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央行、农业农村部联合部署
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-07-25 08:13
Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China and the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs jointly issued an opinion to enhance financial services for rural revitalization, proposing 19 measures across seven areas to improve the quality and efficiency of financial services in rural areas [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Support for Agriculture - The opinion emphasizes enhancing financial security for food safety, consolidating financial assistance achievements, and deepening financial services for rural industries [3]. - Financial institutions are encouraged to focus on local agricultural products, developing differentiated credit policies and innovative financing models for rural specialties [4]. - Support for agricultural product quality improvement, brand development, and standardized production is highlighted, along with financing for agricultural processing and modern circulation networks [4]. Group 2: Digital Financial Empowerment - The opinion stresses the importance of developing digital finance to enhance rural revitalization financial services [5]. - It aims to implement financial technology initiatives to support smart agriculture and improve the digital financial service level in rural areas [5][6]. - Collaboration with local governments and agricultural entities is encouraged to create comprehensive service platforms integrating governance and financial services [5]. Group 3: Institutional Mechanisms for Financial Services - The opinion calls for improving the institutional mechanisms for financial services in rural reforms, promoting standardized trials for rural property rights transactions [8]. - It suggests exploring financing models for rural land management rights and enhancing long-term loans for forestry operations [8]. - Development banks and commercial banks are urged to increase credit support for key areas of rural revitalization, while local banks should focus on supporting small agricultural enterprises [8][9].
辽宁三地跻身全国县域经济百强县
Zhong Guo Fa Zhan Wang· 2025-07-25 08:07
Core Insights - The 2025 County Economic Innovation Development Forum was held in Beijing, where the report on high-quality development of county economies in China and the list of the top 100 counties were released, with three cities from Liaoning province making the list: Dalian Wafangdian, Anshan Haicheng, and Dalian Zhuanghe [1] Group 1: Dalian Wafangdian - Wafangdian is recognized as the "Bearing Capital of China," with a robust development of local specialty industries [2] - The city is accelerating industrial transformation and upgrading, reporting a total investment of 1.55 billion yuan across 40 technology transformation projects [3] - Modern agriculture is thriving, with a grain planting area of 1.066 million acres and a total grain output of 600 million jin [3] - The city has established a modern agricultural industry union model, becoming a typical case in the province [4] - The local government is improving the business environment with 54 measures for quality enhancement and expanding services [4][5] Group 2: Anshan Haicheng - Haicheng is known as the "World Magnesium Capital" and "China's Talc Town," focusing on a strong city plan for industrial, technological, ecological, and welfare development [6][7] - The city achieved a GDP of 72.66 billion yuan in 2024, marking a significant growth milestone [7] - Haicheng is building a modern industrial system and enhancing its economic strength through various initiatives, including the establishment of an industrial revitalization research institute [7][8] Group 3: Dalian Zhuanghe - Zhuanghe is focusing on developing a "green economy" centered on clean energy, with significant projects in offshore wind power and nuclear energy [9][10] - The city has established a clean energy installed capacity of 1.8 million kilowatts, with investments exceeding 25.1 billion yuan [10] - Zhuanghe is also developing a "blue economy" leveraging its rich marine resources, with a focus on modern marine ranching and seafood processing [11] - The agricultural sector is being enhanced with high-standard farmland construction and modern ecological agriculture practices, achieving an agricultural output value of 30.36 billion yuan in 2024 [12]
电力数据显示吉林经济稳中有进稳中向好
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-07-25 07:55
