化工日报 | 2025-06-27 全钢胎开工率环比继续回升 市场要闻与数据 期货方面，昨日收盘RU主力合约14040元/吨，较前一日变动+270元/吨。NR主力合约12145元/吨，较前一日变动+335 元/吨。现货方面，云南产全乳胶上海市场价格14000元/吨，较前一日变动+250元/吨。青岛保税区泰混13950元/吨， 较前一日变动+250元/吨。青岛保税区泰国20号标胶1710美元/吨，较前一日变动+25美元/吨。青岛保税区印尼20号 标胶1650美元/吨，较前一日变动+25美元/吨。中石油齐鲁石化BR9000出厂价格11700元/吨，较前一日变动+0元/ 吨。浙江传化BR9000市场价11350元/吨，较前一日变动+0元/吨。 市场资讯 据隆众了解，进入下旬，半钢胎企业整体出货表现未有改善，国内市场进货压力较大，出口市场尚存支撑，多企 业延续控产，缓解库存增加压力。全钢胎企业表现稍显平稳，听闻，个别工厂次月有回收之前促销政策计划，短 期内或对市场拿货形成一定刺激，短期内关注其他企业价格政策动向。 据国家统计局最新公布的数据显示，2025年5月中国橡胶轮胎外胎产量为10199.3万条，同比下降1.2% ...

Group 1: Agricultural Products Market - The national edible agricultural product market price decreased by 0.2% from the previous week [1] - Average wholesale prices of six types of fruits slightly declined, with watermelon, banana, and grape decreasing by 3.2%, 1.7%, and 1.2% respectively [1] - Average wholesale price of 30 types of vegetables was 4.13 yuan per kilogram, down by 0.2%, with cauliflower, pumpkin, and garlic decreasing by 5.6%, 4.3%, and 4.2% respectively [1] - Poultry product wholesale prices continued to decline, with eggs and white-cut chicken decreasing by 0.8% and 0.6% respectively [1] - Grain and oil wholesale prices showed slight fluctuations, with soybean oil, rapeseed oil, and peanut oil decreasing by 0.2%, 0.1%, and 0.1%, while rice increased by 0.2% [1] - Aquatic product wholesale prices slightly increased, with crucian carp, large yellow croaker, and silver carp rising by 0.9%, 0.9%, and 0.6% respectively [1] - Meat wholesale prices were mainly up, with pork at 20.30 yuan per kilogram, down by 0.1%, while beef and lamb increased by 0.4% and 0.1% respectively [1] Group 2: Production Materials Market - Wholesale prices of finished oil slightly increased, with 0 diesel, 92 gasoline, and 95 gasoline rising by 3.3%, 3.3%, and 3.0% respectively [2] - Basic chemical raw material prices were mainly up, with methanol, sulfuric acid, and polypropylene increasing by 4.0%, 0.9%, and 0.9% respectively, while soda ash decreased by 0.4% [2] - Rubber prices continued to rise, with synthetic rubber and natural rubber increasing by 0.8% and 0.4% respectively [2] - Fertilizer prices showed slight fluctuations, with urea increasing by 0.2% and compound fertilizer decreasing by 0.2% [2] - Non-ferrous metal prices remained stable, with aluminum increasing by 1.0%, while zinc and copper decreased by 1.1% and 0.4% respectively [2] - Coal prices continued to decline, with coking coal and No. 2 smokeless lump coal decreasing by 1.0% and 0.1% respectively, while thermal coal remained stable at 750 yuan per ton [2] - Steel prices slightly decreased, with welded steel pipes, ordinary medium plates, and high-speed wire rod decreasing by 0.6%, 0.5%, and 0.4% respectively [2]

芳烃橡胶早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/06/27 P T A 日期 原油 石脑油 日本 PX CFR 台湾 PTA内盘现 货 POY 1 50D/4 8F 石脑油裂 解价差 PX加工差 PTA加 工差 聚酯毛利 PTA平衡 负荷 PTA负 荷 仓单+有 效预报 2025/0 77.0 646 898 5275 7165 81.77 252.0 369 -34 86.1 79.1 37020 265 0.40 | 6/20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/0 6/23 | 71.5 | 642 | 899 | 5260 | 7225 | 117.80 | 257.0 | 350 | 38 | 86.1 | 79.1 | 36600 | 275 | 0.55 | | 2025/0 6/24 | 67.1 | 586 | 859 | 5100 | 7225 | 94.11 | 273.0 ...

