消息面上，中国中免近日发布公告，近日收到上海机场中标通知书，公司全资子公司中免集团为上海浦 东国际机场和上海虹桥国际机场相关免税店项目的中标人，并分别签署了进出境免税店项目经营权转让 合同。此外，北京首都国际机场免税项目招标目前正在进行，市场关注首都机场招标结果。 群益证券指出，9-10月离岛免税销售额分别同比增3%、13%，中国网资料显示11月离岛免税购物金额同 比增27%，海南旺季和离岛免税品类扩充将为公司今年Q4和明年Q1的业绩形成有力支撑。此外，12月 18日海南正式封关，预计未来海南地区政策扶持下离岛免税仍有较大增长空间。 智通财经APP获悉，中国中免(01880)反弹近7%，截至发稿，涨6.58%，报70.5港元，成交额1.23亿港 元。 ...

Group 1: Gold as a Core Asset - Gold is increasingly viewed as a cornerstone asset in a fragmented, fiscally constrained, and geopolitically uncertain world, reflecting deeper changes in the global financial system where trust, diversification, and resilience are as important as returns and growth [1] - Despite strong momentum, risks to gold in the near term stem from positioning and capital flows, with significant short-term volatility expected due to a major commodity index rebalancing in 2025 [1] Group 2: Euro and Dollar Outlook - The euro is expected to maintain a range-bound movement against the dollar in 2026, despite potential economic recovery in Germany, as the market has already priced in these developments [2] - The Federal Reserve's upward revision of U.S. economic growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026 is likely to support capital inflows into the U.S., limiting the euro's upward potential [2] Group 3: Thailand's Economic Growth Challenges - Lowering interest rates alone will not resolve Thailand's economic growth issues, with growth in the second half of 2025 impacted by reduced short-term tourism and flooding in southern Thailand [3] - Structural factors, including slowing income growth and export pressures on household consumption, will affect Thailand's economic outlook for 2026 [3] Group 4: UK Monetary Policy - The Bank of England is unlikely to signal a clear dovish stance due to persistent inflation above target, with any potential rate cuts framed as a gradual risk management shift rather than a full easing cycle [4] Group 5: U.S. Treasury Yield Projections - U.S. 10-year Treasury yields are projected to trade within a range of 4.0%-4.5% in 2026, with the possibility of reaching the upper limit in the second half of the year due to deteriorating deficit prospects [5] Group 6: Chinese Baijiu Industry Outlook - The Chinese baijiu industry is expected to see improved financial statements and clearer upward turning points in 2026, driven by a gradual recovery in consumer demand and innovative supply-side strategies [6] Group 7: Social Services Sector Stabilization - The social services sector in China is showing signs of stabilization and bottoming out after experiencing price pressures and same-store sales declines in 2024, with potential recovery in sub-sectors like hotels and duty-free shops [7] Group 8: Debt Market Projections - The central tendency of bond market interest rates is expected to rise slightly in 2026, with a forecasted range of 1.6%-2.0% for 10-year government bonds, influenced by neutral monetary policy and marginal improvements in the economic fundamentals [8] Group 9: Green Hydrogen Industry Development - Recent high-level meetings have set the tone for China's green development goals, emphasizing the acceleration of the green hydrogen industry as part of the broader transition to a low-carbon economy [9] Group 10: Liquid Cooling in Servers - 2025 is anticipated to be a breakout year for server liquid cooling, with significant shipments expected and increased participation from domestic manufacturers in the supply chain [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant changes in the duty-free operations at Shanghai airports, highlighting the transfer of management rights to China Duty Free Group and Dufoor, marking the end of Japan Duty Free's 26-year operation at these airports [3][5]. Summary by Sections Duty-Free Management Transfer - Shanghai Airport announced the signing of a contract on December 17, transferring duty-free management rights to China Duty Free Group and Dufoor, covering multiple terminals at both Pudong and Hongqiao airports [3][5]. - This transfer signifies the first large-scale entry of foreign duty-free operators into China's airport duty-free sector [3]. Contract Details - The management rights are set for 8 years, from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2033, with a revenue model based on "fixed rent + commission" [5]. - Fixed rents for Pudong T1 and T2 are 3141 RMB/㎡/month and 3090 RMB/㎡/month, respectively, with commission rates ranging from 8% to 24% [5]. - The new contract introduces an increase in operational area by 1564 square meters and expands product categories to include mobile phones, drones, baby products, health foods, and more [5]. Changes in Revenue Model - The revenue model for Shanghai Airport has shifted from a minimum guarantee based on sales to a fixed rent plus commission structure, which is expected to enhance revenue stability [5][6]. - The airport will also establish joint ventures with the new operators, allowing it to earn both rental income and a share of operational profits [6]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape for duty-free operations is evolving, with a notable reduction in commission rates to support operators in increasing sales [6]. - Japan Duty Free's exit from the Shanghai airport market is attributed to a lack of support from its major shareholder, China Duty Free Group, which now directly competes for these contracts [7][8]. Market Reactions - Following the announcement, Shanghai Airport's stock price rose over 7%, while China Duty Free's stock fell more than 4% [10].

