强于大市 化工行业周报 20250622 国际油价、丁二烯、 PTA 价格上涨 今年以来，行业受关税相关政策、原油价格大幅波动等因素影响较大，六月份建议关注：1、安 全监管政策、行业供给端变化等对农药及中间体行业的影响；2、上半年'抢出口'等因素带来 的部分公司业绩波动；3、自主可控日益关键背景下的电子材料公司；4、分红派息政策稳健的 能源企业等。 行业动态 投资建议 截至 6 月 22 日，SW 基础化工市盈率（TTM 剔除负值）为 21.72 倍，处在历史（2002 年至 今）的 65.55%分位数；市净率为 1.85 倍，处在历史水平的 25.95%分位数。SW 石油石化市 盈率（TTM 剔除负值）为 11.37 倍，处在历史（2002 年至今）的 23.02%分位数；市净率为 1.18 倍，处在历史水平的 24.58%分位数。今年以来，行业受关税相关政策、原油价格大幅 波动等因素影响较大，六月份建议关注：1、安全监管政策、行业供给端变化等对农药及中 间体行业的影响；2、上半年'抢出口'等因素带来的部分公司业绩波动；3、自主可控日益 关键背景下的电子材料公司；4、分红派息政策稳健的能源企业等。中长期推荐 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Equity Index Futures**: Neutral, expecting a sideways trend [1] - **Treasury Bond Futures**: Neutral, with a range - bound outlook [1] - **Precious Metals (Gold and Silver)**: Neutral, with a long - term upward potential for gold [1][4] - **Non - ferrous Metals (Copper, Aluminum, Nickel)**: Copper - Neutral, Aluminum - Slightly Bullish, Nickel - Neutral [4] - **Carbonate Lithium**: Bearish, with a downward trend [4][6] - **Silicon Energy**: Neutral, with limited price fluctuations [6] - **Steel and Ore (Rebar, Hot - Rolled Coil, Iron Ore)**: Neutral, with a narrow - range sideways movement [6] - **Coking Coal and Coke**: Bearish [8] - **Soda Ash and Glass**: Soda Ash - Bearish, Glass - Bearish [8] - **Crude Oil**: Slightly Bullish [8][10] - **Methanol**: Bullish [10] - **Polyolefins**: Bullish [10] - **Cotton**: Slightly Bullish [10] - **Rubber**: Bearish [10] 2. Core Views - A - share market shows cautious sentiment in the short - term, lacking upward momentum and continuing the sideways pattern. However, with increasing capital volume and clear policy support, the long - term upward trend remains unchanged [1] - The Treasury bond market is affected by overseas geopolitical issues to a limited extent. With the central bank's net injection in the open market, the bond market is running at a high level, but the trend is uncertain [1] - Precious metals are affected by geopolitical factors, with gold prices oscillating at a high level and a potential long - term upward movement. Silver is more volatile than gold [1][4] - Non - ferrous metals face supply - demand imbalances. Copper has supply constraints but weak demand; aluminum has supply concerns and low inventory support; nickel has an oversupply situation [4] - Carbonate lithium has an increasing supply and weak demand, with a downward price trend [4][6] - Silicon energy has sufficient supply and demand uncertainty, with limited price fluctuations [6] - Steel and ore markets have limited contradictions, and the pressure of raw material valuation adjustment has eased, with prices in a narrow - range sideways movement [6] - Coking coal and coke markets are bearish due to factors such as inventory accumulation and production reduction [8] - Soda ash has a high inventory and weak demand, while glass has a relatively loose supply and weak demand, both with a bearish outlook [8] - Crude oil prices are supported by geopolitical factors, and the future trend depends on the development of the Middle - East situation [8][10] - Methanol production is increasing, but downstream losses are expanding. If domestic coal - chemical plants start centralized maintenance, prices will rise further [10] - Polyolefins have stable production, and prices are supported by rising crude oil prices [10] - Cotton has a strengthening expectation of tight supply and demand, and it is recommended to maintain a long - position strategy [10] - Rubber has an increasing supply and weakening demand, with limited potential for a trend - reversal [10] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Equity