Market News - Hainan Free Trade Port's full island closure will implement a policy characterized by "one line open, two lines controlled, and free flow within the island" to further expand openness[8] - As of the end of June, the balance of medium and long-term loans in the manufacturing sector increased by 8.7% year-on-year, while infrastructure loans rose by 7.4%[9] - The U.S. and Japan reached a trade agreement, reducing tariffs on Japanese imports from 25% to 15%[10] Industry News - China Fusion Energy Co., Ltd. was established, marking an acceleration in the development of the nuclear fusion industry in China[11] - The "Rural Road Regulations" will require upgrades for existing rural roads that do not meet minimum technical standards, effective September 15, 2025[12] Market Performance - On July 23, 2025, the North Exchange 50 Index fell by 1.58%, while the ChiNext Index slightly decreased by 0.01%[16] - The average market capitalization of the 268 North Exchange A-share constituent stocks is 3.147 billion, with a trading volume of 34.096 billion, down by 1.824 billion from the previous day[16]

Core Viewpoint - Marathon Fusion claims to have developed a method to convert mercury into gold using nuclear fusion, potentially doubling revenue for fusion power plants [1][5]. Group 1: Technology Overview - The technology is based on existing fusion principles, utilizing high-energy neutrons to convert mercury-198 into mercury-197, which decays into stable gold-197 [2]. - The process does not reduce the power output or tritium breeding capabilities of the fusion plant [3]. Group 2: Commercial Potential - Each gigawatt of fusion power capacity is estimated to produce gold worth approximately equal to its electricity revenue, potentially doubling the plant's income [5]. - The global annual gold production is around 3,500 tons, and the company believes the gold produced from fusion can be absorbed by the market without affecting gold prices [6]. Group 3: Challenges and Considerations - The main challenge is the potential radioactivity of the produced gold due to the presence of other mercury isotopes, requiring a storage period of 14 to 18 years for safety [9]. - While particle accelerators have previously synthesized gold, the yield has been minimal and costly [9]. - The technology could also be applied to produce other precious metals, but gold is seen as the most viable option due to market size [10]. Group 4: Industry Context - The commercialization of nuclear fusion still faces significant technical challenges, with no fusion experiment yet producing more energy than consumed, although private investment is increasing optimism in the field [11].

Core Viewpoint - Marathon Fusion, a San Francisco-based fusion energy startup, claims to have developed a method to transmute mercury into gold through nuclear transmutation, potentially solving the age-old alchemical quest of turning base metals into gold [2][3]. Company Overview - Founded in 2023 by Kyle Schiller and Adam Rutkowski, Marathon Fusion aims to tackle key technological challenges in fusion power plant construction [2][3]. - The company currently employs 12 full-time staff and has secured $5.9 million in private investment along with approximately $4 million in government grants [3]. Technological Innovation - The proposed fusion process utilizes neutrons released during fusion reactions to facilitate the transmutation of mercury into gold, with an estimated annual production of about 5,000 kilograms of gold per gigawatt of power generated [2][3]. - The process involves introducing mercury-198 into the breeding blanket of a fusion reactor, where it can be converted into mercury-197, which then decays into stable gold-197 [3][4]. Market Potential - The global annual gold production is approximately 3,500 tons, and the company believes that the gold market is large enough to absorb additional supply without significantly disrupting prices [5]. - The potential revenue from gold production could double the overall revenue of fusion power plants, as the estimated market value of the gold produced would be comparable to the electricity generated [2][5]. Industry Context - The fusion industry has seen a surge in private investment, with $2.6 billion raised in the past year, bringing the total funding to $9.8 billion across 53 companies [5]. - Despite the theoretical feasibility of fusion energy, achieving net energy output remains a significant challenge, with some experts suggesting that commercial fusion power may still be decades away [5][6].

