Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the methanol in the energy and chemical sector is "oscillating and slightly bullish" [2] Group 2: Report's Core View - Despite the seasonal off - peak season for methanol downstream in July, with port inventory accumulation and minor de - stocking in production areas, and no obvious improvement in downstream demand, and large import pressure due to the restart of Iranian facilities, the short - term methanol price is expected to be oscillating and slightly bullish in the range of 2350 - 2500 yuan/ton because of the positive commodity sentiment after the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology's statement on promoting the elimination of backward production capacity in key industries [2] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Review - On Friday night, the futures price of the main methanol contract rose 30 yuan/ton to 2404 yuan/ton, while the spot price in the mainstream East China region fell 5 yuan/ton to 2385 yuan/ton. Long positions increased by 677 lots to 368,400 lots, and short positions increased by 18,001 lots to 483,800 lots [2] Important Information - Supply: The domestic methanol operating rate was 82.6%, a 1.5% month - on - month decline, and the overseas operating rate was 72.45%, a 1.3% month - on - month increase [2] - Inventory: The total port inventory of methanol in China was 790,200 tons, an increase of 71,300 tons from the previous period. The inventory in East China increased by 63,500 tons, and that in South China increased by 7,800 tons. The inventory of sample domestic methanol producers was 352,300 tons, a decrease of 4,600 tons from the previous period, a 1.28% month - on - month decline [2] - Demand: The signed orders of northwest methanol enterprises were 63,000 tons, an increase of 26,000 tons month - on - month. The pending orders of sample enterprises were 243,100 tons, an increase of 21,900 tons from the previous period, a 9.89% month - on - month increase. The olefin operating rate was 86.23%, a 0.2% month - on - month increase; the dimethyl ether operating rate was 5.19%, unchanged month - on - month; the methyl chloride operating rate was 71.27%, a 0.03% month - on - month increase; the acetic acid operating rate was 90.5%, a 3.3% month - on - month decrease; the formaldehyde operating rate was 43.6%, a 1.5% month - on - month decrease [2] - Policy: The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will implement a new round of stable growth work plans for ten key industries including steel, non - ferrous metals, petrochemicals, and building materials, aiming to adjust the structure, optimize supply, and eliminate backward production capacity [2] Market Logic - In July, the methanol downstream enters the seasonal off - peak season. The port inventory accumulates, and the production area has minor de - stocking. The downstream demand has not improved significantly. With the restart of Iranian facilities, the import pressure in July is still large. Considering the increasing number of domestic methanol facility overhauls in July, the fundamentals show a pattern of weak supply and demand. The statement of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology on July 18 led to a positive commodity sentiment, resulting in the short - term methanol price being oscillating and slightly bullish [2] Trading Strategy - Adopt a bullish trading strategy [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints - For stock index futures, pay attention to the support of the 5 - day moving average. If it is not broken, the trend will continue. Also, focus on the movement of stop - profit funds [14]. - For treasury bond futures, it is recommended to short bonds at high prices or use treasury bond futures to reduce duration as the capital market may not reach 1.3%, and the capital situation remains uncertain [15]. - For steel and ore, steel prices are expected to be volatile and slightly stronger in the short - term and volatile in the medium - term [18]. - For coking coal and coke, they are expected to remain volatile and slightly stronger in the short - term, and attention should be paid to specific policies later [20]. - For ferroalloys, it is recommended to take a short - selling approach at high prices and manage positions carefully [21]. - For soda ash and glass, for soda ash, consider short - selling at high prices when the market atmosphere weakens; for glass, long - position holders at low levels can continue to hold and stop profit flexibly when the atmosphere weakens [23]. - For aluminum and alumina, it is recommended to short - sell aluminum at high prices and take a wait - and - see