养殖
Search documents
做精做细“牛文章” 审时度势“换打法”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 20:11
(来源:经济参考报) ——在精深加工上"求升级"。张继新说,遇到行业周期性调整,走好精深加工路线是"破局"的关键,既 可以大幅提升附加值来对冲原料降价损失,又可以延长产品保质期来平抑价格波动,还可以避免同质化 竞争来增强抗周期能力。公司奶业板块负责人张凤娥介绍,随着生鲜乳价格连续下跌,公司去年由"给 他人提供生鲜乳"转变为"自己生产乳制品",在生产奶粉、发酵奶等产品基础上,配套建设稀奶油、干 酪素等生产线。她说:"我们避开同大型乳企的正面竞争,瞄准国内市场盯住互联网平台,通过生产小 条包奶粉、承接定制乳制品代加工等业务,累计盈利800多万元,同时积极拓展东南亚等国际市场。" ——在经营管理上"要效益"。据介绍,公司严格实行扁平化管理,行政后勤岗位人员共用,800多名员 工中高管仅6人,90%以上员工都在生产一线,行政开支大幅压缩。公司尽可能使用机械化作业,养殖 场人畜比在1:100以上,高于1:80的行业平均水平,节省了大量人力成本。"重生产也重经营是企业发 展壮大的必然要求,多元化经营可以分散风险,不断提高市场竞争力。"张继新说,"养殖企业应把节约 意识、精算意识贯穿生产经营全过程,'小钱''小账'看似没多 ...
养殖产业链日报:震荡偏强-20251230
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2025-12-30 11:08
1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - The investment rating for the breeding industry chain in the report is "Oscillating with an upward bias" [1] 2. Core Views of the Report - The new soybean purchase price released on Wednesday has increased significantly compared to November, providing bottom - support for the spot price. Although state - reserve soybean auctions have increased supply, the strong demand before the Spring Festival has led to a strong trend in the spot and futures markets. However, attention should be paid to the market reaction after consecutive auctions of imported soybeans after New Year's Day, and the market will maintain a wide - range oscillation in the medium term [1] - The domestic corn market is in a consolidation and oscillation pattern with regional differences. In the Northeast market, growers are reluctant to sell due to lower storage difficulty, but the continuous auction of imported corn, sufficient downstream inventory, and weak purchasing enthusiasm have led to cautious trading. The far - month contracts may have a slight upward shift in the center of gravity and a rebound expectation after the supply pressure eases [1] - The low egg price and continuous losses have led to an inflection point in the decline of laying - hen inventory. Although the inventory is still at a high level historically and the supply is abundant, which suppresses the egg price, and the far - month price has no obvious driving force [2] - The inventory of breeding sows decreased in October 2025, and the speed and intensity of subsequent capacity reduction will determine the supply contraction. The current supply pressure of live pigs is still large, but the decline in the near - month inventory makes the far - month contracts in 2026 have the possibility of rising, which may be reflected in the futures market after the Spring Festival [2][3] 3. Summary by Related Categories Soybeans - The 2022 state - reserve soybean auction has increased market supply. The new soybean purchase price released on Wednesday is significantly higher than that in November, supporting the spot price. The high auction transaction rates before the Spring Festival indicate strong demand, keeping the spot and futures markets strong. Attention should be paid to the market reaction after consecutive auctions of imported soybeans after New Year's Day, with a medium - term wide - range oscillation [1] Corn - The domestic corn market is oscillating and consolidating, with regional differences. In the Northeast, growers are reluctant to sell due to lower storage difficulty, especially for high - quality corn. However, continuous imported corn auctions, sufficient downstream inventory, and weak purchasing enthusiasm in the breeding industry have led to cautious trading. Although the auction volume has increased, the market demand still exists, but the willingness to accept high prices is weak. The far - month contracts may have a slight upward shift and a rebound expectation after the supply pressure eases [1] Eggs - Low prices and continuous losses have led to a decline in laying - hen inventory. As of the end of November, the quarterly average of laying - hen inventory was about 1.356 billion, a 0.51% month - on - month decrease. However, the current inventory is still at a historically