黄金股、能源板块走低。美国能源跌超5%，金田、黄金资源跌超3%，泛美白银、科尔黛伦矿业跌超2%，埃克森美孚、雪佛龙跌超1%。 热门中概股多数下跌，纳斯达克中国金龙指数收跌0.65%。小鹏汽车跌近8%，爱奇艺跌超3%，蔚来、哔哩哔哩跌超2%，阿里巴巴跌近2%。 昨夜，美股科技股集体上涨，中概股表现相对弱势。黄金、白银则继续飙涨。 当地时间周二（12月2日），美国三大股指小幅收涨，道指涨0.39%，标普500指数涨0.25%，纳指涨0.59%。 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | | 道琼斯工业平均 | 47474.46c | 0.39% | | 纳斯达克指数 | 23413.67c | 0.59% | | 标普500 | 6829.37c | 0.25% | 热门科技股多数上涨。苹果涨超1%，为连续第七个交易日上涨，续创历史新高；英特尔涨超8%，英伟达涨近1%。 | 分时 多日 日 周 月 季 半年 年 E ▼ F9 前复权 超级疆加 画线 | 工具 (2) | | 苹果(APPLE) | | AAPL | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

专题报告 2025-12-03 氧化铝：海外铝土矿供应分析 报告要点： 核心观点：铝土矿价格短期将承压，关注进口成本支撑 当前冶炼端供应过剩格局持续，叠加明年仍有较多新建产能待投产，过剩趋势短期较难逆 转，因此成本端铝土矿价格成为了决定氧化铝底部的核心因素。今年以来，随着几内亚和非主 流国家铝土矿项目的持续达产，中国进口海外铝土矿大幅增加。截止今年 10 月，中国累计进 口铝土矿 17140 万吨，同比去年增长 30.11%，其中主要增量国包括几内亚、圭亚那、马来西亚、 巴西，澳洲小幅下滑。 尽管前期因雨季影响，铝土矿价格出现阶段性反弹，但随着近期发运恢复，铝土矿价格开 始震荡下行。铝土矿价格反转需依赖于海外供应大规模收缩，几内亚铝土矿的进口成本成为关 键的价格支撑位。根据阿拉丁调研了解，几内亚铝土矿 FOB 成本在 20-50 美元/吨区间，40 美 金成本是较为密集的价位，包括了运营成本、税收和陆地运输成本。几内亚至中国海运费目前 则在 20-25 美元/吨区间波动，西芒杜铁矿石投产后或将推动海运费走强。综合来看，60 美元 -65 美元预计会成为几内亚铝土矿 CIF 价格较为有力的支撑，对应氧化铝价格成 ...

