在这个五四青年节到来之际，青年劳动者们奋斗在忙碌的生产一线。他们在千帆竞发的经济建设中奋楫 争先，为推进中国式现代化贡献青春力量。 焊枪淬炼青春之花 5月1日，海油工程珠海基地一片繁忙景象，"95后"全国劳动模范王佳鑫与团队成员紧锣密鼓地推进法兰 管段焊接。 时间回到2015年盛夏，一辆大巴车将王佳鑫和同学从学校拉到了珠海基地。他被分到了总装车间，车间 气温经常维持在40摄氏度以上。 为确保焊接符合工程标准，有的钢材需要预热到110摄氏度才能施焊。焊工"全副武装"连续作业几个小 时，汗水一遍遍浸透工装又被烤干。"我敢打赌，他们坚持不了一个月！"几名老焊工私下议论道。 王佳鑫偏不信，他白天利用作业空隙，向老师傅请教平台结构焊接和建造工艺。晚上一个人躲在车间角 落里，有针对性进行焊接练习。 2020年，亚洲首个300米级导管架"海基一号"在珠海基地开工建设。面对一段多次返修却无法定位裂纹 的棘手焊缝，王佳鑫和同事从15毫米一路刨到45毫米，眼看就要刨穿母材了，一名老师傅喊道："快停 下来！再有5毫米就刨漏了，材料就废了。" 王佳鑫仔细观察已经气刨过的焊缝，突然一道细小的裂纹一闪而过，他加快了手上的速度。在还差3毫 ...

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market is currently lacking direction, with the Hang Seng Index slightly rising by 36 points or 0.2%, closing at 22,008 points, and has been fluctuating around the 22,000 point mark for five consecutive trading days [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index also saw a minor increase of 0.6%, closing at 5,019 points, maintaining a similar narrow trading range [1] - Recent trading volumes have decreased, with net outflows from the Hong Kong Stock Connect amounting to 6.42 billion HKD, indicating a cautious approach from domestic investors [1] Industry Dynamics Automotive Sector - The automotive sector has reacted positively to news that the U.S. will take measures to alleviate the impact of tariffs on foreign-made cars, leading to a rise in Hong Kong's new energy vehicle stocks [2] - NIO (9866 HK) and Li Auto (2015 HK) saw increases of 2%-5%, while Leap Motor (9863 HK) surged by 8.1% following share purchases by its chairman and existing shareholders [2] - However, XPeng Motors (9868 HK) experienced a decline of 4.4% on the same day [2] Healthcare Sector - The Hang Seng Healthcare Index rose by 1.2%, with WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) reporting a strong first quarter, with revenue and net profit increasing by 21.0% and 89.1% year-on-year, respectively [2] - The company’s core business profitability, reflected in adjusted net profit, saw a 40% year-on-year increase, driven by robust demand for its services from global pharmaceutical companies [2] Energy Sector - The natural gas sector remained stable or slightly increased, benefiting from a decline in overseas natural gas supply prices [3] - Conversely, companies like Longyuan Power (916 HK) and Huaneng International (902 HK) reported disappointing first-quarter results, with declines in power generation and on-grid electricity prices, leading to a drop in their stock prices [3] Real Estate Sector - The new home transaction volume in 30 major cities fell by 23.3% year-on-year, indicating a continued downturn in the real estate market [8] - The Central Political Bureau meeting emphasized the need for timely monetary easing and support for the real estate market, although the effectiveness of such measures remains uncertain [12][14] - The overall performance of Hong Kong-listed property stocks lagged behind the broader market, with the Hang Seng China Mainland Property Index rising only 0.4% [13]

Group 1 - In the first quarter of 2023, China's wind and solar power generation capacity increased by 74.33 million kilowatts, reaching a total installed capacity of 1.482 billion kilowatts, surpassing coal-fired power capacity for the first time [1] - The achievement reflects China's commitment to energy structure adjustment and clean energy development, driven by policy support, technological innovation, and market forces [1] - The investment in non-fossil energy sources accounted for 86.6% of the total power investment in 2024, indicating a rapid development of the clean energy industry chain [1] Group 2 - China's advancements in renewable energy technology provide valuable experience and motivation for global renewable energy development [2] - The International Renewable Energy Agency reported that over the past decade, the average cost of wind and solar power generation has decreased by more than 60% and 80%, respectively, largely due to Chinese innovation and manufacturing [2] - China's overseas clean energy investments span major countries and regions, supporting green and low-carbon energy development in those areas [2] Group 3 - Despite historical achievements in renewable energy, challenges remain in consolidating advantages and transforming scale expansion into system resilience [3] - The intermittency and instability of renewable resources necessitate urgent demand for new energy storage solutions [3] - Optimizing power system regulation and improving market mechanisms are essential for better integration and utilization of renewable energy [3]

