Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The US corn market is in a strong and volatile state. Although the USDA's December report shows an increase in US corn exports and a decrease in inventory, the production remains at a high level. The import profit of foreign corn has declined, and the import price from Brazil in February is 2158 yuan. The domestic corn market is affected by factors such as seasonal selling pressure in Northeast China before the Spring Festival and downstream inventory building. The short - term spot market is relatively strong, but there are still downward risks [4][6]. - The starch market is mainly affected by corn prices and downstream stocking. The inventory of corn starch has increased this week, and the corporate profit has declined. The short - term starch spot price is stable, and the 03 starch contract is expected to fluctuate narrowly [7]. 3. Summary by Directory Data - **Futures Market**: The closing prices of most corn and corn starch futures contracts on December 23, 2025, showed small fluctuations. For example, C2601 closed at 2210, down 10 or 0.45%; CS2601 closed at 2485, down 12 or 0.48%. The trading volume and open interest of each contract also changed to different extents [2]. - **Spot and Basis**: Corn spot prices are stable in some areas, with the price in Qinggang at 2080 yuan, and the basis in different regions ranges from - 176 to 174 yuan. Starch spot prices are also relatively stable, with some prices unchanged and the basis ranging from 166 to 346 yuan. The price of some starch products in Shandong decreased by 30 yuan [2]. - **Spread**: The spreads of corn and corn starch in different periods and between varieties also changed. For example, C01 - C05 spread was - 15, down 8; CS01 - CS05 spread was - 49, down 14 [2]. Market Judgment - **Corn**: The US corn market is strong and volatile. The import profit of foreign corn has declined. The spot price in the northern ports is stable, and the spot price in the Northeast corn - producing area is weak. The supply in North China has decreased, and the spot price is stable. The domestic breeding demand is stable, and some downstream feed enterprises are building inventories in the Northeast. The market is concerned about the seasonal selling pressure of Northeast corn before the Spring Festival and the downstream inventory - building situation [4][6]. - **Starch**: The number of trucks arriving at Shandong deep - processing plants has decreased, and the corn spot price in Shandong is stable. The starch inventory has increased this week, with the factory inventory at 107.4 million tons, an increase of 2.5 million tons from last week, a monthly increase of 0.5%, and a year - on - year increase of 22.3%. The starch price mainly depends on the corn price and downstream stocking. The by - product price is strong, and the corporate profit has declined. The 03 starch contract followed the corn price down, and the North China corn price may decline in December [7]. Trading Strategy - **Unilateral**: The 03 US corn has support at 430 cents per bushel. Consider going long on the 07 corn contract at a low price [9]. - **Arbitrage**: Adopt a wait - and - see strategy [10]. Corn Options - The option strategy is a short - term cumulative put strategy with rolling operations [11]. Relevant Attachments The report provides multiple charts, including the spot price of corn in different regions, the basis of corn 01 contract, the spreads of corn and corn starch in different periods, the basis of corn starch 01 contract, and the spread between corn starch and corn 01 contract, to visually show the price trends and relationships [15][17][20].

