Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided Group 2: Report's Core View - No relevant information provided Group 3: Summary of Spot Iron Ore - Newman powder: price 774, daily change -1, weekly change -28, import profit -27.67 [1] - PB powder: price 781, daily change -1, weekly change -24, import profit -18.45 [1] - Macfarlane powder: price 778, daily change -1, weekly change -24, import profit 7.20 [1] - Jinbuba powder: price 733, daily change -1, weekly change -26, import profit -2.81 [1] - Mainstream mixed powder: price 737, daily change -8, weekly change -27, import profit -2.25 [1] - Super special powder: price 687, daily change 0, weekly change -28, import profit -5.77 [1] - Carajás powder: price 893, daily change -1, weekly change -33, import profit 2.08 [1] - Brazilian mixed powder: price 821, daily change -1, weekly change -22, import profit -2.04 [1] - Brazilian coarse IOC6: price 783, daily change -1, weekly change -23 [1] - Brazilian coarse SSFG: price 788, daily change -1, weekly change -23 [1] - Ukrainian concentrate: price 888, daily change -2, weekly change -30 [1] - 61% Indian powder: price 722, daily change -1, weekly change -26 [1] - Karara concentrate: price 890, daily change 0, weekly change -28 [1] - Roy Hill powder: price 768, daily change -1, weekly change -24, import profit 10.80 [1] - KUMBA powder: price 840, daily change -1, weekly change -24 [1] - 57% Indian powder: price 622, daily change 0, weekly change -28 [1] - Atlas powder: price 732, daily change -8, weekly change -27 [1] - Tangshan iron concentrate: price 1008, daily change -13, weekly change -30 [1] Group 4: Summary of Exchange Contracts - i2601: price 776.0, daily change 0.5, weekly change -28.5, monthly spread -42.0 [1] - i2605: price 754.0, daily change -2.0, weekly change -27.5, monthly spread 22.0 [1] - i2609: price 734.0, daily change -1.5, weekly change -26.0, monthly spread 20.0 [1] - FE01: price 100.61, daily change -1.32, weekly change -2.06, monthly spread -4.32 [1] - FE05: price 98.38, daily change -1.20, weekly change -2.19, monthly spread 2.23 [1] - FE09: price 96.29, daily change -1.21, weekly change -2.29, monthly spread 2.09 [1]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints of the Report - The iron ore inventory at the 15 ports monitored by Steel Union has been continuously rising, with a week-on-week increase of 174,420 tons and an expanding growth rate [1]. - The inventory increase is mainly in mainstream varieties. Among them, the medium-grade Australian powder and Australian lump increased by 114,130 tons and 40,670 tons respectively, and the pellet ore increased by 10,660 tons, while the high-grade Australian powder decreased by 35,320 tons [1]. - In general, the iron ore port inventory continues to rise and the growth rate expands, indicating that industrial contradictions are accumulating and there are no structural contradictions [1]. Summary by Category Inventory Quantity and Change - **Total Inventory**: The current inventory is 11,422,200 tons, a week-on-week increase of 174,420 tons (1.55%), and a month-on-month decrease of 1,339,850 tons (-10.50%) [1]. - **High-grade Australian Powder**: The current inventory is 1,618,360 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 35,320 tons (-2.14%), and a year-on-year decrease of 719,490 tons (-30.78%) [1]. - **Brazilian Powder Ore**: The current inventory is 2,072,310 tons, a week-on-week increase of 6,570 tons (0.32%), and a year-on-year increase of 518,240 tons (33.35%) [1]. - **Medium-grade Australian Powder**: The current inventory is 714,300 tons, a week-on-week increase of 114,130 tons (19.02%), and a month-on-month decrease of 46,600 tons (-6.12%) [1]. - **Australian Lump**: The current inventory is 1,003,890 tons, a week-on-week increase of 40,670 tons (4.22%), and a year-on-year increase of 109,850 tons (12.29%) [1]. - **Pellet Ore**: The current inventory is 36,730 tons, a week-on-week increase of 10,660 tons (40.89%), and a year-on-year decrease of 76,810 tons (-67.65%) [1].

