Core Viewpoint - The lead price has increased while the price of waste batteries has stabilized after a decline due to poor downstream demand and falling prices [1] Group 1: Lead Market Dynamics - Recent macroeconomic news has raised the probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, which has positively impacted the non-ferrous metal market prices [1] - Lead futures have been driven up by bullish sentiment, resulting in price fluctuations and an overall increase [1] Group 2: Waste Battery Pricing - As of September 12, the mainstream price for waste electric vehicle batteries was reported at 9820 - 9900 yuan/ton, with an average price of 9860 yuan/ton, reflecting a decrease of 175 yuan/ton or 1.74% from the previous week [1] - Some smelters have raised their recycling prices due to support from rising lead prices, although insufficient smelter operations limit the upward momentum for waste battery prices [1] - It is expected that the price of waste batteries will stabilize in the near term [1]

Group 1 - In August 2025, China's primary aluminum (electrolytic aluminum) production was 3.8 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 0.5% [1] - From January to August 2025, the cumulative production of primary aluminum reached 30.14 million tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 2.2% [1] - In August 2025, the production of ten non-ferrous metals in China was 6.98 million tons, showing a year-on-year increase of 3.8% [1] Group 2 - The cumulative production of ten non-ferrous metals from January to August 2025 was 54.32 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given text. 2. Report's Core Viewpoints Financial Futures - Domestic policies will focus more on the livelihood sector to address income - distribution imbalances and stimulate effective demand. The economy is marginally recovering, but government support is still needed. Overseas, US inflation remains resilient, and the market is concerned about the US employment market. The Fed's decision is crucial [1]. - The US dollar index shows signs of downward break - out. The short - term trend of the US dollar against the RMB exchange rate depends on internal and external factors. It is expected to be weakly volatile, and the market may form a "three - price convergence" pattern around 7.1 [2]. - For the stock index, the adjustment continues, and the market is waiting for the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected to be volatile in the short term [4]. - The bond market may have a certain downward space in yield this week, but the space may be limited. The progress of Sino - US talks may affect both the stock and bond markets [6]. - For the container shipping market, the SCFI European line continues to decline, and the short - term futures price is likely to maintain a downward trend. It is recommended to operate quickly in and out and beware of rebounds [9]. Commodities Precious Metals - Gold and silver are expected to be bullish in the medium - to - long term. The short - term trend is strong. It is recommended to buy on dips and hold existing long positions carefully [10]. Base Metals - Copper is expected to be volatile around 81,000 yuan per ton. The impact of monetary policy on copper prices may decrease, and the supply - demand situation is weak on both sides [11]. - Aluminum is expected to be strongly volatile; alumina is expected to be weak; cast aluminum alloy is expected to be strongly volatile. The key to aluminum prices is inventory, alumina has a supply - surplus problem, and cast aluminum alloy is supported by scrap aluminum [12][13][15]. - Zinc is expected to be volatile. The supply is in an over - supply state, and the demand outlook is average [15]. - Nickel and stainless steel are expected to be volatile with bottom support. The new energy sector supports nickel, and stainless steel is affected by cost and seasonality [16]. - Tin is expected to be stable, fluctuating around 274,000 yuan per ton. The impact of monetary policy may decrease, and the supply is tight in the short term [18]. Energy Metals - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to stabilize. Policy support may extend the peak season, and the downside space of spot prices is limited [19]. Industrial Metals - Industrial silicon is expected to have limited upward space and may be weakly volatile. The supply is increasing, and the inventory is accumulating [24]. - Polysilicon is expected to be volatile. The supply is increasing, the inventory is rising, and the demand is weak, but policy expectations are strong [25]. - Lead is expected to be volatile. The price is pushed up by long - position funds, and the supply is relatively weak compared to demand [26]. Black Metals - For steel products, the market is expected to be in a volatile consolidation pattern. The fundamentals are under pressure, but macro expectations and pre - holiday demand provide some support [29]. - Iron ore prices are short - term