下游刚需采购 市场分析 价格与基差：2026-02-02，尿素主力收盘1787元/吨（-3）；河南小颗粒出厂价报价：1770 元/吨（0）；山东地区小 颗粒报价：1770元/吨（-20）；江苏地区小颗粒报价：1800元/吨（+0）；小块无烟煤800元/吨（+0），山东基差：-17 元/吨（-17）；河南基差：-17元/吨（+3）；江苏基差：13元/吨（+3）；尿素生产利润205元/吨（-20），出口利润936 元/吨（+8）。 供应端：截至2026-02-02，企业产能利用率88.28%（0.08%）。样本企业总库存量为94.49 万吨（-0.11），港口样本 库存量为14.40 万吨（+1.00）。 需求端：截至2026-02-02，复合肥产能利用率41.34%（-1.62%）；三聚氰胺产能利用率为66.45%（+2.80%）；尿素 企业预收订单天数6.59日（+0.71）。 尿素日报 | 2026-02-03 尿素价格窄幅震荡，农业需求跟进，春节收单压力较小，预计春节前价格坚挺维持为主。供应端1月部分气头叠加 技改企业恢复，供应量增加。需求端农需冬腊肥和返青肥持续采购中，厂家陆续进行春节收单。淡储采购进入 ...

尿素日报 | 2026-01-28 订单有支撑 市场分析 价格与基差：2026-01-27，尿素主力收盘1790元/吨（-1）；河南小颗粒出厂价报价：1750 元/吨（0）；山东地区小 颗粒报价：1760元/吨（+10）；江苏地区小颗粒报价：1770元/吨（+10）；小块无烟煤800元/吨（+0），山东基差： -30元/吨（+11）；河南基差：-40元/吨（+11）；江苏基差：-20元/吨（+11）；尿素生产利润195元/吨（+10），出口利 润965元/吨（-4）。 供应端：截至2026-01-27，企业产能利用率86.39%（0.08%）。样本企业总库存量为94.60 万吨（-4.01），港口样本 库存量为13.40 万吨（+0.00）。 国内出口政策、装置检修情况、库存变动情况、农业需求情况。 2026年期货市场研究报告 第1页 请仔细阅读本报告最后一页的免责声明 需求端：截至2026-01-27，复合肥产能利用率42.96%（+2.88%）；三聚氰胺产能利用率为63.65%（+1.47%）；尿素 企业预收订单天数5.88日（-0.18）。 尿素现货降价企业成交较好。供应端1月部分气头叠加技改企业恢复， ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - No industry investment ratings are provided in the report. 2. Core Views - The market has complex trends with different varieties showing various performances such as oscillation, strength, or weakness, and is affected by multiple factors including geopolitical situations, supply - demand relationships, and cost changes [3]. 3. Summary by Variety Metals - **Zinc (ZN2603)**: Oscillation with a bullish bias, overseas smelting cost increase drives the price up, hold cross - market reverse arbitrage [3]. - **Methanol (MA2605)**: Oscillation with a bullish bias, pay attention to geopolitical changes and take profit on long positions when the situation eases [3]. - **Iron Ore (I2605)**: Weak adjustment, Vale's accident but the price is still under pressure, short positions can be set up around 800 [3]. - **Palm Oil (P2605)**: Short - term bullish, may try to break through 9300 [3]. - **Gold (AU2604)**: Bullish oscillation, take profit on long positions at high prices, buy out - of - the - money call options [3]. - **Copper (CU2603)**: CL premium narrows and spot discount widens, take profit on long positions at high prices, and focus on the 99000 - 100000 support level [3]. - **Aluminum (AL2603)**: The dollar drops to a four - year low, driving the price up strongly. Wait for a pullback to set up long positions in the 23500 - 25000 range [3]. - **Tin (SN2603)**: The price rises at the end of the session but spot trading is cold. Be cautious in the short - term, consider low - buying after the sentiment stabilizes [3]. - **Nickel (NI2602)**: The driving force is limited after the news is digested, conduct range - bound trading in the 140000 - 150000 range [3]. - **Stainless Steel (SS2603)**: Oscillation adjustment, the main contract ranges from 14200 to 15000 [3]. - **Industrial Silicon (Si2605)**: Spot price stabilizes, futures price rises and then falls, the main contract ranges from 8200 to 9200 [3]. Energy and Chemicals - **PX (PX2603)**: High - level oscillation before the holiday, short - term range is 7100 - 7500, bullish in the medium - term [3]. - **PTA (TA2605)**: High - level oscillation before the holiday, short - term range is 5100 - 5400, bullish in the medium - term [3]. - **Short - fiber (PF2603)**: Follow raw materials, do positive arbitrage in TA5 - 9, shrink processing fees at high levels [3]. - **Bottle Chips (PR2603)**: Multiple devices are under maintenance and factories are destocking, processing fees are supported, ranging from 400 - 550 yuan/ton [3]. - **Ethanol (EG2605)**: Positive arbitrage opportunity, sell out - of - the - money put options EG2605 - P - 3800 at high prices [3]. - **Pure Benzene (BZ2603)**: Supply - demand improves but high inventory suppresses, wait and see, shrink the EB - BZ spread at high prices [3]. - **Styrene (EB2603)**: Supply - demand weakens and high valuation pressures the price, wait and see, shrink the EB - BZ spread at high prices [3]. - **LLDPE (L2605)**: Trading volume decreases, wait and see [3]. - **PP (PP2605)**: Supply - demand is weak, price oscillates, wait and see [3]. - **Caustic Soda (SH2603)**: Supply pressure is high, price center moves down, short on rebounds [3]. - **PVC (V2605)**: May enter wide - range oscillation, short - term low - buying, wait and see on short positions [3]. - **Urea (UR2605)**: Take profit on long positions, short at high prices [3]. - **Soda Ash (SA2605)**: Oscillation is weak, wait and see [3]. - **Glass (FG2605)**: Supply - demand is weak, pay attention to production lines and inventory changes, wait and see [3]. Agricultural Products - **Soybean Meal (M2605)**: Strong bottom support, range oscillation [3]. - **Live Pigs (FH2603)**: Supply - demand game intensifies, range oscillation [3]. - **Corn (C2603)**: Oscillation [3]. - **Sugar (SR2605)**: Spot trading slows down, range - bound with a bearish bias [3]. - **Cotton (CF2605)**: Spot is stable, pay attention to the support at 14400 - 14500 [3]. - **Eggs (JD2603)**: Spot is stable with a bullish bias, range oscillation [3]. - **Apples (AP2605)**: Demand increases, participate in the rebound with a light position [3]. - **Red Dates (CJ2605)**: Stocking is nearing the end, range - bound with a bearish bias [3]. Financial Futures - **Stock Index Futures (IF2603, IC2603, IH2603, IM2603)**: Broad - based indexes oscillate in a range, theme industries rise structurally, control portfolio risks and reduce long positions [3]. - **Treasury Bond Futures (T2603, TF2603, TS2603, TL2603)**: The bond market is in an oscillatory pattern, conduct range - bound operations, and pay attention to positive arbitrage in TL and T contracts [3]. - **Precious Metals Futures (AU2604, AG2604, PT2606, PD2606)**: The price trends of precious metals diverge, take profit on gold long positions at high prices, and be careful with silver and platinum [3]. Building Materials - **Steel (RB2605)**: Steel price is stable, the spread between hot - rolled coil and rebar widens, hold long positions on the spread [3]. - **Coking Coal (JM2605)**: Coal prices in Shanxi loosen, Mongolian coal price falls from a high, take a bearish view on single - side trading, do long coking coal and short coke [3]. - **Coke (J2605)**: Coke price increase is hard to implement, take a bearish view on single - side trading, do long coking coal and short coke [3]. - **Silicon Ferrosilicon (SF603)**: No major supply - demand contradiction, cost may rise, wide - range oscillation [3]. - **Manganese Silicon (SM605)**: Ore replenishment is nearly over, supply - demand improves, wide - range oscillation [3]. - **Alumina (AO2605)**: Local alumina plants have frequent overhauls, sell out - of - the - money put options at the price lower limit and short at high prices [3].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - Urea prices in some regions have increased after improved transactions, but new orders are being followed up cautiously. Supply is expected to increase in January as some gas-based and technical renovation enterprises resume production. Demand is picking up as winter and spring fertilizer procurement begins, and compound fertilizer and melamine production are recovering. Factory inventories are stable, and port inventories are slightly decreasing. The Indian urea import tender has boosted the international market sentiment. Attention should be paid to export dynamics, national off-season storage rhythm, and the sustainability of spot procurement sentiment [2] Summary by Directory 1. Urea Basis Structure - Figures include Shandong and Henan urea small particle market prices, Shandong and Henan main contract basis, urea main continuous contract price, and 1 - 5, 5 - 9, 9 - 1 spreads [1][6][7] 2. Urea Production - Figures show urea weekly production and urea plant maintenance loss volume [18][19] 3. Urea Production Profit and Operating Rate - Figures cover production cost, spot production profit, disk production profit, national capacity utilization rate, coal - based capacity utilization rate, and gas - based capacity utilization rate [27][28][34] 4. Urea FOB Price and Export Profit - Figures involve urea small particle FOB price in the Baltic Sea, urea large particle CFR price in Southeast Asia, price differences between international and Chinese FOB prices, and urea export profit and disk export profit [38][41][49] 5. Urea Downstream Operating Rate and Orders - Figures display compound fertilizer operating rate, melamine operating rate, and urea enterprise advance order days [51][52] 6. Urea Inventory and Warehouse Receipts - Figures include upstream in - factory inventory, port inventory, raw material inventory days of downstream urea manufacturers in Hebei, futures warehouse receipts, and main contract trading volume and open interest [55][58][60] Market Data - On January 13, 2026, the closing price of the urea main contract was 1774 