Group 1: Industry Investment Ratings - No industry investment ratings are provided in the reports. Group 2: Core Views Oils and Fats - The short - term outlook for palm oil is positive, with potential for further rebound. However, domestic Dalian palm oil futures face resistance at 8,500 yuan. The fundamentals of soy oil are currently bearish, and the CBOT soy oil is expected to have limited upward movement. Rapeseed oil has seen a short - term rebound, but the upward momentum may be restricted due to a bearish sentiment in the domestic oils and fats market [1]. Livestock (Pigs) - The spot price of pigs is stable, and the market trend is slightly stronger due to increased demand around the Winter Solstice. The futures market is mainly focused on the post - Spring Festival market, and the futures price is expected to find support at around 11,000 [3][4]. Meal (Soybean and Rapeseed) - The domestic soybean meal market remains loose, with limited downward space but no clear upward drivers. Attention should be paid to the performance of the main contract around 2,750 [9]. Jujube - The jujube spot market has weak demand and supply exceeds demand, causing the futures price to be under pressure. The futures price may rebound slightly if there is a boost in the Spring Festival consumption; otherwise, it will continue to decline [12]. Apple - The apple market has weak demand, slow inventory clearance, and limited upward potential for the futures price. As the festival approaches, the market sentiment may improve, and it is recommended to take profits on long positions [15][19]. Corn and Corn Starch - The corn market may maintain a weak pattern in the short term, but the downward space is limited. Attention should be paid to the selling sentiment and policy releases [22]. Cotton - Internationally, the U.S. cotton market will remain volatile. Domestically, the supply pressure of cotton is gradually easing, and the demand is weakening. Zhengzhou cotton is expected to fluctuate within a relatively strong range, but there is limited upward momentum [25][26]. Sugar - The global sugar supply outlook is loose, which restricts the rebound of the raw sugar price. The domestic sugar market is expected to remain weak and volatile next week, and it is advisable to short on rallies [29]. Eggs - The egg market still has a pattern of "strong supply and weak demand", and the market sentiment is not optimistic. The price is expected to be weak and volatile this week [31][32]. Group 3: Summary by Related Categories Oils and Fats - **Soybean Oil**: On December 19, the spot price in Jiangsu was 8,240 yuan, down 1.79% from the previous day. The futures price of Y2605 was 7,952 yuan, down 1.05%. The basis was 288 yuan, down 18.64% [1]. - **Palm Oil**: The spot price of 24 - degree palm oil in Guangdong on December 19 was 8,250 yuan, down 1.79%. The futures price of P2605 was 8,280 yuan, down 0.93%. The basis was - 30 yuan, down 171.43%. The inventory decreased, and the import profit was - 584 yuan, down 31.59% [1]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: The spot price of third - grade rapeseed oil in Jiangsu on December 19 was 9,270 yuan, down 2.42%. The futures price of OI605 was 8,929 yuan, down 2.33%. The basis was 341 yuan, down 4.75% [1]. Livestock (Pigs) - **Futures Indicators**: The basis of the main contract was 305 yuan, down 28.24%. The price of the live - hog 2605 contract was 11,905 yuan/ton, down 0.17%. The 3 - 5 spread was - 560 yuan, up 6.67% [3]. - **Spot Prices**: The spot prices in different regions showed slight fluctuations, with prices in Henan, Sichuan, and other regions decreasing, and prices in Hebei increasing [3]. - **Spot Indicators**: The daily slaughter volume decreased by 1.19%, the weekly piglet price decreased by 6.06%, and the monthly fertile sow inventory decreased by 1.12%. The self - breeding and purchased - piglet breeding profits increased [4]. Meal (Soybean and Rapeseed) - **Soybean Meal**: The spot price in Jiangsu remained unchanged at 3,100 yuan. The futures price of M2605 was 2,741 yuan, up 0.22%. The basis was 359 yuan, down 1.64% [9]. - **Rapeseed Meal**: The spot price in Jiangsu was 2,420 yuan, up 1.68%. The futures price of RM2605 was 2,337 yuan, up 0.60%. The basis was 83 yuan, up 45.61% [9]. - **Soybean**: The spot price in Harbin remained unchanged at 3,940 yuan. The futures price of the soybean main contract was 4,105 yuan, up 1.31%. The basis was - 165 yuan, down 47.32% [9]. Jujube - The futures prices of different contracts decreased, with the main contract (2605) at 8,820 yuan, down 0.84%. The spot prices in Cangzhou also decreased slightly. The basis increased, and the inventory remained stable [12]. Apple - The main contract (2605) price was 9,149 yuan, down 0.54%. The basis was - 949 yuan, up 50 yuan. The market arrival volume in some markets remained stable, and the national cold - storage inventory did not change [15]. Corn and Corn Starch - **Corn**: The price of the corn 2603 contract remained unchanged at 2,192 yuan. The Pingcang price in Jinzhou Port decreased by 0.44%. The basis decreased by 10.20%. The long - short spread increased by 2.78% [22]. - **Corn Starch**: The price of the corn starch 2603 contract was 2,484 yuan, down 0.32%. The basis increased by 10.26%. The 3 - 5 spread decreased by 2.13% [22]. Cotton - **Futures Market**: The price of the cotton 2605 contract was 14,070 yuan/ton, up 0.39%. The ICE U.S. cotton main contract price decreased by 0.06%. The 5 - 1 spread decreased by 100.00% [25]. - **Spot Market**: The Xinjiang arrival price and the 3128B index increased slightly. The industrial and commercial inventories increased, and the import volume increased [25][26]. Sugar - **Futures Market**: The price of the sugar 2601 contract was 5,225 yuan/ton, up 0.93%. The ICE raw sugar main contract price increased by 1.01%. The 1 - 5 spread increased by 11.24% [29]. - **Spot Market**: The spot price in Nanning increased by 0.38%, and the price in Kunming decreased by 0.29%. The national sugar production and sales decreased year - on - year [29]. Eggs - The price of the egg 01 contract was 3,049 yuan/500KG, down 0.91%. The egg - laying hen inventory is expected to continue to decline slowly, and the market supply - demand contradiction has been marginally alleviated, but the "supply - strong, demand - weak" pattern remains [31].