Core Insights - Jilin Province's economy shows steady progress and improvement in the first half of the year, with significant growth in electricity consumption across all three industries [1][4] Group 1: Primary Industry - The primary industry in Jilin Province plays a crucial role in ensuring national food security, with electricity consumption reaching 1.321 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 12.71% [1] - Agricultural electricity consumption accounted for 46.1% of the primary industry, growing by 9.14% year-on-year [1] - The livestock sector has accelerated development, with electricity consumption in this area making up 51.17% of the primary industry and achieving a 16.96% year-on-year growth [1] Group 2: Secondary Industry - The secondary industry demonstrates resilience, with electricity consumption totaling 26.108 billion kWh, representing 53.47% of the province's total, and an average growth of 4.25% over the past five years [2] - Key industries such as automotive and rail equipment manufacturing are being prioritized, with the automotive sector showing a robust average growth of 1.59% over the past five years [2] - The new energy vehicle manufacturing sector has experienced explosive growth, with an average increase of 508.21% in electricity consumption over the past five years [2] Group 3: Tertiary Industry - The tertiary industry is emerging as a new growth driver, with electricity consumption reaching 1.23 billion kWh, accounting for 25.19% of the total, and a year-on-year increase of 8.65% [3] - The wholesale and retail sector has shown significant growth, with electricity consumption increasing by 12.34% year-on-year [3] - The internet data service sector has seen remarkable growth, with a year-on-year increase of 161.81% in electricity consumption [3] Group 4: Economic Overview - Jilin Province's GDP reached 682.328 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.7%, indicating a stable and improving economic environment [4] - The company plans to enhance power supply responsibilities and leverage artificial intelligence to improve data services and support the province's digital transformation [4]
成都上半年经济运行情况公布 GDP达12108.2亿元 同比增长5.8%
Si Chuan Ri Bao· 2025-07-25 07:26
Economic Overview - Chengdu's GDP for the first half of the year reached 12,108.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.8% at constant prices [1] - The primary industry added value was 186.7 billion yuan, growing by 2.7% [1] - The secondary industry added value was 3,267.4 billion yuan, growing by 5.3% [1] - The tertiary industry added value was 8,654.2 billion yuan, growing by 6.0% [1] Industrial Growth - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises in Chengdu increased by 7.8% year-on-year [2] - Among 37 major industries, 25 experienced positive growth, with non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing, automotive manufacturing, and electronic equipment manufacturing showing significant increases of 41.7%, 23.6%, and 17.3% respectively [2] - High-tech manufacturing added value grew by 12.1% [2] - Key industrial products saw substantial production increases, including new energy vehicles (352.2%), smartwatches (119.2%), and lithium-ion batteries (45.8%) [2] Service Sector Performance - The service sector's added value grew by 6.0% year-on-year [2] - Notable growth was seen in leasing and business services (10.7%), information transmission and software services (10.7%), and transportation and storage (7.4%) [2] - By the end of June, financial institutions reported a 9.8% increase in deposits and a 10.4% increase in loans [2] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in Chengdu grew by 6.0% year-on-year [3] - Investment in the primary industry increased by 15.3%, while the secondary industry saw a 40.7% increase, with industrial investment specifically rising by 41.3% [3] - The tertiary industry investment declined by 0.8%, with real estate development investment down by 2.8% [3] - High-tech industry investment surged by 37.4%, with high-tech manufacturing investment growing by 59.1% [3] Consumer Market Insights - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 5,622.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.1% [3] - Urban retail sales amounted to 4,928.6 billion yuan (6.0% growth), while rural retail sales were 693.7 billion yuan (6.6% growth) [3] - Key consumer categories showed varied growth, with telecommunications equipment retail sales increasing by 64.5% and home appliances by 34.5% [3] - New energy vehicles saw a growth of 21.0% within the automotive category [3]
美日达成协议,比广场协议更狠,石破茂被逼辞职,日本被架在火上
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 05:01
最近美日达成的贸易协议在日本国内掀起轩然大波,而首相石破茂的政治命运也随之陷入动荡。这份被称为"比广场协议更过分"的协议,不仅让日本经济面 临新的考验,更可能引发日本政坛的连锁地震。 农业领域的冲击同样剧烈。日本大米自给率长期维持在90%以上,但协议要求增加美国大米进口,这让本就脆弱的日本农业雪上加霜。石破茂的去留已成为 日本政治的风向标。尽管他在与自民党元老会谈后否认辞职传闻,但党内"倒石"声浪并未平息。 协议签署后,石破茂的处境愈发艰难。自民党内要求其辞职的声音此起彼伏:茨城县、高知县等地方支部联名上书要求其下台,农林水产相小泉进次郎公开 要求首相"反省",甚至出现了党内"罢免签名运动"。这种压力并非偶然,协议中的农业让步直接触动了自民党传统票仓,而汽车关税的提高则得罪了日本制 造业的核心力量。 更讽刺的是,石破茂原本想通过协议展现"外交成果",却反被协议拖入泥潭:尽管他声称"争取到了最大降幅",但企业界和民众并不买账,内阁支持率暴跌 至22.9%,超过半数民众认为他"应该辞职"。 协议对日本经济的影响已开始显现。日经225指数虽在协议签署当日上涨3.5%,但这只是市场对不确定性暂时缓解的反应。从长期看, ...