Group 1 - Chengdu government has issued policies to enhance the city's power supply capacity, focusing on eight areas including accelerating power grid construction and promoting distributed solar and new energy storage projects [1] - Guohai Securities anticipates a resurgence in photovoltaic supply-side reform, with potential restrictions on silicon material output and encouragement of high-efficiency battery technology to alleviate industry overcapacity [1] - The global commercial storage market is expected to grow, with distributed storage gaining traction due to decreasing costs and increasing demand for backup power [1] Group 2 - Fangzheng Securities notes that thermal power companies may experience a turnaround due to declining coal prices, particularly those located in regions with tight power supply and lower electricity price drops [2] - Hydropower generation is expected to improve steadily, with high dividend yields becoming more attractive as hydropower companies are less affected by market fluctuations [2] - Nuclear power generation has increased, and while the average on-grid price may decline due to market trading and long-term contract price reductions, the increase in generation volume is expected to offset price impacts [2]

Market Overview - The current A-share market is in a "strategic stalemate phase," with indices appearing calm but underlying volatility present [1] - Three main characteristics of the market include index box range fluctuations, moderate volume contraction, and rapid style rotation [3] Index and Fund Flows - The Shanghai Composite Index has been hovering between 3270 and 3320 points for 13 trading days, a critical area of dense trading from the last quarter of the previous year [3] - Notably, when the index exceeds 3300 points, there is a significant decrease in margin financing balance, indicating a reduction in leveraged funds [3] - Northbound capital saw a net outflow of 8.7 billion over three trading days, yet core assets like Ningde Times and Yangtze Power experienced increased holdings, reflecting a "go fake keep true" strategy from smart money [3] Sector Analysis - The AI computing power sector, while popular, shows three warning signs: major shareholder reduction announcements from Zhongji Xuchuang, Cambrian's P/E ratio exceeding 900 times, and net selling by institutional investors in some small-cap stocks [3] - The power sector, which has undergone sufficient adjustments, is expected to face a power supply gap of 40 million kilowatts this summer, with visibility of orders in virtual power plants and smart grids extending to the third quarter [3] - Huaneng International and other thermal power transformation targets exhibit a price-to-book ratio of only 1.2 times, indicating a strong safety margin [3] Investment Strategy - Short-term investors are advised to focus on the medical device sector, which is benefiting from easing procurement policies and dual validations from annual and quarterly reports [4] - Mid to long-term investments should consider two key trends: domestic semiconductor equipment production, highlighted by a major order from Zhongwei Company to Yangtze Storage, and deepening state-owned enterprise reforms, with central enterprises like China Communications Construction Company showing a price-to-book ratio in the historical 10th percentile and a dividend yield exceeding 4.5% [4] Risk Monitoring - Investors should be cautious of three warning signals: liquidity traps in micro-cap stocks, potential foreign capital reallocation if the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield exceeds 3.5%, and rising copper prices that may squeeze profits in the midstream manufacturing sector [4] Market Sentiment - The current market environment tests investors' "composure," requiring them to navigate risks while seizing opportunities [4] - The upcoming PMI data release is anticipated to be a key variable that could break the current stalemate [6]

2、 《 煤价跌倒，火电吃饱 》摘要 ■ 今年4月21日，国务院新闻办公室举行的发布会再度提到"游戏"行业，这标志着游戏行业再次被纳 ■ 经济增速不如预期，但用电增速已在3月得到改善，表明用电量进入底部区域，市场对用电量的负 面预期已大幅钝化。 ■ 发改委和能源局发布了煤电升级专项行动方案，推动煤电机组改造升级，增强灵活调节能力，预计 煤电在现货市场中的表现将大幅提升。 ■ 煤价下跌对火电企业构成明显利好，尽管电价有所下调，但电价下跌幅度远小于煤价带来的成本降 低，火电企业的盈利能力因此得到提升。 ■ 预计到2027年，AI产业链的用电量将达到三峡水电站全年的发电量，这为电力需求提供了强劲的增 长动力。 ■ 随着煤价下跌，火电企业的成本降低，股息率有望提升，特别是对于一些高股息的火电企业（如华 电国际、华能国际等），将吸引更多的长线资金。 ■ 尽管绿电板块普遍回调，但部分优质绿电PE仍具备较好的底部价值，A股和港股的部分绿电公司如 龙源电力H、中闽能源具有不错的投资潜力。 ■ 由于煤价下跌，火电企业股息率有望提升，投资者可以关注股息率较高的火电公司，如华电国际 （H股25E股息率6.5%）、华能国际（H股股息 ...