yuan/ton (-9). The ex - factory price of small particles in Henan was 1740 yuan/ton (0), in Shandong was 1740 yuan/ton (+10), and in Jiangsu was 1750 yuan/ton (+10). The price of small lump anthracite was 800 yuan/ton (+0). Shandong basis was - 34 yuan/ton (+19), Henan basis was - 34 yuan/ton (+9), and Jiangsu basis was - 24 yuan/ton (+19). Urea production profit was 175 yuan/ton (+10), and export profit was 867 yuan/ton (+16) [1] - As of January 13, 2026, the enterprise capacity utilization rate was 83.28% (0.08%). The total inventory of sample enterprises was 102.22 million tons (+0.30), and the port sample inventory was 13.50 million tons (-3.70) [1] - As of January 13, 2026, the capacity utilization rate of compound fertilizer was 37.17% (+3.28%); the capacity utilization rate of melamine was 54.35% (+6.70%); the advance order days of urea enterprises were 6.41 days (+0.41) [1] Strategy - Unilateral: Oscillation - Inter - delivery spread: Go long on the UR05 - 09 spread when it is low - Inter - commodity spread: None [3]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - The nickel market is influenced by the tense situation in Venezuela and Indonesian policies, with funds flowing into the nickel sector, causing the price of the Shanghai nickel futures contract to hit a new high since June 2024. Although the fundamentals show high inventory and oversupply, it is expected to remain strong due to favorable policies from Indonesia and attention from profitable funds in the precious metals and non - ferrous sectors [1][3]. - The stainless - steel market is affected by the cost transmission of the sharp rise in Shanghai nickel and Indonesian nickel export restrictions. The short - term trend depends on the performance of Shanghai nickel, and the medium - to - long - term trend needs to focus on the improvement of spot trading and policy implementation [4][6]. Summary by Related Catalogs Nickel Variety Market Analysis - **Futures**: On January 7, 2026, the Shanghai nickel main contract 2601 opened at 143,500 yuan/ton and closed at 147,720 yuan/ton, up 8.00% from the previous trading day. The trading volume was 1,132,256 (+393,922) lots, and the open interest was 132,955 (+1,474) lots. The price hit a new high since June 2024, and the bullish sentiment of funds reached a climax [1]. - **Nickel Ore**: The nickel ore market has limited resources, and the price is stable with an upward trend. The 1.25 - grade nickel ore tender in the Philippines' Benguet mine was settled at $32.5, up from the previous level. In Indonesia, the first - phase domestic trade benchmark price in January 2026 increased by $0.05 - 0.08 per wet ton, and the second - phase domestic trade base price is expected to rise by $3 - 5 [1]. - **Spot**: The sales price of Jinchuan Group in the Shanghai market was 153,300 yuan/ton, up 5,600 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The downstream acceptance of high prices was limited, and spot trading was cold. The premium of Jinchuan nickel changed by 500 yuan/ton to 9,250 yuan/ton, the premium of imported nickel remained unchanged at 600 yuan/ton, and the premium of nickel beans was 2,450 yuan/ton. The previous trading day's Shanghai nickel warehouse receipt volume was 38,776 (-612) tons, and the LME nickel inventory was 275,634 (+20,088) tons [2]. Strategy - The operation strategy is mainly range trading for the single - side, and no operations are recommended for the inter - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options [3][4]. Stainless - Steel Variety Market Analysis - **Futures**: On January 7, 2026, the stainless - steel main contract 2602 opened at 13,450 yuan/ton and closed at 14,025 yuan/ton. The trading volume was 288,456 (+151,355) lots, and the open interest was 112,880 (-4,171) lots. Affected by the cost transmission of Shanghai nickel and Indonesian policies, it showed a one - way upward trend and closed at the daily limit. The spot price increased synchronously, but the market was in a state of "high price but few transactions" [4]. - **Spot**: The futures price hit the daily limit, and the spot price increased significantly. The downstream inquiry was active, but the transaction was cautious. Some steel mills suspended orders. The stainless - steel price in the Wuxi market was 13,900 (+600) yuan/ton, and in the Foshan market was also 13,900 (+600) yuan/ton. The premium of 304/2B was 100 - 300 yuan/ton. The ex - factory tax - included average price of high - nickel pig iron changed by 12.50 yuan/nickel point to 947.5 yuan/nickel point [5]. Strategy - The short - term trend depends on the performance of Shanghai nickel, and the medium - to - long - term trend needs to focus on the improvement of spot trading and policy implementation. The operation strategy is neutral for the single - side, and no operations are recommended for the inter - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, and options [6].