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2025年9月PMI数据点评:PMI边际回升:供给推动
Group 1: Manufacturing Sector Insights - In September 2025, the Manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month[7] - The production index reached a six-month high at 51.9%, up 1.1 percentage points, indicating active manufacturing activities[13] - New orders index was at 49.7%, showing a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points but still in the contraction zone[13] Group 2: Raw Materials and Pricing - The main raw materials purchasing price index decreased slightly to 53.2%, down 0.1 percentage points, while the factory price index fell to 48.2%, down 0.9 percentage points[19] - The procurement volume index rose to 51.6%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points, indicating accelerated raw material purchases[21] Group 3: Non-Manufacturing Sector Performance - The services business activity index fell to 50.1%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points, with notable sector differentiation[22] - The construction business activity index was at 49.3%, a marginal increase of 0.2 percentage points, but still below the critical point[26] Group 4: Economic Policy and Risks - The government announced a new policy financial tool worth 500 billion yuan to support project capital, aimed at boosting infrastructure activities[27] - Real estate demand remains weak, posing a risk to overall economic recovery[28]
博华科技、珠海赛纬、海康机器等37家企业深交所IPO审核状态变更为“中止”
智通财经网· 2025-09-30 12:53
| | 有限公司 | | | | 洗V | | 海)事务所 | 事务所(特 通合伙) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 17 | 益丰新材料股份有限公 | 创业板 | 中止 | 山东 | 化学原料和化 | 中泰证券 | 北京市中伦律师 | 上会会计师 | | | 司 | | | | 学制品制造业 | | 事务所 | 所(特殊音 | | | | | | | | | | 伏) | | 18 | 山东春光科技集团股份 | 创业板 | 中止 | 山东 | 计算机、通信 | 中金公司 | 上海市锦天城律 | 致同会计师 | | | 有限公司 | | | | 和其他电子设 | | 师事务所 | 所(特殊音 | | | | | | | 备制造业 | | | 伏) | | 19 | 广西田园生化股份有限 | 主板 | 中止 | 广西 | 化学原料和化 | 国海证券 | 北京市康达律师 | 大信会计师 | | | 公司 | | | | 学制品制造业 | | 事务所 | 所(特殊音 | | | | | | | | | | 伏) | | 20 | ...
国内观察2025年9月PMI:季节性回升后关注政策落实
Donghai Securities· 2025-09-30 09:28
Group 1: PMI Overview - In September, the manufacturing PMI was 49.8%, up from 49.4% in the previous month[2] - The non-manufacturing PMI stood at 50.0%, slightly down from 50.3%[2] - The manufacturing PMI's increase aligns with seasonal trends, with a month-on-month rise of 0.4 percentage points (pct) compared to the previous value[2] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The production index rose to 51.9% (+1.1pct), indicating stronger supply than demand[2] - The new orders index increased to 49.7% (+0.2pct), while the new export orders index was at 47.8% (+0.6pct), showing resilience in external demand[2] - Overall, the supply-demand balance remains skewed towards supply exceeding demand[2] Group 3: Price Index Trends - The price index declined after three consecutive increases, with the main raw material purchase price index at 53.2% (-0.1pct) and the factory price index at 48.2% (-0.9pct)[2] - This reflects a weakening impact of "anti-involution" policies on upstream raw material prices, shifting focus to the actual implementation of policies[2] Group 4: Sector Performance - The equipment manufacturing PMI rose to 51.9% (+1.4pct), marking the highest point since March[2] - The consumer goods sector PMI increased to 50.6% (+1.4pct), driven by seasonal demand ahead of the upcoming holidays[2] - The high-energy-consuming industries PMI fell to 47.5% (-0.7pct), consistent with previous price index trends[2] Group 5: Non-Manufacturing Sector Insights - The non-manufacturing PMI decreased by 0.3pct to 50.0%, slightly below the five-year average[2] - In the service sector, travel-related consumption saw a seasonal decline, while financial services maintained high activity levels[2] - The construction PMI was at 49.3% (+0.2pct), with weather conditions impacting project initiation[2]
制造业景气水平继续改善 市场活力趋于上升——透视9月PMI数据
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-09-30 08:08
Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September is 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating continued improvement in manufacturing activity [1] - The production index rose to 51.9%, up 1.1 percentage points, reaching a six-month high, while the new orders index increased to 49.7%, up 0.2 percentage points [1] - Industries such as food and beverage, automotive, and aerospace equipment showed production and new order indices above 54.0%, indicating rapid demand release [1] Group 2: Market Demand and Supply - The procurement volume index increased to 51.6%, driven by the recovery in manufacturing production, as companies accelerated raw material purchases [1] - The new export orders index rose to 47.8%, up 0.6 percentage points, marking two consecutive months of increase, supported by stable performance in traditional export sectors [2] - The production-related indices indicate a steady increase in manufacturing activities since the second half of the year, with supply-side vitality continuing to rise [2] Group 