approach for alumina in the short - term, and short - sell at high positions appropriately [25]. - For lithium carbonate, it is expected to be strongly volatile in the short - term due to supply - side disturbances [26]. - For industrial silicon and polysilicon, industrial silicon is expected to be volatile and slightly stronger, and polysilicon is expected to be strongly volatile, and it is advisable to wait and see [27]. - For cotton, it is recommended to hold or exit the long - near and short - far strategy carefully [30]. - For sugar, it is expected to be volatile in the short - term [33]. - For eggs, it is recommended to short - sell on rebounds and pay attention to stop - loss, and focus on the short - 09 and long - 01 reverse spread combination in the long - term [35]. - For apples, it is recommended to conduct long - spread arbitrage with a light position [37]. - For corn, participate in the short - term as the price follows the spot and is slightly stronger, and pay attention to the opportunity of value restoration after the over - decline [37]. - For red dates, it is recommended to short - sell with a light position [39]. - For live pigs, it is advisable to wait and see in the short - term as the spot price is uncertain and the market is in intense long - short competition [40]. - For crude oil, it is recommended to short - sell at high prices as it is likely to enter a supply - surplus situation in the long - term [43]. - For fuel oil, its price is weaker than that of crude oil, and its fundamentals are gradually becoming looser [45]. - For plastics, consider holding put options or slightly short - selling as the supply - demand situation is weak despite short - term emotional rebounds [46]. - For methanol, it is recommended to short - sell after rebounds or consider put options as it is expected to be weakly volatile [47]. - For caustic soda, maintain a long - position strategy [48]. - For asphalt, it follows the short - term trend of crude oil, which is slightly stronger [49]. - For the polyester industry chain, do not chase the long - position, and consider short - selling after the bullish atmosphere weakens or trading the PX - PTA spread [50]. - For pulp, it is expected to rise slightly with limited amplitude under the 09 emotional expectation, and the long - spot holders can adopt relevant strategies to increase income [51]. - For logs, be cautious when chasing high prices, and enterprises with deliverable spot can consider short - selling hedging [51]. - For urea, consider buying at low prices as the export quota may increase [52]. Summary by Related Catalogs Macro Information - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology will release a new round of steady - growth work plans for ten key industries such as steel, non - ferrous metals, petrochemicals, and building materials, as well as plans for industries like machinery, automobiles, and power equipment, and a digital transformation implementation plan for the automobile industry [10]. - The Ministry of Commerce responded to the US approval of the sale of NVIDIA H20 chips to China, emphasizing that cooperation between China and the US is the right path [10]. - Four departments including the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology have deployed work to standardize the competition order in the new energy vehicle industry [10]. - The State Administration for Market Regulation has summoned three platform companies, including Ele.me, Meituan, and JD.com, to regulate their promotional activities [10]. - The National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference held a symposium on the macro - economic situation in the first half of 2025, with some members making suggestions on various aspects [11]. - The National Export Control Work Coordination Mechanism Office has launched a special campaign against the smuggling of strategic minerals [11]. - Yushu Technology has initiated IPO counseling, with CITIC Securities as the counseling institution [11]. - The preliminary value of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in the US in July reached a five - month high, while the 5 - year inflation expectation hit a five - month low [11]. - Federal Reserve Governor Waller called for a rate cut in July, and Trump urged Fed Chairman Powell to cut rates [12]. - US President Trump filed a defamation lawsuit against News Corp, Dow Jones, Rupert Murdoch, and two Wall Street Journal reporters, seeking at least $10 billion in compensation [12]. - US Treasury Secretary Bessent, during a visit to Japan, said that the two countries could reach a "good" trade agreement, but there are still significant