2025年一季度，我国风电光伏发电合计新增装机7433万千瓦，累计装机达到14.82亿千 瓦（其中风电5.36亿千瓦，光伏发电9.46亿千瓦），首次超过火电装机（14.51亿千瓦）。 未来随着风电光伏装机新增装机持续快速增长，风电光伏装机超过火电将成为常态。 一季度，风电光伏合计发电量达到5364亿千瓦时，在全社会用电量中占比达到22.5%， 较去年同期提高4.3个百分点（带动非化石能源发电量占比达到39.8%，同比提高4.8个百分 点）。受风电光伏快速增长并叠加一季度全社会用电量同比增速较低（2.5%）因素影响，风 电光伏合计发电量较去年同期增加1110亿千瓦时，大幅超出全社会用电量增量（582亿千瓦 时）。 来源：国家能源局 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower and fluctuated, with the CSI 300 Utilities Index reported at 2638.18 points, reflecting a 3.14% increase over the past month, a 4.64% increase over the past three months, and a 2.53% decline year-to-date [1] Group 1: Index Performance - The CSI 300 Utilities Index is categorized into 11 primary industries, 35 secondary industries, over 90 tertiary industries, and more than 200 quaternary industries, providing a comprehensive analysis tool for investors [1] - The index is based on a sample of 300 stocks from the CSI 300, with a base date of December 31, 2004, and a base point of 1000.0 [1] Group 2: Index Holdings - The top ten weights in the CSI 300 Utilities Index are: - Changjiang Electric Power (48.17%) - China Nuclear Power (10.24%) - Three Gorges Energy (8.19%) - Guodian Power (5.45%) - State Power Investment (4.79%) - Sichuan Investment Energy (4.38%) - Huaneng International (4.21%) - China General Nuclear Power (3.7%) - Zhejiang Energy Power (3.12%) - Huadian International (2.67%) [1] Group 3: Market Composition - The market composition of the CSI 300 Utilities Index shows that the Shanghai Stock Exchange accounts for 95.94%, while the Shenzhen Stock Exchange accounts for 4.06% [2] - In terms of industry composition, hydropower constitutes 59.60%, thermal power 15.45%, nuclear power 13.94%, wind power 8.55%, and gas power 2.46% [2] Group 4: Sample Adjustment - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments implemented on the next trading day following the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with temporary adjustments made in response to changes in the CSI 300 Index samples or special events affecting sample companies [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" and is maintained [12] Core Insights - The heavy stockholding ratio of public funds in the utility sector decreased to 0.96% in Q1 2025, down 0.37 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating a continued decline in allocation [2][6] - Despite the overall decline in holdings, certain companies, particularly in the thermal power sector, have seen an increase in investment due to favorable pricing in their operational regions [2][7] - The report emphasizes a shift towards alpha-focused investments over beta, highlighting the importance of risk-reward ratios in the green energy sector [2][9] Summary by Sections Fund Holdings Overview - In Q1 2025, the public fund's heavy stockholding ratio in the utility sector was 0.96%, with a historical percentile of 37.7% and an underweight ratio of -2.03% [19][20] - The electricity sector's holding ratio was 0.94%, with thermal power, hydropower, nuclear power, and renewable energy holding ratios at 40.83%, 47.12%, 3.27%, and 8.71% respectively [20] Thermal Power - The thermal power sector saw a decline in overall holdings, with major companies like China Huadian International becoming a consensus target for investment due to favorable supply-demand dynamics and better pricing [7][26] - The decline in holdings is attributed to adjustments in long-term contract prices and a shift in market style favoring more aggressive assets [26][27] Hydropower - Hydropower holdings continued to decrease, but core assets like Yangtze Power maintained high valuations, with attractive dividend yields compared to government bonds [8][35] - The sector's valuation has become appealing after adjustments since Q3 2024, with significant dividend value highlighted [35] Renewable Energy - The renewable energy sector's holdings decreased, but leading companies like Longyuan Power and Zhongmin Energy saw increased investments, reflecting a focus on high-reward opportunities [9][43] - The report suggests that the sector is poised for a rebound as supportive policies for green energy consumption become clearer [43] Nuclear Power - The nuclear power sector's holdings dropped significantly due to concerns over profit expectations linked to falling electricity prices, but the long-term value remains intact as new production cycles begin [10][27]

一、市场指数 与成交额 ：缩量反弹，沪指收于 3300 点之下 今日， A 股三大指数延续震荡格局。截至收盘，上证指数 3295.06 点，下跌 0.07% ；深证 成指上涨 0.39% ，创业板指表现最强，涨幅 0.59% 。两市成交额合计 1.1 万亿元，市场交 投情绪趋于平淡。 从资金面看，央行今日开展 6000 亿元中期借贷便利（ MLF ）操作，净投放 5000 亿元流动 性，为市场注入信心。叠加中央汇金一季度增持沪深 300ETF 的稳定作用，市场下行风险被 有效对冲。 二、领涨板块：电力、 AI 医疗与算力概念活跃 电力板块：煤价下行叠加容量电价机制优化，火电企业盈利预期改善。华银电力、西昌电力等 涨停，机构预计 4 月全社会用电量增速或达 4.5%-5.5% 。 AI 医疗与算力概念：受工信部等七部门《医药工业数智化转型实施方案》推动， AI 医疗板块 活跃，塞力医疗、创业慧康等涨幅居前。算力产业链同步反弹，拓维信息、鸿博股份涨停，国 产算力需求激增成为长期增长逻辑。 四、 总结 当前市场仍处于震荡筑底阶段， 同时 政策托底与流动性宽松为结构性行情提供支撑 。期待 5 月出现新的行情。 欢迎大 ...