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美联储降息冲击波
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-09-18 16:40
北京时间9月18日凌晨,美联储公开市场委员会(FOMC)公布最新货币政策会议纪要,决定将联邦基 金利率目标区间下调25个基点,至4%—4.25%之间。这是美联储2025年第一次降息,也是继2024年三次 降息后的再次降息。 据悉,此次政策调整的背后,是美联储平衡通胀与就业的现实考量。近期指标显示,美国上半年经济活 动增长放缓,就业增长放缓。经济前景的不确定性依然存在,就业下行风险上升。尽管美国通胀率有所 上升,并维持在略高水平,但近几个月新增就业远低于预期让美联储终于采取降息措施。 今年首次降息 一如市场预期,美联储降息25基点。当地时间9月17日,美联储宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间下调到4% —4.25%之间的水平。美联储主席鲍威尔表示,当前劳动力市场活力不足且略显疲软,降息旨在提振劳 动力市场。 这是美联储今年以来的首次降息。9个月时间,也是一场关于通胀预期与经济数据的博弈。2025年上半 年,美联储历次议息会议将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%—4.5%之间不变,多名官员强调"在降 息之前,需要看到通胀进一步下降的证据"。到6月,美联储内部意见分歧明显,联邦公开市场委员会会 议纪要显示,19名官员中只 ...
美联储降息推动资金流向新兴市场 中国资产率先受益
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-09-18 16:21
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's decision to lower the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.00% to 4.25% is expected to positively impact the valuation of Chinese assets, particularly benefiting Chinese concept stocks and the technology sector in Hong Kong in the short term [1][2]. Group 1: Impact on Chinese Assets - The recent interest rate cut is anticipated to lead to a rally in Chinese concept stocks and Hong Kong tech stocks, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising by 2.85% on September 17 [2]. - Companies like Xunlei and Baidu saw significant stock price increases, with gains exceeding 11%, while Alibaba reached a four-year high with a 2.44% increase [2]. - The depreciation of the US dollar against the Chinese yuan, from 7.3 to approximately 7.1 since 2025, is expected to enhance foreign investment in Chinese assets [2][4]. Group 2: Market Trends and Predictions - Historical trends indicate that after Fed rate cuts, growth sectors in A-shares and H-shares tend to outperform, aligning with the current performance of Chinese concept stocks and Hong Kong tech stocks [3]. - Analysts predict that the current rate cut is just the beginning of a new easing cycle, with expectations of further cuts in October and December, potentially lowering rates to between 3.0% and 3.25% by mid-2024 [5][6]. - The overall liquidity in the global market is expected to remain ample, benefiting risk assets, including A-shares and H-shares [6]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The resilience of Chinese assets during the Fed's rate-cutting period is attributed to their stable asset quality and the appeal of Chinese assets as safe investments amid global capital seeking higher returns [4]. - The ongoing economic transformation in China and improvements in economic visibility are expected to support the performance of Chinese equities in the long term [6]. - The potential for artificial intelligence to become a mid-term investment theme is highlighted, with foreign investors showing a positive attitude towards Chinese assets [6][7].
A股午后急跌,什么情况?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 15:26
个股收跌居多,共计4350只个股收跌,8只跌停;1027只个股收涨,涨停股64只。工商银行、农业银行、招商银行、 建设银行跌幅均超过2%,东方财富跌近5%,贵州茅台、中国石油、中国海油等也纷纷收跌。 多位投资人士表示,此类技术性回调属于正常震荡,不必过度解读为系统性风险,无需恐慌。隔夜美联储降息落地, 并无超出预期的表现。临近国庆长假,部分获利盘有落袋为安的需求。若成交额维持在2.5万亿元以上,市场有望延续 结构性行情;若缩量至2.2万亿元以下,可能会回踩支撑位。 A股突然"晴转雨" 午后A股市场出现急跌,指数纷纷翻绿,沪指收跌1.15%报3831.66点,创业板指收跌1.64%报3095.85点,深证成指收跌 1.06%。科创50盘中一度涨逾4%,但最终涨幅缩至0.72%;沪深300、上证50、北证50跌幅均超过1%。 9月18日,随着美联储降息靴子落地,A股市场盘中大幅跳水,三大指数收盘集体跌逾1%,超4300只个股飘绿。 今日市场放量急跌是否引发了恐慌情绪?牛市是否就此结束? 午后市场跳水,多数板块收跌,但资金对科技股的青睐依旧明显。电子、通信板块最终微弱收红,和而泰、科森科 技、广合科技、华正新材、永 ...