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints - The steel market is strongly rising due to the increase in raw material costs. The short - term performance of black commodities is strong, but the fundamentals need to be tested after the sentiment fades. The iron ore market is rising under the improvement of macro - sentiment, but there is a large supply - demand contradiction. The double - coking market is rising, with the demand for coke expected to improve, and the coking coal supply recovering quickly. The thermal coal market is rising due to the reduction of production capacity in the producing areas [1][3][5][8]. Summary by Related Categories Steel - **Market Analysis**: The steel futures and spot markets rose strongly yesterday. National building material prices generally increased by 20 - 40 yuan, and the market's enthusiasm for purchasing increased, with a national building material turnover of 12530 tons. The building materials market maintains a state of low production, low consumption, and low inventory, while the plate market is still restricted by high inventory [1]. - **Supply - Demand and Logic**: There is no contradiction in the supply - demand fundamentals of building materials for the time being. After the New Year's Day, the building materials will enter the winter storage market. The plate inventory pressure still exists. In the short term, black commodities are strong, but the fundamentals need to be tested later. Attention should be paid to the resumption of production of steel mills [1]. - **Strategy**: Unilateral trading is expected to be oscillating and strengthening [2]. Iron Ore - **Market Analysis**: The iron ore futures market was strong yesterday. The 2605 contract of iron ore rose significantly. In the spot market, the prices of mainstream port varieties followed the upward trend of the futures, but the market trading was cold [3]. - **Supply - Demand and Logic**: There is a large supply - demand contradiction in the iron ore market, and the overall inventory has increased significantly. The downstream replenishment willingness is insufficient. The market gives a high valuation to the iron ore price, but the price may face a downward risk after the negotiation. In the short term, the price is expected to maintain a high - level and strong oscillation [3]. - **Strategy**: Unilateral trading is expected to be oscillating and strengthening [4]. Double - Coking - **Market Analysis**: The main contracts of double - coking rose significantly yesterday. The spot price of Shanxi coking coal was relatively stable, and the spot price of Mongolian coal rose to 1000 - 1010 yuan/ton. The output of 523 coal mines increased slightly yesterday, and the mine inventory increased month - on - month [5]. - **Supply - Demand and Logic**: After the New Year's Day, with the resumption of blast furnace production and the winter storage of steel mills before the Spring Festival, the demand for coke is expected to improve. The coking coal supply is relatively loose, and the inventory accumulation trend has not been alleviated. In the short term, the coal price is strong, but the change in the production - increasing capacity in the producing areas needs to be further verified [6]. - **Strategy**: Both coking coal and coke are expected to be oscillating and strengthening [7]. Thermal Coal - **Market Analysis**: In the producing areas, the coal price rebounded slightly, and the demand for replenishment from local and surrounding power plants improved. The port market was relatively stable, with strong upstream quotations and weak downstream demand. The import coal market rose steadily [8]. - **Supply - Demand and Logic**: Yulin City plans to reduce the supply - guarantee coal mines and cut the production capacity by 19 million tons. The daily consumption of thermal coal has improved, and the coal price is oscillating and strengthening. Attention should be paid to the consumption and replenishment of non - thermal coal [8].