Group 1: General Market Conditions - On December 2, 2025, A-share's three major indexes collectively declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.42% to 3897.71 points, the Shenzhen Component Index down 0.68% to 13056.70 points, and the ChiNext Index down 0.69% to 3071.15 points. The trading volume of the two markets was 1593.4 billion yuan, a decrease of 280.5 billion yuan from the previous day [1] - The CSI 300 index adjusted on December 2, closing at 4554.34, down 22.15 [2] Group 2: Coke and Coking Coal - On December 2, the coke weighted index continued to rebound, closing at 1677.7, up 35.6; the coking coal weighted index fluctuated and closed at 1139.3 yuan, up 19.6 [2][3] - Coke supply is increasing, with significant inventory accumulation. Mine clean coal inventory increased by 20.44% in a single week, and coke plant inventory increased by 9.91% [4] - As of the end of October 2025, China's imported coking coal reached 98.869 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 4.8%. In October, the total import volume was 10.5932 million tons, a month-on-month decrease of 3.02% and a year-on-year increase of 6.39%. From January to October, China's coke export volume was 6.2189 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 14.05%. In October, coke exports were 727,400 tons, a month-on-month increase of 34% and a year-on-year increase of 49.92% [4] Group 3: Zhengzhou Sugar - Affected by the supply outlook and weak technical indicators, US sugar tumbled on Monday. Under the influence of the decline in US sugar, the short sellers pressured the Zhengzhou Sugar 2605 contract to decline on Tuesday and in the night session [4] - Brazil's central-southern region produced 983,000 tons of sugar in the first half of November, a year-on-year increase of 8.7%. The sugarcane crushing volume reached 18.8 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 14.3%. The proportion of sugarcane used for sugar production dropped to 38.6% [4] Group 4: Rubber - Due to the large decline in the previous trading day, the rubber futures prices rebounded due to bargain hunting. The short sellers pressured the Shanghai Rubber futures to decline slightly in the night session [5] - ANRPC predicted that global natural rubber production in October would increase by 2.7% to 1.496 million tons, and consumption would decrease by 4.2% to 1.26 million tons. In the first 10 months, cumulative production was expected to increase by 2.6% to 11.9 million tons, and cumulative consumption was expected to decrease by 1.8% to 12.684 million tons. In 2025, global natural rubber production was expected to increase by 1.3% to 14.892 million tons, and consumption was expected to increase by 0.8% to 15.565 million tons [5] Group 5: Soybean Meal - On December 2, CBOT soybean futures prices slightly declined. The large expected production of South American soybeans suppressed the speculation of US soybean demand [5] - As of last Thursday, the sown area of Brazilian soybeans reached 89% of the expected area, compared with 91% in the same period last year. StoneX estimated that Brazil's soybean production would be 177.2 million tons. Argentina's soybean sowing was progressing smoothly, with a planting rate of over 20% [5] - On December 1, the M2601 contract closed at 3039 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.16%. Currently, soybean supply is sufficient, crushing volume has increased, and soybean meal inventory is at a high level. The domestic soybean meal futures market is in a situation of cost support and supply pressure, and the price is expected to fluctuate [5] Group 6: Live Pigs - On December 2, the LH2601 contract closed at 11455 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.35%. In the short term, as the end of the year approaches, most large-scale pig enterprises are more willing to sell pigs to meet their annual targets, and the number of pigs for sale has increased, putting pressure on prices [5] - The demand for pork has increased marginally due to the drop in temperature, and the traditional bacon-making season has started in the southwest region, but the overall progress is slow, and the demand recovery is gentle. The live pig market is still in a situation of strong supply and weak demand [5] Group 7: Palm Oil - On December 2, the main palm oil contract continued to move positions and rebound. The price briefly opened lower and then quickly rose, closing at 8720, up 0.79%. The expected export volume of Malaysian palm oil from November 1 - 30 was 779,392 tons, a decrease of 39.21% compared with the same period last month [5] Group 8: Shanghai Copper - The main Shanghai Copper 2601 contract showed a weak pattern of opening high and closing low. The linkage between futures and spot and between domestic and foreign markets weakened, and the trading activity decreased. The contract opened at 89410 yuan/ton, reached a high of 89920 yuan/ton, and finally closed at 88920 yuan/ton [6] - The hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve supported the US dollar, suppressing global copper demand and causing funds to flow out of the non-ferrous metal sector. Traditional demand is weak, and the copper consumption in the real estate sector is under pressure. The supply-side positive factors cannot offset these two pressures [6] Group 9: Cotton - On Tuesday night, the main Zhengzhou Cotton contract closed at 13720 yuan/ton. Cotton inventory increased by 96 lots compared with the previous trading day. Xinjiang's cotton purchase is basically over, and it is in the peak processing period. The commercial inventory is growing rapidly and is significantly higher than the same period last year [6] Group 10: Iron Ore - On December 2, the main iron ore 2601 contract fluctuated and closed up 0.5% at 800.5 yuan. The shipping volume increased month-on-month, the arrival volume decreased, and the port inventory increased again. In the off-season, as the steel mill profitability rate continued to decline, the molten iron output continued to decline, and the iron ore price is expected to fluctuate [6] Group 11: Asphalt - On December 2, the main asphalt 2601 contract fluctuated and declined 2.41% to close at 2916 yuan. In December, the domestic refinery asphalt production plan decreased month-on-month, the inventory decreased, the demand entered the off-season, and the downstream procurement was cautious. The asphalt price is expected to fluctuate [6] Group 12: Logs - On December 2, the log 2601 contract opened at 767.5, with a minimum of 767.5, a maximum of 774.5, and closed at 769.5, with a decrease of 1151 lots in positions. The spot price of 3.9-meter medium A radiata pine logs in Shandong was 740 yuan/cubic meter, down 10 yuan/cubic meter from the previous day, and the price in Jiangsu was 750 yuan/cubic meter, unchanged from the previous day [6][7] Group 13: Steel - On December 2, the rb2601 contract closed at 3169 yuan/ton, and the hc2601 contract closed at 3325 yuan/ton. The total new house sales area in ten major cities was 2.1112 million square meters, a month-on-month increase of 10% and a year-on-year decrease of 38%. The real estate market is still at a low level. Due to the rush to complete infrastructure projects in some areas, demand has remained resilient, and steel inventory is expected to continue to decline. Steel prices are expected to fluctuate strongly [7] Group 14: Alumina - On December 2, the ao2601 contract closed at 2670 yuan/ton. The trading logic of alumina supply exceeding demand continues, and the upward pressure remains. Domestic alumina production capacity is high, the import window is open, and the arrival of imported alumina will further exacerbate the imbalance between supply and demand. Demand is weak, and the spot market trading is cold [7][8] Group 15: Shanghai Aluminum - On December 2, the al2601 contract closed at 21910 yuan/ton. The inhibitory effect of high aluminum prices on consumption has gradually eased, and some postponed demand has begun to be released. The operating rates of aluminum profiles, aluminum cables, and primary and secondary aluminum alloy sectors have all improved to varying degrees. Aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate at a high level in the short term [8]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|⿊⾊建材策略⽇报 2025-12-03 现实预期博弈，盘⾯上涨乏⼒ 12⽉中央经济⼯作会议即将召开，海外仍有降息预期，宏观环境偏 暖，但⽬前钢材库存⽔平依旧同⽐偏⾼，需求⾯临转弱压⼒，钢材盘 ⾯上涨乏⼒。铁矿在冬储补库预期下仍有较强⽀撑，需求承压煤焦现 货价格表现疲软，玻纯供需过剩压制盘⾯价格。 12月中央经济工作会议即将召开，海外仍有降息预期，宏观环境偏 暖，但目前钢材库存水平依旧同比偏高，需求面临转弱压力，钢材盘 面上涨乏力。铁矿在冬储补库预期下仍有较强支撑，需求承压煤焦现 货价格表现疲软，玻纯供需过剩压制盘面价格。 1. 铁元素方面：铁水环比下降，钢厂盈利率进一步压缩，后续仍有 部分钢厂安排高炉检修计划，铁水预计延续走弱态势，刚需支撑逐渐 弱化。海外矿山发运环比小幅回升，澳洲发运减少，巴西发运环比大 幅增加，非主流发运略降，本期到港环比减量，港口库存环比继续累 积，全国钢厂进口矿库存下滑，补库需求暂未明显释放，前期价格回 升后进一步上行支撑不足，短期矿价预计震荡运行。废钢到货偏低， 价格下降后性价比回升，长、短流程钢企废钢需求均有支撑，下方空 ...