Group 1: Market Overview - As of December 20, Brazil's corn planting rate reached 82%, up from 77.5% the previous week and slightly higher than last year's 77.9% [1] - Brazil's cumulative corn shipments for December amounted to 4.4256 million tons, an increase from 4.2659 million tons in December of the previous year, with an average daily shipment of 295,000 tons, representing a 45.24% increase compared to last December [1] - The U.S. corn export inspection volume for the week ending December 18 was 1,744,088 tons, up from a revised 1,604,831 tons the previous week, with a cumulative total of 24,267,114 tons for the current crop year, compared to 14,481,411 tons in the same period last year [1] Group 2: Industry Insights - According to Guodu Futures, the recent rebound in corn prices was driven by the quality issues in new grain from North China, leading traders and downstream enterprises to actively purchase Northeast grain, while port inventories declined [2] - Everbright Futures noted that while prices in Northeast production areas are relatively high, transaction activity is subdued, with a balanced supply-demand situation and slow selling progress among farmers compared to last year [3] - The overall demand from downstream enterprises remains weak, with many focusing on fulfilling previous orders rather than signing new contracts, and some companies are beginning to prepare for the upcoming Spring Festival [3]

Group 1: Main Food Prices - The prices of meat, poultry, and eggs showed mixed trends, with average retail prices for pork and lean pork at 10.68 yuan/kg and 11.82 yuan/kg, down 3.52% and 3.19% respectively [2] - Beef and lamb prices were 32.00 yuan/kg and 35.21 yuan/kg, with beef down 0.47% and lamb stable [2] - Chicken and egg prices averaged 7.99 yuan/kg and 3.34 yuan/kg, with chicken down 0.62% and eggs up 3.09% [2] Group 2: Grain and Oil Prices - Grain and oil prices remained stable, with wheat and corn at 1.21 yuan/kg and 1.07 yuan/kg, both unchanged [3] - The average retail price for japonica rice and premium flour was 2.55 yuan/kg and 1.88 yuan/kg, with japonica rice stable and premium flour up 0.53% [3] - Retail prices for peanut oil and soybean oil (5L) were 159.34 yuan and 60.76 yuan, both unchanged [3] Group 3: Pork Market Analysis - Pork prices have been fluctuating downwards due to high supply from large-scale farms aiming to meet annual output targets [4] - The demand for pork typically peaks in December, but the late timing of the 2026 Spring Festival has delayed the seasonal demand [5] - Despite potential support for pork prices from seasonal demand as temperatures drop, the overall supply remains high, limiting price rebound potential [5] Group 4: Egg Market Analysis - Egg prices have rebounded due to a significant reduction in the number of new laying hens and an increase in the culling of older hens [6] - Demand for eggs has increased due to holiday preparations and the rising cost of alternative protein sources like pork [6] - The cold weather has also made egg storage easier, prompting traders to stock up, contributing to a rise in both volume and price [6] Group 5: Vegetable Price Trends - Vegetable prices have shown seasonal increases, with an average price of 3.36 yuan/kg, up 3.16% [7] - The price increase is attributed to lower supply due to adverse weather conditions affecting growth and harvest [9] - The transition to winter growing methods has raised production costs, further driving up vegetable prices [9] Group 6: Agricultural Production Material Prices - Agricultural production material prices showed slight changes, with ammonium bicarbonate at 1.15 yuan/kg, down 0.69% [10] - Prices for compound fertilizers and other materials like potassium chloride and urea increased slightly, with average prices at 3.19 yuan/kg, 3.44 yuan/kg, 4.29 yuan/kg, and 1.87 yuan/kg, up 1.20%, 0.91%, 0.89%, and 0.54% respectively [10] - Prices for agricultural films and pesticides have decreased slightly, with average prices at 13.25 yuan/kg and 12.33 yuan/kg, down 1.44% and 1.03% respectively [10]