11月5日，铁矿石期货主力合约震荡收跌0.26%，报776.0元/吨。 机构观点 中金财富期货：矿价虽继续下跌但跌幅收窄，市场情绪偏弱，钢厂利润压缩、铁水产量下滑，需求疲软 的负反馈逐步形成，短期维持偏弱运行。 兴业期货：四季度澳矿及非主流矿发运量同比增幅明显扩大，进口矿库存加速增加，钢材去库压力显 现，环保压力上升，高炉铁水产量下降，短期铁矿价格偏弱，但政策面有支撑，整体处于宽幅震荡格 局。 11月04日：全国主港铁矿石成交146.1万吨，环比上涨12.99%；远期现货成交72.2万吨。 从前三季度来看，力拓铁矿石发货量约2.35亿吨，要想完成指导目标下限，预计四季度发货量需同比增 长约240万吨。 【消息面汇总】 本周全球铁矿石到港量环比大幅回升1229.8万吨至3314.1万吨，处于历年同期偏高水平，周一铁矿石港 口库存也回升了167万吨。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Views of the Reports Steel Industry - Recently, the decline in iron ore prices has led to a rapid drop in steel prices. The iron element supply is in a loose pattern, and the decrease in hot metal production suppresses iron ore prices. It is expected that steel mills will actively reduce production in winter to ease the pressure of winter storage. The single-side prices of rebar and hot-rolled coils are expected to test the support levels of 3000 and 3200 respectively. The strategy of longing coking coal and shorting hot-rolled coils can continue to be held [2]. Iron Ore Industry - The iron ore futures showed a weak downward trend. The supply side has a rebound in port arrivals, while the demand side sees a decline in hot metal production and weakening restocking demand from steel mills. The inventory pressure is increasing. The iron ore driving force is weakening. The strategy is to short iron ore 2601 on rallies, with a reference range of 760 - 810, and recommend the 1 - 5 positive spread arbitrage [4][6]. Coke Industry - The coke futures fluctuated downward. The spot price has been raised for the third time, and there is still an expectation of further increases. The cost is supported by the rebound of coking coal prices, but the demand is suppressed by environmental protection restrictions and low steel mill profits. The overall inventory is slightly increasing. The strategy is to go long on coke 2601 on dips, with a reference range of 1700 - 1850, and conduct the arbitrage of longing coking coal and shorting coke [7]. Coking Coal Industry - The coking coal futures fluctuated downward, with a divergence between the futures and the spot. The domestic coking coal market continues to be strong, but traders are becoming cautious. The supply is expected to increase slightly, and the demand is weakening. The overall inventory is slightly decreasing. The strategy is to go long on coking coal 2601 on dips, with a reference range of 1200 - 1350, and conduct the arbitrage of longing coking coal and shorting coke [7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Steel Industry Steel Prices and Spreads - Rebar and hot-rolled coil spot and futures prices generally declined. For example, the rebar 05 contract decreased by 37 to 3108, and the hot-rolled coil 05 contract decreased by 32 to 3272 [2]. Cost and Profit - The steel billet price decreased by 20 to 2930, and the plate billet price remained unchanged at 3730. The profits of hot-rolled coils in East China and North China decreased by 10, while the profit in South China remained unchanged [2]. Production - The daily average hot metal production increased by 3.5 to 239.9, with a growth rate of 1.5%. The production of five major steel products increased by 10 to 875.3, with a growth rate of 1.2% [2]. Inventory - The inventory of five major steel products decreased by 41.1 to 1513.7, with a decline rate of -2.6%. The rebar inventory decreased by 19.6 to 602.5, with a decline rate of -3.1% [2]. Transaction and Demand - The building materials trading volume decreased by 0.5 to 9.3, with a decline rate of -5.4%. The apparent demand for five major steel products increased by 23.7 to 916.4, with a growth rate of 2.7% [2]. Iron Ore Industry Iron Ore - Related Prices and Spreads - The costs of various iron ore warehouse receipts decreased. For example, the cost of PB powder warehouse receipts decreased by 6.6 to 829.3, with a decline rate of -0.8% [4]. Spot Prices and Price Indexes - The spot prices of various iron ores in Rizhao Port decreased. For example, the price of PB powder decreased by 6 to 782, with a decline rate of -0.8% [4]. Supply - The 45 - port arrivals increased by 1189.3 to 3218.4, with a growth rate of 58.6%. The global shipments decreased by 174.6 to 3213.8, with a decline rate of -5.2% [4]. Demand - The daily average hot metal