high level, with a high proportion of medium - and large - sized eggs, resulting in oversupply and suppressing the egg price. The far - month price has no obvious driving force [2] Pigs - In October 2025, the inventory of breeding sows decreased to 39.9 million, still higher than the industry's reasonable regulatory target of 39 million but showing a clear downward trend. The speed and intensity of subsequent capacity reduction will determine the supply contraction. The current supply pressure of live pigs is still large, but the decline in the near - month inventory, especially of breeding sows, makes the far - month contracts in 2026 have the possibility of rising, which may be reflected in the futures market after the Spring Festival [2][3]
中国资产2026年具备全球配置吸引力!招商基金朱红裕最新发声
券商中国· 2025-12-30 09:35
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has undergone a cyclical rise, with certain sectors and styles remaining undervalued, making Chinese assets attractive for global allocation in 2026. Key investment opportunities are identified in four main areas: globally competitive manufacturing leaders, industries with improving supply-demand dynamics, sectors with low valuations and potential for significant fundamental changes, and long-term high-return industries with mismatched valuations [2][4]. Group 1: Market Overview - The current A-share market is experiencing active trading volumes and turnover rates, but there is a notable differentiation among stocks, presenting both opportunities and risks. Some stocks are becoming expensive, while others, particularly in real estate and domestic demand, remain undervalued [3]. - The investment strategy for equities should focus on safety margins and certainty, avoiding blind speculation on volatility. The U.S. economy is not performing well, and potential monetary easing could occur in response to the upcoming mid-term elections, which may influence domestic fiscal policies [3]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Four key investment opportunities for 2026 are highlighted: 1. Long-term focus on globally competitive manufacturing leaders, including sectors like power equipment, batteries, electric vehicles, home appliances, chemicals, and machinery. Observations from Southeast Asia indicate a significant gap in infrastructure and supply chains compared to China, reinforcing confidence in China's manufacturing competitiveness [5]. 2. Industries with improving supply-demand dynamics, such as real estate, aquaculture, chemicals, and light industry, are expected to enhance their global market positions and profitability [5]. 3. Sectors with low valuations and potential for substantial fundamental changes, such as chemicals, are noted for their past performance shifts, similar to coal, steel, and non-ferrous metals in previous years [6]. 4. Long-term high-return industries with severe valuation mismatches, including airport and airline services, insurance, and non-liquor food sectors, are highlighted for their high return on equity (ROE) despite low stock attention [6]. Group 3: Risks and Considerations - Potential risks include persistent inflation and sector-specific risks. The undervaluation of the RMB may pressure export industries, and inflation could pose significant risks to the stock market in the latter half of the year. Additionally, long-term risks associated with AI, including its impact on labor and technological competition, warrant attention [6].
招商基金朱红裕:中国资产2026年具备全球配置吸引力
中国基金报· 2025-12-30 06:51
展望2026年,中国资产具备全球相对配置吸引力,一方面中国股票尤其部分港股相对便宜,另一方 面当前全球整体低配中国,随着海外新一轮周期的启动,海外资金大概率会溢出到A股、港股优质股 票。同时,朱红裕也指出,居民风险偏好有待长期机制解决。过去一段时间老百姓的风险偏好没有明 显增加,数据显示权益方面增加的主要是波动相对较小的权益或是"固收+",未来随着地产逐渐企 稳,有可能逐渐增加配置波动相对较大的权益资产。 日前,招商基金首席投资官朱红裕在红动中国2026财富前瞻论坛上发表了《预期差下的2026年权益 市场投资展望》的主题演讲。朱红裕认为,A股市场经过一轮周期性上涨,仍有部分板块与风格较为 低估,中国资产2026年具备全球配置吸引力,并重点关注四大主线机遇——具备全球竞争力的制造 业龙头、未来供需格局趋于改善的行业龙头、估值处于底部且基本面可能有较高变化的行业、长期盈 利回报较高且估值不匹配的行业龙头。 2026权益投资更注重安全边际与确定性 朱红裕指出,当前A股市场经过一轮周期性上涨后,部分板块与风格进入中后段。数据显示,当前A 股市场成交量和换手率比较活跃,但是现在这一轮行情中IPO发行、减持比较克制,因此 ...
