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非农报告超预期,细节暗示关税影响!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-05-02 12:52
Group 1 - The latest non-farm payroll report indicates that the U.S. added 177,000 jobs in April, exceeding the expected 130,000 [1] - The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.2%, aligning with market expectations [1] - Average hourly wage growth year-over-year was recorded at 3.8%, slightly below the expected 3.9% [1] Group 2 - The revisions for February and March non-farm employment numbers showed a downward adjustment of 58,000 jobs combined [1] - The healthcare, transportation and warehousing, financial activities, and social assistance sectors continued to see job growth [3] - The construction sector added 11,000 jobs, which was anticipated due to expected spring activity [3] Group 3 - The transportation and warehousing sector added 29,000 jobs, potentially indicating an increase in tariffs [3] - Average hourly wage growth was slightly below expectations at 0.2%, compared to the anticipated 0.3% [3] - Year-over-year wage growth of 3.8% outpaced consumer price inflation, leading to real income growth [3]
美国4月ADP就业人数增长6.2万人不及预期 为九个月来的最低增速
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-04-30 12:52
Core Insights - The ADP employment report for April indicates a significant slowdown in job growth, with an increase of only 62,000 jobs, the slowest pace in nearly nine months, falling short of the expected 115,000 jobs and down from the previous month's 155,000 jobs [2][3] Employment Changes by Sector - Job growth in the goods-producing sector was 26,000, while the service-providing sector added 34,000 jobs [4] - Notable declines were observed in education and health services (-23,000), information (-8,000), and professional/business services (-2,000) [4] - The leisure and hospitality sector saw an increase of 27,000 jobs [4] Regional Employment Changes - The Midwest region experienced the highest job growth with 42,000 jobs added, while the South saw a minimal increase of 3,000 jobs [4] - The New England area reported a loss of 33,000 jobs, contrasting with the Middle Atlantic's gain of 43,000 jobs [4] Employment by Establishment Size - Small establishments (1-19 employees) added 20,000 jobs, while medium establishments (50-249 employees) contributed 21,000 jobs [4] - Large establishments (500+ employees) added 12,000 jobs, indicating a more cautious hiring approach among larger firms [4] Wage Growth Insights - Job switchers experienced a wage growth of 6.9%, the highest since December 2024, while those remaining in their positions saw a wage increase of 4.5%, slightly down from March [6] Economic Context - Economic uncertainty is impacting employer hiring decisions, with concerns about policy and consumer uncertainty [3] - The labor market is described as "mixed," with some sectors experiencing job losses while others see moderate hiring [11] - Consumer sentiment remains cautious, with worries about rising unemployment and stagnant income growth [8]
美国就业市场拉响警报:4月“小非农”断崖式暴跌!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-04-30 12:43
Group 1 - The U.S. private sector added only 62,000 jobs this month, marking the smallest increase since July 2024 and significantly below the expected 115,000 jobs [1][3] - Wage growth has also slowed, with salaries for employees staying in their current positions rising by 4.5% year-on-year, down 0.1 percentage points from March, while salaries for job switchers increased to 6.9%, up 0.2 percentage points [3] - The leisure and hospitality sector saw the largest job increase, adding 27,000 positions, followed by trade, transportation, and utilities (21,000), financial activities (20,000), and construction (16,000) [3] Group 2 - The report comes amid increasing uncertainty regarding the impact of Trump's tariff policies on corporate hiring plans and the broader economic situation [3] - The ADP data serves as a leading indicator for the Labor Department's non-farm payroll report, which is expected to show a job growth of 135,000, with the unemployment rate remaining unchanged at 4.2% [3]
关税和国际贸易不确定性飙升 美国4月就业大幅放缓
news flash· 2025-04-30 12:30
Core Insights - The ADP report indicates a significant slowdown in hiring in April, with only 62,000 jobs added, the smallest increase since July 2024, attributed to uncertainties from tariffs imposed by President Trump on trade partners [1] - Wage growth has also declined, with year-over-year wage growth for job switchers increasing to 6.9%, up by 0.2 percentage points, while the growth for those not changing jobs decreased to 4.5%, down by 0.1 percentage points [1] Industry Analysis - The leisure and hospitality sector saw the largest job increase, adding 27,000 positions [1] - Other sectors that experienced job growth include trade, transportation, and utilities (21,000), financial activities (20,000), and construction (16,000) [1] - Conversely, education and health services lost 23,000 jobs, and information services saw a decrease of 8,000 jobs [1]