production of 247 steel mills decreased by 3.5 to 236.4, with a decline rate of -1.5%. The national pig iron monthly production decreased by 374.7 to 6604.6, with a decline rate of -5.4% [4]. Inventory Changes - The 45 - port inventory increased by 171.6 to 14714.08, with a growth rate of 1.2%. The imported ore inventory of 247 steel mills decreased by 229.3 to 8849.9, with a decline rate of -2.5% [4]. Coke Industry Coke - Related Prices and Spreads - The price of Shanxi quasi - first - grade wet - quenched coke (warehouse receipt) remained unchanged at 1612. The coke 01 contract decreased by 43 to 1729, with a decline rate of -2.4% [7]. Supply - The daily average production of all - sample coking plants remained unchanged at 64.6, and the daily average production of 247 steel mills increased by 0.1 to 46.2, with a growth rate of 0.2% [7]. Demand - The hot metal production of 247 steel mills decreased by 3.5 to 236.4, with a decline rate of -1.5% [7]. Inventory Changes - The total coke inventory increased by 8.1 to 900.0, with a growth rate of 0.9%. The coke inventory of all - sample coking plants increased by 1.2 to 59.9, with a growth rate of 2.1% [7]. Supply - Demand Gap Changes - The coke supply - demand gap increased by 1.8 to -3.6, with a growth rate of 49.2% [7]. Coking Coal Industry Coking Coal - Related Prices and Spreads - The price of Shanxi medium - sulfur primary coking coal (warehouse receipt) remained unchanged at 1420. The coking coal 01 contract decreased by 32 to 1253, with a decline rate of -2.5% [7]. Supply - The raw coal production increased by 3.8 to 851.8, with a growth rate of 0.4%, and the clean coal production increased by 1.5 to 434.9, with a growth rate of 0.3% [7]. Demand - The daily average production of all - sample coking plants remained unchanged at 64.6, and the daily average production of 247 steel mills increased by 0.1 to 46.2, with a growth rate of 0.2% [7]. Inventory Changes - The clean coal inventory of Fenwei coal mines decreased by 9.2 to 81.1, with a decline rate of -10.2%. The coking coal inventory of all - sample coking plants increased by 22.8 to 1052.5, with a growth rate of 2.2% [7].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating provided in the reports. Core Viewpoints - The steel market has poor sentiment, and steel prices continue to decline. The iron ore market has weakening demand expectations, and prices are oscillating downward. The coking coal and coke market has average sentiment, and prices are oscillating downward. The动力煤 market has prices rising, with short - term upward momentum [1][3][5][7]. Summary by Commodity Steel Market Analysis - Futures and spot: The main contract of rebar closed at 3044 yuan/ton, and that of hot - rolled coil at 3265 yuan/ton. The overall spot steel trading was average, with the total national building materials trading volume at 9.27 tons. The trading volume in the East China region decreased significantly, while that in the North and South increased slightly [1]. - Supply and demand logic: The cost of rebar still provides support, and there is a possibility of more favorable policies. The profit of hot - rolled coil is better than that of rebar, so the output is relatively high. As steel mills have profits, the willingness to cut production is low. In November, the number of planned maintenance and production cuts by steel mills increases, and there are occasional environmental protection restrictions in the North [1]. Strategy - Unilateral: Oscillating weakly [2]. Iron Ore Market Analysis - Futures and spot: The iron ore futures price oscillated downward, and the prices of mainstream imported iron ore varieties declined slightly. Traders' enthusiasm for quoting was average, and steel mills' procurement was mainly for rigid demand. The total national main port iron ore trading volume was 146.1 tons, a 12.99% increase from the previous period; the forward - looking spot trading volume was 72.2 tons, a 22.57% decrease [3]. - Supply and demand logic: The arrival volume of iron ore this week increased significantly by 58.6%. The overall iron ore valuation is neutral, the supply - demand pattern is marginally weakening and generally loose, and the ore price is under downward pressure. However, supported by downstream