Index Futures - Market sentiment is cautious, with limited short - term upward momentum. A - shares continue the sideways pattern, but the long - term upward trend remains unchanged. Attention should be paid to the opportunity of low - level long - position layout [1] 3.2 Treasury Bond Futures - Overseas geopolitical issues have a limited impact on the domestic bond market. The central bank's net injection in the open market supports the bond market at a high level, but the trend is uncertain [1] 3.3 Precious Metals - Gold prices are oscillating at a high level, with a potential long - term upward movement. It is recommended to buy on dips or hold short - put options. Silver is more volatile than gold, and attention should be paid to stop - loss [1][4] 3.4 Non - ferrous Metals 3.4.1 Copper - Supply is tight, but demand is weak due to macro uncertainties. Prices are affected by market sentiment and funds, with a sideways trend [4] 3.4.2 Aluminum - Alumina has an oversupply pressure, but the downward drive may slow down.沪铝 has low inventory support, with a slightly bullish outlook [4] 3.4.3 Nickel - The supply is in an oversupply situation, but the downward momentum weakens at low prices. It is recommended to hold short - option strategies [4] 3.5 Carbonate Lithium - Supply is increasing, and demand is weak. The price trend is downward [4][6] 3.6 Silicon Energy - Supply is sufficient, and demand is uncertain. Price fluctuations are limited, and it is recommended to hold short - put options [6] 3.7 Steel and Ore 3.7.1 Rebar - Supply is increasing, demand is stable, and inventory is decreasing at a slower pace. Prices are expected to move in a narrow range in the short - term, with a weak long - term trend. It is recommended to hold short - call options [6] 3.7.2 Hot - Rolled Coil - Supply and demand are both increasing, with a slight inventory reduction. Prices are expected to move in a narrow range in the short - term. It is recommended to hold short - position contracts [6] 3.7.3 Iron Ore - Supply and demand are expected to shift from tight to balanced and slightly loose. Prices are expected to follow steel prices and move in a narrow range. It is recommended to hold short - position contracts [6] 3.8 Coking Coal and Coke - Coking coal production is decreasing, but inventory is increasing, with a bearish outlook. Coke production is decreasing, and prices are under downward pressure [8] 3.9 Soda Ash and Glass 3.9.1 Soda Ash - Supply is decreasing in the short - term, but inventory is high, and demand is weak. It is recommended to hold short - position contracts or long - glass short - soda ash strategies [8] 3.9.2 Glass - Supply is relatively loose, and demand is weak. It is recommended to hold short - position contracts or long - glass short - soda ash strategies [8] 3.10 Crude Oil - Prices are supported by geopolitical factors, and the future trend depends on the development of the Middle - East situation. It is recommended to hold long - call options [8][10] 3.11 Methanol - Production is increasing, but downstream losses are expanding. If domestic coal - chemical plants start centralized maintenance, prices will rise further [10] 3.12 Polyolefins - Production is stable, and prices are supported by rising crude oil prices [10] 3.13 Cotton - Supply - demand is expected to be tight, and it is recommended to maintain a long - position strategy [10] 3.14 Rubber - Supply is increasing, demand is decreasing, and the potential for a trend - reversal is limited. Attention should be paid to the tire inventory cycle and demand improvement [10]