3: Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index stands at 50.0%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points, indicating overall stability in the sector [3] - The service sector business activity index is at 50.1%, remaining in the expansion zone, with sectors like postal and financial services showing strong growth [3] - The financial sector's business activity index has risen above 60% for two consecutive months, indicating robust performance and support for the real economy [3] Group 4: Future Expectations - The production and business activity expectation index for September is 54.1%, up 0.4 percentage points, reflecting positive market outlook among manufacturing enterprises [2] - The service sector business activity expectation index is at 56.3%, indicating stable optimism among service industry enterprises regarding future development [4] - Experts anticipate a demand surge in the restaurant and entertainment sectors due to the upcoming National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, which may boost industry performance [4]
格林大华期货研究院专题报告:9月制造业PMI略低于荣枯线,服务业PMI小幅扩张
Ge Lin Qi Huo· 2025-09-30 08:02
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - In September, the manufacturing PMI was below the boom-bust line for the sixth consecutive month, showing production expansion and slightly weak demand. The service industry business activity index expanded moderately above the boom-bust line, but the new order index declined from the previous month. It is expected that counter-cyclical adjustment policies, including 50 billion yuan in new policy-based financial instruments, will be implemented in the fourth quarter [5][10]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Manufacturing Industry - **PMI**: In September, China's manufacturing PMI was 49.8%, below the boom-bust line for six consecutive months, up from 49.4% in the previous month. Large enterprises continued to expand in the prosperity range, medium-sized enterprises remained stable, and the decline of small enterprises narrowed [2][6]. - **Production Index**: The production index in September was 51.9%, up from 50.8% in the previous month, with accelerated production expansion for five consecutive months [2][6]. - **New Order Index**: The new order index in September was 49.7%, up from 49.5% in the previous month, indicating improved market demand, but still below the boom-bust line [2][6]. - **New Export and Import Order Indexes**: The new export order index in September was 47.8%, up from 47.2% in the previous month; the import index was 48.1%, up from 48.0% in the previous month. It is expected that China's exports will continue to grow rapidly in September [2][7]. - **Price Indexes**: The purchase price index of major raw materials and the ex-factory price index in September were 53.2% and 48.2% respectively. The former was in the expansion range for three consecutive months, while the latter declined from August. It is expected that the year-on-year decline of PPI in September will narrow to about 2.3% [3][7]. - **Inventory Indexes**: The raw material inventory index in September was 48.5%, up from 48.0% in the previous month; the finished product inventory index was 48.2%, up from 46.8% in the previous month. The rebound of the finished product inventory index was related to production expansion, and its sustainability depends on future new orders [4][8]. - **Employment and Expectation Indexes**: The employment index in September was 48.5%, up from 47.9% in the previous month, and the production and operation activity expectation index was 54.1%, up from 53.7% in the previous month, indicating a slight improvement in the employment situation and future expectations [9]. Non - Manufacturing Industry - **Overall Non - Manufacturing Business Activity Index**: In September, the non - manufacturing business activity index was 50.0%, down from 50.3% in the previous month [4][9]. - **Construction Industry**: The construction industry business activity index in September was 49.3%, up from 49.1% in the previous month, with a slight recovery but still weak. The new order index was 42.2%, up from 40.6% in the previous month; the employment index was 39.7%, down from 43.6% in the previous month; the business activity expectation index was 52.4%, up from 51.7% in the previous month. The real estate market was still at the bottom, and real estate development investment was expected to contract significantly in September, dragging down the construction industry [4][9]. - **Service Industry**: The service industry business activity index in September was 50.1%, down from 50.5% in the previous month. The new order index was 46.7%, down from 47.7% in the previous month; the employment index remained unchanged at 45.9%; the business activity expectation index was 56.3%, down from 57.0% in the previous month. Industries such as postal, telecommunications, and financial services were in a high - level prosperity range, while industries such as catering, real estate, and cultural and sports entertainment were below the critical point [4][10].