随着首都机场新一轮免税店运营招标的启动，中国重要机场免税项目的竞争格局也在重塑。 上海浦东机场和虹桥机场的出入境免税店，都要换招牌了。 与此同时，上海机场在另一份公告中透露，将与杜福睿和中免集团分别设立免税合资公司，上海机场均 占49%股份，而合资公司将作为经营上海机场免税店的载体。这意味着，上海机场未来不仅可以获 得"免税租金"收入，还将分红免税店的运营收益。 "免税市场的竞争格局在变化，机场也在转变策略，通过大幅下调扣点率来让利免税店运营商做大免税 销售额，再通过成立合资公司实现双赢。"上海机场一位内部人士对记者分析。 记者注意到，最近几年，来自免税销售等非航业务的收入，是上海机场净利润贡献的一个重要原因。疫 情前上海机场与日上签署的免税店经营权转让合同中，扣点率一度达到42.5%，不过在2023年两家签署 的补充协议中，已经大幅下调了扣点率。 上海机场（600009.SH）今日公告称，12月17日与中免集团及杜福睿签订免税经营权转让合同，后两者 成为上海机场三个航站楼进出境免税店新的运营人。 其中，中免集团拿下上海浦东国际机场T2航站楼及S2卫星厅国际区域，以及上海虹桥国际机场T1航站 楼国际区域两个标 ...

来源：BUG 文| 《BUG》栏目 刘丽丽 上海机场免税店招标终于尘埃落定：两大机场的免税店业务，将分别由中国免税和外商独资企业杜福睿 经营。曾独占上海两大机场免税业务的日上免税行即将退出。日上免税行浦东机场某门店工作人员告诉 《BUG》栏目，门店不会关闭，还会继续营业，会有新的老板来接手，目前一切如常，尚未接到大促 通知。 实际上，此次中标的中免与失标的日上属于控股关系。 《BUG》栏目获悉，在此次招标中曾发生一些插曲：日上董事会中来自控股股东中免的多名董事反对 日上参加投标，这导致日上未能报名成功。在开标当天，日上派人来到现场并"强行"递交了材料，随后 日上的母公司中免提交了撤销日上投标的申请，最终结果是日上失标，中免中标。 中免和日上均未正面回应上述言论。中免投关部门人士称，此事是招投标项目总负责具体实施，一切以 官方的公告为准。日上工作人员则表示，有关问题要问中免，是否参与投标由法人决定。上海机场方面 人士表示，暂时没有未披露的信息，投标的相关具体情况建议咨询中免方面。 日上现场投标遭中免阻挠？ 中免是日上上海公司的控股和并表母公司，但在此次上海机场免税项目招标中，中免方面的董事反对日 上参加。知情人 ...

Core Viewpoint - The ownership of the duty-free business at Shanghai Airport has been officially transferred to Dufry and China Duty Free Group, marking a significant shift in the airport's duty-free landscape after over 20 years of operation by Dayong Shanghai [1][3]. Group 1: Contractual Changes - Shanghai Airport has signed contracts with Dufry and China Duty Free Group for an 8-year term, from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2033 [1]. - Dufry will operate the duty-free shops in the international areas of Terminal 1 and the S1 satellite hall at Pudong International Airport, while China Duty Free Group will manage Terminal 2 and the S2 satellite hall at Pudong, as well as Terminal 1 at Hongqiao International Airport [4]. Group 2: Financial Structure and Revenue Model - The contracts feature different term structures: Dufry's contract follows a "3+5 years" model, while China Duty Free Group's contract is structured as "5+3 years," both with performance assessment mechanisms [6]. - Shanghai Airport will invest up to 98 million yuan to establish joint ventures with both Dufry and China Duty Free Group, holding 49% stakes in each [7]. - The revenue model has shifted from a "minimum guarantee" to a "fixed rent + sales commission" structure, with specific monthly fixed rents set for different areas [10]. Group 3: Changes in Commission Rates - The sales commission rates have been significantly reduced, with new rates for Pudong Airport ranging from 8% to 24% and for Hongqiao Airport from 8% to 22%, compared to the previous range of 18% to 36% [11]. - The total operating area for duty-free shops has increased under the new contracts, with a requirement to introduce new product categories such as mobile phones and mini-drones [11]. Group 4: Regulatory Attention - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has issued an inquiry regarding the substantial decrease in both rental prices and sales commissions compared to the previous agreements, seeking clarification on the rationale and implications for future performance [11]. - The company anticipates that the new contracts will positively impact revenue from 2026 to 2033, reflecting a strategic shift towards a collaborative revenue-sharing model in response to intensified competition in the industry [11].

Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group (601888) (01880) experienced a decline of over 4%, currently trading at HKD 67.25 with a transaction volume of HKD 122 million [1] Group 1: Policy Changes - Starting from December 18, 2025, Hainan Free Trade Port will officially implement a full island closure, introducing a series of policies including import tax item catalog, tax policies for goods circulation, restricted item lists, and duty-free policies for domestic sales of processed goods [1] - Huaxi Securities (002926) indicated that with the continuous deepening of the company's retail network layout in Hainan, along with the gradual recovery of high-end consumption and optimization of Hainan Free Trade Port policies, the company's business operations are expected to continue to improve [1] Group 2: Business Developments - China Duty Free Group announced that it has received a bid notification from Shanghai International Airport, confirming that its wholly-owned subsidiary has won the bid for duty-free store projects at Shanghai Pudong International Airport and Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport [1] - The company has signed contracts for the transfer of operating rights for the duty-free store projects at Shanghai Pudong International Airport T2 terminal and S2 satellite hall, as well as the T1 terminal at Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport [1] - The market is currently focused on the upcoming disclosure of the bid candidates for the capital airport [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Duty Free Group (01880) experienced a decline of over 4%, currently trading at HKD 67.25 with a transaction volume of HKD 122 million [1] Group 1: Policy Changes - Starting from December 18, 2025, Hainan Free Trade Port will officially implement full island closure, introducing a series of policies including import tax item catalog, tax policies for goods circulation, restricted item lists, and duty-free policies for domestic sales of processed goods [1] - The gradual optimization of Hainan Free Trade Port policies is expected to positively impact the company's business operations as high-end consumption begins to recover [1] Group 2: Business Developments - China Duty Free Group has received a bid notification confirming its subsidiary as the winning bidder for duty-free store projects at Shanghai Pudong International Airport and Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport [1] - Contracts have been signed for the operation rights transfer of duty-free stores at Shanghai Pudong International Airport T2 terminal and S2 satellite hall, as well as at Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport T1 terminal [1] - Market attention is focused on the upcoming disclosure of the bid candidates for the capital airport [1]

12月18日，港股市场低开，恒生指数跌0.54%，恒生科技指数跌1.11%。 中信证券指出，离岛免税政策的优化与海南封关在即创造了潜在消费增量空间。重点建议关注财富效应 传导、供给端优化推动的经营拐点机会，包括受益于资本市场财富效应潜在传导的偏高端消费，如出境 游、酒店、博彩、免税、奢侈品&高端美护、高端地产物业等。 港股消费ETF（159735）跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数，该指数选取港股通范围内流动性较好、市值较 大的50只消费主题相关股票组成指数样本，采用自由流通市值加权，以反映港股通内消费类股票的整体 表现。 消息面上，据央视新闻，自2025年12月18日起，海南自由贸易港正式启动全岛封关。至此，进口征税商 品目录、货物流通税收政策、禁限清单、加工增值内销免关税政策、海关监管办法等一系列封关政策及 配套文件同步实施。封关是海南自贸港建设新阶段的开始，封关后还将不断扩大开放领域，持续完善政 策制度体系，努力打造引领我国新时代对外开放的重要门户。 甬兴证券表示，随着扩内需促消费系列政策逐步见效，线下销售有望稳步恢复。传统商超掀起新一轮改 革升级，回归商品和服务，传统商超在变革中摸索，调改初见成效，关注业绩边 ...

Core Viewpoint - Oracle's significant decline has triggered a collective drop in major tech stocks, leading to a more than 400-point drop in the Nasdaq index [1] Group 1: Market Reaction - The Hong Kong stock market opened lower after a brief rebound, with the Hang Seng Index down 0.54%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down 0.62%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index down 1.11% [1] - Major tech stocks experienced a collective downturn, with Xiaomi and Alibaba both falling by 2% [1] Group 2: Sector Performance - Software stocks, automotive stocks, and duty-free concept stocks also declined, with XPeng Motors down 2.3% and China Duty Free Group down 2% [1] - In contrast, some sectors showed resilience, with CICC's stock rising 7% as it plans to merge with Dongxing Securities and Xinda Securities, while biopharmaceutical and high-speed rail infrastructure stocks saw partial gains [1]