随着 2026年临近，展望未来一年宏观经济与资本市场运行环境，一方面，稳增长政策仍将持续落 地，经济数据预计有望逐步改善，从而为本轮慢牛、长牛行情提供基本面支撑；另一方面，我国经济 转型仍在持续推进。 在"十五五"规划中被重点强调的科技创新方向，包括芯片半导体、人工智能、低空经济、固态电 池、生物医药以及人形机器人等领域，仍将是未来经济增长的重要亮点。 在整体工业增加值增速相 对偏低的背景下，这些新兴产业已呈现出较为明显的增速回升态势，预计在2026年仍将延续较快增 长趋势。因此，科技牛行情更偏向于中长期机会，而非短期主题炒作，在以科技创新为主导的经济增 长模式下，科技类资产仍值得长期关注。 与 2025年科技股"一枝独秀"的结构性行情相比，2026年的市场环境更有可能呈现出板块轮动加 快、参与面扩大的特征， 市场形态或更接近全面牛市。 指数层面，有望在前期高点之上进一步拓展 运行空间，新能源、消费白马、有色金属、军工等板块也可能逐步活跃，带动整体赚钱效应改善。 年底的阶段性调整并不会改变 A股市场慢牛、长牛的总体趋势，其本质更多是通过震荡出清短期浮 筹，为下一阶段行情积蓄动能。回顾全年，人工智能相关科技板块 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the current slow bull market in A-shares is expected to continue for two to five years, with an annual index increase of 10% to 20% being common [1][7] - The market has entered a new phase, transitioning from a structure bull to a comprehensive bull market, with various sectors expected to perform, not just technology stocks [2][8] - The recent political meetings have set a positive tone for macroeconomic policies, which will further support the capital market and economic growth [3][9] Group 2 - There is a significant shift of household savings towards the capital market, with over 165 trillion yuan in deposits and a notable increase in new stock accounts and fund sales [4][10] - The stock market is seen as a historical investment opportunity, especially as the real estate investment phase ends, emphasizing the need for investors to adopt rational investment strategies [5][11] - The technology innovation sectors, including humanoid robots and AI, remain key investment themes, while consumer stocks are also expected to recover in valuation [3][9]

● 本报记者 王辉 A股市场已步入年度收官阶段。一边是人工智能（AI）、人形机器人、商业航天等主题和概念持续催 化，另一边则是年末资金调仓带来的现实压力。近期"纠结"的盘面，考验着每一位市场参与者的神经。 来自多家一线私募的最新研判和真实投资心态，共同勾勒出复杂而多维的年末科技股投资图景——既有 对长期趋势的坚定共识，也有对短期风险的清醒认知，还有应对当前复杂局面的多元灵活策略。 年末研判存分歧 在科技股的中长期投资逻辑方面，私募机构间几乎没有分歧。明泽投资创始人马科伟称，重要会议的战 略定调与"十五五"规划预期的明朗化，为科技板块提供了坚实的政策支撑，"以创新驱动发展的中长期 逻辑依然稳固"。老牌百亿级私募淡水泉认为，科技及先进制造板块在外需拉动与技术升级的双重驱动 下，"展现出较强的增长动能"。 当目光投向2026年，私募机构的布局思路展现出极强的共识性和前瞻性。AI与机器人，被视为确定性 最高的两大核心主线。 几乎所有受访机构都浓墨重彩地强调了AI领域，尤其是算力基础设施方向的机遇。宝晓辉认为，算力 基础设施方向深度绑定全球产业迭代与国产替代双逻辑，"业绩高增长具备强确定性"。知名外资私募锐 联景淳创始 ...

Core Viewpoint - The investment outlook for 2026 focuses on the "engineer dividend" in China, emphasizing the potential for growth in technology sectors driven by a rising number of high-educated workers and STEM graduates [6][64]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy highlights the early stage of the engineer dividend in China, with many industries still in a "land grab" phase, leading to low profit margins but potential for future profit increases as technology advantages solidify [8][66]. - Key investment directions include technology-related sectors such as computing power, innovative pharmaceuticals, and AI applications, which reflect the engineer dividend [9][67]. - The growth of tokens in internet technology companies is seen as a positive indicator, with token consumption doubling approximately every 4-5 months, suggesting strong user engagement [34][67]. Group 2: Market Trends - The Hang Seng Technology Index's relative underperformance compared to A-shares has returned to historical lows, indicating potential for recovery [68]. - Attention is given to the possibility of PPI turning positive next year, which could influence market dynamics and lead to opportunities in new consumption and cyclical sectors [10][69]. Group 3: AI and Technology - The discussion includes the positive cycle between overseas computing power investments and revenue, particularly in AI, which is expected to see significant growth in annual recurring revenue (ARR) [73][74]. - Concerns about AI market bubbles are addressed, with comparisons to the 2000 dot-com bubble, emphasizing that current capital expenditures are aligned with cash flow growth, reducing debt concerns [79][80]. Group 4: Consumer Trends - The investment strategy also considers new consumption trends in China, which are expected to experience three significant consumption surges at different life stages, creating investment opportunities [47][102]. - The focus is on understanding generational differences in consumption patterns and product preferences, which will shape the new consumption landscape [102]. Group 5: Industry Innovations - The human-robot industry is identified as being in the early stages of development, with potential for tenfold growth in demand as products are refined and supply increases [93]. - The renewable energy sector is highlighted for its global leadership in technologies such as solid-state batteries and photovoltaic systems, indicating strong competitive advantages [94].