Group 1 - China Fusion Energy Company was officially established on July 22 in Shanghai, aiming to accelerate innovation and development in China's nuclear fusion industry [1] - The company signed cooperation agreements with several institutions, including Shanghai Jiao Tong University and Shanghai Electric Group, to deepen collaboration in fusion innovation [1] - A capital increase agreement was signed, with a total investment of approximately 11.5 billion yuan, resulting in a new registered capital of 11.469 billion yuan for China Fusion Energy Company [1] Group 2 - Fusion energy is considered a "ultimate solution" for clean and safe future energy, utilizing deuterium and tritium to release energy without radioactive waste or greenhouse gas emissions [2] - The global competition in fusion energy is intensifying, with countries like the U.S. and EU investing heavily in nuclear power as a key component of their energy structures [2] - China's fusion energy research has entered the engineering practice stage, with several fusion devices built and significant experimental achievements reported [2] Group 3 - China Fusion Energy Company will focus on overall design, technology validation, and digital R&D in nuclear fusion, establishing a technology R&D platform and capital operation platform [3] - Shanghai is prioritizing fusion energy as a key area for future industry development, fostering high-level innovation entities and talent teams [3] - The global fusion industry is gaining momentum, with significant investments and a clearer commercialization path expected in the coming years [3]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced narrow fluctuations on July 23, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.33%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 0.02%, and the ChiNext Index by 0.07% [1] - Key sectors showing strength included hydropower, civil explosives, hyperbaric oxygen chambers, and engineering machinery, with leading companies like China Power Construction and China Energy Engineering achieving three consecutive trading gains [1] - The traditional financial sector rebounded, with securities, insurance, and banking stocks performing well, while sectors such as military, batteries, pharmaceuticals, and AI applications faced declines [1] Hot Sectors Hydropower Sector - The hydropower concept continued to show strong performance, with major players like China Power Construction and China Energy Engineering hitting the daily limit [1] - The commencement of the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream hydropower project is highlighted as a significant event in China's infrastructure sector, expected to enhance clean energy supply and stimulate substantial investment demand across multiple industry chains [1] Controlled Nuclear Fusion - The controlled nuclear fusion concept saw active trading, with companies like Xue Ren Group hitting the daily limit and others like Ha Welding and Changfu Shares rising over 10% [3] - The establishment of the China Fusion Energy Company in Shanghai is noted as a pivotal development, focusing on the commercialization and engineering of fusion energy, which is anticipated to accelerate investment in this area [3] Institutional Insights Market Sentiment - According to China Merchants Securities, the A-share market is entering a bullish narrative, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through the resistance level of 3450 points, indicating a positive feedback loop of capital inflow and market growth [5] - The report outlines four major narratives for the current bull market: "Intrinsic Value Bull," "Technology Explosion Bull," "Anti-Internal Competition Bull," and "East Rising West Falling Bull" [5] Earnings Reports - Everbright Securities emphasizes the importance of August as a critical period for the disclosure of semi-annual earnings reports, suggesting that the market may reach new highs in the second half of the year [6] - The report indicates a shift from policy-driven to fundamental and liquidity-driven market dynamics, with a focus on sectors expected to outperform based on earnings reports [6] New Investment Opportunities - According to Dongfang Securities, the market is witnessing a shift in logic due to significant investments in hydropower and anti-internal competition, suggesting that the trend of declining industrial product prices may be nearing its end [7] - The report recommends focusing on sectors supported by policy, high-tech industrialization, and demand expansion, which are expected to maintain high growth [7]

Group 1: Nuclear Fusion - China Fusion Energy Company was established in Shanghai with a total investment of approximately 11.49 billion yuan from seven shareholders, with China National Nuclear Corporation holding 50.35% of the shares after a capital increase of 4.03 billion yuan [1] - The company plans to develop a high-temperature superconducting circulating reactor and aims to create a demonstration reactor by 2045 and a commercial reactor by 2050 [1] - The nuclear fusion industry is accelerating, with significant technological breakthroughs and increased feasibility for commercialization, indicating a growing investment opportunity in the sector [2] Group 2: Hainan Free Trade Port - A press conference will be held to discuss the latest developments in the Hainan Free Trade Port, with expectations of positive policy signals regarding customs operations and industry support [2] - The core policy framework of the Hainan Free Trade Port includes "zero tariffs, low tax rates, simplified tax systems," which will significantly boost regional economic development [3] Group 3: Rural Infrastructure - The new Rural Road Regulations aim to enhance the quality of rural road networks and promote integration with national and provincial road systems, effective from September 15, 2025 [3] - Investment in rural road construction is projected to exceed 1.5 trillion yuan from 2025 to 2030, supporting agricultural modernization and rural tourism [4] Group 4: Elderly Care - The National Health Commission has launched a demonstration project for integrated medical and elderly care services, promoting the participation of social forces in enhancing service supply [4] - The elderly care market in China is expected to grow significantly, with projections indicating a market size of 16.1 trillion yuan by 2025, driven by an aging population and increased awareness of retirement planning [5] Group 5: Weight Loss Medications - The World Health Organization is developing new guidelines for GLP-1 based therapies for adult obesity, expected to be released in September 2025, marking a significant policy shift in addressing obesity [5][6]

证券研究报告 | 2025年07月22日 制造成长周报（第 23 期） 优于大市 宇树科技开启上市辅导，黄仁勋称机器人将成 AI 下一波浪潮 行业动态：人形机器人-7 月 14 日，全国首个人形机器人运动科学联合 实验室落地亦庄；7 月 15 日，宇树科技王兴兴等将亮相中外记者见面会； 7 月 16 日，湖北发起"机器人总动员"：给予造梦者 50%购房补贴；7 月 17 日，五八机器人高原震区演习显身手；7 月 17 日，陆军摩步分队 开展人装协同攻击演练；7 月 17 日，优必选 WalkerS2 全球首个实现自 主换电，可 7*24 小时工作；7 月 18 日，智元将携手德马科技展示机器 人物流作业。人工智能-7 月 14 日，META 将在人工智能领域投资数千亿 美元；7 月 16 日，黄仁勋称机器人将成 AI 下一波浪潮；7 月 18 日，工 信部将推动大模型落地制造业重点行业。核聚变-7 月 18 日，中国首台 直线型场反位形聚变装置即将点亮；深海科技-7 月 16 日，深海采矿与 环境保护关键技术专题论坛在京举办。 政府新闻：人形机器人-7 月 14 日，全国机器人标委会邀专家修订《国 家机器人标 ...

