Group 1 - The company announced the interest payment for the convertible bond "Guocheng Convertible Bond" for the period from July 15, 2024, to July 14, 2025, with an interest amount of 18.00 yuan (including tax) for every 10 bonds [1][3] - The bond has a face value of 1,000 yuan and the interest rates for the fifth and sixth years are set at 1.80% and 2.00%, respectively [1][2] - The interest payment will be made once a year, and the payment date is determined based on the issuance date of the bond [2][4] Group 2 - The company will not withhold income tax on the interest payments; however, bondholders are responsible for their own tax obligations [3][4] - Non-resident enterprises holding the bond will be exempt from corporate income tax and value-added tax on the interest income until December 31, 2025 [5] - The interest payment will be processed through China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited, Shenzhen Branch, which will distribute the funds to the designated securities firms or other recognized institutions [4][5]

贝莱德投资研究所将欧洲政府债券评级从略微低配上调至中性，理由是从收益率的角度看欧债吸引力更 胜美国国债。相比美国债券，我们更看好欧元区政府债券和信用市场，其收益率有吸引力，期限溢价上 升后更接近我们预期的水平。由于通胀顽固，美联储无法大幅降息；美国财政赤字规模巨大，则可能促 使投资者对持有长期美债要求更高的回报。从欧元区内部看，更受贝莱德的青睐的是意大利和西班牙等 非核心成员的债券。 ...

Core Insights - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) is focusing on enhancing the development of the fixed income and currency markets to strengthen Hong Kong's position as a global offshore RMB business hub [1][2] Group 1: Achievements of Bond Connect - The Bond Connect has seen remarkable growth over the past eight years, with significant expansion in the use of onshore bonds as collateral in Hong Kong [1] - As of now, the scale of onshore government bonds accepted as collateral by Hong Kong's OTC clearing companies has reached 30 billion RMB [1] Group 2: New Measures and Market Dynamics - The People's Bank of China and the Hong Kong Monetary Authority announced new measures to optimize and expand the Bond Connect, which will inject strong momentum into the market [2] - The new measures include expanding the eligible investor base for the Southbound Bond Connect and optimizing offshore RMB bond repurchase operations [2] Group 3: Strategic Directions - The SFC is pursuing three strategic directions: 1. Enriching product supply to solidify the primary market foundation, with the offshore RMB bond issuance exceeding 1 trillion RMB in 2024, a 37% year-on-year increase [3] 2. Enhancing secondary market liquidity by supporting the development of diverse derivatives and promoting the establishment of an offshore government bond repurchase market [4] 3. Optimizing financial infrastructure to ensure a robust and efficient market operation, including improving trading and settlement systems [4]

贵州发行30年期普通专项地方债，规模136.3224亿元，发行利率2.0400%，边际倍数34.02倍，倍数预期 2.00。 ...

安徽发行10年期普通专项地方债，规模2.9300亿元，发行利率1.7400%，边际倍数3.77倍，倍数预期 1.72。 安徽发行7年期一般债地方债，规模12.7967亿元，发行利率1.6500%，边际倍数1.65倍，倍数预期1.67； 安徽发行10年期一般债地方债，规模89.2033亿元，发行利率1.7300%，边际倍数2.44倍，倍数预期 1.73； ...

固定收益 | 动态跟踪 报告发布日期 2025 年 07 月 08 日 | 齐晟 | qisheng@orientsec.com.cn | | --- | --- | | | 执业证书编号：S0860521120001 | | 杜林 | dulin@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860522080004 | | 王静颖 | wangjingying@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号：S0860523080003 | 利差压缩之后，利率仍存突破机会 利率债市场周观察 研究结论 风险提示 政策变化超预期；货币政策变化超预期；经济基本面变化超预期；信用风险暴露超预 期；数据统计可能存在遗误 7 月挖掘机会在"小众"：信用债市场周 观察 2025-07-07 适当牺牲流动性挖收益：2025 年 7 月小品 种策略 2025-07-03 利差压缩行情或延续：固定收益市场周观 察 2025-07-01 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本证券研究报告最后一页的免责申明。 徐沛翔 xupeix ...

