Core Viewpoint - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in June turned from a decline to an increase of 0.1% year-on-year, ending four months of negative growth, influenced by the recovery of industrial product prices [3][4]. CPI Analysis - The CPI's year-on-year increase was primarily driven by a reduction in the decline of industrial consumer goods prices, which narrowed from 1.0% to 0.5% [4]. - Energy prices saw a reduced decline of 1.0 percentage points, contributing to a lesser downward impact on the CPI [4]. - Gold and platinum jewelry prices increased significantly, by 39.2% and 15.9% respectively, collectively contributing approximately 0.21 percentage points to the CPI increase [4]. - Food prices experienced a slight narrowing in their decline, with a year-on-year decrease of 0.3%, and beef prices turning to an increase of 2.7% after 28 months of decline [4]. PPI Analysis - The Producer Price Index (PPI) in June decreased by 0.4% month-on-month, maintaining the same decline rate as the previous month [7]. - The PPI's year-on-year decline expanded by 0.3 percentage points, influenced by seasonal price decreases in raw materials and increased green energy leading to lower energy prices [7][8]. - The construction sector faced challenges due to weather conditions, impacting the prices of black metal and non-metal mineral products, which fell by 1.8% and 1.4% respectively [8]. - Export-oriented industries are under pressure, with prices in the computer and communication equipment manufacturing sector declining by 0.4% [8]. Future Outlook - The future trajectory of industrial product prices will largely depend on the effectiveness of counter-cyclical adjustment policies, particularly those supporting the real estate sector [9]. - The government aims to promote a reasonable recovery in price levels, which will facilitate fiscal measures to boost consumption and investment [10].

Inflation Data - March CPI year-on-year growth rate was -0.1%, slightly better than the previous value of -0.7% and in line with market expectations[2] - March PPI year-on-year growth rate recorded at -2.5%, slightly lower than the previous value of -2.2%[2] Price Movements - Food prices decreased by 1.4% month-on-month, contributing approximately 0.24 percentage points to the CPI decline[4] - The price of wearable smart devices increased by 4.6% year-on-year, driven by advancements in high-tech industries[2] Core CPI Insights - Core CPI (excluding food and energy) rose by 0.5% year-on-year in March, reversing from a decline of 0.1% in February[8] - Service prices increased by 0.3% year-on-year in March, contributing positively to the CPI[8] Commodity Prices - March Brent crude oil average price was $72.51 per barrel, down by $2.81 from the previous month[7] - Domestic gasoline prices decreased by 3.5% month-on-month, impacting CPI by approximately 0.12 percentage points[7] Economic Outlook - The government aims for a CPI increase of around 2% for 2025, indicating a shift towards balancing supply and demand rather than strict inflation control[8] - The report suggests that effective demand recovery has significant potential, with the economy still in the early stages of inflation bottoming out[2]