力挺企业家!广州开发区启动“战略企业家培育计划”,超百人入选
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 14:46
首批百余名企业家入选 覆盖多领域瞄准新兴产业 当下,企业面临的不再是简单的市场竞争,而是综合实力的较量,是战略眼光的对决,是创新能力的比拼。9月18日,广州开发区、黄埔区"战 略企业家培育计划"(以下简称"计划")正式启动。 据了解,该计划对企业家的筛选标准包括家国情怀、前瞻视野与战略洞察力、干事创业激情、团结引领力、逆势成长力与战略韧性、企业发展 潜力等6个维度。 现场同期举行了"产业领航企业家"授牌仪式。广州视源电子科技股份有限公司董事长王洋、广州智光电气股份有限公司董事长李永喜、广州亿 航智能技术有限公司董事长胡华智获颁"产业领航企业家"聘请牌匾。 最终,首批"百人团"综合甄选出108位极具潜力的民营企业家,平均年龄48岁,具备计算机、人工智能、商业管理等领域的专业能力,涵盖了 上市公司23家,企业知识产权平均达167项。 该计划依托"1+4"培育体系,"1"是指"企业家共同体"成长体系,"4"则是指战略企业家甄别、培育、赋能、评估四大体系。 计划将有效整合政府、市场、专业机构三方资源,从区内高增长、高潜力的民营企业中择优分批次选取多位董事长或总经理,为企业家提供系 统支撑与精准赋能,实现其经营管理能力 ...
9月18日增减持汇总
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 14:00
Core Viewpoint - On September 18, a total of 16 A-share listed companies disclosed share reduction plans, with no companies announcing share increases on the same day [1]. Summary by Category Share Reduction Plans - Fengzhao Technology: Shanghai Huaxin plans to reduce no more than 3% of the company's shares [2] - Weike Technology: Some directors and senior management plan to reduce no more than 0.1807% of the company's shares [2] - Yanpuwen: Vice Chairman and General Manager Zhang Dingkai plans to reduce no more than 0.87% of the company's shares [2] - Xidamen: Controlling shareholder's concerted action party plans to reduce no more than 0.0821% of shares [2] - Jida Zhengyuan: The third largest shareholder, Shanghai Yunxin, plans to reduce no more than 3% of the company's shares [2] - Yaoshi Technology: Shareholders plan to reduce no more than 1% of the company's shares [2] - Fuchun Dyeing: Shareholders Fuchun Investment and Qinhui Investment plan to reduce no more than 1% of the company's shares [2] - Inno Laser: Shareholder Hongcui Investment reduced a total of 1.4647 million shares from July 16 to September 17 [2] - Zhengqiang Co.: Controlling shareholder plans to transfer 8.9% of shares [2] - Chunfeng Power: Controlling shareholder and concerted action party plan to reduce no more than 2% of the company's shares [2] - Shenling Environment: Zhongcheng Investment reduced a total of 2.3333 million shares from September 3 to September 17 [2] - Tongzhou Electronics: Shareholder with over 5% stake, Ruizhong Life Insurance, completed the reduction plan [2] - Nanya New Materials: One of the actual controllers, Bao Xiuyin, reduced a total of 2.1885 million shares from September 16 to September 18 [2] - Shenghui Integration: Shareholder Suzhou Shengzhan plans to reduce no more than 0.62% of the company's shares [2] - Jinghua New Materials: Some senior management reduced a total of 141,000 shares on September 16 [2] - Jiyou Co.: Plans to reduce no more than 2% of the total repurchased shares [2]
聚辰股份(688123):25H1业绩同比稳健增长,SPD与高可靠性存储芯片持续放量
Great Wall Securities· 2025-09-18 13:09
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by more than 15% in the next six months [3][20]. Core Views - The company has shown steady growth in performance for the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching 575 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.69%, and a net profit of 205 million yuan, up 43.50% year-on-year [1][2]. - The growth is attributed to the successful sales of high-value products such as DDR5 SPD chips and automotive-grade EEPROM chips, which have effectively countered the decline in traditional business due to fluctuations in consumer electronics demand [2][7]. - The company's gross margin improved to 60.25%, up 5.55 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin reached 34.45%, an increase of 7.69 percentage points year-on-year, indicating enhanced profitability [2]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections show a steady increase from 703 million yuan in 2023 to 2,364 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of -28.2% in 2023, 46.2% in 2024, and continuing strong growth thereafter [1][12]. - Net profit is expected to rise from 100 million yuan in 2023 to 863 million yuan in 2027, with significant year-on-year growth rates, particularly 189.2% in 2024 [1][12]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 4.3% in 2023 to 20.8% in 2027, reflecting increasing efficiency in generating profits from equity [1][12]. Market Position and Product Development - The company is one of the few in the industry with capabilities in both industrial-grade and automotive-grade storage chip design, covering a wide range of capacities [2][7]. - The sales and revenue of automotive-grade storage chips and high-performance industrial-grade storage chips have seen rapid growth, contributing significantly to the company's overall business [2][7]. - The demand for DDR5 SPD chips is driven by the increasing penetration of DDR5 memory modules in AI servers, which require more memory than traditional servers, thus providing a new growth impetus for the company [8].
