康明斯与徐工合作基础深厚、由来已久。长期以来，双方围绕工程机械核心产品与系统解决方案，持续深化在传统能源、混合动力及新 能源等多技术路线下的合作，形成了覆盖产品配套、技术协同与市场拓展的多层次合作体系。依托各自在整机制造与动力技术领域的优 势，双方不断推动产品迭代升级与技术创新，为工程机械行业高质量、可持续发展提供有力支撑。 3月3日，康明斯与徐工集团工程机械股份有限公司 (以下简称"徐工") 联合宣布，双方正式签订合资合作协议。根据协议，康明斯与徐 工将围绕双方合资运营的企业——徐州美驰车桥有限公司（以下简称"徐州美驰"），进一步深化战略协同，在延续现有合资合作模式的 基础上，拓展在整机系统集成优化及新能源领域的合作，合作期限延至2036年。 徐工集团、徐工机械董事长、党委书记杨东升，徐工机械副总裁蒋明忠，徐工机械副总裁罗光杰，康明斯副总裁、零部件和Accelera事 业部总裁Amy Davis，康明斯副总裁、康明斯中国零部件事业部总经理柴永全等双方业务领导出席了签约仪式。 依托本次合资协议，徐工以股东与核心客户的双重身份，对徐州美驰提供系统性赋能，在订单导入、技术协同、资源支持、市场渠道等 方面提供有力支 ...

长城证券汪毅梳理复盘2 0 0 0年以来的市场表现， 历史上有5轮典型的周期板块上行周期 ，每轮周期行情的宏观共性：领跑PPI上行+生产扩张共振周期约1 - 2个季度， 五个周期板 块的轮动顺序可以概括为"资源先行→制造接力→全面补涨"，空间维度以有色金属、煤 炭、基础化工、船舶+油运、工程机械为代表。 有色金属 ：本轮周期（2 0 2 0年至今）中，个别强势股涨幅已突破1 0 0 0%， 若对标2 0 1 0 - 2 0 11年"业绩+通胀"驱动的逻辑，板块仍然具备关注价值； 煤炭 ：本轮周期中， 煤炭主要是基于"保供稳价"与能源安全逻辑，需求端有待验证； 基础化工 ：2 0 2 5年基础化工板块内部分化极为剧烈，传统大宗化工品（如聚酯、氯碱） 受制于产能过剩，表现相对平淡，成长属性的新材料（如电子化学品、新能源材料、特种 工程塑料）则成为领涨主力。 船舶+油运 ：伴随新一轮造船周期以及地缘冲突的催化，本轮行情刚刚处于启动的起点； 工程机械 ：进入了"内需温和修复+出海高景气"的双轮驱动新阶段，上涨斜率预计将更为 平缓，呈现出"慢牛"特征。 展望本次地缘突发事件，油运和船舶板块可能被近期冲突催化而进入斜率进 ...

股 票 研 究 燃机巨头订单旺盛，机器人基础模型 Pi 06 鲁棒性提升 [Table_Industry] 机械行业 机械行业周报 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 肖群稀(分析师) | 0755-23976830 | xiaoqunxi@gtht.com | S0880522120001 | | 刘麒硕(分析师) | 0755-23976666 | liuqishuo@gtht.com | S0880525080005 | 本报告导读： 上周（2026/2/24-2026/2/27）机械设备指数涨跌幅为+4.40%。燃机巨头订单旺盛，GEV 排产达 2029 年，地缘政治动荡推升油服设备景气上行。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 机械行业《春节后气体整体表现偏弱；广钢气体 中标海南商业航天发射场氦气采购项目》 2026.03.01 机械行业《具身模型 Pi 06 鲁棒性大幅提升，国 内人形初创百亿估值俱乐部增加至 6 家》 2026.02.28 机械行业《出口链月度跟踪：主要航线海运费同 ...

证券研究报告·宏观报告·宏观深度报告 宏观深度报告 20260303 企业出海：破除内卷、提振内需与文化输出 2026 年 03 月 03 日 证券分析师 芦哲 执业证书：S0600524110003 luzhe@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 李昌萌 执业证书：S0600524120007 lichm@dwzq.com.cn 相关研究 《伊朗冲突还有哪些变数？——海外 周报 20260302 》 2026-03-02 《伊朗问题对股债商汇等大类资产的 影响 》 2026-03-02 东吴证券研究所 1 / 18 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] ◼ 核心观点：受国内部分行业产能过剩、全球贸易保护主义抬头以及供应 链重构等多重因素影响，近些年我国越来越多的企业选择通过出海寻求 破局的机会。一方面，高技术企业的加速出海使得我国企业利润率整体 有所提升，同时也部分缓解了国内"内卷式"竞争的局面；而另一方面， 服务和文化的加速出海正成为传播中国历史文化，向全球讲好中国故事 的重要载体。在双循环新发展格局下，出海已经成为了企业发展和竞争 增长的"必选项"。 ...