differences, especially regarding the 25% tariff on automobiles [12]. Macro Finance Stock Index Futures - The market sentiment was maintained on Friday, with a slight intraday adjustment followed by a rise. The main broad - based indexes have risen for four consecutive weeks. Pay attention to the movement of stop - profit funds as margin trading funds continue to increase [14]. Treasury Bond Futures - The capital price during the tax period was high and tight. After the tax period ended on Friday, the capital situation did not ease significantly, and the central bank's net open - market operation (OMO) investment decreased significantly. The market interprets the central bank's draft for comments as beneficial to short - term bonds and high - grade credit bonds, and short - term bond yields have declined [15]. Black Steel and Ore - Steel prices are affected by policies and supply - demand. The demand for building materials is weak, and the demand for coils has weakened marginally. However, the supply is expected to remain strong, and the price is expected to be volatile in the medium - term and slightly stronger in the short - term [18]. Coking Coal and Coke - The supply of coal mines is recovering slowly, and the demand for coking coal and coke is supported by stable pig iron production. In the medium - term, the supply - demand gap of coking coal will narrow as mines resume production [20]. Ferroalloys - The manganese and silicon alloy market is affected by macro - level positive news and weakening fundamentals. It is not recommended to chase long - positions, and it is advisable to short - sell at high prices with proper position management [21]. Soda Ash and Glass - For soda ash, the supply is expected to be in surplus in the long - term, and the short - term trend depends on the market atmosphere. For glass, pay attention to the linkage between the futures and spot markets and the improvement of terminal orders [23]. Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials Aluminum and Alumina - For aluminum, due to the deadlock in Trump's tariff negotiations and weak demand, it is recommended to short - sell at high prices. For alumina, the short - term policy sentiment may be short - lived, and it is advisable to short - sell at high positions [25]. Lithium Carbonate - Due to supply - side disturbances, it is expected to be strongly volatile in the short - term as the market is sensitive to positive news [26]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - Industrial silicon is expected to be volatile and slightly stronger due to improved supply - demand and positive policies. Polysilicon has a strong expectation but weak reality, and it is advisable to wait and see [27]. Agricultural Products Cotton - Cotton prices are affected by low inventory and weak consumption. Pay attention to the macro - situation, supply - demand changes, and the impact of USDA reports [30]. Sugar - Domestic sugar prices are affected by low domestic inventory and expected increases in imported sugar. The global sugar market is expected to have a surplus in the 2025 - 26 season [33]. Eggs - Eggs are in a seasonal rising period, but the supply pressure during the Mid - Autumn Festival may limit the price increase. It is recommended to short - sell on rebounds and focus on the long - short spread strategy [35]. Apples - In the off - season of apple consumption, early - maturing apples are priced high. It is recommended to conduct long - spread arbitrage with a light position [37]. Corn - Corn prices follow the spot and are slightly stronger. Pay attention to the substitution of wheat, the release of imported corn, and the opportunity of value restoration after the over - decline [37]. Red Dates - Red dates are in the physiological fruit - dropping period. The supply is strong and the demand is weak in the short - term. It is recommended to short - sell with a light position [39]. Live Pigs - The short - term spot price is uncertain. The supply may decrease in the second half of July, and the demand is in the off - season. It is advisable to wait and see [40]. Energy and Chemicals Crude Oil - OPEC+ is accelerating supply recovery, but the demand is affected by trade wars and the global economic slowdown. It is recommended to short - sell at high prices as it is likely to enter a supply - surplus situation [43]. Fuel Oil - The price of fuel oil is weaker than that of crude oil, and its fundamentals are gradually becoming looser due to factors such as the change in the demand structure and inventory accumulation [45]. Plastics - The supply of polyolefins is under pressure, and the demand is weak. Although there may be short - term