国信证券近日发布机械设备行业制造成长周报：2025年12月26日，工业和信息化部人形机器人与具身智 能标准化技术委员会成立，将主要承担人形机器人与具身智能基础共性、关键技术、部组件、整机与系 统、应用、安全等领域行业标准制修订工作。 以下为研究报告摘要： 核心观点 重点事件点评&重点关注：人形机器人、AI基建 事件1-工信部人形机器人与具身智能标准化技术委员会成立：2025年12月26日，工业和信息化部人形机 器人与具身智能标准化技术委员会成立，将主要承担人形机器人与具身智能基础共性、关键技术、部组 件、整机与系统、应用、安全等领域行业标准制修订工作。 政府新闻：新兴产业-12月26日，工信部：打造集成电路、新型显示、新材料、航空航天、低空经济等 新兴支柱产业。人形机器人-12月26日，工信部人形机器人与具身智能标准化技术委员会成立。 公司动态：人形机器人-12月23日，宁波东力（002164）携手尼得科传动技术，共筑全球精密传动新生 态；12月24日，震裕科技（300953）：子公司拟分别投资10亿元建设人形机器人精密模组及零部件产业 化项目和具身人形机器人驱动总成核心部件等项目；12月24日，宁波华翔（0 ...

Market Trends - The domestic market indices showed mixed performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3,965.12, unchanged, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.49% to 13,604.07 [2] Industry Commentary - The solar power sector saw a significant increase in new installations, with a month-on-month growth of 75% in November, totaling 22.02 GW of new capacity [5][8] - The coal import data indicates a continued upward trend in import prices, with November's average price reaching $73 per ton, despite a year-on-year decrease in import volume [11][13] Company Insights - The report highlights the company "Hengdong Light" as a national-level "specialized and innovative" small giant in the optical communication field, focusing on passive optical devices [15][17] - Hengdong Light's revenue is projected to grow rapidly from 475 million yuan in 2022 to 1.315 billion yuan in 2024, with net profit expected to increase significantly during the same period [17][18] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in the photovoltaic sector, including Aiko Solar and Longi Green Energy, as well as those involved in energy storage and market-oriented electricity [12] - The investment outlook for Hengdong Light is positive due to its competitive advantages and strong growth potential in the optical communication market [17][18]

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a significant structural divergence, with a stark contrast between hot and cold sectors, indicating a fierce competition for capital rather than a bullish trend reversal [3]. Group 1: Market Performance - The three major indices showed a rebound in the afternoon, particularly the ChiNext, but over 3,400 stocks declined, revealing a disparity between the index performance and individual stock results [1]. - The human-shaped robot sector emerged as a key highlight, driving related industries such as motors and film theaters, reflecting a concentrated investment in sectors with clear growth trends for the upcoming year [3]. Group 2: Sector Analysis - The human-shaped robot and film sectors are currently strong, but caution is advised against chasing highs during peak emotions; instead, investors should look for potential stocks within these sectors that have lagged behind [4]. - Conversely, sectors like solar equipment and insurance are experiencing significant declines, which may present long-term investment opportunities if the fundamental logic remains intact [4]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - In a market characterized by reduced trading volume, any potential upward movement in the market requires increased trading volume to be sustainable; otherwise, caution is warranted [4]. - Investors should either engage in short-term trading within the strongest sectors or focus on research in quieter areas to prepare for future market rotations, avoiding indecision that could lead to losses [5].

Currency and Market Trends - The offshore RMB has appreciated, breaking the 6.99 mark against the USD, reaching a high of 6.98555, while the onshore RMB also surpassed the 7.0 mark, the highest level since May 17, 2023. This appreciation is supported by foreign capital inflows, economic growth recovery expectations, and optimism in the tech sector [1] - After a significant drop, metal futures rebounded sharply, with COMEX silver rising over 5%, COMEX copper up over 3%, and LME nickel reaching a new high since April. The A-share non-ferrous sector showed resilience, recovering half of the previous day's losses [1][3] Company Developments - Meta announced the acquisition of AI company Manus, marking its third-largest acquisition since its inception, following WhatsApp and Scale AI. This move is expected to bolster market confidence in AI applications and the computing power industry [1][2] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed nearly flat, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index rose by 0.49% and 0.63%, respectively. The total trading volume in the two markets was 21,426 billion yuan, a slight increase from the previous day [3] - The market saw a higher number of declining stocks (3,481) compared to advancing stocks (1,840), with a median decline of 0.50% in individual stock prices [3] Sector Analysis - The humanoid robot sector experienced a significant surge, with key stocks like Sanhua Intelligent Control and Top Group seeing substantial gains. This was driven by rumors of supplier visits to North America and upcoming contracts [7][8] - The humanoid robot industry is transitioning from thematic investment to growth investment, with a focus on companies involved in the supply chain for Tesla [8][9] - The commercial aerospace sector remained active but faced some pullback after the humanoid robot sector's rise, with notable stocks experiencing high volatility [9] Future Outlook - The AI hardware sector is expected to see a recovery in market sentiment, particularly with upcoming annual performance forecasts from key stocks starting in mid-January [10] - The AI application sector gained traction following Meta's acquisition news, with several stocks hitting their daily limit up [10]

