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【环球财经】俄劳动力短缺降至2023年水平
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 00:40
Core Insights - The labor shortage issue in Russia has eased, with the personnel supply rate dropping to -25.7 points in Q3, returning to 2023 levels [1] - The agricultural and water supply sectors continue to face the most severe labor shortages [1] - The Central Bank of Russia predicts that by the end of 2025, companies will tighten their hiring plans and be more cautious in assessing the need for new employees [1] - Employers are adopting a more cautious approach to salary increases, with plans to raise salaries by only 0.8% in Q4, primarily targeting specific skilled professionals [1] - Most companies are not considering adjustments to the salaries of all employees at this time [1] - The Russian labor market is expected to be overheated in 2024, with unemployment rates hitting historical lows [1] - As economic growth slows, the demand for labor is decreasing [1]
湖北发布“十五五”发展新蓝图 12项重点任务推动“基本建成支点”
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-11-24 00:32
长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 李璟 未来五年怎么干?湖北明确了总体目标。 11月22日,中共湖北省委召开新闻发布会,解读省委十二届十一次全会精神。 会上披露,湖北省委十二届十一次全会于11月21日在武汉胜利召开,全会全面总结了"十四五"时期湖北经济社会 发展的主要成就,深入分析了"十五五"时期湖北发展的历史方位和阶段性特征,科学确定了"十五五"时期湖北发 展目标,系统部署了12个方面重点任务,突出强调了坚持和加强党的全面领导。 全会审议通过了《中共湖北省委关于制定全省国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》(下称《建 议》)。《建议》全面贯彻落实党的二十届四中全会精神,锚定湖北加快建成中部地区崛起的重要战略支点的使 命任务,确定了未来五年湖北发展的总体目标:推动加快建成中部地区崛起的重要战略支点取得决定性进展。 中共湖北省委副秘书长、省委政研室主任陈宏斌表示,"推动加快建成中部地区崛起的重要战略支点取得决定性进 展"就意味着"基本建成支点",保持了湖北支点建设战略部署的连续性、稳定性,体现了一张蓝图绘到底的战略定 力。 围绕实现这一总体目标,湖北对未来五年发展作出系统谋划,总的考虑是深入实施"七大战略",整 ...
调研|在新疆产业链上游,保险如何成为风险治理的“前置力量”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-24 00:23
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the shift in risk management practices in Xinjiang, where insurance is increasingly integrated into the entire industrial chain, moving from post-disaster compensation to proactive risk prevention and management [1][15]. Risk Management Shift - Risk management is transitioning from post-disaster compensation to pre-disaster prevention, with insurance now embedded in various stages of the industrial chain [1]. - In Akesu, a pilot project for hail prevention nets was initiated, with a total investment of 16.6 million yuan, where 60% is funded by insurance and 40% by farmers [2][5]. Agricultural Risk Mitigation - The Akesu region has established a "meteorology + insurance" mechanism to enhance disaster prevention, with a total investment of 140 million yuan from 2021 to 2024 for agricultural disaster reduction [5][6]. - The average annual occurrence of hail disasters in Akesu is 28.5 times, causing over 300 million yuan in economic losses each year [5][6]. Comprehensive Risk Control in Industries - Insurance is extending beyond agriculture to processing and manufacturing, creating a comprehensive risk control system across the entire industrial chain [6][9]. - In the cotton industry, policy-based agricultural insurance covers 80% of premiums, while commercial income insurance protects against price and yield fluctuations [6][9]. Technological Integration in Risk Management - A textile company in Kuqa has implemented infrared temperature monitoring systems to prevent fire risks associated with cotton storage [7]. - The insurance company conducts pre-insurance assessments and ongoing inspections to identify risks and assist in emergency planning [7]. Public Service and Tourism Safety - In the tourism sector, a unified insurance product called "Anxin Tour" has been introduced to cover all tourists in Kashgar, funded by the government [10][14]. - Safety islands equipped with emergency facilities have been established in popular tourist areas to enhance visitor safety [13][14]. Conclusion on Insurance Evolution - The integration of insurance with risk management, monitoring, and emergency systems is making risk management more proactive and precise [15]. - The evolving role of insurance is becoming a critical component in building resilience within industrial chains, indicating a broader trend in risk governance [15].