emotional rebounds, it is advisable to consider put options or short - selling [46]. Methanol - Methanol is expected to be weakly volatile as the port inventory is accumulating. It is recommended to short - sell after rebounds or consider put options [47]. Caustic Soda - With the decline in the price of liquid chlorine and a relatively strong macro - market, it is recommended to maintain a long - position strategy [48]. Asphalt - It follows the short - term trend of crude oil, which is slightly stronger. The asphalt market is in the off - season, and the production is expected to decrease in August [49]. Polyester Industry Chain - The market sentiment is bullish, but the fundamentals are weak. It is not recommended to chase long - positions. Consider short - selling after the bullish atmosphere weakens or trading the PX - PTA spread [50]. Pulp - The 09 contract is expected to rise slightly with limited amplitude. Pay attention to port de - stocking and spot trading. Holders of spot can adopt relevant strategies to increase income [51]. Logs - The apparent demand is good, and the spot valuation is low. Be cautious when chasing high prices, and enterprises with deliverable spot can consider short - selling hedging [51]. Urea - With the possible increase in the export quota, it is recommended to buy at low prices. The futures price is strongly affected by the overall commodity market [52].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) is focusing on stabilizing growth in key industries, promoting digital transformation, and enhancing the integration of technology and industry to drive economic development. Group 1: Industry Growth Plans - The MIIT is set to release growth stabilization plans for ten key industries, including steel, non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, and building materials, emphasizing structural adjustments and the elimination of outdated production capacity [1] - Recent announcements indicate that growth stabilization plans for machinery, automotive, and power equipment industries will also be issued soon, aimed at enhancing quality supply capabilities and optimizing the industry development environment [5] Group 2: Digital Transformation and AI Integration - Over 100 AI-enabled devices, such as AI smartphones, computers, and glasses, have emerged, contributing to new economic growth points [2] - The digital industry achieved a business revenue growth of 9.3% year-on-year in the first half of the year, an increase of 3.4 percentage points compared to the same period last year [6] - The MIIT plans to issue digital transformation implementation plans for industries like textiles, light industry, food, and pharmaceuticals, focusing on 82 typical scenarios for intelligent transformation [7] Group 3: Technological Innovation and Future Industries - The MIIT is promoting the collaborative empowerment of industrial internet and artificial intelligence, while accelerating the research and development of 6G technology [4] - The ministry aims to foster high-level digital transformation service providers and encourage enterprises to shift towards a "product + service" model [9] - Future industries such as humanoid robots, the metaverse, and brain-computer interfaces are being prioritized for innovation and development [12] Group 4: Support for SMEs - The MIIT will conduct special actions to address the issue of overdue payments to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs), aiming to alleviate their financial burdens [10] - Plans are underway to establish the second phase of the National SME Development Fund to attract more social capital for long-term investments in hard technology [15] Group 5: Quality Development and Standards - The MIIT is committed to implementing high-quality development plans for the copper, aluminum, and gold industries, focusing on effective supply and demand coordination [14] - The ministry will accelerate the establishment of a digital transformation standard system to promote high-quality standards for new technologies and products [9]