稳增长!国家统计局节前发布重要数据!
本报记者 孟珂 9月30日,国家统计局服务业调查中心和中国物流与采购联合会发布数据显示,9月份,制造业采购经理 指数(PMI)为49.8%,比上月上升0.4个百分点;非制造业商务活动指数为50.0%,比上月下降0.3个百 分点;综合PMI产出指数为50.6%,比上月上升0.1个百分点,我国经济总体产出扩张略有加快。 中国物流与采购联合会特约分析师张立群对《证券日报》记者表示,9月份PMI指数继续小幅回升,表 明稳增长多项政策的综合效果进一步显现。生产指数明显回升,采购量指数、生产经营活动预期指数回 升,显示企业生产经营活动有恢复迹象。同时要注意价格类指数均有不同程度回落,表明市场供大于求 的情况仍然比较突出;订单类指数均处荣枯线之下,需求不足问题仍需高度重视。 9月份,非制造业商务活动指数为50.0%,比上月下降0.3个百分点,位于临界点,非制造业业务总量总 体稳定。 服务业商务活动指数保持扩张。服务业商务活动指数为50.1%,继续位于扩张区间。从行业看,邮政、 电信广播电视及卫星传输服务、货币金融服务等行业商务活动指数均位于60.0%以上高位景气区间,业 务总量保持较快增长;同时,受暑期效应消退影响,与居民 ...
持续回升!国家统计局发布重要数据
Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September is 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating continued improvement in manufacturing sentiment [1][2] - The production index rose to 51.9%, the highest in nearly six months, reflecting active manufacturing production [5] - The new orders index is at 49.7%, showing a slight improvement in market demand [5] - Small enterprises' PMI increased by 1.6 percentage points to 48.2%, indicating an improvement in their economic conditions [5] - Key industries such as equipment manufacturing, high-tech manufacturing, and consumer goods have PMIs of 51.9%, 51.6%, and 50.6% respectively, all above the manufacturing average [5] - The production and business activity expectation index for manufacturing is at 54.1%, indicating a positive outlook for market development [5] Group 2: Services Sector - The services business activity index for September is 50.1%, remaining in the expansion zone [6] - Industries such as postal, telecommunications, and financial services have business activity indices above 60.0%, indicating rapid growth [6] - The business activity expectation index for the services sector is at 56.3%, reflecting stable optimism among service enterprises [7] Group 3: Composite PMI - The composite PMI output index is 50.6%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating overall expansion in production and business activities [8] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index are 51.9% and 50.0% respectively, contributing to the composite index's growth [8]
9月份制造业采购经理指数继续回升 
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-09-30 02:27
Core Viewpoint - The Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data for September indicates a slight acceleration in overall economic output in China, with the manufacturing PMI showing improvement while the non-manufacturing index remains stable at the critical point of 50.0% [1] Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Insights - The manufacturing PMI rose to 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating continued improvement in economic conditions [2] - The production index reached 51.9%, up 1.1 percentage points, marking a six-month high, while the new orders index increased to 49.7%, suggesting improved market demand [2] - Key industries such as food and beverage, automotive, and aerospace showed production and new orders indices above 54.0%, indicating robust activity, while sectors like wood processing and non-metallic mineral products fell below the critical threshold [2][3] - Small enterprises saw a PMI increase to 48.2%, up 1.6 percentage points, indicating a slight improvement in their economic conditions [2] Group 2: Non-Manufacturing PMI Insights - The non-manufacturing business activity index stood at 50.0%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points, indicating stability in overall business volume [4] - The service sector maintained an expansion