一颗苹果激活川西羌寨 新农人“流量”变山乡“增量”
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-24 00:20
鲜红的糖心苹果挂满川西高原枝头,四川茂县南新镇安乡村果农忙着采摘,"95后"羌族小伙王光强 近日在田间直播,和妻子黄月的吆喝声此起彼伏。"地震时我受助走出大山,如今想带家乡好物走向世 界。" 安乡村坐落于岷江河畔的川西高原,优越的自然环境让这里成为水果优生区。该村相关负责人陈浩 说,全村家家户户都种糖心苹果,年产五六百万斤,"新农人带回电商新模式,果农学着直播和线上接 单,彻底解决了销售难题"。 11月20日,四川省茂县南新镇安乡村村民分选成熟的苹果。记者 安源摄 王光强还带头做起深加工,将水果制成果干等,破解季节限制。其团队推进的"一县一品"计划,整 合阿坝州13县农特产,汶川甜樱桃、红原牦牛肉、茂县苹果、阿坝青稞等高原好物借网络走向各地。他 们在产品包装中融入羌族服饰、碉楼等民族元素,还直播羌族传统婚礼,这些文化"名片"引来游客慕名 探寻羌寨风情。 11月20日,四川省茂县南新镇安乡村,王光强夫妻直播带货展示优质的糖心苹果,助力农民苹果销售增 收。 记者 安源摄 妻子黄月是王光强创业路上最坚定的伙伴,她不仅跟着果农采果、选果,还和王光强一起把新理念 带到田间地头。"我们建议给果园铺反光膜增强折射,让果树底 ...
A股分析师前瞻:更多是短期扰动,中国资产已调整出性价比?
Xuan Gu Bao· 2025-11-23 13:49
Core Viewpoint - The consensus among brokerage strategy analysts indicates a rebound in the market, as multiple factors that led to last week's stock index adjustments have improved over the weekend [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment and Economic Indicators - The market's perception of the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts has shifted significantly, with the probability of a rate cut in December rising from 30% to 71%, alleviating global risk aversion [1] - The expectation of liquidity improvement and the ongoing iteration of global AI applications are likely to ease concerns regarding an "AI bubble" [2] - The internal logic supporting the rise of Chinese assets remains strong, driven by enhanced national competitiveness, the release of new economic momentum, clear policy transformation, and stable economic fundamentals [2][3] Group 2: Sector Focus and Investment Opportunities - Analysts suggest focusing on sectors that are expected to outperform in the coming year, particularly those benefiting from high growth forecasts, such as AI, advanced manufacturing, and structural recovery in domestic demand [3] - The approval of 16 technology ETFs, including those focused on AI, is expected to guide capital towards high-quality technology companies in the A-share market, providing a positive regulatory signal [2][3] - The technology sector's recent adjustments are attributed to the influence of U.S. AI leaders and year-end institutional fund strategies, but the overall tech market is expected to continue its upward trajectory post-correction [2][4] Group 3: Long-term Market Outlook - The current market adjustments are viewed as short-term disturbances that do not alter the underlying bull market logic, with expectations of continued capital inflow and improved earnings across sectors [3][4] - The potential for a significant reversal in the fundamentals of the AI industry in the U.S. is considered low, which should provide substantial valuation growth opportunities for comparable companies in China [4] - The overall sentiment indicates that the market is not lacking in liquidity, and the concerns regarding long-tail risks in the Chinese economy are gradually easing [3][4]
年末重新增配A股迎来契机?投资主线有哪些?十大券商策略来了
Feng Huang Wang· 2025-11-23 13:21
Core Viewpoints - Current risk release provides an opportunity for reallocating A-shares and Hong Kong stocks by year-end and planning for 2026 [2] - The AI sector is experiencing a "darkest hour," but long-term confidence remains unwavering [4] - The adjustment phase is merely a "doubtful bull market level" [11] Industry Insights - Focus on resource and traditional manufacturing opportunities, particularly in chemicals, non-ferrous metals, and new energy [3] - The AI industry is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with significant valuation growth potential for A-share companies [8] - The market is likely to experience a style switch, with increasing attention on low-valued sectors [6] Investment Recommendations - Emphasize sectors benefiting from physical asset consumption, such as upstream resources (copper, aluminum, lithium, oil, coal) and midstream industries [5] - Maintain a balanced allocation between growth sectors and undervalued value industries, particularly in the consumer sector as year-end approaches [10] - Focus on AI applications and sectors closely related to the "14th Five-Year Plan," such as hydrogen energy, nuclear energy, and quantum technology [14]
高频数据 | 周度跟踪
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 10:10