strong but limited by steel demand and shrinking steel mill profits [30]. - Coking coal and coke are expected to be in a wide - range volatile pattern. The supply is increasing, and the weak reality restricts the price rebound, but pre - holiday inventory transfer may support the price [32]. - Ferrosilicon and ferromanganese are recommended to be lightly long at certain price levels. The cost provides support, and the market is in a game between strong expectations and weak reality [34]. Energy and Chemicals - Crude oil is in an oversupply situation, and it is recommended to short on rallies [35]. - LPG is supported by the overseas market. The domestic supply is controllable, and the demand is slightly weak [37]. - PX - TA prices are expected to be volatile. The polyester peak season is not highly expected, and the PTA processing fee may be repaired [39]. - Ethylene glycol is expected to be volatile between 4220 - 4400. It is not recommended to short further as the inventory build - up expectation has been priced in [40]. - Methanol is recommended to reduce long positions. The port pressure is large, and the supply from Iran is increasing [41]. - PP is expected to be in an oscillating pattern. The supply pressure is relieved, and the cost provides support [45]. - PE is expected to be in an oscillating pattern. The supply is decreasing, but the demand recovery is slow [47]. - Pure benzene and styrene are expected to follow the cost - end fluctuations. The fundamentals are weak, and it is recommended to wait and see [48][49]. - Fuel oil follows the fluctuations of crude oil. The export is shrinking, the demand is recovering, and it is not recommended to short further [49]. - Low - sulfur fuel oil's cracking spread is weakening. After the short - term decline, the negative factors have been priced in, and the cracking spread rebound should be watched [51]. - Asphalt is expected to be weakly volatile. The supply is increasing, the demand is affected by weather and funds, and it may have a chance to rise during the demand peak season [51]. - Rubber and 20 - number rubber are weakly trending. The price has returned to the fundamental pricing range, and weather and macro factors are still uncertain [52]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Financial Futures Macro - Market news includes Sino - US economic and trade talks, the Fed's interest - rate decision, the US government's "shutdown" risk, and China's August social financing and loan data [1]. - The core logic is that domestic policies will focus on the livelihood sector, the economy is marginally recovering, and overseas inflation and employment are key concerns [1]. RMB Exchange Rate - The previous trading day's RMB exchange rate data is provided. The key factors affecting the exchange rate are the Fed's decision and internal and external factors in China [1][2]. - The short - term trend of the exchange rate depends on the interaction of internal and external factors, and the market may form a "three - price convergence" pattern [2]. Stock Index - The previous trading day's stock index showed a slight volume contraction, with different performances between large and small - cap stocks. The market is waiting for the Fed to cut interest rates [4]. - It is expected to be volatile in the short term, and the Fed's decision and Sino - US economic and trade talks are important [6]. Bond Market - The bond market adjusted last week due to the regulations on public fund redemption fees. The fundamentals show weak loan demand, and the central bank's measures support the capital market [6][7]. - The yield may decline this week, but the space is limited. The progress of Sino - US talks is a key factor [6]. Container Shipping - The previous trading day's container shipping index (European line) futures declined. The spot market prices of major shipping companies have changed [7][8]. - The short - term futures price is likely to decline, and it is recommended to operate quickly in and out and beware of rebounds [9]. Commodities Precious Metals - Gold and silver's market performance last week was strong, with changes in inventory and fund positions. The market is focused on the Fed's decision, personnel adjustment, and bond - market risks [10]. - It is expected to be bullish in the medium - to - long term, and the short - term trend is strong. It is recommended to buy on dips [10]. Base Metals - Copper: The price increased last week due to the US inflation data. The supply - demand situation is weak on both sides, and it is expected to be volatile around 81,000 yuan per ton [11]. - Aluminum: The price of aluminum increased, alumina decreased, and cast aluminum alloy increased. The key factors are the Fed's decision, seasonal demand, and scrap aluminum supply [12][13][15]. - Zinc: The price was slightly up. The supply is in an over - supply state, and the demand outlook is average [15]. - Nickel and stainless steel: The prices were up slightly. The new energy