Group 1: Military Exercises - The Eastern Theater Command of the People's Liberation Army (PLA) is conducting significant military exercises and live-fire drills in designated maritime and aerial areas from 8 AM to 6 PM today, emphasizing a strong stance against separatism and interference to maintain national sovereignty and territorial integrity [1] - On December 30 at 1 PM, the Eastern Theater Command's army, in coordination with the navy, air force, and rocket forces, executed a long-range joint fire strike in the southern waters related to Taiwan, achieving the expected results [2] - The PLA organized naval and air forces to conduct verification, warning, and simulated strike exercises in the northern and southern waters of Taiwan, testing their integrated control capabilities [4] Group 2: Tax Policy Announcement - The Ministry of Finance announced that individuals selling residential properties purchased for less than two years will be subject to a full 3% value-added tax, while those selling properties held for two years or more will be exempt from this tax. This policy will take effect on January 1, 2026 [3] Group 3: Market Performance - The Shenzhen Component Index saw a slight increase of 0.23% during the morning session, while the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.1%. The total trading volume across the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets was 1.3039 trillion yuan, down by 103.9 billion yuan from the previous day [6] - Sectors such as gaming, film, and AI applications showed strong performance, with stocks like Baidu and Jin Yi Films hitting the daily limit, while sectors like the Hainan Free Trade Zone and retail faced declines [6]

Group 1 - CES 2026 will take place from January 6 to 9, 2026, in Las Vegas, showcasing the latest trends and innovations in consumer electronics and technology [1] - The event has evolved to cover a wide range of technology products, making it a leading global technology exhibition [1] - The focus of CES 2026 will be on AI, with various companies set to present their advancements in this area [1][2] Group 2 - Chinese brands are expected to make a significant impact at CES 2026, particularly in the smart cleaning robot sector, with companies like Dreame, Roborock, and Ecovacs showcasing their latest products [3][10] - Dreame plans to unveil two major technologies at CES 2026, including a "stair-climbing robot" and a future version of their cleaning robot featuring embodied intelligence technology [5][6] - Other notable participants include Stone and Ecovacs, with Stone teasing significant announcements and Ecovacs CEO scheduled to speak at the event [7] Group 3 - The competition in the lawn mowing robot market is intensifying, with companies like Navimow and Suton collaborating to showcase innovative solutions at CES 2026 [11] - The humanoid robot sector will also see participation from Chinese companies like Zhiyuan and Yuzhu, presenting their latest products and technologies [12][14] - Major global players such as Boston Dynamics and LG Electronics will also be present, highlighting the competitive landscape of the robotics industry [16] Group 4 - NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang will present at CES 2026, focusing on AI technology advancements and product developments [17][20] - AMD CEO Lisa Su will also deliver a keynote, discussing the company's AI solutions and new product offerings, including the Ryzen AI 400 chip [26][27] - The event will feature a new stage setup, CES Foundry, where major tech companies will showcase their latest AI technologies and products [27] Group 5 - Display technology will be a key focus, with companies like TCL and Hisense presenting new innovations in OLED and Mini LED technologies [29][31] - The competition in the display sector will include major brands from Japan and South Korea, with Sony and LG expected to showcase their latest advancements [32][33] - Lenovo will host a high-profile innovation conference during CES 2026, featuring prominent figures from the tech industry [33][36] Group 6 - The automotive sector will see significant participation, with companies like Great Wall Motors and Faraday Future showcasing their latest technologies and products [37][39] - New entrants like Kosmera are expected to reveal high-performance electric vehicles, indicating a growing trend in the automotive market [41] - The event will also feature technology suppliers like Qualcomm, highlighting the integration of tech innovations in the automotive industry [41] Group 7 - Smaller niche brands in the digital accessories and audio equipment sectors, such as Ugreen and Shokz, are also expected to make their mark at CES 2026 [42][44] - AI technology will be prominently featured across various product categories, including smart glasses and kitchen appliances [45][50] - The overall participation of Chinese companies is anticipated to increase, potentially surpassing previous records set in 2018 [51][52]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed mixed performance on December 30, with the Shanghai Composite Index experiencing a low opening but rebounding to record ten consecutive gains, while the total market turnover reached 2.16 trillion yuan. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower but rebounded, achieving ten consecutive days of gains [1] - The total market turnover was 2.16 trillion yuan [1] - The CSI A500 Index rose by 0.3%, the CSI 300 Index increased by 0.3%, the ChiNext Index went up by 0.6%, and the STAR Market 50 Index climbed by 1.0% [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 1.1% [1] Sector Performance - The human-like robots, ice and snow tourism, and embodied intelligence sectors saw significant gains [1] - The Hainan Free Trade Port, photovoltaic glass, and commercial aerospace sectors experienced notable declines [1] - In the Hong Kong market, the semiconductor, oil and petrochemical, and non-ferrous metals sectors strengthened, while the pharmaceutical and consumer sectors weakened [1]

