有色金属领涨，白银有色、湖南白银涨停，兴业银锡、铜陵有色涨超6%，带动有色ETF泰康、矿业 ETF、有色矿业ETF招商、有色金属ETF国泰、有色ETF景顺、有色ETF汇添富、有色ETF银华、有色金 属ETF、有色ETF华宝、有色ETF鹏华、有色金属ETF基金涨超3%；工业有色ETF万家、有色金属ETF天 弘、有色ETF富国、稀有金属ETF工银、有色ETF大成、稀有金属ETF基金、工业有色ETF鹏华、稀有金 属ETF、稀有金属ETF涨超2%。 A股迎来马年首个交易日，三大指数集体高开。 作为唯一的期货类指数，其跟踪特定期货合约，收益受短期供需、合约换月成本等因素影响。与权益市 场相关性较低，在权益市场下跌时可能取得相对较好的表现。 该指数行业覆盖独特，有色金属占比79.6%，同时还覆盖了基础化工与电力设备行业。在申万三级行业 分布上，占比前三的是稀土、锂和稀有金属，完全不含铜和铝，稀有金属属性更为突出。 3.工业有色指数 该指数成分股数量较少（30只），更为集中，黄金含量很低，更聚焦于铜、铝和稀有金属等工业应用领 域。 行业分布相对专一，与制造业复苏的订单增量紧密相关，更纯粹地反映工业用有色金属的需求变化。适 ...

来源：环球市场播报 必和必拓集团（BHP）周二早盘下跌0.8%，此前该公司公布，上半财年基本税息折旧摊销前利润 （EBITDA）增长25%，达到155亿美元。其中，铜业务贡献了EBITDA的51%。在价格上涨的背景下， 2026财年铜产量指引上调至190万至200万吨。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Nonferrous ETF Taikang (159163), which opened down by 0.88% at 0.900 yuan [1] - Major holdings in the Nonferrous ETF Taikang experienced significant declines, including Zijin Mining down 3.75%, Luoyang Molybdenum down 2.85%, and Northern Rare Earth down 0.70% [1] - The performance benchmark for the Nonferrous ETF Taikang is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index return, with a return of -9.32% since its establishment on January 27, 2026 [1]

中诚信国际认为，在矿端供应偏紧、下游需求韧性较强的背景下，2026年有色金属行业整体保持较高景 气度；铜、铝价格中枢上移趋势明确，其中电解铝供需紧平衡状态将延续，电网、储能、新能源车等需 求托底，且铜价高位下"铝代铜"渗透加速，进一步强化铝的结构性支撑逻辑。冶炼加工环节则因加工费 低迷、行业竞争加剧而持续承压，行业利润正加速向资源自给率高、成本控制能力强的企业集中。 有色ETF泰康(159163)紧密跟踪中证有色金属矿业主题指数，中证有色金属矿业主题指数从有色金属行 业中选取40只拥有有色金属矿产资源储量的上市公司证券作为指数样本，反映有色金属矿业主题上市公 司证券的整体表现。 消息面上，中国五矿化工进出口商会发布通知，将于2026年3月25日举办稀土和稀有金属出口政策及形 势说明会。通知称，近日，国家有关部门加强了针对日本的两用物项出口管理，叠加此前稀土及钨锑钼 等稀有金属被列入出口管制，企业出口相关产品时面临更加严格的管理。为帮助会员企业熟悉相关政策 和出口注意事项，本次会议将邀请商务部和海关总署有关部门领导参加会议并发言，就相关产品的出口 政策和形势进行解读，同时也有助于政府部门了解企业出口面临的问题。 ...

一、证券市场回顾 二、ETF市场表现 1、股票型ETF整体市场表现 昨日股票型ETF收益率中位数为-0.17%。其中按照不同分类，规模指数ETF中万家中证800自由现金流ETF收益率最高，为0.98%；行业指数ETF中泰康中证 有色金属矿业主题ETF收益率最高，为3.19%；策略指数ETF中汇添富中证800自由现金流ETF收益率最高，为1.36%；风格指数ETF中银华中证500价值ETF 收益率最高，为1.23%；主题指数ETF中嘉实中证稀有金属主题ETF收益率最高，为3.86%。 南财金融终端数据显示，昨日(2月11日，下同)上证综指日内上涨0.09%，收于4131.98点，最高4142.56点；深证成指日内下跌0.35%，收于14160.93点，最高 14250.34点；创业板指日内下跌1.08%，收于3284.74点，最高3324.18点。 2、股票型ETF涨跌幅排行 昨日股票型ETF涨幅最高的3只ETF及其收益率分别为：嘉实中证稀有金属主题ETF（3.86%）、工银瑞信中证稀有金属主题ETF（3.79%）、广发中证稀有 金属主题ETF（3.78%）。涨幅前10详情见下表： | 类别 | 代码 | | ...