唐人神12月29日获融资买入1155.57万元,融资余额4.16亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 01:28
分红方面,唐人神A股上市后累计派现9.72亿元。近三年,累计派现5090.17万元。 机构持仓方面,截止2025年9月30日,唐人神十大流通股东中,国泰中证畜牧养殖ETF(159865)位居 第三大流通股东,持股3182.97万股,相比上期增加1142.98万股。南方中证1000ETF(512100)位居第 四大流通股东,持股1310.28万股,相比上期减少17.08万股。香港中央结算有限公司位居第五大流通股 东,持股1214.65万股,相比上期增加126.10万股。银华农业产业股票发起式A(005106)位居第六大流 通股东,持股1013.80万股,相比上期增加7.43万股。中信建投价值增长混合A(025231)位居第九大流 通股东,持股820.00万股,为新进股东。 责任编辑:小浪快报 12月29日,唐人神涨0.00%,成交额7447.20万元。两融数据显示,当日唐人神获融资买入额1155.57万 元,融资偿还526.31万元,融资净买入629.26万元。截至12月29日,唐人神融资融券余额合计4.17亿 元。 融资方面,唐人神当日融资买入1155.57万元。当前融资余额4.16亿元,占流通市值的6.58 ...
湘佳股份募投项目延期:禽价低迷已完工项目未能实现预定收益 多年扩张增收不增利
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-29 10:38
出品:新浪财经上市公司研究院 作者:郝显 近日,湘佳股份发布公告,宣布对部分募投项目进行延期。公司称"养殖行业处于低迷周期,项目整体 进度放缓",事实上,在市场行情低迷影响下,前期已完工项目仍未能实现预定收益。 目前的湘佳股份经过持续扩张之后,固定资产和有息负债均处在高位。而公司毛利率持续下滑,费用率 下滑幅度有限,利润空间不断压缩。 湘佳股份募投项目延期 股东不断减持 12月26日,湘佳股份发布公告,拟对部分募投项目进行延期。2022年4月,湘佳股份发行可转债募资6.4 亿元(募资净额6.3亿元),主要投向两大项目——1350万羽优质鸡标准化养殖基地项目及1万头种猪养 殖基地项目。 截至2025年12月20日,公司募集资金已累计投入4.48亿元,募集资金账户余额为1.91亿元。本次拟对"夹 山镇栗山村张家山鸡场"、"夹山镇浮坪村鸡场(注)"、"太平镇滚子坪畜禽种苗基地"三个项目进行延 期,将达到预定可使用状态日期从2025年12月31日延期至2026年12月31日。 公司给出的原因是,由于宏观环境因素影响时间较长,在募投项目实施过程中,场地建设、设备购置等 各方面均受到了一定制约,且养殖行业处于低迷周期,项 ...
大北农签约泛嘉:为20000+持有工作贝员工谋福利,为企业增动力
Zhong Jin Zai Xian· 2025-12-29 06:56
大北农集团业务覆盖种业、饲料、养殖、动保、食品及农业互联网等全产业链,随着业务规模持续扩 大,员工差旅需求日益增长。分散的预订方式导致资源整合困难、成本居高不下,管理效率与员工体验 均有待提升。通过泛嘉商旅管理系统,员工可获得价格更优、选择更丰富的出行产品和服务;大北农的 费控、OA等系统与泛嘉全面对接,实现了数据的高效流转,保障了流程的合规透明,在提升员工体验 的同时,助力企业数字化转型。 在工作贝激励引导下,大北农员工可通过主动为企业节省差旅费用,获取相应的工作贝奖励。员工获得 的"工作贝"可在线上线下全场景进行消费抵扣,涵盖出行、购物、娱乐等日常需求,目前大北农近 20000名员工正在使用工作贝完成日常消费支付。"工作贝"激励机制有效激发了员工为企业节省成本的 主动性,形成"企业降本、员工获益"的双赢格局。 近日,农业高科技领军企业大北农集团与泛嘉达成合作。依托泛嘉一体化差旅管理解决方案及独具特色 的"工作贝"激励体系,推动差旅管理的数字化、智能化升级,在助力企业高效管控、稳健增长的同时, 全方位提升员工出行体验与职场幸福感,实现企业发展与员工满意的双向赋能。 泛嘉将持续拓展数字化服务优势,完善工作贝使 ...