Group 1 - Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region aims to create a more closely integrated collaborative innovation community, focusing on building an international technology innovation center [1] - The region will leverage national laboratories, research institutes, and universities in Beijing to enhance the output and transformation capabilities of major original achievements [1] - The Xiong'an New Area is experiencing rapid development, with over 1,000 students enrolled in schools supported by Beijing and a cumulative outpatient volume of over 510,000 at Xiong'an Xuanwu Hospital [1] Group 2 - The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei intelligent connected new energy vehicle technology ecological port has reached 42 projects, with over 300 key component enterprises from Tianjin and Hebei entering the supply chains of leading companies like Beijing Benz and Xiaomi [2] - The region plans to build a more competitive industrial chain cluster, attracting leading component enterprises to settle in the ecological port [2] - There is an emphasis on accelerating the humanoid robot industry chain project and enhancing cooperation with key parks in Tianjin and Hebei to improve industrial collaboration efficiency [2]

Group 1 - The report indicates that the electric power equipment and new energy industry narrative is based on the dual themes of "new power system construction + digital infrastructure construction" under the ongoing "dual carbon" strategy and rapid development of the digital economy [3][12][25] - The electric new energy sector has shown significant performance, with an overall increase of approximately 38.4% year-to-date, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which increased by 15.7% [16][18] - The report categorizes investment opportunities into two main lines: "new growth" and "high-quality development," analyzing various segments of the electric new energy industry [3][25] Group 2 - In the "new growth" category, key areas include AIDC, solid-state batteries, and humanoid robots, driven by global energy transition, technological advancements, and increasing demand [3][25][13] - The "high-quality development" category highlights storage, wind power, and photovoltaic sectors, with improvements in economic viability and market conditions leading to increased demand and profitability [4][26][13] - The report emphasizes the importance of solid-state batteries, which offer high energy density and safety, and are expected to see accelerated industrialization supported by favorable policies [30][32][41] Group 3 - The report provides earnings forecasts and valuations for key companies in the electric new energy sector, indicating a positive outlook for companies like CATL, Xiamen Tungsten, and others, with recommended ratings [5][27][28] - The analysis includes specific EPS and PE ratios for various companies, suggesting strong growth potential in the coming years [5][27][28] - The report also discusses the competitive landscape and technological advancements in the solid-state battery market, highlighting the importance of material innovations and safety improvements [30][41][45]

据介绍，自协同发展战略实施以来，京津冀三地合力打造协同创新共同体，加快构建"六链五群"产业布局，共同做大产业"蛋糕"。数据显示，2024年京津冀 经济总量达11.5万亿元，三地GDP增速均超全国平均水平；今年1—3季度，三地GDP同比增长5.4%，区域经济发展势头持续向好，高质量发展动力源作用进 一步显现。 会上，北京市发展改革委党组成员、市协同办副主任、京津冀联合办副主任周浩透露，下一步，京津冀三地将坚持创新驱动，聚焦"六链五群"主阵地，推动 形成一批标志性成果，筑牢高质量发展动力源根基。打造更加紧密的协同创新共同体。同时，三地将共同建设北京（京津冀）国际科技创新中心，发挥在京 国家实验室、科研院所、高校等功能作用，持续提升重大原创性成果产出和转化能力，构建一体化协同创新生态。做强京津冀国家技术创新中心，加快颠覆 性项目在区域转化落地，完善科技成果转化服务体系，提升转化效能。 12月17日，北京市人民政府新闻办公室召开"一张蓝图绘到底 建设国际一流的和谐宜居之都"新闻发布会。会上，北京商报记者了解到，自北京城市总体规 划实施以来，"十四五"时期北京输出津冀技术合同成交额超2300亿元，较"十三五"实现翻番。 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：六里投资报 12月16日，兴业证券全球首席策略分析师张忆东团队发布最新报告《登高稳行：成长乘势聚力，价值重 构红利》， 全面地展望了市场2026年走向，资金面情况，后续策略等，并详细指出了重点看好的机会。 张忆东提出，美联储降息幅度可能超当前市场预期， 甚至可能重启资产购买，或收益率曲线控制等非常规操作。 而美元2026年将延续疲弱趋势，这有利于全球流动性延续宽松格局。 中国经济方面，张忆东指出， 人民币对美元汇率可能重回"6字头"，并且2026年中国名义GDP有望改善， 将成为吸引更多配置型外资回流中国资产的重要驱动力。 尤其是在科技和非必需消费品板块，这些领域历来是外资偏好的投资方向， 2026年上半年，有望出现空头回补带动的行情； 中国庞大的中长线资金，也有望进一步提升权益投资规模。 资金面内外齐发力，叠加2026年盈利和估值双提升的潜力依然较大， 张忆东判断"2026年港股牛市将继续"，且盈利、流动性有望协同驱动行情。 投资主线上，张忆东强调"AI科技浪潮不会轻易结束"， 并聚焦互联网、端侧AI、传媒等新逻辑新动能； 中国 ...