晨会纪要（R3） 晨会纪要 2026 年 03 月 03 日 | 市场数据 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | 收盘 | 涨跌% | | 上证指数 | 4182.59 | 0.47 | | 深证成指 | 14465.79 | -0.20 | | 创业板指 | 3294.16 | -0.49 | | 科创 50 | 1464.77 | -1.56 | | 北证 50 | 1475.73 | -3.99 | | 沪深 300 | 4728.67 | 0.38 | 上证指数-沪深 300 走势图 -8% 2% 12% 22% 32% 2025-03 2025-06 2025-09 2025-12 上证指数 沪深300 | 黄红卫 | 分析师 | | --- | --- | | 执业证书编号:S0530519010001 | | | huanghongwei@hnchasing.com | | | 陈郁双 | 分析师 | | 执业证书编号:S0530524110001 | | | chenyushuang@hnchasing.com | | 晨会聚焦 一、财信研究观点 【市场策略】三 ...

装备制造 [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 3 月 2 日 [T分析师： able_Author 赵晓闯] 执业证书号：S1030511010004 电话：0755-83199599 邮箱：zhaoxc@csco.com.cn 分析师：杨贵洲 执业证书号：S1030524060001 电话：0755-83199599 邮箱：yanggz1@csco.com.cn 研究助理：董李延楠 电话：0755-83199599 邮箱：donglyn@csco.com.cn 公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 行业观点： 请务必阅读文后重要声明及免责条款 [Table_Industry] [Table_Title] [Table_Report] 证券研究报告 光伏产业链上下游分化 [Table_ReportType]装备制造行业周报（2 月第 4 周） [Table_S 市场行情回顾 ummary] ： 春节前后两周 9 个交易日机械设备、电力设备及汽车行业指 数涨跌幅分别为+6.86%、+3.04%及+2.36%，在 31 个申万一级 行业中排名分别为第 11、16、17 位；同期沪深 300 涨跌幅为 +1 ...

证券研究报告 工程机械 行业深度报告 hyzqdatemark 2026 年 03 月 02 日 证券分析师 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com 林高凡 lingaofan@huayuanstock.com 工程机械行业深度报告 投资评级： 看好（首次） ——七十年艰苦奋斗路，两周期寰宇立潮头 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 图表目录 工程机械的行业逻辑是怎样的？工程机械是国民经济建设的重要支柱产业，2024 年 全球工程机械行业规模达 2135 亿美元，其中中国市场规模为 234 亿美元，占比 11%。 挖掘机械、装载机、起重机械产品价值量分列前三，占行业整体超 60%份额。上游 成本中原材料占比最高，液压系统是价值核心。行业根本需求逻辑或来自国内下游 新增 ...