restocking demand, there is no clear trend in the short term. With steel mills' loss - driven production cuts, the resilience of iron ore demand has weakened, and the price faces correction pressure [3]. Strategy - Unilateral: Oscillating weakly [4]. Coking Coal and Coke Market Analysis - Futures and spot: The black commodity sector oscillated weakly, and the closing prices of coking coal and coke futures both declined slightly. The customs clearance volume of imported Mongolian coal continued to rise to a high level, and the trading atmosphere was average, with downstream players mainly in a wait - and - see mode [5]. - Logic and view: For coking coal, due to safety inspections, the supply in some producing areas has not fully recovered, and the overall output is low, with the supply shortage pressure not significantly alleviated. On the demand side, downstream procurement is mainly for rigid demand, but the expectation of a new round of coke price increases has risen, and the inventory - building willingness of some enterprises has increased. For coke, affected by the rising coal price, coke enterprises are still operating at a loss, and some have maintenance plans, so the supply has contracted to some extent. On the demand side, the price of finished steel has declined recently, and the profit of steel mills has shrunk significantly, but the market's expectation of rising raw material prices has increased, and the procurement plan has increased compared with before, providing some support for the coke price [6]. Strategy - Coking coal: Oscillating [6]. - Coke: Oscillating [6]. 动力煤 Market Analysis - Futures and spot: In the producing areas, the coal price is still strong. Affected by safety inspections, the supply is tight. Downstream procurement is active, and the inventory of coal mines is decreasing. Miners believe that due to safety inspections and heating demand, the supply - demand mismatch will continue, and the price is difficult to decline in the short term. At ports, affected by the rising upstream prices, the quoted prices are firm, but downstream procurement is mainly for rigid demand and is resistant to high - priced coal. Although railway transportation has increased and port inventory has accumulated, the accumulation rate is low. With the continuous price increase of upstream coal mines, the arrival cost has risen, so there is a shortage of low - priced coal resources, and the price will continue to rise in the short term. In the import market, the price is also strong, and the price difference between domestic and imported coal is still large, so imported coal still has an advantage [7]. - Demand and logic: Affected by the situation in the producing areas, the price will oscillate strongly in the short term. In the long - term, the supply is still in a loose pattern, but with the approaching of the winter heating season, attention should be paid to the consumption and restocking of non - power coal [7]. Strategy - No strategy provided [7].

Core Viewpoint - Hainan Mining's stock price has shown significant growth this year, with a year-to-date increase of 41.26%, despite a decline in net profit for the first nine months of 2025 [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Hainan Mining achieved a revenue of 3.36 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.93%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 42.84% to 312 million yuan [2]. - Cumulative cash dividends since the company's A-share listing amount to 993 million yuan, with 657 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Stock Market Activity - As of November 5, Hainan Mining's stock price was 9.86 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 19.703 billion yuan. The stock experienced a 2.07% increase during the trading session [1]. - The trading volume indicated a net outflow of 4.0927 million yuan from main funds, with significant buying and selling activity from large orders [1]. Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 50,600, up by 8.38%. The average number of circulating shares per person decreased by 7.74% to 39,072 shares [2]. - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holds 12.7031 million shares, an increase of 2.1073 million shares from the previous period [3].