sector supports nickel, and stainless steel is affected by cost and seasonality [16]. - Tin: The price increased slightly. It is expected to be stable, fluctuating around 274,000 yuan per ton [18]. Energy Metals - Lithium carbonate: The futures price declined last week. The supply and demand situation in the lithium battery industry chain has changed, and policy support may stabilize the price [19][20]. Industrial Metals - Industrial silicon: The futures price was slightly down. The supply is increasing, and the inventory is accumulating, so the upward space is limited [22][24]. - Polysilicon: The futures price declined. The supply is increasing, the inventory is rising, and the demand is weak, but policy expectations are strong [23][25]. - Lead: The price increased. The price was pushed up by long - position funds, and the supply is relatively weak compared to demand [26]. Black Metals - Steel products: The price showed a pattern of rising and then falling. The supply has recovered, the demand is weak, and the market is expected to be volatile [28][29]. - Iron ore: The price is short - term strong. The supply is tightening in the short term, and the demand is recovering, but it is limited by steel demand and steel mill profits [30]. - Coking coal and coke: The price is affected by supply and demand changes. The supply is increasing, and the weak reality restricts the price rebound, but pre - holiday inventory transfer may support the price [32]. - Ferrosilicon and ferromanganese: The prices were slightly up and down. The cost provides support, and the market is in a game between strong expectations and weak reality [32][34]. Energy and Chemicals - Crude oil: The price was up. The supply is in an over - supply state, and it is recommended to short on rallies [35]. - LPG: The price was down. The overseas market provides support, and the domestic supply is controllable, with slightly weak demand [35][37]. - PX - TA: The price is volatile. The polyester peak season is not highly expected, and the PTA processing fee may be repaired [38][39]. - Ethylene glycol: The price is expected to be volatile between 4220 - 4400. It is not recommended to short further as the inventory build - up expectation has been priced in [40]. - Methanol: The price was down. It is recommended to reduce long positions due to port pressure and increasing Iranian supply [41]. - PP: The price was down. The supply pressure is relieved, and the cost provides support, so it is expected to be oscillating [45]. - PE: The price was down. The supply is decreasing, but the demand recovery is slow, so it is expected to be oscillating [47]. - Pure benzene and styrene: The prices were down. They follow the cost - end fluctuations, and the fundamentals are weak, so it is recommended to wait and see [48][49]. - Fuel oil: The price follows the fluctuations of crude oil. The export is shrinking, the demand is recovering, and it is not recommended to short further [49]. - Low - sulfur fuel oil: The cracking spread is weakening. After the short - term decline, the negative factors have been priced in, and the cracking spread rebound should be watched [51]. - Asphalt: The price was down. The supply is increasing, the demand is affected by weather and funds, and it may have a chance to rise during the demand peak season [51]. - Rubber and 20 - number rubber: The prices were down. The price has returned to the fundamental pricing range, and weather and macro factors are still uncertain [52].

Core Insights - The production of ten non-ferrous metals in August 2025 reached 6.98 million tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.8% [1] - Cumulative production from January to August 2025 totaled 54.32 million tons, with a year-on-year growth of 3.1% [1] - In August 2025, the production of electrolytic aluminum was 3.8 million tons, showing a slight decrease of 0.5% year-on-year [1] - The cumulative production of electrolytic aluminum from January to August 2025 was 30.14 million tons, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.2% [1]

Core Insights - Sichuan Hengyuntong Technology Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 2 million RMB and is represented by Yang Hengliang [1] Company Overview - The company is engaged in various technical services, including technology development, consulting, and transfer [1] - It operates in the non-ferrous metal smelting and precious metal smelting sectors [1] - The company also deals with the sale of non-metallic waste and scrap processing, as well as the sale of metallic ores and coal products [1] Operational Scope - The business activities include mineral washing and processing, sales of non-ferrous metal alloys, and metal materials [1] - The company is authorized to conduct road freight transportation for general cargo (excluding hazardous materials) [1] - It is required to obtain necessary approvals for specific projects before commencing operations [1]