Report Overview - Report Title: Lead Industry Chain Weekly Report [1] - Analyst: Jixianfei, Chief Analyst of Guotai Junan Futures Research Institute [2] - Date: January 4, 2026 [2] Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The lead market shows a pattern of weak supply and demand. The price is expected to fluctuate, but considering the low inventory, a strategy of buying on dips can be adopted. Attention should also be paid to the positive spread arbitrage between futures contracts [6]. - The supply of primary lead is affected by smelter maintenance, and the supply of recycled lead is restricted by raw material shortages. The demand side is weakening marginally, and the lead price is expected to maintain a volatile trend [6]. Summary by Directory 1. Trading Aspect - **Price and Spread**: The closing price of SHFE Lead Main Contract last week was 17,355 yuan/ton, with a weekly decline of 1.14%. The closing price of LmeS-Lead 3 was 1,946.5 dollars/ton, with a decline of 2.65%. The LME lead premium decreased by 8.73 dollars/ton, and the spread between recycled lead and primary lead decreased by 75 yuan/ton [7]. - **Inventory**: The total inventory of lead in five regions decreased this week, and the absolute inventory is at a historically low level. The SHFE lead inventory and LME lead inventory also showed corresponding changes [3][7]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of SHFE Lead Main Contract increased by 19,189 lots, and the open interest decreased by 10,146 lots. The trading volume of LmeS-Lead 3 increased by 602 lots, and the open interest increased by 6,194 lots [7]. 2. Lead Supply - **Lead Concentrate**: The import volume, production, consumption, and inventory of lead concentrate showed different trends in different years. The profit of imported and domestic lead concentrates also changed over time [31][32]. - **Primary and Recycled Lead**: The production of primary lead and recycled lead showed different trends in different years. The production of recycled lead was restricted by the tight supply of waste batteries [35][36]. 3. Lead Demand - **Lead - Acid Battery**: The operating rate of lead - acid battery enterprises decreased, and the finished - product inventory days of enterprises and dealers increased. The export volume of batteries also showed different trends in different years [49]. - **Terminal Consumption**: The actual consumption of lead and the production of automobiles and motorcycles showed different trends in different years [51].

Group 1: Industry Investment Rating - The report gives a neutral rating for the unilateral strategy, suggesting to wait for a clear bottom signal and consider a left - side long position on dips [2] Group 2: Core Viewpoints - On December 30th, the closing price of the main asphalt futures contract BU2602 in the afternoon session was 3,038 yuan/ton, up 44 yuan/ton or 1.47% from the previous settlement price. The open interest was 118,184 lots, down 23,149 lots from the previous day, and the trading volume was 243,652 lots, up 6,073 lots [1] - The spot settlement prices of heavy - traffic asphalt from Zhuochuang Information are as follows: Northeast 3,156 - 3,500 yuan/ton, Shandong 2,870 - 3,190 yuan/ton, East China 3,000 - 3,120 yuan/ton, and South China 2,900 - 2,950 yuan/ton. The asphalt spot prices in North China and South China increased, while those in other regions remained stable [1][2] - Although the overall rigid demand for asphalt is poor, the supply side is supported by tight local asphalt spot circulation. The pricing of the futures market has shifted to the southern region. With the reduction of supply from some refineries, market sentiment has improved compared to last week, showing a rebound expectation. However, the potential risk of supply interruption of Venezuelan crude oil is an upward risk. The market is intertwined with long and short factors, and a bottom - up rebound needs a clearer signal [1] Group 3: Chart Information Summary - The report includes charts on the spot prices of heavy - traffic asphalt in various regions (Shandong, East China, South China, North China, Southwest, Northwest), the closing prices of asphalt futures indices, main contracts, and near - month contracts, the month - to - month spreads of near - month contracts, the trading volume and open interest of asphalt futures, the weekly asphalt production in China and in different regions (Shandong, East China, South China, North China), and the consumption and inventory of asphalt [3]