Price-Related Summary - The Nanhua Agricultural Products Index is at 1,045.84, down 16.48 from last week [3] - Brent crude oil futures settled at $63.38 per barrel, an increase of $0.37 from last week, while WTI crude oil settled at $59.00 per barrel, up $0.31 [3] - Average wholesale prices for vegetables decreased by ¥0.04 per kg, fruits by ¥0.01 per kg, pork by ¥0.15 per kg, beef by ¥0.25 per kg, and lamb by ¥0.40 per kg [3] Industrial-Related Summary - The Nanhua Industrial Products Index is at 3,456.21, down 66.82 from last week [14] - Glass futures closed at ¥987 per ton, down ¥45 per ton, and coking coal futures closed at ¥1,103 per ton, down ¥89 per ton [14] - The blast furnace operating rate is recorded at 82.17%, a decrease of 2.08% from last week, while the operating rate for petroleum asphalt is at 24.80%, down 4.20% [14] Real Estate Investment Summary - The land transaction area in 100 major cities is approximately 13,497,800 square meters, an increase of 7,013,200 square meters from last week [21] - The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 major cities is about 1,725,600 square meters, up 330,500 square meters from last week [21] - The second-hand housing listing price index is recorded at 148.80, down 0.26, with the decline rate less than the previous week [21] Transportation and Retail Summary - Subway passenger volumes increased significantly, with Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen showing changes of -1.16%, 2.41%, 4.17%, and 1.91% respectively [31] - Box office revenue reached ¥656 million, an increase of ¥444 million from last week [31] - Retail sales of passenger cars totaled 67,312 units, up 21,256 units from last week [31] - The number of domestic flights executed was 86,716, an increase of 822 from last week [31]
陕西“十四五”现代化产业体系建设成效显著
Shan Xi Ri Bao· 2025-11-22 00:28
Group 1: Modern Industrial System Development - Shaanxi has focused on building a modern industrial system as a strategic initiative during the 14th Five-Year Plan, leading to revitalization of traditional industries and rapid growth of emerging industries [1] - The province has implemented a plan for industrial structure adjustment in the Guanzhong area, promoting the transformation and upgrading of high-energy-consuming and high-polluting enterprises [1] - Strategic emerging industries and high-tech manufacturing have seen annual value-added growth rates of 8.7% and 10.3% respectively during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with new energy vehicle production growing at an annual rate of 112% [1] Group 2: Agricultural Modernization - The implementation of the rural industrial integration development demonstration park three-year action plan has resulted in the establishment of 9 national and 65 provincial demonstration parks, with a target of 3.356 billion yuan in central investment for 2025 [2] - In 2024, the total grain production is expected to reach 13.5229 million tons, with a historical high yield of 297.35 kg per mu [2] Group 3: Service Industry Development - By 2024, the service sector's value added is projected to reach 1.84 trillion yuan, accounting for 51.8% of the province's GDP, achieving the 14th Five-Year Plan target ahead of schedule [2] - The combined revenue of scientific research, technical services, and information technology services accounted for 51.3% of the profitable service industry in the first three quarters of this year [2] Group 4: Infrastructure Enhancement - The construction of the China-Europe Railway Express (Xi'an) has seen an increase in annual operations from 3,720 trains in 2020 to 4,985 in 2024, with an average annual growth of 34% [2] - The railway operating mileage has reached 6,030 kilometers, while the total road mileage has reached 190,000 kilometers, and urban rail transit operating mileage has reached 403 kilometers [2]
10月份全社会用电量 同比增长10.4%
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-21 22:56