Core Insights - The year 2025 is marked by significant technological advancements, particularly in artificial intelligence and commercial aerospace, reshaping economic and social development [1] - The technological wave is not only generating new productivity but also driving structural market trends, providing key coordinates for future investment directions [2] Group 1: Key Technological Trends - AI agents are evolving into autonomous partners, significantly lowering the barriers for AI technology development and application, leading to a surge in market expectations for Chinese tech innovation [3] - The supernode architecture is emerging as a critical breakthrough, integrating hundreds of chips into efficient computing units, paving a differentiated development path in global computing power competition [4] - The PCB industry is experiencing a technological leap, evolving towards higher layers, density, and reliability, marking China's transition from a manufacturing center to an innovation source in high-end manufacturing [5] Group 2: Strategic Developments in Computing and Energy - AI computing power is becoming a strategic digital foundation in international tech competition, with China's "East Data West Computing" strategy accelerating the construction of a green computing network [6] - Co-packaged optics (CPO) technology is crucial for enhancing computing efficiency, reshaping value distribution in the optical communication supply chain [7] - Controlled nuclear fusion is on the verge of breakthroughs, with significant advancements in China's "artificial sun" projects, attracting capital market attention [10] Group 3: Commercial Aerospace and Robotics - The commercial aerospace sector is entering a phase of intensive launches, with satellite internet constellations rapidly expanding, marking the beginning of a trillion-dollar space economy [11] - The humanoid robotics industry is reaching a turning point, with significant events indicating a shift towards mass production and application expansion [12] Group 4: Future Outlook and Investment Opportunities - The digital economy is transitioning to a strategic phase, integrating AI and data as core drivers, reshaping production and consumption efficiency [9] - Investment opportunities are expected to arise from the structural changes in flow logic due to the rise of AI, as well as innovations aimed at enhancing overall productivity [15] - The focus for 2026 will include AI deepening integration, autonomous innovation acceleration, and future industry trends, with specific attention to model iteration and cost-effective computing solutions [14][17]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed flat, marking a 10-day consecutive rise, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.49% and the ChiNext Index rose by 0.63% [1] - The Northbound Stock Connect Index fell by 0.4% [1] - Total trading volume across the three markets reached 21,612 billion yuan, an increase of 36 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Over 3,400 stocks declined across the three markets [1] Sector Performance - The humanoid robot, cinema line, AI agents, liquid cooling servers, oil and gas petrochemicals, digital currency, and semiconductor sectors saw the largest gains [1] - The mini-sized Jin Ying Gain Currency ETF experienced a notable increase of 5.01% [1] - The robotics sector surged in the afternoon, with several ETFs including Ping An Fund's Auto Parts ETF, Penghua's Robotics ETF, E Fund's Robotics ETF, and Invesco Great Wall's Robotics 50 ETF all rising over 4% [1] - The chemical sector also performed well, with E Fund's Chemical Industry ETF and Huaxia Fund's Petrochemical ETF rising by 2.57% and 2.45% respectively [1] - The non-ferrous sector saw an increase, with Wan Jia Fund's Industrial Non-Ferrous ETF rising by 2% [1] Declining Sectors - The Hang Seng Index's Hong Kong Stock Connect ETF continued to decline, dropping by 5.85% [1] - Gold prices fell, leading to declines in gold-related ETFs including the Gold Fund ETF, Shanghai Gold ETF, and Gold ETF, which all dropped by 2% [1] - The Hong Kong pharmaceutical sector continued to decline, with the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF falling by 1.55% [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the machinery equipment sector [5][11]. Core Insights - The establishment of the humanoid robot and embodied intelligence standardization technical committee by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) is expected to promote standardized development in the humanoid robot industry [2][19]. - ByteDance plans to invest $23 billion (160 billion RMB) in artificial intelligence in 2026, indicating a strong commitment to AI infrastructure investment [3][20]. Summary by Relevant Sections Humanoid Robots - The MIIT's new committee will focus on developing industry standards in key areas such as common technologies, components, systems, applications, and safety, which will help regulate the industry's growth [2][19]. - Long-term investment opportunities in humanoid robots are promising, with a focus on companies that are core suppliers to Tesla or have strong market positions, such as Feirongda, Longxi Co., Weiman Sealing, Hengli Hydraulic, and others [2][8]. AI Infrastructure - ByteDance's significant investment in AI infrastructure reflects ongoing commitment from major companies to expand in this area, with related industries expected to benefit [3][20]. - The report highlights the importance of gas turbines and liquid cooling technologies in AI data centers, suggesting that companies like Yingliu Co., Wanze Co., and others in the gas turbine supply chain should be closely monitored [3][8]. Key Company Earnings Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Several companies are rated as "Outperform," including: - Green Harmony (688017.SH) with a target price of 169.48 RMB and a market cap of 31.1 billion RMB [11][27]. - Huichuan Technology (300124.SZ) with a target price of 73.30 RMB and a market cap of 198.4 billion RMB [11][27]. - Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH) with a target price of 108.61 RMB and a market cap of 145.6 billion RMB [11][27]. - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying companies with strong positions in the humanoid robot and AI infrastructure sectors for potential investment opportunities [8][11].