Group 1 - The mining ETF (561330) opened at 2.280 yuan, experiencing a slight decline of 0.09% [1] - Major holdings in the mining ETF include Zijin Mining (+0.23%), Luoyang Molybdenum (-0.04%), Northern Rare Earth (+0.00%), Huayou Cobalt (+2.25%), China Aluminum (-0.45%), Ganfeng Lithium (+0.05%), Shandong Gold (-0.74%), Yun Aluminum (-0.19%), Zhongjin Gold (-0.72%), and Tianqi Lithium (-0.14%) [1] - The performance benchmark for the mining ETF is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index return, managed by Guotai Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 127.98% since its establishment on October 19, 2022, and a 9.00% return over the past month [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Invesco ETF (560290) in the context of the metal industry, showing a slight opening decline of 0.72% to 0.964 yuan [1] - The major holdings of the Invesco ETF include Zijin Mining, which opened up by 0.23%, and other companies like China Aluminum and Ganfeng Lithium showing mixed performance [1] - The performance benchmark for the Invesco ETF is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, with a return of -2.69% since its establishment on January 26, 2026 [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant fluctuations in gold prices driven by market concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence and geopolitical uncertainties, particularly regarding Iran [1][2] - The Taikang ETF (159163) tracking the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index (931892) has shown strong performance, with a 3.08% increase in the index and notable gains in constituent stocks such as Tungsten High-Tech (up 8.17%) and Xiamen Tungsten (up 6.59%) [1] - Citic Securities maintains an optimistic outlook for precious and nonferrous metal prices for the year 2026, despite recent volatility in gold prices [1] Group 2 - Dongwu Securities notes that the current market is characterized by a "Wash trade" environment, leading to low volatility in precious metals, with gold prices exhibiting high volatility [2] - The CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index comprises 40 listed companies with nonferrous metal mineral resources, reflecting the overall performance of the sector [2] - As of January 30, 2026, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index account for 53.28% of the index, including companies like Zijin Mining and China Aluminum [2]

近期，钨价持续突破历史新高，在地缘政治博弈及商品行情启动的背景下，有色金属板块再次成为全球资本市场的焦点， "家里有矿，2025年涨超有色"的 矿业ETF涨超2%，资金持续布局，近20日净流入超13亿元。 本轮行情已从单纯的商品牛市，演变为一场由多重长周期逻辑驱动的"资源重估"超级周期。本文将聚焦钨价突破历史新高这一标志性事件，系统梳理驱动有 色金属板块持续走强的核心逻辑与投资策略。 【事件聚焦：钨价突破历史新高，供给收缩与战略价值凸显】 近期钨价快速拉涨，黑钨精矿、仲钨酸铵价格两周内涨幅均超24%，双双创下历史新高。背后是矿山安全环保管控趋严导致的阶段性供应紧张，以及PCB刀 具等下游需求的稳定支撑。 钨市场成为小金属板块最引人注目的焦点。据华源证券报告，近两周黑钨精矿价格大涨25.19%至67.10万元/吨，仲钨酸铵价格上涨24.68%至98.50万元/吨， 均刷新历史高点。此次价格上涨并非偶然，而是供给端主动与被动收缩共振的结果：国内矿山在安全管控与环保要求双重制约下，开工率下降、出货减少， 市场现货流通紧张；与此同时，下游PCB刀具等领域需求维持景气，刚需采购对价格形成支撑。此外，部分企业一月长单价进 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report provides weekly views on various non - ferrous metals, analyzing their market trends, supply - demand situations, and suggesting corresponding investment strategies based on these analyses [2] 3. Summary by Variety Copper - **Market Trend**: Last week, copper prices oscillated at a relatively high level, similar to gold. Before the Spring Festival, the overall open interest may shrink to 550,000 lots. In the long - term, the US $12 billion commercial stockpiling plan and the call from the China Non - Ferrous Metals Industry Association to increase commercial reserves may encourage long - term funds to go long on copper at low prices. The price is expected to be lower before the Spring Festival and higher after it [2] - **Domestic Supply and Demand**: Copper concentrate supply is tight. Domestic smelter output is expected to be stable around the Spring Festival. The Shanghai copper premium is 35 yuan, and the Guangdong discount is 105 yuan. The social inventory is 331,300 tons [2] - **Overseas Situation**: There are many news of production cuts from traditional mainstream mining companies. The market is concerned about the US government's control over long - term copper resources. The LME copper inventory has increased to 184,300 tons, and the LME spot discount is $77 [2] - **Investment Strategy**: Hold a light position or conduct inter - period reverse arbitrage during the Spring Festival [2] Aluminum and Alumina - **Market Trend**: The market continues to oscillate. The domestic operating capacity of alumina is 95.05 million tons, with a month - on - month decrease of 1.5 million tons. The alumina balance remains in surplus, and the weekly inventory has increased by 55,000 