号显 示，在稳增长政策持续发力背景下，二季度我国经济运行有望延续平稳态势。但也要看到，当前国际环 境变数仍较多，多重风险交织叠加，经济回升向好基础还需巩固，政策需进一步加力。 ·结构性行情或延续券商建议6月投资紧抓三大主线 经历5月冲高回落后，A股6月行情即将拉开帷幕。展望后市表现，当前机构多数持相对谨慎态度，认为 市场短期在扰动因素作用下有一定下行压力，但底部比较结实，内部乐观因素正在积累，后续或以结构 性行情为主，未来市场主线有望逐步聚焦于核心资产。具体配置上，机构继续建议以红利资产作为底 仓，同时兼顾成长、消费方向布局机遇，看好银行、算力产业链、卡牌潮玩、创新药等板块。此外，近 期资金关注度较高、具备主题性催化的方向也值得投资者关注。 ·港股市场下探回升上涨趋势有望持续 6月2日，港股市场下探回升，恒生指数、恒生科技指 ...

Market Outlook - A-shares are expected to experience a structural market in June, with a focus on core assets despite short-term downward pressure [1][2] - Institutions suggest maintaining dividend assets as a base while exploring growth and consumption opportunities, particularly in banking, computing industry chain, card games, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1][5] Market Performance Review - In May, the three major indices saw gains, with the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index rising by 2.09%, 1.42%, and 2.32% respectively [1] - Daily trading volume in A-shares remained above 1 trillion yuan [1] Economic and Policy Factors - Economic recovery and positive domestic policies are expected to enhance market risk appetite, leading to a potential upward trend in June [2] - The stability of the Chinese economy and policy expectations may continue to favor Chinese assets, even amid global uncertainties [2] Sector Performance - In May, 25 out of 31 Shenwan first-level industries saw gains, with environmental protection, pharmaceuticals, defense, and banking leading the way [3] - There is a divergence among institutions regarding market style and focus for June, with some favoring technology growth while others lean towards large-cap value stocks [3][4] Investment Strategies - Suggested strategies include focusing on technology growth sectors, consumer sectors benefiting from domestic policies, and banking sectors with stable earnings and high dividends [5][6] - Specific recommendations include investing in robotics, artificial intelligence, and sectors with recent thematic catalysts, such as innovative pharmaceuticals and military electronics [5][6]