Group 1: US Economic Indicators - August non-farm employment data was weaker than expected, with previous months' employment figures revised down[1] - The unemployment rate remains stable due to a significant increase in household survey employment, but the job market shows signs of prolonged weakness[1] - Inflation indicators show a mild increase in overall CPI, but the super core CPI excluding housing and used cars has slowed down, raising concerns[1] Group 2: European Economic Outlook - The European Central Bank (ECB) maintained its current policy stance, showing confidence in future inflation and economic growth in the Eurozone[1] - Market expectations for another rate cut before mid-2026 have dropped below 50%[1] Group 3: Domestic Economic Conditions - August export growth declined year-on-year due to a high base effect from last year, with exports to non-US countries outperforming those to the US[4] - PPI year-on-year growth has narrowed due to low base effects and "anti-involution" policies, while CPI growth is significantly impacted by food and energy prices[4] - The Ministry of Finance plans to implement more proactive fiscal policies to strengthen domestic circulation and enhance fiscal-financial coordination[4] Group 4: Market Trends and Prices - Real estate transactions remain sluggish, while wholesale prices of agricultural products have rebounded[4] - Steel prices are stable, cement prices have slightly increased, and coal prices have decreased, while non-ferrous metal prices have risen[4]

Market Overview - On September 12, the A-share market closed with a total of 75 stocks hitting the daily limit, with 67 stocks after excluding 8 ST stocks, and an overall limit-up rate of 74.26% [1] Stock Performance - Chipyuan Co. saw a significant limit-up with a closing order volume exceeding 9 billion yuan, leading the market [2] - Other notable stocks with high limit-up order volumes include Shanghai Construction with 1.01 million hands, Dongzhu Ecology with 526,300 hands, and Rongsheng Development with 504,500 hands [2] - Chipyuan Co. announced plans to acquire 97.0070% of Chip Technology through a combination of stock issuance and cash payment, which will make Chip Technology a wholly-owned subsidiary [2][3] Industry Insights Semiconductor Industry - Chipyuan Co. aims to leverage its semiconductor IP and chip customization platform to enhance its market influence and technical barriers, particularly in the RISC-V field [3] Non-Ferrous Metals - Notable limit-up stocks in the non-ferrous metals sector include Beifang Copper Industry, Shengda Resources, Hunan Silver, and others [4] - Beifang Copper Industry produced 21,700 tons of copper concentrate and 137,000 tons of electrolytic copper in the first half of the year [4] Computing Power - Companies like Kehua Data, TeFa Information, and Runjian Co. experienced limit-ups, with Kehua Data being a pioneer in the liquid cooling sector [5][6] - TeFa Information is involved in significant projects like the construction of the Atlas900 AI computing cluster [5] Film and Entertainment - Goldstone Film and China Film both saw limit-ups, with Goldstone focusing on upgrading older cinema facilities [7][8] Institutional Activity - The net buying by deep stock connect exceeded 100 million yuan for Yinghe Technology, with other stocks like Jinxin Nuo and Fangzheng Technology also seeing significant institutional interest [9]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market rebounded, with all three major indices rising, and the Hang Seng Index reaching a four-year high, closing up 1.16% at 26,388.16 points, with a total turnover of HKD 32.07 billion [1] - For the week, the Hang Seng Index increased by 3.82%, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose by 3.4%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index gained 5.31% [1] Blue Chip Performance - Baidu Group-SW (09888) led blue-chip stocks, rising 8.08% to HKD 115.1, contributing 17.27 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip performers included China Hongqiao (01378) up 7.02%, Alibaba-W (09988) up 5.44%, while Chow Tai Fook (01929) and Alibaba Health (00241) saw declines of 2.91% and 2.64% respectively [2] Sector Highlights - Large tech stocks surged, with Baidu and Alibaba benefiting from reports of using self-designed chips for AI model training [3] - The non-ferrous metals sector performed well, with China Aluminum (02600) up 7.32%, Jiangxi Copper (00358) up 7.07%, and China Hongqiao (01378) up 7.02% [3] - The pharmaceutical sector saw a rebound, with notable gains from companies like Innovent Biologics (09969) up 14.09% and Hutchison China MediTech (00013) up 11.2% [4] Regulatory Developments - The National Medical Products Administration proposed to optimize the clinical trial review process for innovative drugs, aiming to complete reviews within 30 working days for eligible applications [5] - Recent rumors regarding patent trading bans have created short-term sentiment impacts, but