l 永 永安合成橡胶早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/6/27 | | | 指标 | 5/27 | 6/19 | 6/24 | 6/25 | 6/26 | 日度变化 | 周度变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 主力合约收盘价 | 11645 | 11770 | 11230 | 11225 | 11195 | -30 | -575 | | | | 主力合约持仓量 | 46976 | 15134 | 10659 | 7623 | 36383 | 28760 | 21249 | | | 点面 | 主力合约成交量 | 125942 | 81102 | 110263 | 37814 | 108330 | 70516 | 27228 | | | | 仓単数量 | 10070 | 6630 | 6630 | 6630 | 6530 | -100 | -100 | | | | 虚实比 | 23.32 | 11.41 | 8.04 | 5.75 | 27.86 | 22 | 16 | | | | 顺丁基差 | 155 ...

x产业期现目报 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年6月27日 现货价格及基差 品种 6月26日 6月25日 涨跌 涨跌幅 单位 云南国营全乳胶(SCRWF):上海 13850 13750 100 0.73% 全乳基差(切换至2509合约) -190 -20 -170 -850.00% 元/吨 泰标混合胶报价 13700 13600 100 0.74% 非标价差 -340 -170 -170 -100.00% 杯胶:国际市场:FOB中间价 46.95 47.20 -0.25 -0.53% 泰铢/公斤 胶水：国际市场：FOB中间价 57.50 -0.25 57.25 -0.43% 天然橡胶:胶块:西双版纳州 12600 12600 0 0.00% 13200 0 天然橡胶：胶水：西双版纳州 13200 0.00% 元/吨 原料：市场主流价：海南 12400 12400 0 0.00% 外胶原料：市场主流价：海南 9000 9000 0.00 0.00% 合约 6月26日 6月25日 涨跌 涨跌幅 单位 9-1价差 -845 -850 5 0.59% 1-5价差 -25 -5 -20.00 ...

Trade Situation - The US has initiated a full-fledged trade war, imposing a 130% tariff on Chinese imports, raising the global import tariff rate to 25.5%, the highest since the 1890s [1][10][13] - Global export losses due to the trade war are projected to reach $480 billion by 2025, significantly impacting major economies like China and the EU [1][14][16] Global Economic Outlook - Global GDP growth is expected to decline to 2.3% in 2025, the lowest since the pandemic, with the US and Eurozone both forecasted to grow at 0.8% [2][17][32] - Emerging markets, excluding China, are projected to grow at 3.5%, with some countries benefiting from trade agreements and import diversification [2][4] Inflation and Monetary Policy - Inflation in the US is anticipated to peak at 4.3% in 2025, prompting the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates until October before cutting them to 4% by year-end [3][41][50] - The European Central Bank is expected to lower rates to 1.5% as inflation pressures ease, contrasting with the US's inflationary challenges [3][51] Corporate Strategies - Companies are adopting short-term strategies such as frontloading imports and diversifying supply chains to mitigate tariff impacts, with about two-thirds of US firms likely to pass tariff costs onto consumers [4][11][24] - Global corporate bankruptcies are projected to rise by 7% in 2025, with significant increases in the US and Western Europe [4][11] Capital Markets - Capital markets have reacted negatively to the trade war, with expectations of further declines in bond yields and volatility in equity markets [5][11][12] - The mispricing of Trump's second term policies has led to a risk-off sentiment in the markets, although a recovery is anticipated by year-end [5][11][12] Regional Economic Projections - The US is expected to experience a mild recession in 2025, with GDP growth rebounding to 2.2% in 2026 due to policy support [6][28] - The Eurozone's growth is projected at 0.8% in 2025, with Germany's fiscal stimulus partially offsetting trade war impacts [6][28]

Group 1 - The State Intellectual Property Office of China has published a patent application titled "A Succinic Acid Composition and Its Preparation Method and Application" by Jinfa Technology Co., Ltd., Zhuhai Jinfa Biomaterials Co., Ltd., and Liaoning Jinfa Biomaterials Co., Ltd. The application date is March 2025 [1] - The patent describes a succinic acid composition that includes a combination of succinic acid and fumaric acid, with fumaric acid content ranging from 10 to 200 ppm. This composition is derived from biomass and is designed to enhance storage stability, maintaining high purity and low impurity levels over time [1] - The succinic acid composition is intended for polyester synthesis, effectively inhibiting side reactions during polymerization, thereby improving polymerization efficiency and yielding high-quality polyester products [1] Group 2 - Jinfa Technology Co., Ltd. was established in 1993 in Guangzhou, primarily engaged in the rubber and plastic products industry, with a registered capital of 2.636 billion RMB. The company has invested in 35 enterprises and participated in 122 bidding projects, holding 279 trademark records and 3,532 patent records [2] - Zhuhai Jinfa Biomaterials Co., Ltd. was founded in 2009 in Zhuhai, focusing on chemical fiber manufacturing, with a registered capital of 316.3 million RMB. The company has invested in 3 enterprises and participated in 58 bidding projects, holding 7 trademark records and 264 patent records [2] - Liaoning Jinfa Biomaterials Co., Ltd. was established in 2022 in Panjin, primarily engaged in the manufacturing of chemical raw materials and products, with a registered capital of 500 million RMB. The company has participated in 21 bidding projects, holding 1 trademark record and 65 patent records [2]