Core Viewpoint - China Uranium Corporation is nearing its IPO, with a share price set at 17.89 yuan, aiming to raise 4.11 billion yuan for various projects and working capital [3][4][7]. Group 1: IPO Details - The IPO process took one year and five months, with subscription starting on November 21 [3][4]. - The company plans to issue 24,818,181.8 shares, accounting for 12% of the total post-issue share capital [7]. - Eight strategic investors, including China National Nuclear Corporation Capital and Huaneng Nuclear Power, will invest over 1.33 billion yuan, representing 30% of the total issuance [7][8]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenues of 13.764 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.2 billion yuan, both showing double-digit growth [10]. - The company anticipates 2025 revenues between 19.5 billion and 20 billion yuan, with net profits projected at 1.6 billion to 1.65 billion yuan [10]. - Historical revenue growth from 2019 to 2024 shows a consistent upward trend, with revenues increasing from 8.047 billion yuan in 2019 to 17.279 billion yuan in 2024 [9][10]. Group 3: Market Position and Demand - China Uranium is a leading supplier of natural uranium, ranking among the top ten producers globally, contributing to over 90% of the world's uranium supply [8][9]. - The global demand for uranium is expected to grow, with projections indicating a long-term supply gap due to increasing nuclear power capacity [9][10]. - The company maintains stable relationships with major clients, including long-term supply agreements with key players in the nuclear industry [11].