tons to 5.114 million tons [2] - **Demand**: The operating rate of domestic downstream leading aluminum enterprises decreased by 1.5% to 59.4% last week. High aluminum prices have continuously suppressed downstream demand, and some processing enterprises have entered the holiday in advance [2] - **Inventory and Spot**: The overall demand is weak. The social inventory of aluminum ingots increased by 33,000 tons to 829,000 tons, and the social inventory of aluminum rods increased by 26,000 tons to 267,000 tons. The spot premium and discount have declined [2] - **Investment Strategy**: Pay attention to the support effectiveness of the recent low point of 23,800 yuan. If it breaks, it will seek support at 23,000 yuan. Consider selling out - of - the - money call options [2] Zinc - **Market Trend**: The "Wash Panic" accelerated the release of bearish sentiment. The Shanghai zinc price fell 5.36% last week, and the decline slowed down at the 24,500 yuan/ton level. The LME zinc price oscillated at a high level and remained in the rebound channel [2] - **Spot and Supply**: The LME zinc inventory decreased slightly to 107,600 tons, and the 0 - 3 month spot discount narrowed to $21.56/ton. The SMM zinc social inventory increased to 148,500 tons, and the fundamental strength of the domestic and foreign markets showed differentiation again. The loss of zinc spot imports expanded to over 3,000 yuan/ton [2] - **Consumption**: As the Spring Festival approaches, most terminals are on holiday, and the operating rate of downstream zinc enterprises has dropped significantly. Only a small number of enterprises make rigid purchases at low prices. High prices suppress demand, and the downstream operating rate is expected to continue to decline in the next two weeks [2] - **Investment Strategy**: The Shanghai zinc market starts to reduce volatility for adjustment. The option double - selling strategy has good returns, and the profit space for single - side futures trading is limited. It is recommended to wait and see [2] Lead - **Market Trend**: Last week, the lead prices of both domestic and foreign markets accelerated to test the lower support of the consolidation range. The Shanghai lead price fell 2.1%, and the LME lead price fell 1.48%. The import window remained open [2] - **Spot and Supply**: The LME lead inventory increased to 233,000 tons. The overseas surplus pressure was transmitted to the domestic market. The operating rates of SMM primary lead smelters and secondary lead smelters decreased. Some primary lead smelters in Hunan and Yunnan carried out maintenance or production cuts, and smelters were reluctant to sell at low prices [2] - **Consumption**: As the Spring Festival approaches, only a small number of downstream enterprises make rigid purchases at low prices. The spot trading volume has declined. The holiday time of battery enterprises has increased compared with previous years. Pay attention to the lead ingot inventory accumulation after the festival [2] - **Investment Strategy**: The lead price is at a low level, and the capital divergence has increased. The overall surplus situation remains unchanged. In the short term, both supply and demand are weak. The Shanghai lead price is expected to oscillate in the range of 16,500 - 17,800 yuan/ton [2] Nickel and Stainless Steel - **Market Trend**: The Shanghai nickel price fell from a high level last week, and the market trading volume decreased while the open interest slowly increased. The Shanghai stainless steel price showed a similar trend [2] - **Macro and Demand**: The social inventory of stainless steel has continued to increase. Market confidence has declined, and trading is light. Only a small amount of rigid replenishment is made. Terminal downstream procurement has basically ended [2] - **Spot and Supply**: The Jinchuan nickel premium is 9,500 yuan, the imported nickel discount is 50 yuan, and the electrowon nickel is at par. The pure nickel inventory increased by 3,000 tons to 73,000 tons, and the stainless steel inventory increased by 15,000 tons to 869,000 tons [2] - **Investment Strategy**: Market fear of high prices has emerged. It is recommended to be cautious [2] Tin - **Market Trend**: The Shanghai tin price is prone to follow the silver price. It shows a unilateral downward trend with relatively limited rebound. It is a small - volume variety, and the trading volume and open interest have a great impact around the Spring Festival [2] - **Supply**: The Indonesian exchange traded 2,720 tons of tin ingots in late January. There was a landslide in an Indonesian tin mine, but there is no news of impact on production. The earthquake in Myanmar is far from the Wa State