提振消费进行时 | 荔枝为媒撬动文旅消费
Guang Xi Ri Bao· 2025-07-25 03:49
Group 1 - The event "Cangwu Lychee Roast Chicken Food Festival" attracted approximately 100,000 visitors over three days, significantly boosting local specialty sales to over 5 million yuan [1][2] - The "Tea Fragrance Tasting Lychee" rural tour package became a popular choice, combining culinary experiences with various activities, enhancing consumer engagement [1][2] - Lychee sales reached 5,000 kilograms during the event, marking a 30% increase compared to the same period last year [1][2] Group 2 - The food festival featured over 40 vendors, selling more than 500 roast chickens daily, with revenue equivalent to a month's earnings in just three days [2] - A local basketball tournament, "Village BA," attracted large crowds, leading to a nearly 40% increase in surrounding dining and retail consumption [2] - The Cangwu County Cultural Center hosted over 8,000 visitors during the event, showcasing various cultural performances and activities [2] Group 3 - Cangwu County's "Cultural Tourism + Agriculture" model effectively encourages prolonged visitor engagement, enhancing local consumption [2] - The county aims to promote lychee cultivation and cultural experiences to support rural revitalization efforts [2]
特朗普又赢了?微妙关头,日本再次对美“投降”,向美投资5000亿美元,换来了15%关税
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 03:36
据光明网报道,美国总统特朗普宣布美日达成贸易协议,日本将向美国投资5500亿美元并开放汽车、大米等市场,美方 关税税率从25%降至15%。这一消息震动国际社会,也让日本国内陷入舆论漩涡。 这场被特朗普称为"史无前例"的协议,核心条款堪称严苛。日本不仅要拿出相当于其GDP约10%的资金投向美国,且投资 产生的利润美方将拿走90%。 美元(资料图) 有分析指出,日本汽车产业虽暂时避开25%的高额关税,但15%的税率仍高于多数国家,且美国要求日本车企加大在美投 资建厂,可能导致国内制造业空心化。2024年日本对美汽车出口额达7.2万亿日元,占出口总额34%,若产业链外迁,将 直接冲击558万就业岗位。 日本首相石破茂的处境尤为艰难。7月20日参议院选举中,自民党遭遇历史性惨败,执政联盟失去参众两院多数席位,党 内要求其辞职的声音此起彼伏。 此次协议谈判本被视为石破茂挽回政治声誉的关键,却以全面让步告终。他23日表示将听取协议细节汇报,并根据结果 决定去留,但舆论普遍认为其政治生命已进入倒计时。路透社援引消息称,石破茂已向亲信透露,计划在下月底宣布辞 职。 从历史角度看,日本在美日贸易谈判中始终处于被动地位。上世纪8 ...
广发早知道:汇总版-20250725
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-07-25 01:46
广发早知道-汇总版 广发期货研究所 电 话:020-88818009 E-Mail:zhangxiaozhen@gf.com.cn 目录: 金融衍生品: 金融期货: 股指期货、国债期货 贵金属: 黄金、白银 集运欧线 商品期货: 有色金属: 铜、氧化铝、铝、铝合金、锌、锡、镍、不锈钢、碳酸锂 黑色金属: 钢材、铁矿石、焦煤、焦炭 农产品: 油脂、粕类、玉米、生猪、白糖、棉花、鸡蛋、花生、红枣、苹果 能源化工: 原油、PTA、乙二醇、苯乙烯、短纤、尿素、瓶片、烧碱、PVC、LLDPE、 PP 特殊商品: 橡胶、玻璃纯碱、工业硅、多晶硅 2025 年 7 月 25 日星期五 投资咨询业务资格: 证监许可【2011】1292 号 组长联系信息: 张晓珍(投资咨询资格:Z0003135) 电话:020- 88818009 邮箱:zhangxiaozhen@gf.com.cn 刘珂(投资咨询资格:Z0016336) 电话:020-88818026 邮箱:qhliuke@gf.com.cn 叶倩宁(投资咨询资格:Z0016628) 电话:020- 88818017 邮箱:yeqianning@gf.com.cn 周敏波( ...