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. announced an investment of 500 million yuan in a private equity fund focusing on technology, healthcare, consumer goods, and retail sectors, indicating a strategic move to diversify its investment portfolio [1][2] Group 1: Investment Details - The investment is made by the wholly-owned subsidiary, Tibet Shimo Ke Trading Co., Ltd., in the Bo Yu Xin Zhi New Industry (Ningbo) Equity Investment Partnership, with a target fund size between 8 billion yuan and 10 billion yuan [1] - The fund is a closed-end private equity investment fund managed by Bo Yu Tian Shu (Ningbo) and Bo Yu Tao Ran (Shanghai), both of which have established experience in equity investment management [1][2] - Luoyang Molybdenum will have a seat on the investor advisory committee, which will handle significant matters such as extension of the fund's duration and conflict of interest [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum reported a revenue of 145.485 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 14.280 billion yuan [2] - The company produced 543,400 tons of copper, a year-on-year increase of 14.14%, achieving 86.25% of its annual guidance [2] - Copper sales reached 520,300 tons, up 10.56% year-on-year, with copper prices having risen over 20% since the beginning of the year, supporting the company's performance [2]

1. 12月2日美股盘前，美股三大股指期货齐涨。截至发稿，道指期货涨0.09%，标普期货涨0.21%，纳指 期货涨0.32%。 2. 截至发稿，欧洲股市主要指数齐涨。欧洲斯托克50指数涨0.6%，英国富时100指数涨 0.24%，法国CAC40指数涨0.23%，德国DAX30指数涨0.56%。 3. 截至发稿，WTI原油跌0.27%，报59.16 美元/桶。布伦特原油跌0.36%，报62.94美元/桶。 市场消息 1、试图做空美股的投资者面临严峻挑战， 美股空头在11月最后一周剧烈反转中损失惨重。 2、芝商所月度成交量创历史次高纪录。 3、美联储陷 入降息终点之争，中性利率估算出现12年来最大分歧，基准利率接近估算区间上限，偏鹰派政策制定者 或成进一步降息实质性阻碍。 4、欧元区11月通胀率按年率计算为2.2%，高于10月的2.1%。 5、经合组 织将2025年美国经济增速预期上调至2%，2026年上调至1.7%。 6、OpenAI拉响红色警报，奥尔特曼全 力优化ChatGPT，暂停广告、健康与购物AI项目。 7、美银改口称美联储12月将降息25基点，但预计明 年仅降息两次。 个股消息 1、淡水河谷预计202 ...

1. 12月2日美股盘前，美股三大股指 期货齐涨。截至发稿，道指期货涨0.09%，标普期货涨0.21%，纳指 期货涨0.32%。 2. 截至发稿，欧洲股市主要指数齐涨。欧洲斯托克50指数涨0.6%，英国富时100指数涨 0.24%，法国CAC40指数涨0.23%，德国DAX30指数涨0.56%。 3. 截至发稿，WTI原油跌0.27%，报59.16 美元/桶。布伦特原油跌0.36%，报62.94美元/桶。 市场消息 1、试图做空美股的投资者面临严峻挑战， 美股空头在11月最后一周剧烈反转中损失惨重。 2、芝商所月度成交量创历史次高纪录。 3、美联储陷 入降息终点之争，中性利率估算出现12年来最大分歧，基准利率接近估算区间上限，偏鹰派政策制定者 或成进一步降息实质性阻碍。 4、欧元区11月通胀率按年率计算为2.2%，高于10月的2.1%。 5、经合组 织将2025年美国经济增速预期上调至2%，2026年上调至1.7%。 6、OpenAI拉响红色警报，奥尔特曼全 力优化ChatGPT，暂停广告、健康与购物AI项目。 7、美银改口称美联储12月将降息25基点，但预计明 年仅降息两次。 个股消息 1、淡水河谷预计20 ...

格隆汇12月2日丨MONGOL MINING(00975.HK)公告，12月2日耗资81.1万港元回购7.8万股。 ...

智通财经APP讯，MONGOL MINING(00975)发布公告，于2025年12月2日斥资81.1万港元回购7.8万股。 ...