海外方面，美国6月就业数据好坏参半，整体呈现稳中趋弱态势。美国经济增长仍在缓慢回落中，但离 衰退仍有距离，叠加"大美丽"法案带来的财政宽松预期，未来一段时间美国经济或将维持一定韧性。 国内方面，中国6月制造业和建筑业PMI边际改善，出口与两新拉动中游装备制造业景气较强。中央财 经委、工信部等再次提及治理企业低价无序竞争，光伏、锂电池、汽车等行业"反内卷"政策预期升温。 市场策略方面，债券方面，上周（6月30日-7月4日）跨季后资金面转松，债市整体震荡偏强。目前基本 面偏弱但仍具韧性，出口和地产部门未见失速下行风险，。虽然二季度货政例会表述删除"择机降准降 息"，且国债买卖暂时落空，但资金利率持续较低已反映央行偏宽松的态度，降成本呵护银行息差或是 央行目前优先级较高的目标，预计短期内资金面或将维持宽松，整体对债市较为有利。 A股方面，从三因子分析框架看，企业盈利依然承压，流动性与风险偏好处于扩张回暖趋势，市场格局 偏多。结构方面，建议考虑继续采取哑铃型配置策略，一方面通过对港股和A股景气成长资产的配置增 厚收益，另一方面，在PPI同比和M1等基本面指标未确认上行拐点前，继续考虑低波红利资产。 港股方面，AH股溢 ...

Group 1: Key Insights from Reports - The report highlights a significant easing of supply chain risks for the company following the U.S. Department of Commerce's removal of restrictions on ethane exports to China, allowing for a return to normal trade conditions [12][13]. - The company's α-olefin comprehensive utilization project is progressing well, with an expected total investment of approximately 26.6 billion yuan, aimed at expanding upstream ethylene production capacity and supporting long-term growth [15]. - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 55.34 billion, 71.35 billion, and 84.83 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 6.82 billion, 9.07 billion, and 10.34 billion yuan, indicating a strong growth trajectory [16]. Group 2: Market Trends and Performance - The REITs market has shown increased activity, with the total market capitalization rising to 207.87 billion yuan, reflecting a weekly increase of 1.8 billion yuan, and a daily turnover rate of 0.74% [6][8]. - The North Exchange 50 index experienced a slight decline of 1.71%, closing at 1415.04 points, while the average market capitalization of constituent stocks was 3.08 billion yuan [10]. - The report notes that the average cash distribution rate for property-type REITs is 3.73%, while the rate for concession-type REITs is significantly higher at 8.12%, indicating a valuation disparity between the two categories [8].

点击小程序查看报告原文 过去三个月，顶着"去美元"和"股债汇三杀"的担忧，美股反而跑赢全球市场并再创历史新高，纳斯达克从底部反弹35%，美债利率没有进一步上冲，美元 虽然维持弱势但也并未像担忧的那样持续大跌，美股和美债的资金在短暂流出后也再度流入。 这一表现也与我们近期提示的主要观点一致： 我们在4月8日底部附近提示，纳指估值跌到20倍P/E左右逐步具备吸引力，至少不应该再做空（《 "对等关 税"的冲击会有多大？ 》）；在"股债汇三杀"担忧最严重的时候提示，这种担忧更多是短期流动性冲击和基于外推预期的一些长期担心所致（《 上次"股 债汇三杀"发生了什么？ 》）。 图表：4月底部以来美股市场在全球市场表现领先，并再创历史新高 资料来源：FactSet，Bloomberg，中金公司研究部 图表：海外股票型基金4月小幅流出美股后再度流入 资料来源：EPFR，中金公司研究部 图表：海外债券型基金同样4月流出美债，5月中旬以来开始流入 资料来源：EPFR，中金公司研究部 对于美股和美元的关系，市场存在两个明显的误区： 一是直接将美元走弱与"去美元化"划等号，二是将美元弱和美股跌画等号（《 美元与美股的关系 》）。 对于 ...

Group 1: Digital Assets and Regulations - The Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) held its second digital asset consultation group meeting, discussing regulatory developments in the digital asset sector, particularly focusing on the ASPIRe roadmap's pillars A (Access) and P (Products) [1] - Guojin Securities' Hong Kong subsidiary is preparing to apply for a virtual asset trading license and has engaged with experienced institutions in Hong Kong and internationally to advance this application [3] Group 2: Memory Market Insights - TrendForce predicts a 10% to 15% quarter-on-quarter increase in general DRAM prices for Q3 2025, driven by a shift in production capacity towards high-end products and seasonal demand [4] - Morgan Stanley forecasts that the HBM market supply-demand tightness will persist until 2027, with growth driven by technological advancements and AI demand [6] Group 3: Bond Market Developments - Ten newly launched science and technology bond ETFs successfully raised a total of 30 billion yuan in just one day, contributing to a total bond ETF market size of 387.7 billion yuan, with expectations to surpass 400 billion yuan soon [5] Group 4: Standards and Regulations in Various Industries - China has officially released the international standard ISO 34505:2025 for autonomous vehicle testing scenarios, outlining evaluation processes and requirements for testing scenarios [2] - The State Council's Food Safety Committee is promoting the establishment of an internal reporting reward mechanism for food safety risks in various production and operation units by the end of 2025 [8] - The Market Supervision Administration is enhancing the development and implementation of standards for civil drones, which has reduced costs and improved commercialization capabilities [10]