Core Insights - Guangdong's foreign-invested enterprises have shown strong growth in imports and exports, with a total of 2.76 trillion yuan in the first 11 months of the year, marking a 6.7% increase compared to the same period last year, outperforming the overall growth rate of Guangdong's imports and exports by 2.5 percentage points [1] Group 1: Trade Performance - Exports reached 1.68 trillion yuan, growing by 2.9%, while imports totaled 1.08 trillion yuan, increasing by 13.3% [1] - In November alone, the import and export value of Guangdong's foreign-invested enterprises was 265.66 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of over 10% [1] Group 2: Trade Methods - General trade accounted for 972.64 billion yuan, growing by 8.8%, representing 35.3% of the total import and export value [1] - Bonded logistics saw a significant increase of 28.3%, totaling 478.45 billion yuan, making up 17.4% of the total [1] - Processing trade contributed 1.3 trillion yuan, accounting for 47.1% of the total [1] Group 3: Key Markets - Hong Kong, ASEAN, and the EU are the top three trading partners for Guangdong's foreign-invested enterprises, with trade values of 551.99 billion yuan (9.5% growth), 385.39 billion yuan (11% growth), and 306.19 billion yuan (6.6% growth) respectively [2] - Trade with Taiwan grew by over 20%, reaching 238.9 billion yuan [2] Group 4: Export Products - The export of electromechanical products reached 1.34 trillion yuan, growing by 4.3% and accounting for 79.8% of total exports [2] - Key products such as electronic components, computers and their parts, and electrical equipment saw significant growth, with exports of 201.96 billion yuan (16% growth), 168.78 billion yuan (10.6% growth), and 132.13 billion yuan (12.1% growth) respectively [2] Group 5: Import Products - Imports of electromechanical products totaled 782.59 billion yuan, increasing by 19% and making up 72.3% of total imports [3] - Integrated circuits were the largest import item at 433.2 billion yuan, with a growth of 28% [3] - Other significant imports included computers and their parts (41.36 billion yuan, 86.1% growth), aircraft parts (13.95 billion yuan, 37.9% growth), and machine tools (2.68 billion yuan, 85.5% growth) [3] - Agricultural products and energy products also saw increases, with imports of 40.94 billion yuan (23.2% growth) and 28 billion yuan (6.7% growth) respectively [3]

Core Insights - Shenzhen's total import and export scale reached 4.12 trillion yuan in the first 11 months, maintaining the top position among mainland cities, with a year-on-year growth of 0.6% [2] Group 1: Trade Characteristics - General trade accounted for over half of the total trade, with a value of 2.2 trillion yuan, representing 53.5% of Shenzhen's total import and export value [2] - The bonded logistics trade grew rapidly, reaching 1.1 trillion yuan, an increase of 6.8%, and accounted for 26.7% of the total [2] - Processing trade amounted to 796.9 billion yuan, growing by 3.3%, and made up 19.3% of the total [2] Group 2: Enterprise Contributions - Private enterprises contributed nearly 70% of the total trade, with an import and export value of 2.82 trillion yuan, accounting for 68.4% [2] - Foreign-invested enterprises saw a significant growth of 14%, reaching 1.17 trillion yuan, which accounted for 28.3% of the total [2] - State-owned enterprises had an import and export value of 133.6 billion yuan [2] Group 3: Trade Partners - The top ten trading partners accounted for nearly 80% of Shenzhen's total trade, with a combined value of 3.24 trillion yuan, growing by 2.1% [3] - Trade with Hong Kong, Taiwan, the EU, South Korea, Japan, and the UK showed varied growth rates, with Hong Kong at 709.97 billion yuan (10.7% growth) and the UK at 63.8 billion yuan (0.1% growth) [3] Group 4: Export Trends - Exports of electromechanical products reached 1.9 trillion yuan, growing by 4.3% and accounting for 76.1% of total exports [3] - Traditional electronic information products, such as computers and their components, saw exports of 292.61 billion yuan (8.9% growth) and 83.44 billion yuan (6.5% growth) respectively [3] - Integrated circuit exports surged by 40.8% to 217.75 billion yuan [3] - Emerging industries, including lithium batteries and medical devices, also experienced significant growth, with lithium batteries at 76.86 billion yuan (31.3% growth) [3] Group 5: Import Trends - Imports of electromechanical products totaled 1.32 trillion yuan, growing by 9.5% and accounting for 81.5% of total imports [4] - Integrated circuit imports reached 736.3 billion yuan, with a growth of 19.7% [4] - Agricultural product imports grew by 9.9% to 89.4 billion yuan, with significant increases in grain and aquatic products [4]