Core Insights - The article highlights the performance of stocks with consecutive trading limits, noting a 50% advancement rate among these stocks on June 20, 2025, despite a generally bearish market sentiment with over 3600 stocks declining [1][2] - Solid-state battery concept stocks showed significant activity, with notable performances from companies like Nord Shares and Xiyang Electric [1] Group 1: Market Performance - A total of 44 stocks hit the daily limit, with 8 stocks classified as consecutive limit-up stocks, including 4 stocks with three or more consecutive limits [1] - The advancement rate for consecutive limit stocks was reported at 50%, excluding ST and delisted stocks [1][2] - Despite the overall market decline, some stocks attempted a rebound, such as Yong'an Pharmaceutical, which surged from a decline of over 8% to an increase of over 8% [1] Group 2: Sector Highlights - Solid-state battery concept stocks were particularly active, with Nord Shares achieving four consecutive limits and Xiyang Electric recording three limits in six days [1] - The news from Guoxuan High-Tech indicated that the company's first solid-state pilot line has officially been completed, and Jinshi's solid-state battery PACK system has finished initial development and testing [1]

风险提示：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布，任何在本文出现的信息（包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等）均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建 议。 转自：新浪基金∞工作室 流动性方面，截止6月20日，港股通红利低波ETF（520890）近20个交易日累计成交金额1.24亿元，日 均成交金额619.10万元。 港股通红利低波ETF（520890）现任基金经理为李茜。李茜自2024年9月4日管理（或拟管理）该基金， 任职期内收益33.06%。 最新定期报告显示，港股通红利低波ETF（520890）重仓股包括远东宏信、首钢资源、重庆农村商业银 行、VTECH HOLDINGS、嘉里建设、民生银行、恒基地产、中国石油股份、中国石油化工股份、阜丰 集团，持仓占比如下。 股票代码股票名称持仓占比持仓股数（股）持仓市值（元）03360远东宏信3.78%45.70万268.64万00639 首钢资源3.72%113.20万264.29万03618重庆农村商业银行2.87%41.90万204.16万00303VTECH HOLDINGS2.68%3.62万190.75万00683嘉里建设 ...

Macro Overview - The Federal Reserve paused interest rate cuts in June, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.50% while continuing quantitative tightening, which aligns with market expectations [2][3] - Economic forecasts indicate a downward adjustment in growth expectations for 2025 and 2026, with unemployment rates slightly increased, reflecting concerns over "stagflation" [3][4] - The dollar index is expected to decline further in 2025 due to tariffs, economic slowdown, and strengthening of alternative assets, stabilizing below 100 for the year [7] Home Appliances Industry - The home appliance sector is expected to benefit from long-term stability, with white goods focusing on performance consistency and increasing dividend rates, while black goods present opportunities due to enhanced global competitiveness [9][12] - The industry has seen a significant increase in the SW home appliance index, with respective gains of 3.8%, 25.4%, and 1.93% for 2023, 2024, and 2025 YTD [9][10] - The outlook for the home appliance market is cautious due to potential demand exhaustion and intensified competition, particularly in the air conditioning segment [10][11] Chemical Industry - The chemical industry is currently facing significant supply and demand pressures, with low profitability in the petrochemical sector, and a need for structural opportunities as the market stabilizes [15][16] - Brent crude oil prices are projected to range between $60-$70 per barrel in the second half of 2025, which may alleviate some cost pressures for the industry [15] - Key investment themes include domestic demand stimulation, supply-side constraints, and the domestic substitution of new materials [15][16] New Energy Sector - The new energy sector is experiencing structural differentiation, with a focus on new technologies and non-US exports, particularly in the wind and solar energy segments [18][19] - The demand for energy storage is expected to shift from policy-driven to market-driven profitability, with significant growth potential in domestic and overseas markets [20][21] - The wind energy sector is anticipated to see a recovery in profitability, driven by increased installations and demand from emerging markets [19][20] Investment Strategies - The report emphasizes the importance of long-term investment strategies, particularly in state-owned enterprises, technology, and consumer sectors, which are expected to yield stable excess returns [24][25] - The development of public funds is expected to favor long-term and passive investment strategies, with a focus on ETFs and sector-specific funds [25][26] - The report highlights the potential for significant returns through quantitative stock selection strategies based on fundamental factors [24][26]

