Group 1 - The report indicates that A-share revenue showed a decline in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 2.93%, while profit saw a slight recovery with a year-on-year decline of 4.87%. Non-financial sectors experienced a revenue decline of 0.38% but a profit increase of 6.02% [11][12][19] - The report highlights that the main contributors to profit in Q1 2025 were the metal materials and mining, agricultural products, and comprehensive finance sectors, while the banking, coal, real estate, and oil and gas sectors were significant detractors [12][30] - The report notes that the overall ROE for A-shares continued to decline in Q1 2025, with over half of the secondary industries having ROE levels below the historical 40th percentile [44][48] Group 2 - The report identifies that the sectors with the most significant upward adjustments in profit expectations post-Q1 2025 earnings announcements include comprehensive finance, insurance, and media internet, while most sectors saw downward adjustments [12][74] - The report states that the profit margin for A-shares in Q1 2025 was slightly down, with the overall margin at 17.63%, indicating that many industries remain at historical lows [51][54] - The report emphasizes that the agricultural products sector showed remarkable performance with a profit growth rate of 2051.8% in Q1 2025, significantly contributing to the overall profit recovery [29][36]

Core Viewpoint - China Aviation Industry Fund (中航产融) is selling assets to recover funds as it is in the process of delisting from the stock market due to significant operational uncertainties and expected financial losses [1][2][7]. Group 1: Asset Sale Details - The company plans to transfer 160 million shares of AVIC Xi'an Aircraft Industry Group (中航西飞) and 22.68 million shares of AVIC Aircraft (中航机载) to its controlling shareholder, AVIC (中国航空工业集团), for a total price of approximately 4.067 billion yuan [1][4]. - The share transfer represents 5.76% of AVIC Xi'an's total shares and 0.47% of AVIC Aircraft's total shares [4]. - The transfer price is based on the average weighted price of the shares over the previous 30 trading days, with AVIC Xi'an priced at 23.81 yuan per share and AVIC Aircraft at 11.19 yuan per share [4]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Future Plans - As of September 2024, the company's total assets amounted to 442.393 billion yuan, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 85.13% [3][6]. - The company anticipates a net loss of approximately 48 million yuan for 2024, marking its first loss since 2006, with a projected net loss of 189 million yuan after excluding non-recurring items [2][5]. - The company is actively pursuing a voluntary delisting from the A-share market, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange having accepted its application for termination of listing [2][7][8]. Group 3: Legal Issues - The company is facing a lawsuit from China Life Insurance (中国人寿) regarding a share buyback dispute, with the total claim amounting to approximately 2.71 billion yuan [9][10].

Group 1 - The overall holding value of northbound funds reached 2.24 trillion RMB as of March 31, 2025, an increase of approximately 25.7 billion RMB compared to the end of Q4 2024, accounting for about 5.5% of the free float market value of A-shares [1][8][11] - Long-term allocation funds from foreign banks held 1.71 trillion RMB, increasing by about 10.8 billion RMB, representing 4.2% of the free float market value, while short-term trading funds from foreign brokerages held 0.38 trillion RMB, increasing by approximately 11.2 billion RMB, accounting for 0.93% [1][8][11] Group 2 - Northbound funds showed a significant increase in allocation to momentum, liquidity, and growth styles in Q1, reversing the previous quarter's reduction in these areas [2][17][22] - The overall style preferences of northbound funds included overweight positions in market capitalization, momentum, volatility, profitability, growth, and leverage, while underweight positions were noted in beta, BP, and liquidity [2][20][25] Group 3 - The highest holding value proportion of northbound funds was in the consumer sector at 6.9%, followed by financials at 6.0%, with a slight increase in the cyclical sector [3][28][32] - Northbound funds were overweight in consumer and financial sectors compared to the overall A-share market, while they were underweight in stability, technology, and cyclical sectors [3][38][42] Group 4 - The top five industries for northbound funds in terms of holding proportion changes were automotive, retail, consumer services, machinery, and electronics, while the bottom five included utilities, financials, telecommunications, real estate, and construction [3][42][45] - Northbound funds were overweight in industries such as power equipment and new energy, food and beverage, home appliances, banking, and automotive, while underweight in computer, basic chemicals, machinery, defense, and electronics [3][51][52] Group 5 - In terms of index allocation, northbound funds showed a decrease in holding proportions for the Shanghai 50 (-0.5%), CSI 300 (-0.3%), and CSI 500 (-0.2%), while there was a slight increase for the CSI 1000 (+0.1%) [4][58][62] - Northbound funds were overweight in the Shanghai 50 and CSI 300 compared to the overall A-share market, while underweight in the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 [4][67]