Report Investment Rating - The investment rating for both the apple and红枣 industries is neutral [4][8] Core Viewpoints - The apple market is currently in a supply - demand game stage. Low - price substitute fruits are squeezing the apple market, and the terminal demand is weak. The market may turn bullish if the Spring Festival stocking atmosphere warms up early [3][4] - The红枣 market is facing supply pressure with high inventory levels. The supply has increased while the demand remains stable. The market situation depends on downstream sales rhythm during the upcoming consumption season [7][8] Market News and Key Data Apple - Futures: The closing price of the apple 2605 contract was 9149 yuan/ton, a change of - 50 yuan/ton (- 0.54%) from the previous day [1] - Spot: The price of Shandong Qixia 80 first - and second - grade late Fuji was 4.10 yuan/jin, unchanged from the previous day; the price of Shaanxi Luochuan 70 semi - commercial late Fuji was 4.20 yuan/jin, also unchanged. The spot basis AP05 - 949 and AP05 - 749 changed + 50 from the previous day respectively [1] Red Dates - Futures: The closing price of the red dates 2605 contract was 8820 yuan/ton, a change of - 75 yuan/ton (- 0.84%) from the previous day [5] - Spot: The price of first - grade grey jujubes in Hebei was 8.40 yuan/kg, a change of - 0.10 yuan/kg from the previous day. The spot basis CJ05 - 420 changed - 25 from the previous day [5] Recent Market Information Apple - Inventory late Fuji is sold as needed, with stable market conditions. In the western regions, there are few buyers; in Shandong, there is sporadic warehousing out, mainly 75 apples. The overall market is stable but dull, and the fruit farmer's goods have limited transactions. The pre - holiday stocking enthusiasm is low [2] Red Dates - The acquisition of grey jujubes in Xinjiang is almost finished. The prices of some goods have slightly declined. In the consumption season, the terminal market purchases steadily, and the prices are stable [6] Market Analysis Apple - The apple futures price fluctuated downwards. The market in the production areas is dull, with slow sales. Low - price citrus fruits are squeezing the apple market, and consumers' purchasing willingness is weak. The market may turn bullish if the Spring Festival stocking atmosphere warms up [3] Red Dates - The red dates futures price declined. The new jujube acquisition is ending, with a slight reduction in production but good quality. The inventory in the sales areas is at a multi - year high, and the demand is poor, highlighting the supply pressure [7] Strategies Apple - Maintain a neutral strategy. The current inventory quantity and quality are generally low. High - quality fruits have strong price performance, while poor - quality ones face sales pressure. The market is in a supply - demand game [4] Red Dates - Adopt a neutral strategy. The acquisition in the production areas is almost over. The inventory is high, and the supply has increased while the demand remains stable. The key is to track the downstream sales rhythm [8]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The market situation of various agricultural products and energy commodities is complex. The production of Malaysian palm oil has declined, and its export volume shows different trends according to different institutions' data. The soybean production and export in the Americas are affected by weather and market demand. The domestic trading volume and inventory of agricultural products also show different changes, and the macro - economic situation at home and abroad has an impact on the market [5][6][10]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Market Quotes - The closing prices and price changes of multiple commodities are presented, including BMD's March palm oil futures (4016.00, up 2.07% the previous day and 0.73% overnight), ICE's March Brent crude oil futures (61.54, up 2.36% the previous day and 0.31% overnight), and NYMEX's February US crude oil futures (57.95, up 2.49% the previous day and 0.29% overnight) [1]. - The latest prices and price changes of multiple currencies are also provided, such as the US dollar index (98.29, down 0.42%), and the exchange rate of the Chinese yuan against the US dollar (7.0572, up 0.03%) [1]. Spot Market Quotes - The spot prices, basis, and basis changes of DCE's palm oil 2601, soybean oil 2605, and soybean meal 2605 in different regions are given. For example, the spot price of DCE palm oil 2601 in North