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating is provided in the report. 2) Core View of the Report The supply - side increment continues to suppress the market price of propylene. The supply of propylene remains loose, the demand support is limited, and the cost - side support has weakened. In the short term, the market is expected to fluctuate weakly, and it is recommended to wait and see until marginal device maintenance occurs [1][2][3]. 3) Summary by Directory I. Propylene Basis Structure - Propylene main contract closing price is 5647 yuan/ton (-48), East China spot price is 5925 yuan/ton (+0), North China spot price is 5890 yuan/ton (-25), East China basis is 278 yuan/ton (+48), and North China basis is 4 yuan/ton (+15) [1] II. Propylene Production Profit and Capacity Utilization - Propylene capacity utilization rate is 74% (+0%), China CFR propylene - Japan CFR naphtha is 211 US dollars/ton (+4), and propylene CFR - 1.2 propane CFR is 53 US dollars/ton (+6) [1] III. Propylene Import and Export Profit - Propylene import profit is - 324 yuan/ton (-48) [1] IV. Propylene Downstream Profit and Capacity Utilization - PP powder capacity utilization rate is 37% (-2.62%), production profit is - 160 yuan/ton (+5); epoxy propane capacity utilization rate is 76% (+0%), production profit is - 276 yuan/ton (-30); n - butanol capacity utilization rate is 78% (+9%), production profit is 236 yuan/ton (+65); octanol capacity utilization rate is 82% (+5%), production profit is 487 yuan/ton (+18); acrylic acid capacity utilization rate is 79% (+0%), production profit is 343 yuan/ton (+0); acrylonitrile capacity utilization rate is 81% (+0%), production profit is - 557 yuan/ton (+44); phenol - acetone capacity utilization rate is 76% (-4%), production profit is - 927 yuan/ton (+0) [1] V. Propylene Inventory - Propylene factory inventory is 46560 tons (+600) [1]

Market Performance - Government bond futures closed higher across the board, with the 30-year main contract rising by 0.63% to 112.140 yuan, the 10-year main contract up by 0.10% to 108.005 yuan, the 5-year main contract increasing by 0.06% to 105.840 yuan, and the 2-year main contract gaining 0.01% to 102.434 yuan [1] - The yields on major interbank bonds generally declined, with the 30-year government bond "25 Super Long Special Government Bond 06" yield down by 3.8 basis points to 2.2410%, the 50-year government bond "25 Super Long Special Government Bond 03" yield down by 4.65 basis points to 2.3810%, and the 10-year policy bank bond "25 Policy Bank 15" yield down by 2.89 basis points to 1.9031% [1] Funding Conditions - The central bank announced a 468 billion yuan 7-day reverse repurchase operation on December 17, with a fixed rate of 1.40%, and the full bid amount was accepted [2] - On the same day, 189.8 billion yuan in reverse repos matured, resulting in a net withdrawal of 143 billion yuan [2] - The interbank market maintained a loose funding environment, with the overnight repo weighted average rate (DR001) at around 1.26%, and the anonymous click (X-repo) system overnight quote at approximately 1.25% [2] - The one-year national interbank certificate of deposit rate fluctuated narrowly around 1.66%-1.67% due to recent liquidity easing [2] Operational Suggestions - The previous day's treasury futures rose across the board, particularly in long-term bonds, likely due to a recovery from previous declines and driven by unverified positive news [3] - The market is expected to experience small gains today, but the short-term upward trend lacks solid logic, with low probability for the implementation of a loose monetary policy by year-end [3] - The 10-year bond yield is expected to remain stable, with the upper limit of interest rate not deviating significantly from 1.85%, and support levels for T2603 to be monitored around 107.6-107.8 [3] - The strategy suggests a cautious approach with a focus on short-term trading opportunities, while observing the central bank's MLF injections and month-end bond trading conditions [3]