Core Viewpoint - The audit report for Shenzhen Yushun Electronics Co., Ltd. indicates that the company has made significant improvements in its financial performance and operational stability, alleviating previous concerns regarding its ability to continue as a going concern [6][10][19]. Group 1: Audit Process and Findings - The audit firm, Zhengyi CPA, conducted a thorough audit for the 2024 annual report, ensuring compliance with auditing standards and obtaining sufficient evidence to issue a standard unqualified opinion [10][14]. - Specific audit procedures were implemented for key financial metrics, including sales revenue, cost of goods sold, accounts receivable, inventory, and goodwill, with detailed testing and evidence collection [2][11][12]. - The audit included confirmation procedures for sales and receivables, with significant amounts verified, such as 39,742.49 million yuan in sales, representing 87.37% of total annual sales [4][11]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 22,028.24 million yuan, a 41.94% increase from 2023, driven by new business segments in gas detection instruments and electrical equipment [17][19]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 4,572.74 million yuan, a 93.73% increase year-over-year, with a net profit of 114.49 million yuan, indicating a turnaround from previous losses [17][19]. - The company maintained a reasonable financial position with a debt-to-asset ratio of 44.83% and a current ratio of 1.28, suggesting good liquidity and financial health [6][8]. Group 3: Operational Stability and Future Outlook - The company has not experienced significant disruptions in production or sales, maintaining stable operations over the past three years with consistent sales volumes around 120 million units [7][19]. - Recent acquisitions, such as the 75% stake in Shanghai Fubang Industrial Co., Ltd., are expected to enhance revenue and operational synergies, further improving the company's market position [9][19]. - The management has implemented measures to improve asset quality and operational performance, which are anticipated to yield positive results in the near future [10][19].

Group 1 - The company Zhejiang Shuangjian Rubber Co., Ltd. is undergoing a transfer of state-owned equity, where its major shareholder, Tongxiang State-owned Capital Investment Operation Co., Ltd., will transfer 21,000,000 shares (5.10% of total shares) to its wholly-owned subsidiary, Tongxiang Runtong Holdings Co., Ltd. [1] - The transfer of shares has been completed and registered with China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited on June 25, 2025, with the shares being unrestricted circulating shares [2] - Following the transfer, Tongxiang State-owned Capital Investment Operation Co., Ltd. will no longer hold any direct shares in the company, while Tongxiang Runtong Holdings Co., Ltd. will become the third-largest shareholder with 21,000,000 shares (5.10% of total shares) [2][3] Group 2 - The transfer of state-owned shares will not change the total number of shares held by the controlling shareholders and will not affect the actual controller of the company [3] - The transfer is not expected to impact the normal production and operational activities of the company [3]

Group 1: Research Basic Information - The research object is Shengbang Co., Ltd., belonging to the rubber products industry, and the reception time was on June 26, 2025. The listed company's reception staff included the board secretary Huang Jing and the securities affairs representative Zhang Chenxi [17] Group 2: Detailed Research Institutions - The reception object type is institutional relevant personnel, and the specific reception object is Southwest Securities, with Hu Guangyi from the securities company [20] Group 3: Main Content - The company currently has four business segments: automotive, electrical, aviation, and nuclear protection, based on rubber polymer materials. The automotive business is expanding product applications, the electrical business is moving from medium - low voltage to medium - high voltage products, and the aviation and nuclear protection businesses are being cultivated [22] - The company will continue to adhere to its current industry positioning, focus on rubber polymers, and promote applications in other industries while enhancing technological innovation and reserve capabilities [22] - The company has no clear and fully comparable competitors in the market, but in different application industries, there are competitors. For example, in the automotive business, some products compete with Zhongding Co., Ltd., Enfu, and SKF [23] - Currently, the automotive and electrical businesses contribute significantly to the company's performance, and the company will continue to invest and develop in these fields [23]