Core Insights - Marathon Fusion claims to have developed a method to convert mercury into gold using nuclear fusion reactions, potentially doubling revenue for future fusion power plants [1][4] - The technology is based on existing fusion principles and involves neutron bombardment to achieve nuclear transmutation [5][7] - The company estimates that each gigawatt of fusion power generated could produce approximately 5,000 kilograms of gold, equating the value of gold produced to the power generation revenue [1][8] Industry Context - The nuclear fusion sector has seen significant investment, with $2.6 billion raised in the past year, bringing total investments to $9.8 billion [4] - The global annual gold production is around 3,500 tons, and Marathon believes that the gold produced from fusion reactions can be absorbed by the market without affecting gold prices [8] Technical Details - The proposed method involves introducing mercury-198 isotopes into the fusion reactor's breeding blanket, where high-energy neutrons convert it into mercury-197, which decays into stable gold-197 [5][9] - The technology does not compromise the power output or tritium breeding capabilities of the fusion reactor [7] Commercial Potential - The potential for doubling revenue from fusion power plants has garnered attention, with experts expressing excitement about the theoretical feasibility of the technology [4][8] - Marathon Fusion was founded in 2023 and has raised $5.9 million, including approximately $4 million in government grants [8] Challenges - The main challenge involves the potential radioactivity of the produced gold due to the presence of other mercury isotopes, requiring a storage period of 14 to 18 years for safety [9] - While particle accelerators have previously synthesized gold, the yield has been minimal and costly, highlighting the uniqueness of Marathon's approach [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [4]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is experiencing significant developments, including the establishment of the first humanoid robot sports science laboratory in Beijing and various government initiatives to support the sector [17][19]. - Major companies like Yushutech are initiating IPO preparations, which could enhance their market position and accelerate the commercialization of humanoid robots [33]. - The report emphasizes the importance of AI infrastructure, driven by increasing demand for data centers, which will benefit companies involved in gas turbines and chillers [3]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The humanoid robot sector is witnessing rapid advancements, with notable events such as the launch of the first humanoid robot sports science lab and various military exercises showcasing robotic capabilities [17][20][21]. - The government is actively promoting the humanoid robot industry through financial incentives and policy frameworks aimed at fostering innovation and development [19][31]. Company Developments - Yushutech has begun its IPO counseling process, with its major shareholder controlling approximately 34.76% of the company [33]. - Dualin Co. is planning to issue H shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to expand its financing channels and international presence [32]. Key Investment Targets - The report identifies several key investment opportunities within the humanoid robot supply chain, including companies specializing in joint modules, dexterous hands, reducers, and sensors [3]. - AI infrastructure investments are highlighted, with a focus on companies that will benefit from the growing demand for data centers and related technologies [3]. Market Performance - The report provides a detailed analysis of the stock performance of key companies in the humanoid robot and AI sectors, indicating positive trends and potential growth opportunities [16].

Group 1: Economic Growth and Innovation - The added value of high-tech manufacturing in China increased by 9.5% year-on-year in the first half of the year, contributing 23.3% to the overall industrial growth [1] - R&D expenditure as a percentage of GDP in China has approached 2.7%, surpassing the EU average and nearing the OECD average [2] - The number of effective invention patent applications in China reached nearly 5 million in the first five months, growing by 12.8% [2] Group 2: Technological Advancements - Significant technological achievements include the launch of DeepSeek model, amphibious firefighting aircraft AG600 receiving certification, and advancements in quantum computing and nuclear fusion [2][3] - The number of national-level manufacturing innovation centers has reached 33, supporting the industrialization of technological achievements [2] Group 3: Industry Transformation - The structure of the economy is steadily adjusting, with high-tech manufacturing and high-tech service investments growing by 9.5% and 8.6% respectively [4] - The production of industrial robots increased by 32% year-on-year, and the added value of smart vehicle equipment manufacturing grew by 26.8% [4] Group 4: Green Development - The production of new energy vehicles, lithium-ion batteries for vehicles, and solar batteries increased by 36.2%, 53.3%, and 18.2% respectively in the first half of the year [4] Group 5: Financial Support for Innovation - The total amount of loans for technological innovation and technological transformation reached 1.7 trillion yuan, 1.9 times that of the end of last year [7] - A new "technology board" in the bond market has been established to promote the construction of a technology finance system [6][7]