Market Performance - In April, A-shares experienced significant volatility, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.7% to 3279.03 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down 5.75% to 9899.82 points, and the ChiNext Index down 7.4% to 1948.03 points [1][2]. Future Outlook - Analysts are optimistic about the A-share market in May, suggesting it is a good time for positioning, as historical data shows that the Shanghai Composite Index has risen in 7 out of the last 15 years during the 10 trading days following the May Day holiday [2][3]. Sector Performance - Historical analysis indicates that consumer and large financial sectors tend to perform well in the 10 trading days before and after the May Day holiday, driven by policy support and upward industry trends [3][4]. Investment Strategies - Analysts recommend focusing on three asset categories: stable assets (high dividends, gold), self-sufficient industrial chains, and domestic consumption [4][5]. - There is a consensus that the Chinese stock market's upward momentum is not over, with suggestions to increase allocations to Chinese assets due to improved economic policies and a decrease in risk premiums [4][5]. Structural Opportunities - May is expected to see a structural recovery in A-shares, with a focus on consumption, technology, and dividend stocks as key investment themes [5].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Neutral" with an expected industry index increase of -5% to 5% relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [22]. Core Insights - The market is currently in a downtrend, with a focus on when the profit effect will turn positive. The current profit effect is around -1% [2][10]. - The report suggests maintaining a neutral position until the 30-day moving average of the wind All A index is breached, considering the low valuation levels [4][10]. - The industry configuration model recommends focusing on "dilemma reversal" sectors, particularly in healthcare and consumer sectors related to export chains such as light industry and home appliances [3][10]. - The TWO BETA model continues to recommend the technology sector, emphasizing domestic substitution in the fields of information technology and AI chips [3][10]. - Despite a significant drop on Friday, the banking sector, which is still in an upward trend, remains worthy of attention [3][10]. Summary by Sections Market Overview - The wind All A index is currently in a downtrend, with the 20-day moving average at 4908 and the 120-day moving average at 5092.8, indicating a distance of -3.63% [2][9]. - The market's current environment is characterized by uncertainty due to upcoming Federal Reserve meetings and the release of April import and export data [4][10]. Valuation Metrics - The overall PE ratio of the wind All A index is around the 50th percentile, indicating a medium level, while the PB ratio is around the 20th percentile, indicating a relatively low level [3][10]. Positioning Recommendations - The report advises a 50% allocation in absolute return products based on the wind All A index as the main stock allocation [3][10].

金融工程 | 金工定期报告 2025 年 05 月 05 日 作者 吴先兴 分析师 SAC 执业证书编号：S1110516120001 wuxianxing@tfzq.com 相关报告 1 《金融工程：金融工程-因子跟踪周 报 ： Beta 、换手率因子表现较好 -20250504》 2025-05-04 2 《金融工程：金融工程-哪些行业进 入高估区域？——估值与基金重仓股配 置监控 2025-05-03》 2025-05-03 3 《金融工程：金融工程-净利润断层 本周超额基准 0.92%》 2025-05-03 金融工程 证券研究报告 量化择时周报：突破压力位前保持中性 突破压力位前保持中性 上周周报(20250427)认为：全 A 指数的 30 日均线构成压力位，但考虑到估 值不高，建议在压力位突破前维持中性仓位。最终 wind 全 A 维持原状。 市值维度上，上周代表小市值股票的中证 2000 上涨 0.84%，中盘股中证 500 上涨 0.08%，沪深 300 下跌 0.43%，上证 50 下跌 0.59%;上周中信一级行业中， 表现较强行业包括传媒、计算机，传媒上涨 2.86%，综合金融、房地产 ...

