港股收评：恒生指数全日低开低走 线上零售股低迷 金十数据4月24日讯，港股主要股指今日小幅低开后持续震荡走低，恒生指数一度跌超1.5%，恒生科技 指数一度跌近2.5%。午后股指小幅回升；截至收盘，香港恒生指数收跌0.74%，恒生科技指数收跌 1.46%，恒指大市成交额达2407.6亿港元。板块个股方面，线上零售股全日低迷，京东(09618.HK)跌超 6%，美团(03690.HK)跌5.15%；生物技术、黄金股则逆势上扬，赤峰黄金(06693.HK)涨4.42%，中国白 银集团(00815.HK)收涨超10%。新东方(09901.HK)昨日发布财报早盘低开冲高，一度近6%；午后涨幅回 落，截至收盘收涨1.69%。 ...

港股收盘，恒生指数收跌0.74%，恒生科技指数收跌1.46%；线上零售概念股全日低迷，京东 (09618.HK)收跌6.19%，美团(03690.HK)收跌5.15%。 ...

港股线上零售概念股下跌，京东(09618.HK)、美团(03690.HK)均跌超3%，阿里巴巴(09988.HK)跌 1.29%。 ...

港股线上零售概念股上扬，京东(09618.HK)、美团(03690.HK)今日回暖，现均涨超2%，阿里巴巴 (09988.HK)涨5.45%。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" with an expectation of an increase exceeding 15% in the next 3-6 months [27] Core Insights - Offline Retail: Yonghui Supermarket is accelerating store renovations and deepening supply chain reforms, with a focus on quality retail to reach more mainstream Chinese families [11][12] - Online Retail: Meituan is implementing a new social security plan and enhancing its membership system, while Kuaishou is advancing AI capabilities in commercial marketing [2][13] Summary by Sections 1. Core Insights and Company Dynamics - Yonghui Supermarket has opened multiple renovated stores across five cities, achieving significant increases in customer traffic, with a focus on quality retail [11] - Meituan has upgraded its membership system to a points-based model, integrating various services, and is initiating a pilot for rider pension insurance [13] - Kuaishou's 2025 Magnetic Conference highlighted significant growth in user engagement and advertising consumption, alongside advancements in AI applications [13] 2. Industry Data Tracking - In March, the overall GMV for Tmall and JD.com increased by 13.51% year-on-year, with top-performing categories including automotive, pets, home appliances, cosmetics, and maternal and infant products [14] 3. Market Review - During the week of March 31 to April 3, major indices showed declines, with the retail sector experiencing a slight drop of 0.52%, ranking 17th among 31 sectors [19][22] - Notable stock performances included ZTE Commercial, Guofang Group, and Yonghui Supermarket, which saw significant gains, while others like Cross-Border Communication and ST Dongfang faced declines [20][26]

文：任泽平团队 美联储12月议息会议宣布降息25个基点，将联邦基金利率目标区间下调至4.25%-4.5%，符合市场 预期。 此次决议中，美联储主席发表鹰派言论。美联储官员意见出现分化，克利夫兰联储主席贝丝·哈马 克反对降息，认为劳动力市场存在风险。 1 关注FOMC 四大要点：通胀预期抬升、降息节奏放缓、 50bp 降息空间、经济预期乐观 二是，通胀预期抬升，美联储将谨慎评估未来关税影响。 鲍威尔承认就业市场降温，通胀目标接 近2%。但以"对内减税+对外加税+反移民+制造业回流+美国优先"为主的特朗普新政将引发再通胀，制 约降息路径和空间。 鲍威尔认为， " 长期通胀预期似乎保持稳定"。 三是，2025年仍有50个基点的降息空间，预计年内降息两次。 点阵图显示，2025年仍有50bp降 息指引，对应联邦基金利率中值3.9%。其中，有3位官员认为2025年应累计降息25个基点，有10位官 员认为2025年应累计降息50个基点，有3位官员认为2025年应累计降息75个基点。 美联储释放强鹰派信号。 截止2024年12月，美联储年内降息三次，累计降幅达100个基点；并对 经济预期进行积极调整，美联储主席鲍威尔发表鹰 ...