Core Insights - The trend of Chinese technology companies entering the Middle East market is growing, with many opting for joint ventures with local firms to minimize localization costs [1][12] - The UAE, particularly Dubai, is becoming a significant hub for investment and development, especially in sectors like tourism, digital economy, and artificial intelligence [2][12] Group 1: Market Opportunities - The Middle East is seen as a lucrative market due to its strong purchasing power and profitability, with Saudi Arabia and the UAE being the most popular destinations for Chinese enterprises [7] - The UAE's logistics market is projected to exceed $20 billion, driven by e-commerce and cross-border trade, with a steady growth rate of 6-8% annually [8] - Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 aims to diversify its economy away from oil, creating new demands in construction, tourism, and manufacturing, attracting Chinese companies [9][10] Group 2: Company Activities - Chinese companies like 9Sight Intelligent and others are actively participating in local exhibitions and forming partnerships, such as the joint venture AutoLogiX with 7X Group for urban logistics [4][5] - Companies like Lalamove and Meituan Keeta are expanding their operations in the UAE, with Keeta already establishing multiple drone delivery routes in Dubai [8][13] - The presence of Chinese internet and e-commerce companies is increasing, with local consumers adopting platforms like Temu and Shein for their affordability [8] Group 3: Industry Trends - The integration of advanced technologies such as AI, robotics, and autonomous vehicles is gaining traction in the Middle East, with local governments showing openness to innovative tech applications [12][13] - The AI market in the UAE is expected to reach $46 billion by 2030, with a significant portion of local businesses maintaining or increasing their AI investments [12] - The initial stage of Chinese companies' expansion into AI and robotics in the Middle East is characterized by limited applications and a focus on pilot projects [11]

Group 1 - The core event is the successful listing of Muxi Co., Ltd. on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board, marking it as the second domestic GPU leader to go public in A-shares, with a first-day opening price of 700 RMB, a surge of 568.83%, and a closing increase of 692.95%, leading to a market capitalization exceeding 332 billion RMB [1][4] - The listing reflects a significant demand in the secondary market for "fully functional high-end GPUs," indicating a shift in the market's focus towards domestic technology and innovation [1][2] - The Central Economic Work Conference has emphasized the dual-track deployment of "deepening and expanding 'Artificial Intelligence +'" and "improving AI governance," signaling a strategic shift towards systemic industrial empowerment [2] Group 2 - The emergence of domestic GPU companies like Muxi and Moer Thread represents a critical move towards achieving "computing power sovereignty" in China, breaking the long-standing monopoly held by global giants like NVIDIA [3] - Muxi Co., Ltd. has committed to independent research and development, aiming for a fully controllable process from instruction set architecture to software ecosystem, which has gained increasing support from national policies [3] - The funds raised from the IPO will be allocated to three major projects: the development and industrialization of new high-performance general-purpose GPUs, AI inference GPUs, and high-performance GPU technology for emerging applications, aiming to enhance the company's product line and technological reserves [5] Group 3 - The AI landscape in China is evolving, with companies like Zhipu AI emerging as strong contenders in the large model sector, boasting a valuation exceeding 40 billion RMB and significant commercial success [6][7] - Zhipu AI's annual recurring revenue has surpassed 140 million RMB, with a tenfold increase in subscription service users within two months of launching its flagship model, indicating a successful transition from technology to commercial value [7] - The company is expanding its revenue sources beyond traditional government clients to a broader developer community and enterprise customers, showcasing its potential in the post-ChatGPT era [7] Group 4 - The concept of "embodied intelligence" is gaining traction, with companies like Yushu Technology on the verge of becoming the first A-share listed company in this field, focusing on humanoid robots and aiming for mass production [8][9] - Yushu Technology plans to raise 3 billion RMB to expand its humanoid robot production line, with its G1 robot priced at 99,000 RMB, significantly lower than competitors like Tesla's Optimus, thus accelerating the commercial viability of humanoid robots [9] - The increasing demand for humanoid robots is driven by demographic changes and labor market shifts, positioning them as strategic resources rather than mere toys [9] Group 5 - The narrative of the Chinese AI industry is being shaped by companies like Muxi, Zhipu AI, and Yushu Technology, which are seen as the builders of China's future competitiveness in the global tech landscape [10] - The investment strategies of firms like Kun Yuan Asset emphasize long-term commitment to hard technology and alignment with national strategies, reflecting a broader vision for the future of AI and technology in China [10]