Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the improvement in manufacturing growth in June suggests a reasonable annualized growth rate of approximately 1.5% for the economy in the second quarter, showing momentum since the stagnation in April [1]

Group 1 - The article discusses Trump's claims about the success of his administration's economic policies and legislative achievements, particularly emphasizing the "big and beautiful" plan [1] - It highlights the potential impact of the upcoming ADP employment data on market sentiment and Trump's likely reaction, which may involve blaming the Federal Reserve for any negative economic indicators [2] - The article notes that while the bond market is slowly aligning with Trump's views on interest rates, there is still no significant panic or deep concern reflected in current bond yields [2] Group 2 - Critics argue that the high interest rates are not solely the fault of the Federal Reserve but also due to the additional debt incurred by Trump and Congressional Republicans, which adds to the national debt burden [3] - Trump's public relations strategy has been effective in shifting blame for economic downturns to the Federal Reserve, despite the economy not showing signs of collapse yet [3] - The article warns that if the economy falters, Trump's exaggerated claims may backfire, leading to increased pressure on the dollar and bond markets, potentially resulting in higher long-term bond yields [3]

欧洲央行会议纪要：如果贸易紧张局势进一步升级，工作人员预计经济增长和通胀将低于其基准预测。 ...

美国财长贝森特：通胀预期应该会下降。 控制开支对美联储是有益的。 希望明年能够填补两名联邦储备委员会的空缺职位。 预计经济增长将超过3%。 拒绝就有关鲍威尔的问题做出具体回应。 美联储主席有很多强有力的候选人。 ...

美国财长贝森特：预计经济增长将超过3%。 ...

德国财长：我们最优先的任务是让德国重新走上增长之路。 ...

俄罗斯央行副行长扎博金：目前的经济增长比我们对今年的预期略微放缓一些。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Mitsubishi UFJ suggests that Vietnam is inclined to devalue the Vietnamese dong to support economic growth [1] Group 1 - The Vietnamese government is considering currency devaluation as a strategy to bolster economic performance [1] - The potential devaluation of the Vietnamese dong may impact trade balances and foreign investment [1] - The move is seen as a response to global economic pressures and domestic economic challenges [1]

Group 1 - The article highlights that the House of Representatives is preparing to vote on a tax reform bill, which is expected to be a significant step towards achieving the largest tax cuts in history and promoting substantial economic growth [1]

Economic Growth Plan - The Laotian government aims for an average annual economic growth of 5% from 2026 to 2030, focusing on modernizing energy, agriculture, and tourism sectors while enhancing human resources and promoting digital economy development [1] Economic Performance and Projections - The World Bank reports a 4.1% economic growth for Laos in 2024, driven by stable growth in services, electricity, mining, agriculture, and manufacturing exports [1] - The Asian Development Bank forecasts a 3.9% growth in 2025 and a 4.0% growth in 2026, with logistics and tourism as key growth drivers [1] - In 2024, the number of foreign tourists visiting Laos is expected to increase by 21% year-on-year [1] Agricultural Sector - Agriculture remains a traditional economic pillar for Laos, with agricultural exports reaching $977 million in the first five months of the year, accounting for 65% of the annual target of $1.5 billion [2] - Laos plans to export 74 types of agricultural products, including 200,000 tons of rice to Bangladesh, with China being the largest importer of Laotian agricultural products [2] - The opening of the China-Laos railway has improved logistics for agricultural exports, particularly mangoes [2] Support for SMEs and Listed Companies - The Laotian government encourages the development of SMEs and listed companies by revising income tax laws to reduce tax burdens and improve administrative efficiency [2] - The standard corporate tax rate for listed companies is set at 20%, with a new regulation allowing a 10% tax rate for the first 10 years post-registration [2] Inflation and Economic Challenges - Laos faces challenges such as inflation and currency instability, with the inflation rate decreasing from 8.3% in May to 7.2% in June [3] - The World Bank reported a drop in inflation from 25% last year to 11.2% in March, with expectations of further alleviation in the second half of the year [3] - Strengthening macroeconomic fundamentals is crucial for Laos to provide stable support for the economy and ensure long-term resilience [3]