2025.07. 21 本文字数：3393，阅读时长大约5.5分钟 作者 | 第一财经 祝嫣然 封图 | 7月19日，观众在第三届链博会数字科技链展区与机器人握手。来源：新华社 二季度中国经济能实现5.2%的增速，工业发挥了"压舱石"作用。下半年，除钢铁、石化等重点行业将陆 续公布新一轮稳增长方案外，工信部还将推进培育各类未来产业。 国家统计局数据显示，今年上半年，规上工业增加值同比增长6.4%，增速较2024年全年加快0.6个百分 点。6月份，规模以上工业增加值同比增长6.8%，比上月大幅加快1个百分点，远超市场预期。 工信部总工程师谢少锋日前在国新办发布会上表示，下半年将实施新一轮钢铁、有色金属、石化、建材 等十大重点行业稳增长工作方案，具体工作方案将在近期陆续发布。与此同时，持续培育发展动能。加 快发展生物制造、低空产业。推动人形机器人、元宇宙、脑机接口等未来产业创新发展，超前布局新领 域新赛道。 7月18日，国务院新闻办公室在北京举行新闻发布会，工业和信息化部总工程师谢少锋，工业和信息化部新闻发言人、运行监 测协调局局长陶青，工业和信息化部信息通信发展司司长谢存介绍2025年上半年工业和信息化发展情况 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that the economic growth rate in the second half of 2025 may decline compared to the first half, with a policy focus shifting towards structural adjustments. Despite this, the A-share market remains strong due to stable capital market expectations, anti-involution policies, and the positive impact of technology and trade negotiations [1][2][3]. Group 1: Economic Growth and Market Stability - The consensus is that achieving the annual economic growth target is feasible, with a shift in policy focus towards structural adjustments. This suggests that the economic growth rate in the second half of 2025 may be weaker than in the first half, and expectations for growth-stabilizing policies should be moderated [1]. - Stable capital market policies have created a "buffer" against macroeconomic disturbances, leading to a perception that the downside risks for the A-share market are manageable. Even in adverse economic conditions, timely policy responses can mitigate risks [1][2]. - The anti-involution policies have connected short-term economic highlights with mid-term supply-demand improvements, allowing for smoother transitions in the market dynamics between upstream cycles and midstream manufacturing [2]. Group 2: Market Conditions and Future Outlook - By the fourth quarter of 2025, the conditions for a market breakout are expected to be more favorable, with fundamental expectations shifting towards 2026. This could accelerate the market's reflection of improved supply-demand dynamics and profitability [3]. - The year 2025 is projected to be a peak for the repricing of household deposits, creating a critical window for reallocating assets, which may lead to natural increments in certain investment products that have limited dependence on stock market performance [3]. Group 3: Industry Trends and Recommendations - The focus of investment is shifting towards undervalued cyclical stocks in the short term, while mid-term opportunities lie in midstream manufacturing that benefits from supply clearing and anti-involution policies [4]. - The AI computing power industry is showing significant improvement, with domestic profit effects expanding, indicating continued investment opportunities in this sector [4]. - The Hong Kong stock market is viewed as a potential leader in the next bull market, with ongoing interest in innovative pharmaceuticals and new consumer trends, alongside high dividend stocks as attractive investment options [4][5].

Market Performance - A-shares saw collective gains across the three major indices from July 14 to July 18, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3534.48 points, up 0.69%, the Shenzhen Component Index at 10913.84 points, up 2.04%, and the ChiNext Index at 2277.15 points, up 3.17% [2][3] - Approximately 57% of stocks experienced gains during the week, with 149 stocks rising over 15% and 20 stocks declining over 15% [2] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included telecommunications, pharmaceuticals, automobiles, and machinery, while traditional sectors such as real estate, media, public utilities, and non-bank financials saw declines [2] International Market Overview - In the U.S. market, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 0.32% to 44342.19 points, while the S&P 500 decreased by 0.01% to 6296.79 points, and the Nasdaq Composite rose by 0.05% to 20895.66 points [4][5] - European markets showed mixed results, with the FTSE 100 up 0.22%, the CAC 40 up 0.01%, and the DAX down 0.33% [4][5] Commodity Prices - International oil prices declined, with WTI crude oil falling by 0.30% to $67.34 per barrel and Brent crude down 0.35% to $69.28 per barrel [4][5] Company Developments - Yushutech has initiated its listing guidance with CITIC Securities as the advisory firm, aiming to accelerate the commercialization of humanoid robots [6] - The U.S. has enacted a regulatory framework for stablecoins with the signing of the "Genius Act" by President Trump, marking a significant step towards the regulation of digital currencies [7] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) is set to release a growth stabilization plan for key industries including steel, non-ferrous metals, and petrochemicals [9] Investment Insights - Analysts suggest that the new round of A-share market trends has begun, with a focus on high-growth sectors and resource price increases [12] - The stablecoin market is expected to expand as regulatory frameworks are established, presenting investment opportunities [11]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the banking industry and the broader economic context in China, particularly focusing on the "脱虚向实" (devirtualization) policy aimed at promoting industrial development while addressing issues in the service sector [1][2][3]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Policy Shift and Economic Impact** - The "脱虚向实" policy has led to an imbalance in resource allocation, favoring industrial sectors over services, resulting in reduced employment opportunities in the latter [2][3]. - The current policy shift aims to counteract the negative effects of price competition in industries, which has led to declining profit margins and increased unemployment [1][3]. 