Core Insights - In October, China's total electricity consumption reached 857.2 billion kilowatt-hours, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.4%, the highest monthly growth rate this year [1] - From January to October, total electricity consumption accumulated to 8.6246 trillion kilowatt-hours, with a year-on-year growth of 5.1%, indicating a positive trend in the national economy [1] Factors Contributing to Growth - The high growth rate in October is attributed to multiple factors, including a low base from the previous year and the effective release of consumer potential during the overlapping National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays [2] - The "autumn tiger" phenomenon, characterized by significant temperature increases in southern China, led to a surge in residential cooling electricity consumption, with notable increases in Jiangxi (65.9%), Zhejiang (63.2%), and Shanghai (47.0%) [2] Sector Performance - The primary industry showed steady growth, with October electricity consumption at 12 billion kilowatt-hours, up 13.2% year-on-year [3] - The secondary industry, as the main electricity consumer, recorded 568.8 billion kilowatt-hours in October, a 6.2% increase, with high-tech and equipment manufacturing sectors performing particularly well, growing by 11% [3] - The tertiary industry emerged as one of the fastest-growing sectors, with October electricity consumption at 160.9 billion kilowatt-hours, up 17.1% year-on-year, driven by the retail and information technology services sectors [3] Long-term Economic Outlook - From January to October, the tertiary industry's electricity consumption reached 1.67 trillion kilowatt-hours, growing by 8.4%, reflecting the deepening transition of China's economic dynamics [4] - The overall electricity consumption data indicates an improvement in economic activity, consumer potential release, and optimization of industrial structure, reinforcing a positive long-term economic outlook [4]
A股市场下跌原因找到了,高盛给出9大理由,前两次均为历史大底
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 16:31
Core Viewpoint - The recent market crash has raised concerns among investors, with Goldman Sachs providing nine reasons for the capital storm, suggesting that similar panic events in the past have marked historical bottoms [1][4]. Market Performance - On November 21, 2025, the A-share market experienced its largest single-day drop since April 7, with over 2,500 companies declining more than 3% [4]. - The Nasdaq index fell over 5%, with major tech stocks, including Nvidia, suffering significant losses [4]. Investor Sentiment - The sell-off was driven by a fragile emotional foundation among investors, exacerbated by worries over domestic policies and geopolitical tensions, leading to a negative market sentiment that spread from offshore to onshore markets [4][11]. - Despite the downturn, there is a perception among some investors that this could represent a rare buying opportunity [3]. Comparison with Global Markets - A-shares exhibit valuation advantages compared to global markets, with many companies trading below book value and offering dividend yields exceeding 4% [7]. - The decline in the U.S. market was more severe, with concerns over AI bubbles and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions adding to market uncertainty [7]. Historical Context - Historical parallels are drawn with past market crashes, such as those in April 2020 and April 2025, which were triggered by various global events and led to significant market corrections [9][12]. - The current market conditions share similarities with previous "diamond bottoms," characterized by prolonged declines, low price-to-earnings ratios, and widespread pessimism [12]. Foreign Investment Trends - Despite the negative market atmosphere, foreign capital, represented by northbound funds and QFII, continues to show strong interest in A-shares, with net inflows reaching 161.6 billion yuan from January to July 2018 [14]. - The sectors most affected by the recent downturn include consumer electronics, photovoltaics, lithium batteries, and AI applications, while defensive assets like rare earths, agriculture, and pharmaceuticals have performed well [14]. Investment Strategy - In the current market environment, professional investors are focusing on fundamentally strong companies with sustainable growth potential, emphasizing the importance of patience in identifying undervalued assets [14][15].