China is 8420, with a basis of 110 and no change in basis overnight [2]. - The CNF premiums, premium changes, and CNF quotes of imported soybeans from different regions are presented. The CNF premium of Brazilian soybeans is 149 cents per bushel, and the CNF quote is 444 dollars per ton [2]. Important Fundamental Information Production Area Weather - The weather conditions in the main soybean - producing areas of Brazil are favorable or continuously improving. There will be sporadic showers in some states before Tuesday, and the overall soil moisture is improving [3]. - In the main soybean - producing areas of Argentina, most areas have suitable soil humidity for soybean growth after a frontal passage brought widespread rainfall last weekend [3]. International Supply and Demand - From December 1 - 20, 2025, Malaysia's palm oil production decreased by 7.15% month - on - month, with a 6.26% decline in fresh fruit bunch yield per unit and a 0.17% decrease in oil extraction rate [5]. - Different institutions' data on Malaysia's palm oil exports from December 1 - 20 show different trends. AmSpec reported a 0.87% decrease compared to the same period last month, while SGS reported a 43.6% increase [5][6]. - The MPOC expects that the Malaysian palm oil market will stabilize in 2026, with exports increasing to 16.2 million tons and production growing moderately to 19.7 million tons [6]. - Indonesia's palm oil exports in November decreased by 13.4% month - on - month to 1.748 million tons [7]. - USDA data shows that the US soybean export inspection volume in the week ending December 18, 2025, was 870,199 tons, in line with expectations [7]. - USDA export sales reports for the week ending December 4 show that US soybean, soybean meal, and soybean oil have different export sales and shipment situations. For example, US soybean export sales increased by 40% compared to the previous week, and the export shipment increased by 33% [8]. - Analysts expect that in the week ending December 11, US soybean export sales will net increase by 1.8 - 2.9 million tons, soybean meal by 275,000 - 550,000 tons, and soybean oil by 500 - 24,000 tons [9][10]. - As of December 20, Brazil's soybean sowing rate was 97.6%, and AgRural expects Brazil's 2025/26 soybean production to reach 180.4 million tons [10]. - Brazil exported 2,442,367.61 tons of soybeans in the first three weeks of December, with an average daily export volume 70% higher than that of the whole month of December last year [11]. - The Baltic Dry Index continued to decline on Monday, with all ship - type freight indices weakening [11]. Domestic Supply and Demand - On December 22, the total trading volume of soybean oil and palm oil was 68,700 tons, a 304% increase from the previous trading day [13]. - On December 22, the trading volume of soybean meal in major domestic oil mills increased by 40,600 tons compared to the previous day, and the overall oil mill operating rate was 55.88%, a 0.16% decrease from the previous day [13]. - As of December 19, the commercial inventory of palm oil in key domestic regions was 700,000 tons, a 7.25% increase from the previous week, and the soybean oil inventory was 1.1235 million tons, a 1.22% decrease from the previous week [13]. - China's palm oil imports in November 2025 were 334,052.37 tons, a 52.25% month - on - month increase; soybean imports were 8.10736476 million tons, a 14.50% month - on - month decrease [14]. - On December 22, the "Agricultural Product Wholesale Price 200 Index" and the "Vegetable Basket" product wholesale price index decreased slightly compared to last Friday [16]. Macroeconomic News International News - According to CME's "FedWatch", the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 19.9%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 80.1% [18]. - The US Chicago Fed National Activity Index in November was - 0.21, lower than the expected - 0.17 [18]. - A former Bank of Japan board member said that the Bank of Japan may raise interest rates three times to 1.5% during the remaining term of Governor Ueda Kazuo until early 2028 [18]. Domestic News - On December 22, the US dollar/Chinese yuan exchange rate was 7.0572, up 22 points (depreciation of the Chinese yuan) [20]. - On December 22, the People's Bank of China conducted 67.3 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 63.6 billion yuan due to the maturity of 130.9 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations [20]. Market Capital Flow On December 22, 2025, the net inflow of funds into the futures market was 17.854 billion yuan, with a net inflow of 17.605 billion yuan into the commodity futures market and a net outflow of 14 million yuan from stock index futures and 30 million yuan from treasury bond futures [22]. Arbitrage Tracking No information provided.