major pharmaceutical companies are lobbying against such measures [5] Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector saw collective gains, with companies like Oceanwide Holdings (03377) up 13.07% and Sunac China (01918) up 8.72% [6] - Recent policy changes in major cities aimed at easing purchase restrictions are expected to boost market activity in the upcoming traditional marketing season [6] Cloud Computing and AI - The cloud computing sector continued its upward trend, with companies like GDS Holdings (09698) up 15.67% and Alibaba-W (09988) up 5.44% [7] - Oracle's recent financial disclosures and OpenAI's agreement to purchase significant computing power from Oracle are expected to positively impact the cloud computing landscape [7] Notable Stock Movements - Yaojie Ankang-B (02617) surged 77.09% after announcing clinical trial approvals for its core product [8] - Evergrande Property (06666) saw a significant rise of 20.65% following news of non-binding acquisition interest [9] - Giant Star Legend (06683) increased by 13.15% due to media coverage of its new product launch [10] - Longi Green Energy (06869) experienced a decline of 5.32% amid profit-taking recommendations from analysts [11]

Market Overview - Hong Kong stocks rebounded strongly, with the Hang Seng Index reaching a four-year high, closing up 1.16% at 26,388.16 points, with a total turnover of HKD 32.07 billion [1] - The Hang Seng Index increased by 3.82% over the week, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 3.4% and 5.31% respectively [1] Blue Chip Performance - Baidu Group-SW (09888) led blue-chip stocks, rising 8.08% to HKD 115.1, contributing 17.27 points to the Hang Seng Index [2] - Other notable blue-chip performers included China Hongqiao (01378) up 7.02%, Alibaba-W (09988) up 5.44%, while Chow Tai Fook (01929) and Alibaba Health (00241) saw declines of 2.91% and 2.64% respectively [2] Sector Highlights - Large tech stocks surged, with Baidu and Alibaba benefiting from reports of using self-designed chips for AI model training [3] - The non-ferrous metals sector performed well, with China Aluminum (02600) up 7.32% and Jiangxi Copper (00358) up 7.07% [3] - Pharmaceutical stocks rebounded, with notable gains from Innovent Biologics (09969) up 14.09% and Hutchison China MediTech (00013) up 11.2% [4] Policy and Regulatory Developments - The National Medical Products Administration proposed to optimize the clinical trial review process for innovative drugs, aiming to complete reviews within 30 working days for eligible applications [5] - Recent policy changes in major cities to relax purchase restrictions are expected to boost market activity in the real estate sector [6] Cloud Computing and AI Developments - Cloud computing stocks continued to rise, with GDS Holdings (09698) up 15.67% and Alibaba-W (09988) up 5.44% [7] - Oracle reported a significant increase in future contract revenue, and OpenAI is set to purchase substantial computing power from Oracle [7] Notable Stock Movements - Yaojie Ankang-B (02617) surged 77.09% after receiving clinical trial approval for a new cancer treatment [8] - Evergrande Property (06666) saw a 20.65% increase following news of non-binding acquisition interest [9] - Giant Star Legend (06683) rose 13.15% due to a new product launch [10] - Longi Green Energy (06869) experienced a decline of 5.32% amid profit-taking recommendations [11]

Market Overview - The three major indices closed up over 1.1%, with the Hang Seng Index rising 1.16% to above 26,000 points, the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index up 1.13%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index up 1.71% [1][2] - Market sentiment is bullish, with significant gains in large tech stocks, particularly Baidu, which surged 8% [2][5] Sector Performance - Large tech stocks collectively rose, with notable increases from Baidu (+8%), Alibaba (+5.44%), and Tencent (+2.22%) [5][6] - Education stocks saw substantial gains, led by Yuhua Education, which soared over 43%, following the announcement of government subsidies for childcare and free preschool education [6][7] - Real estate and property management stocks also experienced upward momentum, with Evergrande Property rising over 20% [7][8] Investment Insights - The market liquidity remains ample, and valuation levels are considered reasonable, providing a window for allocation in tech and pharmaceutical sectors due to significant long-term recovery potential [5] - UBS anticipates strong demand for gold, projecting central bank purchases to remain robust at around 900 to 950 tons this year, slightly below last year's record [8][10] Capital Flows - Southbound funds recorded a net inflow of 7.331 billion HKD, indicating strong interest from investors [13][15] - Morgan Stanley noted that U.S. investors' interest in the Chinese market has reached its highest level since 2021, suggesting a favorable outlook for Hong Kong stocks compared to A-shares [15]