production area. The market is concerned about the resumption of supply in the Wa State [2] - **Consumption**: The sharp decline in tin prices gives downstream enterprises an opportunity to stock up before the festival. The Steel Union tin inventory decreased by 1,658 tons to 9,898 tons last week. The global semiconductor sales in December 2025 continued to increase month - on - month [2] - **Investment Strategy**: Pay attention to the high volatility of the overseas market with light trading. Also, pay attention to the inventory changes during and after the Spring Festival. The out - of - the - money call option selling strategy for the 2603 contract has realized profits. It was recommended to wait and see or go short with a light position against the MA20 moving average last week [2] Lithium Carbonate - **Futures Market**: The lithium carbonate futures oscillated downward last week, and the market trading was active. The exchange policy affected market participation. A large number of hedging positions have been closed during the rapid price increase [2] - **Spot Performance**: The spot price of Shanghai battery - grade lithium carbonate has dropped sharply. Mines are not willing to sell due to the price decline, and downstream enterprises have sufficient previous inventory and have lowered their acceptance prices for new orders [2] - **Macro and Demand**: The external strength has weakened significantly. The rebound of precious metals and non - ferrous metals is not enough to support market confidence. The power battery orders may decline, and the production schedule in February is expected to be greatly affected [2] - **Supply Factors**: The total market inventory decreased by 2,000 tons to 105,000 tons. The smelter inventory decreased by 1,300 tons to 18,000 tons, the downstream inventory increased by 3,000 tons to 43,700 tons, and the trader inventory decreased by 3,400 tons to 43,000 tons. The de - stocking speed has slowed down [2] - **Investment Strategy**: The lithium carbonate futures price has crashed, and the short - term uncertainty is extremely high. Pay attention to risk prevention and control [2] Industrial Silicon - **Price**: The industrial silicon futures oscillated downward, dragged down by the general decline of the non - ferrous metal sector and the expected implementation of organic silicon emission reduction. As the Spring Festival approaches, the market stocking is coming to an end, and the trading activity has decreased [2] - **Supply and Demand**: The supply side has shrunk significantly. The production cuts of large Xinjiang factories have led to a significant decline in the number of open furnaces. Downstream polysilicon is expected to cut production by more than 20,000 tons month - on - month. If the organic silicon industry achieves its emission reduction target in the first quarter, the industrial silicon demand will be dragged down by about 90,000 tons [2] - **Inventory**: The Xinjiang factory inventory has decreased slightly, and the social inventory has climbed to 562,000 tons, with a weekly inventory increase of 8,000 tons [2] - **Investment Strategy**: In the short term, the price is affected by the volatility transmission of the metal sector and the negative news of the organic silicon industry. Pay attention to the support at 8,400 yuan/ton [2] Polysilicon - **Price**: The spot price of polysilicon has increased. The N - type re - feed material is 53,600 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 2,300 yuan/ton. Affected by the industry meeting last week, enterprises are holding up prices, but there is no spot transaction. The futures price briefly soared due to news, but the capacity expectation has not been realized, and the price has returned to oscillate around the 50,000 yuan/ton mark [2] - **Supply and Demand**: The production of leading enterprises decreased in January, and the monthly output dropped to around 100,000 tons. The output in February is expected to further drop below 80,000 tons. The production schedule of the silicon wafer sector in February is generally stable, and there may be a small supply - demand gap in polysilicon in February [2] - **Inventory**: The latest inventory of silicon material manufacturers is 341,000 tons, with a month - on - month increase of 8,000 tons [2] - **Investment Strategy**: The industry association announced the domestic photovoltaic new installation target of 180 - 240 GW in 2026, which meets market expectations. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology reiterated the anti - involution orientation of the industry. After the emotional correction of the market, it is expected to oscillate around the 50,000 yuan/ton mark [2]