恒玄科技(688608):BES2800持续放量,新品6000系列拟明年送样
Great Wall Securities· 2025-09-18 13:09
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company is experiencing rapid revenue growth driven by the increasing market share in the smart wearable sector and the successful launch of new products like the BES2800 chip [2][3] - The gross margin has significantly improved, with a gross margin of 39.27% in the first half of 2025, up by 6.08 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company is expanding its chip applications beyond wearables into new markets such as wireless microphones and smart glasses, enhancing its growth potential [3] Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 2,176 million yuan in 2023 to 7,535 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26% [1] - Net profit is expected to increase from 124 million yuan in 2023 to 1,602 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [1] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to rise from 2.0% in 2023 to 16.3% in 2027, indicating improved profitability [1] Market Position and Product Development - The BES2800 chip is gaining traction in various applications, including TWS headphones and smartwatches, contributing to the company's market share growth [3] - The company is investing heavily in R&D, with R&D expenses reaching 395 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a 22.77% increase year-on-year [3] - The upcoming 6000 series chip is designed for the smart glasses market, aiming to meet the demands of AI-driven hardware with high performance and low power consumption [8]
刷新历史纪录,A股杠杆资金首破2.4万亿
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 12:03
Group 1 - The A-share market experienced fluctuations, with major indices reaching new highs before a collective decline in the afternoon, indicating a potential market correction after a period of rapid growth [2][6] - As of September 17, the margin trading balance reached a historical record of 2.4054 trillion yuan, accounting for 2.51% of the A-share market's circulating market value, still below the peak of 4.73% in 2015 [2][3] - The sectors attracting leveraged funds include electronics, power equipment, non-bank financials, and computers, with significant net purchases observed in these industries [4][5] Group 2 - The number of individual investors in the A-share market has been increasing, rising from 7.6148 million on September 1 to 7.6611 million by September 17 [4] - The trading volume on September 18 reached 3.13 trillion yuan, a significant increase of 758.4 billion yuan compared to the previous day, indicating heightened market activity [6][8] - Analysts suggest that the market will continue to experience a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish sentiments, with high-valuation tech stocks facing pressure in the absence of continuous easing support [6][9] Group 3 - The most favored stocks by leveraged funds include popular names such as Dongfang Caifu, China Ping An, and BYD, with financing balances exceeding 24 billion yuan for some [5] - The sectors with the highest net purchases from September 1 to 17 include power equipment, electronics, and non-bank financials, while the defense industry saw significant net selling [4][5] - The overall sentiment remains optimistic for the long-term outlook of the A-share market, supported by factors such as economic stability, low valuations, and increasing investor returns through dividends and buybacks [9]
刷新历史纪录,A股杠杆资金首破2.4万亿
第一财经· 2025-09-18 11:56
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with major indices reaching new highs before a collective pullback, indicating a potential period of market consolidation after a rapid rise [3][10]. Group 1: Market Overview - As of September 17, the margin trading balance reached a historic high of 2.4054 trillion yuan, accounting for 2.51% of the A-share market's circulating value, still below the peak of 4.73% in 2015 [4][5]. - On September 18, major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index hit new highs in the morning but fell in the afternoon, closing down 1.15% and 1.06% respectively [3][11]. - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 3.13 trillion yuan, a significant increase of 758.4 billion yuan compared to the previous day [11]. Group 2: Investor Activity - The number of individual investors increased from 761.48 million on September 1 to 766.11 million by September 17, indicating growing participation in the market [7]. - The number of investors with margin trading liabilities rose to 1.8187 million by September 17, reflecting increased leverage in trading activities [7]. Group 3: Sector Performance - The sectors attracting the most margin trading interest include electronics, power equipment, non-bank financials, and computers, with margin balances exceeding 100 billion yuan in several cases [7][8]. - Notable stocks with high margin trading balances include Dongfang Caifu, China Ping An, and CITIC Securities, with balances exceeding 240 billion yuan [8][9]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the market may experience a prolonged period of back-and-forth trading, with high valuation tech stocks under pressure due to the lack of continuous easing support, although the medium to long-term outlook remains positive [10][13]. - The recent Federal Reserve interest rate cut is expected to have a mixed impact on the A-share market, with short-term expectations already priced in but medium-term benefits anticipated [12][13].
海南宏泽顺电气有限公司成立 注册资本600万人民币
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 11:27
Company Overview - Hainan Hongze Shun Electric Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 6 million RMB [1] - The legal representative of the company is Xu Lanxiang [1] Business Scope - The company is involved in various business activities including import and export of goods and technology [1] - General business activities include sales of electrical equipment, calculators, mechanical and electrical equipment, software, electrical instruments, optical instruments, electronic products, power electronic components, mechanical equipment, and energy storage technology services [1] - The company also provides technical services, development, consulting, exchange, transfer, and promotion, as well as software development and sales of power facility materials [1] - Additional services include information system integration, IT consulting, emerging energy technology research and development, wholesale of automotive parts, and leasing services (excluding licensed leasing services) [1]