国新国证期货早报-20250725
Guo Xin Guo Zheng Qi Huo· 2025-07-25 01:38
Variety Views - On July 24, A-share's three major indexes hit new highs this year, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.65% to 3605.73, the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.21% to 11193.06, and the ChiNext Index up 1.50% to 2345.37. The trading volume of the two markets was 1844.7 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 1.99 billion yuan from the previous day [1]. - The CSI 300 Index was strong on July 24, closing at 4149.04, up 29.27 [1]. - On July 24, the coke weighted index oscillated strongly, closing at 1750.3, up 37.2 [1]. - On July 24, the coking coal weighted index remained strong, closing at 1227.0 yuan, up 87.3 [2]. Factors Affecting Futures Prices Coke and Coking Coal - Coke: The price of coking coal has been raised, and the second - round price increase of coke spot has been implemented. The weekly start - up rate of coke enterprises has slightly declined, and supply has shrunk. In terms of demand, steel mills' profits are okay in the off - season, and pig iron production has rebounded from a high level. There is support from supply and demand, and coke enterprises' inventory has decreased [3]. - Coking coal: Some coal mines in production areas have limited output due to underground reasons, and some coal mines that were shut down have resumed production. High - frequency data shows that the upstream start - up rate has declined week - on - week, and domestic supply has shrunk. The China - Mongolia border port has resumed customs clearance. After the previous closure and improved market transactions, the port inventory has decreased, and the spot price of Mongolian coal has been raised. Although the start - up of coke enterprises has slightly declined, the increase in steel mills' pig iron production supports real demand [3]. Zhengzhou Sugar - Affected by the U.S. sugar's bottom - fishing and rebound on Wednesday, the Zhengzhou sugar 2509 contract oscillated higher on Thursday. Due to the effect of funds, it continued to rise at night. A commodity research report shows that the estimated sugarcane output in Brazil in the 2025/26 crushing season has been adjusted down to 661 million tons (606 million tons from the central and southern regions), reflecting a decline in sugarcane yield per unit and a significant drop in output in the second half of June [3]. Rubber - Recently, heavy rainfall in Southeast Asian producing areas has affected rubber tapping, reducing raw material supply and continuously raising spot prices. Affected by this, Shanghai rubber oscillated higher on Thursday. To avoid weather risks, short - sellers closed their positions, pushing Shanghai rubber to continue to oscillate upward at night. In June 2025, EU passenger car sales decreased by 7.3% year - on - year to 1.01 million vehicles, indicating challenges for automobile manufacturers in the global economic environment. In the first half of 2025, cumulative EU passenger car sales decreased by 1.9% year - on - year to 5.58 million vehicles [4]. Palm Oil - On July 24, palm oil continued to oscillate higher, hitting new highs. The highest price was 9106, the lowest was 8938, and it closed at 9104, up 1.22% from the previous day. According to GAPKI data, affected by a surge in exports, Indonesia's palm oil inventory in May decreased by 4.27% month - on - month to 2.9 million tons. In May, Indonesia's exports of palm oil and refined products reached 2.66 million tons, a nearly 50% increase from April and a 35.64% increase year - on - year, mainly driven by demand from India and China. The output of crude palm oil in May was 4.17 million tons, lower than 4.48 million tons in April but a 7.2% increase year - on - year [4][6]. Shanghai Copper - The price of Shanghai copper may continue to oscillate at a high level. Macroscopically, the possible tariff agreement between the U.S. and Europe has suppressed risk - aversion sentiment. LME copper closed up after a strong oscillation overnight, which has a positive impact on Shanghai copper. However, the reduced probability of an interest - rate cut in September will put some pressure on copper prices. Fundamentally, global copper miners' rush to transport to the U.S. supports the price, and the continuous decline of LME inventory also supports the price. But the cautious downstream transactions in China and the approaching end of long - term orders, along with the possible increase in spot supply, will limit the upward space of the price. Technically, on July 24, the short - term indicators of the Shanghai copper main contract were bullish, with the 5 - day moving average crossing above the 10 - day and 20 - day moving averages, the MACD forming a golden cross above the 0 - axis, and the KDJ also forming a golden cross, indicating upward momentum in the short term [6]. Iron Ore - On July 24, the iron ore 2509 main contract closed down 0.55% at 811 yuan. The shipment of Australian and Brazilian iron ore decreased slightly this period, and the arrival volume dropped significantly. Pig iron production stopped falling and rebounded to a high level. The policy expectations of anti - involution and important meetings have boosted market sentiment, but the recent large increase in iron ore prices may lead to high - level oscillation in the short term [7]. Asphalt - On July 24, the asphalt 2509 main contract closed down 0.28% at 3602 yuan. The start - up rate of asphalt plants continued to decrease this period, the planned output of local refineries in August decreased, supply shrank, inventory decreased, refinery shipments increased slightly, and downstream demand improved. The short - term price will mainly oscillate [7]. Cotton - On Thursday night, the Zhengzhou cotton main contract closed at 14225 yuan/ton. On July 25, the minimum basis price of Xinjiang designated delivery (supervision) warehouses in the National Cotton Trading Market was 430 yuan/ton, and the cotton inventory decreased by 45 lots compared with the previous trading day [7]. Logs - On July 24, the 2509 contract of logs opened at 824, with the lowest at 818.5, the highest at 835, and closed at 827.5, with a reduction of 604 lots. The pressure at high levels in the market increased. Attention should be paid to the support at 800 - 820 and the pressure at 850. The spot price of 3.9 - meter medium - grade A radiata pine logs in Shandong was 740 yuan/cubic meter, unchanged from the previous day, and that in Jiangsu was 760 yuan/cubic meter, up 10 yuan/cubic meter from the previous day. There is no major contradiction in the supply - demand relationship, and spot transactions are weak. Attention should be paid to the support of spot - end prices, import data, and macro - expectations for the spot market [7][8]. Steel - On July 24, rb2510 closed at 3294 yuan/ton, and hc2510 closed at 3456 yuan/ton. The demand for steel in the off - season has strong resilience, and steel mills' profits remain at a relatively high level, so the overall output has limited room to decline. For rebar, steel mills' profits are at a relatively high level in the past two years, and their production enthusiasm is high, so the output may increase in the short term. In terms of inventory, after the price rebound, the middle and lower reaches have a certain willingness to replenish stocks, and the inventory accumulation in the off - season is lower than expected. In terms of demand, steel demand maintains resilience. With the continuous fermentation of anti - involution and the news of coking coal mine shutdown, steel prices have continued to rise, further stimulating speculative demand [8]. Alumina - On July 24, ao2509 closed at 3427 yuan/ton. On the supply side, the weekly output of alumina rebounded slightly to 1.708 million tons this week, the operating capacity rose to 89.07 million tons/year, and the start - up rate also rebounded to 80.74%. The national installed capacity decreased from 110.82 million tons/year to 110.32 million tons/year, which may be related to the "capacity reduction" signal. Under the logic of the deviation between the fundamentals and the market, it is necessary to be vigilant about whether the market's high expectations for policies are overdrawn. Once the policy implementation rhythm or intensity falls short of expectations, combined with the continuous resumption of production and the re - easing of supply and demand, the price may still decline from a high level [8][10]. Shanghai Aluminum - On July 24, al2509 closed at 20760 yuan/ton. Macroscopically, overseas tariffs have been confirmed and are lower than expected, reducing uncertain risks and being beneficial to the recovery of overseas demand. China's "anti - involution" policies have driven up industrial metals, and the long - term tone of "promoting consumption and stabilizing growth" remains unchanged. Fundamentally, under the release of supply increment and the suppression of the consumption off - season, the inventory accumulation expectation is still strong. In addition, the market's sentiment towards policies such as "anti - involution" and "high - quality development" has cooled recently, and the market has fallen after rising. The short - term aluminum price will mainly decline from a high level. Future attention should be paid to inventory and capital sentiment changes [10].
共建成渝地区双城经济圈重点项目上半年完成投资2529.1亿元
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-07-25 00:37
Core Insights - The Chongqing Development and Reform Commission announced that from January to June 2025, 320 key projects in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle completed an investment of 252.91 billion RMB, achieving an annual investment completion rate of 57.3%, exceeding the scheduled progress by 7.3 percentage points [1] Investment Breakdown - A total of 320 key projects were listed with an estimated total investment of approximately 3.7 trillion RMB and an expected annual investment of 441.45 billion RMB [1] - In the first half of 2025, the projects successfully met the "time over half, task over half" goal [1] Project Categories - Modern infrastructure projects completed an investment of 147.24 billion RMB, including the completion of the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport T3B terminal and the first phase of the Minjiang River navigation channel improvement project [1] - Modern industry and technology innovation projects saw an investment of 90.88 billion RMB, with significant projects such as the National Pig Technology Innovation Center and the Chengdu New District Hydrogen Energy Industrial Cluster [1] - Cultural, ecological, open, and public service projects completed an investment of 14.79 billion RMB, including the completion of the Dadu River environmental governance project and the construction of the Chongqing Medical University Affiliated Children's Hospital [2]