2. **Banking Sector Performance** - Recent mid-term financial reports from banks, particularly Hangzhou Bank, show a profit growth of nearly 17%, exceeding market expectations, indicating strong performance in the city commercial banking sector [4][17]. - The overall banking sector is expected to see improved performance due to the positive trends in revenue and profit growth, with non-performing asset (NPA) ratios remaining low [2][19]. 3. **Effects of Anti-Internal Competition Measures** - Anti-internal competition measures are being implemented across various industries, including banking, to stabilize prices and improve profit margins [5][10]. - These measures have shown initial effectiveness, with some banks reporting an increase in NPA and stabilization of interest margins [5][17]. 4. **Industrial Sector Challenges** - The industrial sector faces issues of overcapacity and fierce competition, particularly among small enterprises producing low-quality goods at low prices, which pressures larger firms [6][8]. - The government is implementing measures such as supply control, price regulation, and higher environmental standards to address these challenges [7][9]. 5. **Price Recovery and Market Dynamics** - The measures taken are expected to uplift industrial product prices, which may also affect non-industrial goods, aiming for a restoration of normal price levels rather than excessive inflation [10][11]. - Different industries are responding variably to these policies, with significant price increases observed in commodities like polysilicon and lithium [11][12]. 6. **Macroeconomic Implications** - The policies are anticipated to reflect positively in macroeconomic indicators such as PPI and CPI, with a projected GDP growth rate of around 5% [13]. - Improved corporate profitability is expected to lead to a bull market in stocks, benefiting various sectors including services [13][25]. 7. **Investment Outlook** - The current market shows a preference for stocks and commodities, with a cautious approach towards bonds due to limited room for interest rate declines [14][15]. - The banking sector is viewed as having potential for valuation recovery, especially for banks with strong fundamentals [19][20]. 8. **Insurance Capital Strategies** - Insurance capital is favoring high-dividend, low-valuation stocks, indicating a selective investment approach based on specific circumstances rather than a broad sell-off [21][22]. 9. **Dividend Performance in Banking** - The dividend yield for large banks has dropped below 4%, while city commercial banks maintain higher yields, making them attractive to investors [23][24]. Other Important Insights - The banking sector's future performance is expected to improve as the market has not fully recognized the potential of quality financial institutions [25]. - The ongoing adjustments in government policy reflect a strategic response to previous economic challenges, aiming to foster a more balanced and sustainable growth environment across sectors [1][3].

Group 1 - The Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project has officially commenced with a total investment of approximately 1.2 trillion yuan, aiming to construct five tiered power stations primarily for power export while also addressing local consumption needs [2] - The project is considered strategically significant, having been approved by the Chinese government in December 2024, and is expected to set historical records in terms of investment amount, construction difficulty, duration, and impact [2] - Analysts believe that the project will significantly boost economic development in Tibet and surrounding regions [2] Group 2 - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has initiated a new round of actions to stabilize growth in key industries such as steel, non-ferrous metals, and petrochemicals [3] - In the first half of the year, the industrial added value of large-scale industries grew by 6.4% year-on-year, outpacing GDP growth by 1.1 percentage points, indicating sustained high growth in industrial production [3] - Manufacturing investment increased by 7.5% year-on-year, supported by