证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2026-03-02 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观点评 20260302：伊朗问题对股债商汇等大类资产的影响 事件：2026 年 02 月 28 日，美国和以色列对伊朗发动军事打击，伊朗对 以色列及中东地区多处目标予以还击，阿联酋、巴林、科威特、沙特等中 东多国发生爆炸，中东地缘冲突正在加剧并扩散。 观点：2 月份以来， 地缘政治风险已悄然积聚，全球金融市场通过原油和黄金的联动上涨显 现出强烈的避险情绪。2 月 28 日伊朗地区军事冲突爆发，核心风险主要 体现在三个层面：（1）"能源咽喉"阻塞风险，霍尔木兹海峡是全球石油 运输的咽喉要道，运输量约 2000 万桶/日，约占全球石油总消费量的 20%， 约占全球 1/4 的海运石油贸易量，如果霍尔木兹海峡被实质性封锁，国际 原油价格极可能在短期内持续冲高；（2）化工产业链中断风险，伊朗是全 球第二大甲醇生产国，占全球产能约 10%，而中国超过 60%的进口甲醇 来自伊朗，供应中断将直接冲击下游的烯烃和塑料加工行业；（3）运费与 保险飙升风险，若地区冲突向着失控的局面演化，波斯湾及红海 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call on Engineering Machinery Industry Industry Overview - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing a potential recovery due to the nearing update cycle of excavators in China, combined with emission constraints and accelerated second-hand machinery exports, leading to a possible lower actual ownership than market expectations [1][2] - The "artificial substitution" logic continues to drive demand, with room for growth in excavator ownership compared to developed countries, particularly as urbanization progresses and maintenance needs increase [1][3] Core Insights and Arguments - The domestic equipment update cycle typically spans 8-10 years, with a significant portion of excavators entering a phase of extended usage and maintenance costs, indicating a need for gradual updates [2] - The actual ownership of excavators may be tighter than market estimates due to the impact of engine updates and emission constraints, as well as accelerated second-hand exports, which could lead to a steeper demand curve if recovery occurs [2] - The shift in construction demand from "earthwork" to "non-excavation" categories, such as truck cranes and crawler cranes, suggests a potential expansion of investment into tower cranes and subsequent maintenance phases [1][4] Export Trends - A notable increase in engineering machinery exports is expected by the end of 2025, with an estimated growth rate of approximately 14% for the year, driven by changes in tariff policies and enhanced competitiveness of Chinese companies [5][6] - The demand for overseas mining machinery is supported not only by commodity prices but also by the sustained urbanization efforts in resource-rich countries, providing ongoing support for engineering machinery demand [7] Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Market Influence - China's FDI growth, particularly in Belt and Road Initiative countries, has increased Chinese participation in local mining and energy projects, thereby boosting demand for engineering machinery [8][9] Market Signals and Demand Recovery - Recent surveys indicate a more optimistic outlook for equipment purchases in the U.S. market, with a decrease in contractors planning to refrain from buying equipment, suggesting a structural improvement in demand [10][12] - In Europe, particularly Germany, there are positive signals with engineering machinery orders showing an 18% year-on-year increase, indicating a better-than-expected performance [13] Rental Market and Recovery Indicators - The domestic tower crane rental market shows signs of recovery, with rental rates and utilization rates reaching their highest levels in three years, indicating a potential upward trend in demand [14] Future Catalysts - Key catalysts for future growth include domestic macro and industrial policies, global commodity price trends, and the expansion of data center construction in Southeast Asia, which may drive additional demand for engineering machinery [15][16] Sector and Stock Recommendations - The focus is on three main categories: complete machinery (e.g., SANY, XCMG), components (e.g., Hengli Hydraulic), and general equipment (e.g., Anhui Heli). The order of benefits will depend on the timing of demand recovery in emerging markets versus developed markets [17]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **engineering machinery industry** and its outlook for **2026**. The industry is expected to experience a mild recovery, with significant potential for growth driven by various factors, including seasonal demand and policy support [1][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Demand Surge in 2026**: The traditional peak season for engineering machinery in China (March-April) is likely to exceed expectations due to higher market share aspirations from manufacturers and diversified sales strategies [1][2]. - **Improvement in Payment Collection**: Since August 2024, payment collection has improved from a range of 30%-40% to nearly 50%, indicating a shift from a critical balance state to a more sustainable one [3]. - **Sales Growth Projections**: The domestic sales growth for engineering machinery in 2026 is projected to be between **5%-10%** under baseline conditions, with potential increases to **10%-20%** if unconventional sales methods like "turning to export" and operating leases are considered [4][5]. - **Export Performance**: The unexpected export growth in 2025 was primarily driven by demand from regions such as Africa, the Middle East, and Indonesia, particularly for large excavators, which have significantly higher profit margins compared to other products [6][7]. Additional Important Content - **Risks and Challenges**: Key risks include exchange rate fluctuations and the impact of Russia's scrappage tax on short-term export volatility [9][10]. - **Cost Structure and Material Prices**: The impact of rising raw material prices on manufacturers is manageable, as direct materials constitute a relatively low percentage of total costs, and the ability to pass on costs is limited [11]. - **Valuation Trends**: Leading manufacturers are currently valued at around **20 times earnings**, with potential for further upward adjustment due to improved asset quality and shareholder returns [12][13]. - **Stock Selection Recommendations**: The focus for stock selection includes major manufacturers such as SANY, Zoomlion, XCMG, LiuGong, and Shantui, as well as component suppliers like Hengli Hydraulic [14]. This summary encapsulates the essential insights and projections regarding the engineering machinery industry, highlighting both opportunities and risks as the sector approaches 2026.