Group 1: Global Iron Ore Shipment and Production - In the first three quarters of 2025, global iron ore shipments reached 120.031 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 0.2% [1] - The four major mining companies collectively shipped 72.155 million tons, a 0.5% increase year-on-year, accounting for 60% of global shipments [1] - China's iron ore imports decreased by 1.8% year-on-year, totaling 96.889 million tons [1] Group 2: Vale's Production and Sales Performance - Vale's iron ore production in Q3 2025 was 94.4 million tons, a 3.8% increase year-on-year, with a cumulative production of 245.67 million tons, up 1.3% [4] - Vale's Q3 sales volume was 86 million tons, a 5.1% increase year-on-year, with iron concentrate sales showing strong performance [5] - The average price of Vale's iron ore in Q3 was $94.4 per ton, reflecting a $9.3 increase from the previous quarter [5] Group 3: Rio Tinto's Production and Project Updates - Rio Tinto's iron ore production in the Pilbara region for Q3 2025 was 84.1 million tons, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year, while shipments decreased by 0.2% [8] - The Guinea Simfer project has begun trial operations, with the first shipment expected in November 2025, which may impact the global iron ore supply structure [9] - Rio Tinto's new projects are progressing as planned, with several expected to reach full production by 2027 [10] Group 4: BHP's Production and Sales Insights - BHP's iron ore production in Q3 2025 was 70.25 million tons, a 1.9% decrease year-on-year, with cumulative production of 215.57 million tons, down 0.4% [15] - BHP's sales volume for Q3 was 70.59 million tons, a 1.3% decrease year-on-year, with block ore performing relatively well [17] - The company maintains its shipment guidance for FY2026 despite the decline in production [13] Group 5: Fortescue Metals Group (FMG) Performance - FMG's iron ore processing volume in Q3 2025 was 50.8 million tons, a 5.8% year-on-year increase, with shipments reaching 49.7 million tons [22] - The Iron Bridge project saw significant production increases, with processing volume up 62% year-on-year [22] - FMG's sales performance was strong across most product categories, with notable growth in the Iron Bridge product line [24]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View - Not provided in the given content 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Spot Market - **Australian Mainstream Iron Ore**: Newman powder price is 775, down 10 daily and 18 weekly; PB powder is 782, down 6 daily and 14 weekly; Mac powder is 779, down 7 daily and 14 weekly; Jinbuba is 734, down 6 daily and 22 weekly; Mixed powder is 745, down 3 daily and 12 weekly; Super special powder is 687, down 5 daily and 22 weekly; Carajás powder is 894, down 5 daily and 24 weekly [1] - **Brazilian Mainstream Iron Ore**: Brazilian blend is 822, down 2 daily and 12 weekly; Brazilian coarse IOC6 is 784, down 6 daily and 13 weekly; Brazilian coarse SSFG is 789, down 6 daily and 13 weekly [1] - **Other Iron Ores**: Ukrainian concentrate is 890, down 5 daily and 20 weekly; 61% Indian powder is 723, down 6 daily and 22 weekly; Karara concentrate is 890, down 5 daily and 20 weekly; Roy Hill powder is 769, down 6 daily and 14 weekly; KUMBA powder is 841, down 6 daily and 14 weekly; 57% Indian powder is 622, down 5 daily and 22 weekly; Atlas powder is 740, down 3 daily and 12 weekly; Tangshan iron concentrate is 1021, down 5 daily and 12 weekly [1] Futures Market - **DCE Contracts**: i2601 is 775.5, down 7.0 daily and 17.0 weekly; i2605 is 756.0, down 4.5 daily and 12.5 weekly; i2609 is 735.5, down 5.0 daily and 11.5 weekly [1] - **SGX Contracts**: FE01 is 101.93, down 1.07 daily and 0.24 weekly; FE05 is 99.58, down 1.07 daily and 0.42 weekly; FE09 is 97.50, down 1.05 daily and 0.50 weekly [1]

Core Viewpoint - The China International Import Expo (CIIE) serves as a platform for high-level openness and is recognized globally as an international public good, with Vale, a multinational mining giant from Brazil, participating for the eighth consecutive year [2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Vale, established in 1942 and headquartered in Brazil, is a leading global producer of iron ore, copper, and nickel, also producing iron ore pellets, platinum group metals, gold, silver, and cobalt [2]. - Since delivering its first shipment of iron ore to China in 1973, Vale has supplied over 3 billion tons of high-quality iron ore to China, along with copper and nickel [2]. Group 2: Product Offerings - At this year's CIIE, Vale is showcasing a special area for energy transition metals, featuring five high-quality products, including carbonyl nickel spheres [2][3]. - Carbonyl nickel spheres, produced using carbonyl refining technology, are among the highest purity nickel products, widely used in aerospace, electronics, and nuclear energy sectors [3]. - Other products displayed include nickel cakes, nickel powder, NPI (Nickel Pig Iron), and copper concentrate, alongside various high-quality iron ore products [3]. Group 3: Environmental Commitment - Vale's carbonyl nickel spheres have a carbon emission intensity of only 8.1 tons of CO2 equivalent per ton of nickel, making it one of the lowest carbon emission nickel products globally [3]. - The company aims to support China's steel industry in achieving green transformation and sustainable development through the supply of quality mineral products and innovative low-carbon solutions [5]. Group 4: Interactive Exhibit - To celebrate 40 years of operations in the Amazon region, Vale has presented a large interactive installation called "Dynamic Amazon," featuring an 8.5-meter long LED transparent screen and two interactive touch screens [4]. - The installation aims to raise awareness about forest protection and showcase the creativity of contemporary artists from Pará, Brazil, in anticipation of the upcoming 30th UN Climate Change Conference [5].

Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core Viewpoints - The main contract price of rebar declined weakly with a daily decline of 1.42%, showing a pattern of shrinking volume and increasing open interest. In the current situation of increasing supply and demand, the fundamentals of rebar have not improved, and steel prices continue to be under pressure. The relatively positive factor is the strong cost support. It is expected that rebar will continue the trend of oscillating to find the bottom, and attention should be paid to the demand performance [4]. - The main contract price of hot-rolled coil plate was running weakly with a daily decline of 1.03%, showing a pattern of shrinking volume and open interest. At present, the situation of high supply and high inventory of hot-rolled coils remains unchanged, and the concerns about demand have not subsided. The fundamentals have not improved substantially. Under the dominance of industrial logic, hot-rolled coils are under pressure to weaken, and attention should be paid to the steel mill production restriction situation [4]. - The main contract price of iron ore declined weakly with a daily decline of 1.71%, showing a pattern of shrinking volume and increasing open interest. At present, the supply of iron ore is high, while the demand continues to weaken, and the weak fundamentals of iron ore remain unchanged. Under the dominance of the real logic, the high-valued iron ore price is prone to decline under pressure, and attention should be paid to the performance of steel [4]. Summary by Related Catalogs Industry Dynamics - In October, China's logistics industry prosperity index was 50.7%, remaining in the expansion range. Although the logistics business volume index had a slight correction, the overall demand maintained an expansion trend. Industrial logistics demand represented by bulk commodities declined to some extent, while consumer logistics demand showed an accelerating growth trend [6]. - Affected by the decline in output and weak demand, the manufacturing activity in the United States shrank for the eighth consecutive month in October. The manufacturing index of the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) dropped 0.4 to 48.7. The output and employment indicators also declined [7]. - On October 31, 2025, Malaysia's Ministry of Investment, Trade and Industry issued an announcement, making a positive final anti-dumping ruling on galvanized sheets originating from or imported from China, South Korea, and Vietnam. Anti-dumping duties will be levied on the涉案 products from these countries at the cost, insurance, and freight (CIF) price. The anti-dumping duty rate for China is 0% - 26.80% [8]. Spot Market - For rebar, the Shanghai price was 3,180 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan/ton; the Tianjin price was 3,190 yuan/ton, unchanged; the national average price was 3,234 yuan/ton, down 11 yuan/ton. For hot-rolled coil plate, the Shanghai price was 3,290 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan/ton; the Tianjin price was 3,210 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan/ton; the national average price was 3,338 yuan/ton, down 14 yuan/ton. The price of Tangshan billet was 2,950 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of Zhangjiagang heavy scrap was 2,170 yuan/ton, unchanged. The spread between hot-rolled coil and rebar was 110 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan/ton; the spread between rebar and scrap was 1,010 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan/ton [9]. - The price of 61.5% PB powder at Shandong ports was 783 yuan/ton, down 4 yuan/ton; the price of Tangshan iron concentrate powder (wet basis) was 817 yuan/ton, unchanged. The ocean freight from Australia was 9.19 US dollars/ton, down 0.30 US dollars/ton; the ocean freight from Brazil was 23.11 US dollars/ton, down 0.21 US dollars/ton. The SGX swap price (current month) was 105.65 US dollars/ton, down 0.18 US dollars/ton; the Platts index (CFR, 62%) was 105.85 US dollars/ton, down 1.55 US dollars/ton [9]. Futures Market - The closing price of the rebar futures active contract was 3,044 yuan/ton, down 1.42%. The highest price was 3,084 yuan/ton, the lowest price was 3,040 yuan/ton. The trading volume was 1,016,465 lots, a decrease of 134,111 lots; the open interest was 1,966,544 lots, an increase of 47,527 lots [13]. - The closing price of the hot-rolled coil plate