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The overall rating for commodities and stock index futures is neutral [4] 2. Core View of the Report - Amid the resonance of interest rate cuts and geopolitical factors, precious metals continue to be strong. The current inflation - expectation game stage focuses on non - ferrous metals and precious metals with high certainty. While the market sentiment is still high, there are risks of policy expectation reversals at home and abroad. It is necessary to track the sentiment - driven market trends and also prepare risk plans for potential adjustments [1][3] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - **Policy Expectations in China**: The Politburo meeting on December 8 emphasized "continuing to implement a more proactive fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy" and "increasing counter - cyclical and cross - cyclical adjustment efforts". The Central Economic Work Conference on December 11 focused on boosting consumption and "anti - involution". Multiple ministries responded: the central bank will use reserve - requirement ratio and interest rate cuts; the NDRC will boost consumption and promote new growth drivers; the Ministry of Finance will use government bonds and issue ultra - long - term special treasury bonds. China's November foreign trade growth rebounded significantly (exports +5.9% and imports +1.9% year - on - year in US dollars), but the economic data was still under pressure, and the LPR remained unchanged for the seventh consecutive month (5 - year above LPR at 3.5%, 1 - year LPR at 3%) [1] - **US Federal Reserve**: The Fed's December meeting announced the purchase of $40 billion in short - term bonds in the next 30 days and a 25 - basis - point interest rate cut as expected. The median of the dot - plot maintains the expectation of one interest rate cut each in the next two years. The Fed may pause rate cuts again. The US employment and PMI data are weak. The slowdown of the Fed's rate - cut pace and the Bank of Japan's rate hike in December have led to a currently positive market driven by sentiment, but risks need to be watched [2] - **Bank of Japan**: The Bank of Japan raised interest rates by 25 basis points on December 19 as expected. The impact of the rate hike is limited as the proportion of overseas holders of Japanese government bonds is low and the net long position of the US dollar against the yen has not increased significantly. On December 22, Japanese long - term bonds tumbled [3] - **Commodity Market**: In the current inflation - expectation game, focus on non - ferrous metals and precious metals. The non - ferrous metal sector has high certainty due to long - term supply constraints. In the energy sector, some countries have submitted additional production - cut plans, and the EU will stop importing Russian natural gas by 2027. In the chemical sector, there is "anti - involution" space for some products. In the agricultural products sector, pay attention to China's procurement plan for US goods. For precious metals, look for buying opportunities on dips, but short - term silver risks have risen [3] Strategy - The overall strategy for commodities and stock index futures is neutral [4] To - do News - The market trended strongly with the Shanghai Composite Index back above 3900 and the ChiNext Index up more than 2%. Over 2900 stocks in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets rose, with trading volume exceeding 1.88 trillion yuan. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.69%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 1.47%, and the ChiNext Index rose 2.23% [5] - China's LPR remained unchanged for the seventh consecutive month (5 - year above LPR at 3.5%, 1 - year LPR at 3%) [5] - Japanese government bond yields rose, with the 2 - year yield at 1.105% (the highest since 1997), the 5 - year yield up 3.5 basis points to 1.52%, and the 20 - year yield up 3 basis points to 3% [5] - The US intercepted a tanker in international waters near Venezuela. The tanker was under US sanctions [5] - The US dollar against the yen fell about 20 points, and the Japanese finance minister warned speculators [5] - Spot gold hit a record high, spot silver rose more than 3% above $69 per ounce, LME copper prices neared a record high, and spot platinum rose above $2000 per ounce for the first time since 2008 [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Core View of the Report - The report is a daily report on futures variety arbitrage data from Baocheng Futures on December 23, 2025, presenting the basis, inter - period, and inter - variety data of multiple futures varieties [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Power Coal - The report provides the basis data of power coal from December 16 to December 22, 2025. During this period, the basis values were - 74.4, - 83.4, - 90.4, - 98.4, and - 106.4 yuan/ton respectively, and the 5 - month - 1 - month, 9 - month - 1 - month, and 9 - month - 5 - month spreads were all 0 [2]. 3.2 Energy and Chemicals 3.2.1 Energy Commodities - It shows the basis, price ratio, and other data of fuel oil, INE crude oil, and crude oil/asphalt from December 16 to December 22, 2025. For example, the basis of INE crude oil on December 22 was 34.10 yuan/ton [6]. 3.2.2 Chemical Commodities - **Basis**: The basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from December 16 to December 22, 2025 are provided. For instance, the basis of rubber on December 22 was - 405 yuan/ton [8]. - **Inter - period**: The 5 - month - 1 - month, 9 - month - 1 - month, and 9 - month - 5 - month spreads of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol are presented. For example, the 5 - month - 1 - month spread of rubber was - 40 yuan/ton [10]. - **Inter - variety**: The inter - variety spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol from December 16 to December 22, 2025 are given. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread on December 22 was 1693 yuan/ton [10]. 3.3 Black Metals - **Basis**: The basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from December 16 to December 22, 2025 are shown. For example, the basis of rebar on December 22 was 194.0 yuan/ton [20]. - **Inter - period**: The 5 - month - 1 - month, 9(10) - month - 1 - month, and 9(10) - month - 5 - month spreads of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal are provided. For example, the 5 - month - 1 - month spread of rebar was - 2.0 yuan/ton [19]. - **Inter - variety**: The inter - variety data of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil from December 16 to December 22, 2025 are presented. For example, the rebar/iron ore ratio on December 22 was 4.00 [19]. 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Domestic Market - The domestic basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from December 16 to December 22, 2025 are provided. For example, the basis of copper on December 22 was - 510 yuan/ton [27]. 3.4.2 London Market - The LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit - loss data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on December 22, 2025 are given. For example, the LME spread of copper was 6.58 [34]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - **Basis**: The basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, corn, etc. from December 16 to December 22, 2025 are shown. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 on December 22 was - 85 yuan/ton [41]. - **Inter - period**: The 5 - month - 1 - month, 9 - month - 1 - month, and 9 - month - 5 - month spreads of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, etc. are presented. For example, the 5 - month - 1 - month spread of soybeans No.1 was 49 yuan/ton [41]. - **Inter - variety**: The inter - variety data of soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, etc. from December 16 to December 22, 2025 are given. For example, the soybeans No.1/corn ratio on December 22 was 1.87 [41]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - **Basis**: The basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from December 16 to December 22, 2025 are provided. For example, the basis of CSI 300 on December 22 was 46.82 [52]. - **Inter - period**: The next - month - current - month and next - quarter - current - quarter spreads of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are presented. For example, the next - month - current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 15.2 [52].