长江期货养殖产业周报-20251229
Chang Jiang Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 03:20
长江期货养殖产业周报 长江期货股份有限公司交易咨询业务资格:鄂证监期货字[2014]1号 【产业服务总部 | 饲料养殖中心】 研 究 员:叶 天 执业编号:F03089203 投资咨询号:Z0020750 目 录 01 饲料养殖观点汇总 02 品种产业数据分析 01 生猪:供需阶段性错配,期价反弹承压 u 风险提示:生猪疫情、规模场散户出栏情况、需求表现、二次育肥和冻品节奏、政策 2025-12-29 u 期现端:截至12月26日,全国现货价格11.52元/公斤,较上周跌0.05元/公斤;河南猪价11.82元/公斤,较上周涨0.12元/公斤;生猪2503收至11645元/吨,较上周涨320元/吨;03合 约基差175元/吨,较上周跌200元/吨。周度生猪价格先跌后涨,窄幅震荡。周前期因为冬至备货结束后需求回落,养殖端出栏节奏加快,导致价格偏弱,后半段因肥标价差走扩, 二育介入和养殖端惜售带动价格反弹。期货主力03因估值偏低,在宏观情绪推升下偏强震荡,基差走弱。 u 供应端:9月官方能繁母猪存栏量小降,10月在政策调控和养殖利润亏损背景下,产能去化有所加速,但仍在正常保有量3900万之上,叠加生产性能提升,在疫 ...
近五年收益稳居前2%!兴银收益增强A(003628)净值再创历史新高
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-12-29 03:01
基金经理在三季报中表示,本产品净值在本季度创历史新高,我们坚持不到 20% 的股票仓位,并针对 可转债中位数超过 130 元、吸引力不足的现状大幅降低了转债仓位,仅保留部分 115 元左右的低价平衡 型品种。面对上证指数站上 3900 点创 10 年新高的行情,我们对市场短期走势保持谨慎,通过高性价比 资产管理回撤。配置方向上,因科技板块 PB 分位数达 85% 以上,我们耐心等待更有性价比的时刻; 重点关注国内受益于"反内卷"格局优化的化工、纯碱、玻璃等周期中坚,以及受益于海外电网更新和人 工智能电力拉动的电网设备(如变压器、电表);同时持续看好受益于招标生态改善和全球化运营的医 疗器械,并在消费数据压制股价时,增加对养殖、快递及白酒等板块的挖掘与审慎评估。我们希望通过 中性仓位与扎实的高性价比资产平滑净值波动,一如既往为投资者创造价值。 公开资料显示,兴银收益增强A(003628)成立日期为2016年11月28日,基金经理罗怡达,硕士研究 生,2024年1月加入兴银基金,现任研究与创新投资部负责人、基金经理;基金经理邓纪超,硕士研究 生,2017年12月加入兴银基金,现任权益投资部基金经理。Wind数据显 ...
A股分析师前瞻:多头势力聚集,“春季躁动”有望抢跑
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-12-28 13:08
华西策略李立峰团队称,岁末年初多头势力聚集,"春季躁动"行情有望抢跑。一方面,海外货币政策不确定性消退,后续国内春 节与"两会"召开时间较为接近,节前对两会的政策预期有望支撑风险偏好;另一方面,年初通常是保险、年金等绝对收益资金进 行新一轮配置的窗口期,在政策预期向好的背景下,增量资金入场意愿较强,近期国内机构资金、融资资金等已出现"抢跑"迹 象。 本周各家券商策略分析师整体依旧保持乐观。 | | 一周策略前瞻 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 芬商/分析师 结论 | 逻辑 | | 关注板块 | | 兴证策略 张启尧 言? | 要反映的是美元再度走弱叠加年末"结汇潮 人民币"破7"后,行业如何配 | | 人民币升值影响行业配置的四个逻辑: 盈利层面,1)人民币升值降低进口成 3)人民币升值提升国内居民购买力, | | | 近期人民币加速升值引发市场关注。背后主 | | | | | | | 本,原材料进口依赖度较高的行业受 | | | | | 益;2)人民币升值驱动外币负债成本 | | | " 带动下,人民币相对其他非美货币的"补 | | 下降,持有较多美元负债的行业受益; | ...