futures active contract was 3,265 yuan/ton, down 1.03%. The highest price was 3,299 yuan/ton, the lowest price was 3,260 yuan/ton. The trading volume was 375,271 lots, a decrease of 137,680 lots; the open interest was 1,396,130 lots, a decrease of 26,705 lots [13]. - The closing price of the iron ore futures active contract was 775.5 yuan/ton, down 1.71%. The highest price was 784.0 yuan/ton, the lowest price was 773.0 yuan/ton. The trading volume was 276,598 lots, a decrease of 130,128 lots; the open interest was 547,754 lots, an increase of 12,824 lots [13]. Related Charts - The report includes charts on steel inventories (rebar inventory, hot-rolled coil plate inventory), iron ore inventories (national 45-port iron ore inventory, 247 steel mills' iron ore inventory), steel mill production situation (blast furnace operating rate, electric furnace operating rate, steel mill profitability), etc., but specific data analysis is not provided in the text [15][20][29] 后市研判 - Rebar: Both supply and demand continue to rise. The production of construction steel mills is active, and the weekly output of rebar increased by 5.52 tons week-on-week, reaching a relatively high level this year. The inventory is high, and the pressure has increased. At the same time, the demand for rebar has improved seasonally, with the weekly apparent demand increasing by 6.17 tons week-on-week, and the high-frequency daily trading volume has also increased. However, both supply and demand are still at relatively low levels in recent years, and the downstream industry has not improved, so the improvement space is limited. The fundamentals of rebar have not improved in the current situation of increasing supply and demand, and steel prices continue to be under pressure. The relatively positive factor is the strong cost support. It is expected that rebar will continue the trend of oscillating to find the bottom, and attention should be paid to the demand performance [37]. - Hot-rolled coil plate: The supply-demand pattern has not changed much. The production of plate steel mills is stable, and the weekly output of hot-rolled coils increased by 1.10 tons week-on-week, remaining at a high level this year. The inventory reduction at a high level is limited, and the supply pressure is still relatively large, continuing to put pressure on the price of hot-rolled coils. At the same time, the demand for hot-rolled coils is acceptable, with the weekly apparent demand increasing week-on-week and remaining at a high level in the same period. However, the high-frequency trading volume is relatively weak, and the fundamentals of the main downstream cold-rolled products have not improved, so the demand concerns have not subsided. The relatively positive factor is the marginal improvement in external demand, but it needs to be tracked after the price rebounds. At present, the situation of high supply and high inventory of hot-rolled coils remains unchanged, and the demand concerns have not subsided. The fundamentals have not improved substantially. Under the dominance of industrial logic, hot-rolled coils are under pressure to weaken, and attention should be paid to the steel mill production restriction situation [37]. - Iron ore: The supply-demand pattern continues to weaken. Under the influence of production restrictions, the terminal demand for iron ore continues to decline. Last week, the average daily hot metal output of sample steel mills and the daily consumption of imported ore decreased week-on-week, and the decline continued to expand. The demand is clearly in a weakening trend. Considering that the industrial contradictions in the steel market have not been alleviated, coupled with frequent seasonal production restriction disturbances, the demand for iron ore is expected to continue to decline, and the weak demand is likely to drag down the iron ore price. At the same time, the arrival of goods at domestic ports has rebounded as expected, while the shipments of overseas miners have declined, but both are at relatively high levels. Coupled with the increase in domestic iron ore supply, the supply pressure of iron ore has increased. In general, the supply of iron ore is high, while the demand continues to weaken. The weak fundamentals of iron ore remain unchanged. Under the dominance of the real logic, the high-valued iron ore price is prone to decline under pressure, and attention should be paid to the performance of steel [38].