燃 料 油 日期 鹿特丹3.5% HSF O掉期 M1 鹿特丹0.5% VLS FO掉期 M1 鹿特丹HSFO-Br ent M1 鹿特丹10ppm G asoil掉期 M1 鹿特丹VLSFO-G O M1 LGO-Brent M1 鹿特丹VLSFO-H SFO M1 2025/06/13 441.01 487.74 -2.60 662.68 -174.94 16.61 46.73 2025/06/16 440.56 480.32 -1.20 661.89 -181.57 17.44 39.76 2025/06/17 458.53 500.63 -1.72 704.24 -203.61 19.66 42.10 2025/06/18 457.84 497.59 -1.57 707.10 -209.51 19.64 39.75 2025/06/19 482.66 518.86 -1.00 764.51 -245.65 24.87 36.20 变化 24.82 21.27 0.57 57.41 -36.14 5.23 -3.55 日期 新加坡380cst M1新加坡180cst M1 新加坡VLSFO M 1 新加 ...

行业 沥青日报 日期 2024 年 6 月 20 日 | | 开盘 | 收盘 | 最高 | 最低 | 涨跌幅% | 成交量（万手） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | BU2509 | 3700 | 3738 | 3745 | 3689 | 1.49 | 29.87 | | BU2508 | 3718 | 3751 | 3760 | 3704 | 1.38 | 1.21 | 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 028-8663 0631 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094 ...

大宗商品研究所 燃料油研发报告 燃料油日报 2025 年 6 月 19 日 燃料油日报 大宗商品研究所 燃料油研发报告 第一部分 相关数据 研究员： 吴晓蓉 期货从业证号： F03108405 投资咨询从业证号： Z0021537 ： 021-65789108 ： wuxiaorong_qh @chinastock.com.cn | | 2025/6/19 | 2025/6/18 | 2025/6/12 | 2025/5/22 | Δ日 | Δ周 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | FU主力 | 3369 | 3333 | 2997 | 3000 | 36 | 372 | | FU主力持仓(万手) | 25.0 | 25.2 | 21.4 | 14.7 | -0.2 | 3.6 | | FU仓单(吨) | 24750 | 24750 | 24750 | 28950 | 0 | 0 | | LU主力 | 3998 | 3921 | 3645 | 3505 | 77 | 353 | | LU主力持仓(万手） | 5.2 | 5.2 | 7.2 | 6.6 ...

Group 1: ESG Rating and Performance - Rongsheng Petrochemical's ESG rating has been upgraded from A to AA, the highest rating in the industry, reflecting its leadership in green transformation and sustainable development [1] - The company achieved an overall ESG score of 8.56, with environmental score at 8.47, social score at 5.98, and governance score at 9.63, all surpassing industry averages [1] - The company has been recognized by MSCI, achieving a BBB rating and ranking among the top in the global diversified chemicals industry [1] Group 2: Company Overview - Rongsheng Petrochemical, headquartered in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province, is a key subsidiary of Zhejiang Rongsheng Holding Group and one of China's leading private petrochemical giants [2] - The company operates an integrated refining and chemical project with a capacity of 40 million tons per year and produces nearly 6 million tons of chemical products across over 50 categories [2] - It ranks 5th in the global chemical brand value list and 8th among the world's top chemical companies [2] Group 3: Sustainable Development Initiatives - The company has published sustainability reports for two consecutive years, focusing on the deep value of petroleum resources and achieving significant milestones in sustainable development [2] - Rongsheng Petrochemical has been recognized as a leader in carbon reduction, water resource management, and corporate governance, being included in the "Hang Seng A-Share Sustainable Development Benchmark Index" for four consecutive years [3] - The company was named the "Energy Efficiency Leader" in the petroleum and chemical industry by the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Federation for 2023 [3] Group 4: Industry Trends and Investment - The global trend towards stricter ESG disclosure standards is pushing the petroleum and petrochemical industry to enhance its ESG reporting [3] - The transition in the petrochemical sector requires significant funding, making it a target for transition finance, with recent investments in renewable diesel and carbon capture projects in North America and Europe reaching $14.5 billion [3] - Effective ESG disclosure is crucial for building investor confidence and attracting diverse financial resources to the industry [3]

智通财经6月19日电，香港交易所信息显示，贝莱德（BlackRock）在中国石油化工股份的持股比例于06 月16日从6.76%升至7.01%。 ...