with a business activity index of 50.1%, supported by strong performance in postal, telecommunications, and financial services [4] - The construction sector's business activity index slightly improved to 49.3%, reflecting a small recovery in construction activity [4] Group 3: Comprehensive PMI Insights - The comprehensive PMI output index increased to 50.6%, up 0.1 percentage points, indicating continued acceleration in production and business activities across sectors [5] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index contributed to the comprehensive PMI, standing at 51.9% and 50.0% respectively [5]
9月制造业PMI回升至49.8%
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-09-30 01:50
Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Overview - In September, the Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) reached 49.8%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating continued improvement in manufacturing activity [1][23][24] - The production index rose to 51.9%, up 1.1 percentage points, signaling accelerated production expansion in the manufacturing sector [3][24] - The new orders index increased to 49.7%, up 0.2 percentage points, reflecting an improvement in market demand [3][24] Group 2: Enterprise Size Analysis - Large enterprises reported a PMI of 51.0%, up 0.2 percentage points, remaining above the critical point and indicating stable expansion [3][24] - Medium-sized enterprises had a PMI of 48.8%, down 0.1 percentage points, indicating stable conditions [3][24] - Small enterprises saw a PMI of 48.2%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points, showing some improvement in conditions [3][24] Group 3: Sector Performance - Key sectors such as equipment manufacturing, high-tech manufacturing, and consumer goods reported PMIs of 51.9%, 51.6%, and 50.6% respectively, all significantly above the manufacturing average [25] - High-energy-consuming industries had a PMI of 47.5%, down 0.7 percentage points, indicating a decline in activity [25] Group 4: Non-Manufacturing PMI Overview - The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index stood at 50.0%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points, indicating overall stability in non-manufacturing business volume [8][26] - The service sector's business activity index was 50.1%, remaining in the expansion zone, while the construction sector's index was 49.3%, showing a slight recovery [11][26] Group 5: Composite PMI Insights - The Composite PMI Output Index was 50.6%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points, indicating a continued acceleration in overall production and business activities [20][27] - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index were 51.9% and 50.0% respectively, contributing to the composite index's growth [27]
国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧解读2025年9月中国采购经理指数
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-09-30 01:45
9月份制造业采购经理指数继续回升 ——国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧解读2025年9月中国采购经理指数 2025年9月30日国家统计局服务业调查中心和中国物流与采购联合会发布了中国采购经理指数。对此, 国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧进行了解读。 9月份,制造业采购经理指数为49.8%,比上月上升0.4个百分点;非制造业商务活动指数为50.0%,比上 月下降0.3个百分点;综合PMI产出指数为50.6%,比上月上升0.1个百分点,我国经济总体产出扩张略有 加快。 (一)服务业商务活动指数保持扩张。服务业商务活动指数为50.1%,继续位于扩张区间。从行业看,邮 政、电信广播电视及卫星传输服务、货币金融服务等行业商务活动指数均位于60.0%以上高位景气区 间,业务总量保持较快增长;同时,受暑期效应消退影响,与居民出行消费密切相关的餐饮、文化体育 娱乐等行业商务活动指数落至临界点以下。从市场预期看,业务活动预期指数为56.3%,今年以来始终 位于55.0%以上较高景气区间,表明服务业企业对行业发展预期稳定乐观。 (二)建筑业商务活动指数小幅回升。建筑业商务活动指数为49.3%,比上月上升0.2个百 ...