the acceleration of major engineering projects and large-scale equipment upgrades [3] Group 3 - Central Huijin has significantly increased its holdings in multiple broad-based ETFs, purchasing approximately 150 billion yuan worth of ETFs, which has positioned it as a stabilizing force in the market during turbulent times [4] Group 4 - The launch of the "official direct sales platform" by Hanglv Zongheng integrates ticket resources from 37 domestic airlines, allowing users to compare and purchase tickets from a single interface [5][6] - This platform aims to address long-standing issues in the ticket sales market, such as price discrepancies and bundled sales, thereby protecting consumer rights [6] Group 5 - The Japanese ruling coalition may lose its majority in the House of Councillors elections, with preliminary results indicating fewer than 50 seats won, which could impact the government's ability to govern effectively [7][8] - Public dissatisfaction with the government's measures against rising prices and ongoing economic pressures from the U.S. are contributing factors to the electoral outcome [8] Group 6 - The market for polysilicon has surged over 30% this month, driven by a rebound in industrial commodity futures, indicating a strong demand in the photovoltaic industry [18] - The Chinese photovoltaic industry chain is expanding globally, with sustainability issues becoming increasingly prominent [18] - There is a growing interest in hydropower assets, which is expected to attract continued investment from funds [18] Group 7 - The A-share market has shown mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high for the year, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index also experienced gains [19] - The Hong Kong stock market saw a positive trend, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.33%, reflecting overall market stability [20] - U.S. stock markets displayed varied results, with the Nasdaq achieving a new historical high, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced a slight decline [19] Group 8 - The upcoming IPOs include three new stocks, with one each from the ChiNext, Beijing Stock Exchange, and Shenzhen Main Board, indicating ongoing market activity [23] - Notable companies include Hanhai Group, a leading domestic hardware enterprise, and Dingjia Precision, a national-level small giant in consumer electronics [23]

Group 1 - The industrial economy in China is experiencing growth driven by over a hundred AI-enabled devices such as AI smartphones, computers, and glasses [2] - The number of 5G mobile phone users has reached 1.118 billion, with intelligent computing power scaling up to 748 EFLOPS [3] - More than 140,000 specialized and innovative small and medium-sized enterprises have been cultivated, including 14,600 "little giant" enterprises [4] Group 2 - New work plans for stabilizing growth in key industries such as steel, non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, and building materials will be released soon [5] - Implementation plans for digital transformation in the automotive and machinery sectors are set to be issued [6] - The "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative will accelerate the deployment of large models in key manufacturing sectors [6] Group 3 - The establishment of national-level manufacturing pilot platforms is underway, focusing on critical areas such as raw materials and emerging industries [6] - A series of actions will be taken to address overdue payments to small and medium-sized enterprises [7] - The establishment of the second phase of the National SME Development Fund aims to attract more social capital for investment in hard technology [7] Group 4 - The first public REITs for data centers have been established, raising a total of 69 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest [11][12] - China's unicorn companies have a total valuation exceeding 1.2 trillion USD, reflecting the vitality of new productive forces [12] - The digital asset exchange Bullish has filed for an IPO, marking the first public listing attempt following the enactment of the stablecoin legislation [12]

文 ： 华创证券研究所副所长 、首席宏观分析师 张瑜（执业证号：S0360518090001） 联系人： 陆银波（15210860866） 袁玲玲（微信 Yuen43） 报告摘要 2 、中美关系 ： 1 ） 7 月 17 日 ，国家主席夫人彭丽媛出席 2025 年"鼓岭缘"中美青少年联谊活 动。 2 ） 7 月 18 日 ，商务部新闻发言人答记者问时提到，"中方依法审批符合条件的管制物项出口 申请，美方于 7 月上旬相应取消了会谈涉及的对华限制措施。我们注意到，美方近日又主动表示将批 准对华销售英伟达 H20 芯片"。 风险提示： 政策更新不及时。 报告正文 一、 近一周党中央及国务院⾼层重要⾏程 近一周临近 7 月中央政治局会议，我们主要关注中央及相关部委对经济形势判断、宏观政策吹风。 1 、经济形势判断 ： 7 月 15 日，国新办举⾏新闻发布会介绍 2025 年上半年国民经济运⾏情况，国 家统计局指出，"上半年……国民经济顶住压力、迎难而上，经济运⾏总体平稳、稳中向好"。 2 、货币政策 ： 7 月 14 日，国新办举⾏新闻发布会，介绍 2025 年上半年货币信贷政策执⾏及金融 统计数据情况，央⾏指出， ...