从近十年5月当月累计涨跌幅来看，沪指录得4年上涨、6年下跌；深成指则为5年上涨、5年下 跌。指数月涨跌幅与5月首个交易日行情无明显关联。 | 年份 | 沪指 | 深成指 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2015 | 3.83% | 8.65% | | 2016 | -0.74% | 0.18% | | 2017 | -1.19% | -3.61% | | 2018 | 0.43% | -0.28% | | 2019 | -5.84% | -7.77% | | 2020 | -0.27% | 0.23% | | 2021 | 4.89% | 3.86% | | 2022 | 4.57% | 4.59% | | 2023 | -3.57% | -4.80% | | 2024 | -0.58% | -2.32% | 作 者丨李彤欣 编 辑丨 陈思颖 今年"五一"假期，你持股过节了吗？作为财报季后的首个交易日，"五一"假期后A股能否实现 开门红，历来颇受投资者关注。 南财快讯记者统计近十年5月首个交易日涨跌情况发现，6个交易日沪深两市实现开门红，4个 交易日绿盘下跌，收红盘概率更高。可以看到2 0 2 ...

Group 1: Company Performance and Financials - In 2024, the company's net profit increased by 18.55%, primarily driven by the insurance business segment [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was CNY 1.21 billion, with a weighted average return on equity of 5.68% and basic earnings per share of CNY 0.5251 [3] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a net profit of CNY 392 million [3] Group 2: Business Strategy and Growth - The company focuses on value creation as the core of its market value management strategy while solidifying its main business [2] - Plans to enhance governance structure and improve internal control systems to protect minority shareholders' rights [2] - The company aims to deepen existing business operations and explore new growth areas to achieve high-quality development [3] Group 3: Investor Relations and Communication - The company held an annual performance briefing on April 30, 2024, to improve communication with investors [1] - It emphasizes transparency in information disclosure and actively engages with investors through various channels [2] - The company has implemented a structured approach to manage investor relations and respond to inquiries effectively [2] Group 4: Risk Management and Compliance - The company employs multiple control measures to identify, measure, and report credit risks amid economic uncertainties [2] - It adheres to accounting standards to ensure the reliability of financial data provided to investors [2] - The company is committed to enhancing its risk management framework to prevent systemic risks [3]

策略研究 | 证券研究报告 — 总量周报 2025 年 4 月 29 日 策略周报 AI 产业链有望重回主线 政治局会议延续基调，地产、消费政策进一步发力或仍需等待二季度经济数 据验证， "人工智能+"表述有所强化有机会重回主线。 中银国际证券股份有限公司 具备证券投资咨询业务资格 策略研究 证券分析师：王君 (8610)66229061 jun.wang@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300519060003 证券分析师：徐沛东 (8621)20328702 peidong.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300518020001 证券分析师：郭晓希 (8610)66229019 xiaoxi.guo@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521110001 证券分析师：徐亚 (8621)20328506 ya.xu@bocichina.com 证券投资咨询业务证书编号：S1300521070003 政策预期阶段性落地，短期震荡不改中期向好，科技产业具备长期趋 势。周五政治局会议召开，市场政策预期阶段性落地。总体来看，本次 ...

本周是五一长假前的最后一个交易周，上市公司年报和一季报也将披露完毕，泓德基金表示，市场未来 三个月将进入业绩的真空期，外部环境的变化可能的对国内资本市场产生一定程度的扰动，但我们相 信，按照政治局会议的部署，统筹国内经济工作和国际经贸斗争，坚定不移办好自己的事，坚定不移扩 大高水平对外开放，着力稳就业、稳企业、稳市场、稳预期，以高质量发展的确定性应对外部环境急剧 变化的不确定性，中国经济这艘巨轮可以行稳致远。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 整体来看，泓德基金分析，当前政策仍处于以"筹备"和"积蓄弹性"为主的阶段，结构性调控和局部支持 依然是主旋律，这使得市场将更多将目光聚焦于中美谈判进展以及潜在的降关税交易预期上。 从债券市场看，泓德基金表示，上周利率债收益率普遍上行。信用债收益率也多数上行。MLF超额续 作短暂提振但未能扭转观望情绪，超长端波动收窄显示市场分歧仍在，市场仍在等待央行降准降息。 上周国内权益市场延续小幅反弹走势，日均成交量相较上上周变化不大，维持在1.1万亿元附近，万得 全A周涨幅为1.15%。具体来看，国内主要股指中，小型股股指涨幅较大，中证1000（+1.8%）和中证 2000（ ...